Multi-objective QPSO for short-term load forecast based on diagonal recursive neural network

Author(s):  
Lan Zhang ◽  
Lei Xu

The short-term load forecast is an important part of power system operation, which is usually a nonlinear problem. The processing of load forecast data and the selection of forecasting methods are particularly important. In order to get accurate and effective prediction for power system load, this article proposes a hybrid multi-objective quantum particle swarm optimization (QPSO) algorithm for short-term load forecast of power system based on diagonal recursive neural network. Firstly, a multi-objective mathematical model for short-term load forecast is proposed. Secondly, the discrete particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is used to select the characteristics of load data and screen out the appropriate data. Finally, the hybrid multi-objective QPSO algorithm is used to train diagonal recursive neural network. The experimental results show that the hybrid multi-objective QPSO for short-term load forecast based on diagonal recursive neural network is effective.

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Zahra Shafiei Chafi ◽  
Hossein Afrakhte

Electrical load forecasting plays a key role in power system planning and operation procedures. So far, a variety of techniques have been employed for electrical load forecasting. Meanwhile, neural-network-based methods led to fewer prediction errors due to their ability to adapt properly to the consuming load's hidden characteristic. Therefore, these methods were widely accepted by the researchers. As the parameters of the neural network have a significant impact on its performance, in this paper, a short-term electrical load forecasting method using neural network and particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is proposed, in which some neural network parameters including learning rate and number of hidden layers are determined in order to forecast electrical load using the PSO algorithm precisely. Then, the neural network with these optimized parameters is used to predict the short-term electrical load. In this method, a three-layer feedforward neural network trained by backpropagation algorithm is used beside an improved gbest PSO algorithm. Also, the neural network prediction error is defined as the PSO algorithm cost function. The proposed approach has been tested on the Iranian power grid using MATLAB software. The average of three indices beside graphical results has been considered to evaluate the performance of the proposed method. The simulation results reflect the capabilities of the proposed method in accurately predicting the electrical load.


2011 ◽  
Vol 2-3 ◽  
pp. 12-17
Author(s):  
Sheng Lin Mu ◽  
Kanya Tanaka

In this paper, we propose a novel scheme of IMC-PID control combined with a tribes type neural network (NN) for the position control of ultrasonic motor (USM). In this method, the NN controller is employed for tuning the parameter in IMC-PID control. The weights of NN are designed to be updated by the tribes-particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm. This method makes it possible to compensate for the characteristic changes and nonlinearity of USM. The parameter-free tribes-PSO requires no information about the USM beforehand; hence its application overcomes the problem of Jacobian estimation in the conventional back propagation (BP) method of NN. The effectiveness of the proposed method is confirmed by experiments.


2013 ◽  
Vol 427-429 ◽  
pp. 1048-1051
Author(s):  
Xu Sheng Gan ◽  
Hao Lin Cui ◽  
Ya Rong Wu

In order to diagnose the fault in analog circuit correctly, a Wavelet Neural Network (WNN) method is proposed that uses the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm to optimize the network parameters. For the improvement of convergence rate in WNN based on PSO algorithm, a compressing method in research space is introduced into the traditional PSO algorithm to improve the convergence in WNN training. The simulation shows that the proposed method has a good diagnosis with fast convergence rate for the fault in analog circuit.


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (19) ◽  
pp. 5609 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shahab S. Band ◽  
Saeid Janizadeh ◽  
Subodh Chandra Pal ◽  
Asish Saha ◽  
Rabin Chakrabortty ◽  
...  

This study aims to evaluate a new approach in modeling gully erosion susceptibility (GES) based on a deep learning neural network (DLNN) model and an ensemble particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm with DLNN (PSO-DLNN), comparing these approaches with common artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector machine (SVM) models in Shirahan watershed, Iran. For this purpose, 13 independent variables affecting GES in the study area, namely, altitude, slope, aspect, plan curvature, profile curvature, drainage density, distance from a river, land use, soil, lithology, rainfall, stream power index (SPI), and topographic wetness index (TWI), were prepared. A total of 132 gully erosion locations were identified during field visits. To implement the proposed model, the dataset was divided into the two categories of training (70%) and testing (30%). The results indicate that the area under the curve (AUC) value from receiver operating characteristic (ROC) considering the testing datasets of PSO-DLNN is 0.89, which indicates superb accuracy. The rest of the models are associated with optimal accuracy and have similar results to the PSO-DLNN model; the AUC values from ROC of DLNN, SVM, and ANN for the testing datasets are 0.87, 0.85, and 0.84, respectively. The efficiency of the proposed model in terms of prediction of GES was increased. Therefore, it can be concluded that the DLNN model and its ensemble with the PSO algorithm can be used as a novel and practical method to predict gully erosion susceptibility, which can help planners and managers to manage and reduce the risk of this phenomenon.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 2873 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dinh Thanh Viet ◽  
Vo Van Phuong ◽  
Minh Quan Duong ◽  
Quoc Tuan Tran

As sources of conventional energy are alarmingly being depleted, leveraging renewable energy sources, especially wind power, has been increasingly important in the electricity market to meet growing global demands for energy. However, the uncertainty in weather factors can cause large errors in wind power forecasts, raising the cost of power reservation in the power system and significantly impacting ancillary services in the electricity market. In pursuance of a higher accuracy level in wind power forecasting, this paper proposes a double-optimization approach to developing a tool for forecasting wind power generation output in the short term, using two novel models that combine an artificial neural network with the particle swarm optimization algorithm and genetic algorithm. In these models, a first particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to adjust the neural network parameters to improve accuracy. Next, the genetic algorithm or another particle swarm optimization is applied to adjust the parameters of the first particle swarm optimization algorithm to enhance the accuracy of the forecasting results. The models were tested with actual data collected from the Tuy Phong wind power plant in Binh Thuan Province, Vietnam. The testing showed improved accuracy and that this model can be widely implemented at other wind farms.


2017 ◽  
Vol 24 (s3) ◽  
pp. 79-85
Author(s):  
Lingjie Zhang ◽  
Jianbo Sun ◽  
Chen Guo

Abstract A novel multi-objective discrete particle swarm optimization with elitist perturbation strategy (EPSMODPSO) is proposed and applied to solve the reconfiguration problem of shipboard power system(SPS). The new algorithm uses the velocity to decide each particle to move one step toward positive or negative direction to update the position. An elitist perturbation strategy is proposed to improve the local search ability of the algorithm. Reconfiguration model of SPS is established with multiple objectives, and an inherent homogeneity index is adopted as the auxiliary estimating index. Test results of examples show that the proposed EPSMODPSO performs excellent in terms of diversity and convergence of the obtained Pareto optimal front. It is competent to solve network reconfiguration of shipboard power system and other multi-objective discrete optimization problems.


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