scholarly journals FOREX and equity markets spillover effects among USA, Brazil, Italy, Germany and Canada in the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
Konstantinos Tsiaras ◽  
Theodore Simos
Keyword(s):  
Multinational Corporations ◽  
Financial Crises ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Equity Markets ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Financial Assets ◽  
Contagion Effects ◽  
Daily Data ◽  
Movement Effect ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

In this paper, we investigate the spillover effects of forex and equity markets in USA, Brazil, Italy, Germany, and Canada using daily data. Using AR-dialog BEKR model we tested for the contagion & co-movement effect in equity markets during the post financial crises period of 2010-2018. The estimated dynamic conditional correlations show the strongest contagion effects for the pairs of markets as follows: S&P500-BOVESPA, S&P500-FTSEMIB, S&P500-DAX30 and S&P500-S&PTSX. For institutions, multinational corporations, and active investors, a portfolio consisting of financial assets from the above markets is extremely risky.

scholarly journals Topics in applied financial economics

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Κωνσταντίνος Τσιάρας
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Empirical Work ◽  
Empirical Support ◽  
Equity Markets ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Financial Contagion ◽  
Empirical Results ◽  
Contagion Effects ◽  
Daily Data

This dissertation consists of four self-contained chapters in the form of papers. The first chapter investigates the volatility spillover effects and the contagion to sovereign CDS spread returns for Germany, France, China and Japan against USA. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first empirical research in the literature, which investigates potential spillovers and contagion effects among sovereign CDS markets. We use daily data from October 2011 to February 2018. Employing a fourvariate cDCC-AR-FIGARCH model, we find evidence of spillover effects for all the pairs of markets. Furthermore, we find empirical evidence of contagion for the pairs of markets: Germany – France, Germany – Japan and France – Japan. Regarding China’s CDS market we obtain little empirical support for contagion with the rest of the countries. The results are of interest to policymakers, who provide regulations for the CDS markets, as well as to market-makers. The second chapter investigates the spillover effects and the contagion to major equity and FOREX markets of G20. The financial markets under scrutiny are those of USA, Brazil, Italy, Germany and Canada. The frequency of the data is daily. We set the sample period from April 2010 to April 2018, namely after the GFC. Other related empirical work include Kanas (2000), who investigated the existence of spillovers between national equity and FOREX markets, by employing a trivariate AR-diagonal BEKK model for S&P 500, national equity markets and the respective FOREX markets. Our empirical results find evidence of spillovers and contagion effects for the pairs of markets: S&P500-BOVESPA, S&P500-FTSEMIB, S&P500-DAX30 and S&P500-S&PTSX. Moreover, the pairs of markets S&P 500-CAD/USD, S&P 5000BRL/USD and BOVESPA-BRL/USD present no contagion. The resultsare of interest to individual investors, who want to diversify their portfolios through international financial market investments. The third chapter investigates the spillovers and the financial contagion of four major FOREX markets. The FOREX markets are those of EUR/USD, JPY/USD, CHW/USD and GBP/USD. Lee (2010) investigates ten FOREX markets in Asia and Latin America to USD, among others and finds evidence of spillover effects from JPY/USD on Asian currency markets. A fourvariate dynamic Conditional Correlation Generalized ARCH (DCC-GARCH) model is employed for the period April 2011 to February 2018. The empirical results suggest contagion for all the pairs of markets. Additionally, we find that EUR/USD and GBP/USD present the strongest contagion effects, while CHW/USD show the lowest contagion levels with the rest of the markets.The fourth chapter analyses the spillover and the contagion effects of MSCI (global index), NIKKEI 400 (Japan), CSI 300 (China) and S&P 500 (USA). We consider a portofolio analysis in order to produce the standardized residuals using in a trivariate cDCC-GARCH framework. Other research work include Miyakoshi (2003), who suggests the existence of spillover effects between USA and Asian national equity markets. We extend the above analysis by taking into consideration the individual effects of MSCI on three of the most important national equity markets. We use daily data for the period 2008-2018. The main empirical results are the following: (1) portfolio analysis results suggest that MSCI has a significant positive influence on all equity market returns, (2) we find empirical evidence of spillovers on all pairs and (2) we find contagion for the pairs of markets: NIKKEI 400-CSI 300, NIKKEI 400-S&P 500 and S&P 500-CSI 300 that indicate risky positive correlations from an investor’s perspective.

scholarly journals International Equity Markets Co-movements And Contagion: A Novel Perspective

2014 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
pp. 285
Author(s):  
Olfa Kaabia
Keyword(s):  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
Equity Markets ◽  
Global Integration ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
International Equity Markets ◽  
Contagion Effects ◽  
International Equity ◽  
The One ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Our paper conducts an asset pricing perspective to investigate OECD equity markets co-movements and contagion during different crises. The paper aims at distinguishing between changes in cross-markets linkages during a crisis, on the one hand, and strong but stable cross-markets linkages and permanent shifts in these linkages, on the other hand. Our empirical setting relies on the three factor model of Bekeart and al. (2005, 2011) and differs by testing the co-movements in their double dimensions: interdependence and contagion during the Asian, the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) and the Global Financial crises in different regions. Our results highlight the existence of cross-sectional patterns both in regional and USA market correlations with OECD equity markets. Evidence of contagion exists during the ERM and the Global Financial crisis, but no contagion caused by the Asian crisis. Our findings lead to an international diversification opportunity and suggest that contagion effects are not strongly related to high levels of global integration.

A Discussion of Aida H. Hozic and Jacqui True’s Scandalous Economics: Gender and the Politics of Financial Crises

2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 503-504
Author(s):  
Dara Z. Strolovitch
Keyword(s):  
Political Economy ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Financial Crises ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Economic Order ◽  
Macroeconomic Models ◽  
Gender And Race ◽  
Back Cover ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

“Critical analyses of the global financial crisis of 2008 (GFC) have neglected the ways in which structural inequalities around gender and race factor into (and indeed make possible) the current economic order. Scandalous Economics breaks new ground by arguing that an explicitly gendered approach to the GFC and its ongoing effects can help us to understand both the root causes of the crisis and the failure to significantly reform financial institutions and macroeconomic models.” These words, from the blurb on the back cover of Scandalous Economics, nicely summarize the book’s topic and the general approach to it. Because the book contains contributions from a number of the top political scientists writing about the gendering of political economy, and because this topic is such an important one, we have invited a range of political scientists to comment on the book and on the broader theme of the gendering of political economy.

Financial Crises in American History

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christoph Nitschke ◽  
Mark Rose
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
19Th Century ◽  
American History ◽  
Financial Crises ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The United States ◽  
Political Processes ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Changing Economy ◽  
Political Design

U.S. history is full of frequent and often devastating financial crises. They have coincided with business cycle downturns, but they have been rooted in the political design of markets. Financial crises have also drawn from changes in the underpinning cultures, knowledge systems, and ideologies of marketplace transactions. The United States’ political and economic development spawned, guided, and modified general factors in crisis causation. Broadly viewed, the reasons for financial crises have been recurrent in their form but historically specific in their configuration: causation has always revolved around relatively sudden reversals of investor perceptions of commercial growth, stock market gains, monetary availability, currency stability, and political predictability. The United States’ 19th-century financial crises, which happened in rapid succession, are best described as disturbances tied to market making, nation building, and empire creation. Ongoing changes in America’s financial system aided rapid national growth through the efficient distribution of credit to a spatially and organizationally changing economy. But complex political processes—whether Western expansion, the development of incorporation laws, or the nation’s foreign relations—also underlay the easy availability of credit. The relationship between systemic instability and ideas and ideals of economic growth, politically enacted, was then mirrored in the 19th century. Following the “Golden Age” of crash-free capitalism in the two decades after the Second World War, the recurrence of financial crises in American history coincided with the dominance of the market in statecraft. Banking and other crises were a product of political economy. The Global Financial Crisis of 2007–2008 not only once again changed the regulatory environment in an attempt to correct past mistakes, but also considerably broadened the discursive situation of financial crises as academic topics.

A Discussion of Aida H. Hozic and Jacqui True’s Scandalous Economics: Gender and the Politics of Financial Crises

2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 511-512
Author(s):  
Daniel W. Drezner
Keyword(s):  
Political Economy ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Financial Crises ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Economic Order ◽  
Macroeconomic Models ◽  
Gender And Race ◽  
Back Cover ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

“Critical analyses of the global financial crisis of 2008 (GFC) have neglected the ways in which structural inequalities around gender and race factor into (and indeed make possible) the current economic order. Scandalous Economics breaks new ground by arguing that an explicitly gendered approach to the GFC and its ongoing effects can help us to understand both the root causes of the crisis and the failure to significantly reform financial institutions and macroeconomic models.” These words, from the blurb on the back cover of Scandalous Economics, nicely summarize the book’s topic and the general approach to it. Because the book contains contributions from a number of the top political scientists writing about the gendering of political economy, and because this topic is such an important one, we have invited a range of political scientists to comment on the book and on the broader theme of the gendering of political economy.

After The Global Crisis, Is It Globalization or Globalonelization?

2015 ◽  
pp. 287-307
Author(s):  
Ayfer Gedikli ◽  
Seyfettin Erdoğan ◽  
Durmuş Çağrı Yıldırım
Keyword(s):  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Financial Crises ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
World Wide ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Global Crisis ◽  
The World ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Since the rise of globalization which has abolished the role of nation-state gradually, the world has been increasingly dealing with world-wide pandemics and multi-regional financial crises. The nature of the Global Financial Crisis has made it clear that financially integrated and globalized markets which are poorly regulated with lax supervision, can pose significant risks, with disastrous economic consequences. Did global unfairness and loose monetary policy or lack of common fiscal policy deepen the crisis? Is globalization responsible from the loss of power of local governments on their economies? Finally, can “deglobalization” be an alternative solution for the emerging economies? The answers of these questions are even more crucial after the “FED tapering”. In this context, this chapter discusses the future of financial globalization with respect to its effects on the emerging economies during the global crisis.

Dating Banking and Currency Crises in Turkey, 1990-2014

2016 ◽  
pp. 240-273
Author(s):  
Ali Ari ◽  
Raif Cergibozan ◽  
Sedat Demir
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Crises ◽  
Early Warning System ◽  
Currency Crises ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Banking Crisis ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Turkish Economy ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

The last two decades characterized by financial crisis episodes have seen a proliferation of empirical studies. These early warning system models allowed researchers to distinguish certain key determinants of financial crises, and helped predicting and preventing the occurrence of some crises. However, crises continue to arise as recently illustrated by the onset of the global financial crisis. This clarifies that there are still a lot to learn about financial crises. In this sense, this paper aimed to compare the performance of several currency and banking crisis indicators within the Turkish economy which underwent severe financial crises in the last twenty years. Different currency crisis indicators performed well by detecting the 1994, 2001 and 2008 currency crises, while banking crisis indicators had significant inconsistencies. However, two banking crisis indicators we developed stand for valuable efforts in dating banking crises by constructing aggregate indexes, and contribute significantly to the empirical crisis literature.

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