scholarly journals Strategies to Assure Optimal Trade-Offs Among Competing Objectives for the Genetic Improvement of Soybean

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vishnu Ramasubramanian ◽  
William D. Beavis

Plant breeding is a decision-making discipline based on understanding project objectives. Genetic improvement projects can have two competing objectives: maximize the rate of genetic improvement and minimize the loss of useful genetic variance. For commercial plant breeders, competition in the marketplace forces greater emphasis on maximizing immediate genetic improvements. In contrast, public plant breeders have an opportunity, perhaps an obligation, to place greater emphasis on minimizing the loss of useful genetic variance while realizing genetic improvements. Considerable research indicates that short-term genetic gains from genomic selection are much greater than phenotypic selection, while phenotypic selection provides better long-term genetic gains because it retains useful genetic diversity during the early cycles of selection. With limited resources, must a soybean breeder choose between the two extreme responses provided by genomic selection or phenotypic selection? Or is it possible to develop novel breeding strategies that will provide a desirable compromise between the competing objectives? To address these questions, we decomposed breeding strategies into decisions about selection methods, mating designs, and whether the breeding population should be organized as family islands. For breeding populations organized into islands, decisions about possible migration rules among family islands were included. From among 60 possible strategies, genetic improvement is maximized for the first five to 10 cycles using genomic selection and a hub network mating design, where the hub parents with the largest selection metric make large parental contributions. It also requires that the breeding populations be organized as fully connected family islands, where every island is connected to every other island, and migration rules allow the exchange of two lines among islands every other cycle of selection. If the objectives are to maximize both short-term and long-term gains, then the best compromise strategy is similar except that the mating design could be hub network, chain rule, or a multi-objective optimization method-based mating design. Weighted genomic selection applied to centralized populations also resulted in the realization of the greatest proportion of the genetic potential of the founders but required more cycles than the best compromise strategy.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vishnu Ramasubramanian ◽  
William Beavis

AbstractPlant breeding is a decision making discipline based on understanding project objectives. Genetic improvement projects can have two competing objectives: maximize rate of genetic improvement and minimize loss of useful genetic variance. For commercial plant breeders competition in the marketplace forces greater emphasis on maximizing immediate genetic improvements. In contrast public plant breeders have an opportunity, perhaps an obligation, to place greater emphasis on minimizing loss of useful genetic variance while realizing genetic improvements. Considerable research indicates that short term genetic gains from Genomic Selection (GS) are much greater than Phenotypic Selection (PS), while PS provides better long term genetic gains because PS retains useful genetic diversity during the early cycles of selection. With limited resources must a soybean breeder choose between the two extreme responses provided by GS or PS? Or is it possible to develop novel breeding strategies that will provide a desirable compromise between the competing objectives? To address these questions, we decomposed breeding strategies into decisions about selection methods, mating designs and whether the breeding population should be organized as family islands. For breeding populations organized into islands decisions about possible migration rules among family islands were included. From among 60 possible strategies, genetic improvement is maximized for the first five to ten cycles using GS, a hub network mating design in breeding populations organized as fully connected family islands and migration rules allowing exchange of two lines among islands every other cycle of selection. If the objectives are to maximize both short-term and long-term gains, then the best compromise strategy is similar except a genomic mating design, instead of a hub networked mating design, is used. This strategy also resulted in realizing the greatest proportion of genetic potential of the founder populations. Weighted genomic selection applied to both non-isolated and island populations also resulted in realization of the greatest proportion of genetic potential of the founders, but required more cycles than the best compromise strategy.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vishnu Ramasubramanian ◽  
William D Beavis

AbstractHerein we report the impacts of applying five selection methods across 40 cycles of recurrent selection and identify interactions among factors that affect genetic responses in sets of simulated families of recombinant inbred lines derived from 21 homozygous soybean lines. Our use of recurrence equation to model response from recurrent selection allowed us to estimate the half-lives, asymptotic limits to recurrent selection for purposes of assessing the rates of response and future genetic potential of populations under selection. The simulated factors include selection methods, training sets, and selection intensity that are under the control of the plant breeder as well as genetic architecture and heritability. A factorial design to examine and analyze the main and interaction effects of these factors showed that both the rates of genetic improvement in the early cycles and limits to genetic improvement in the later cycles are significantly affected by interactions among all factors. Some consistent trends are that genomic selection methods provide greater initial rates of genetic improvement (per cycle) than phenotypic selection, but phenotypic selection provides the greatest long term responses in these closed genotypic systems. Model updating with training sets consisting of data from prior cycles of selection significantly improved prediction accuracy and genetic response with three parametric genomic prediction models. Ridge Regression, if updated with training sets consisting of data from prior cycles, achieved better rates of response than BayesB and Bayes LASSO models. A Support Vector Machine method, with a radial basis kernel, had the worst estimated prediction accuracies and the least long term genetic response. Application of genomic selection in a closed breeding population of a self-pollinated crop such as soybean will need to consider the impact of these factors on trade-offs between short term gains and conserving useful genetic diversity in the context of the goals for the breeding program.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yvonne C.J. Wientjes ◽  
Piter Bijma ◽  
Mario P.L. Calus ◽  
Bas J. Zwaan ◽  
Zulma G. Vitezica ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTGenomic selection has revolutionized genetic improvement in animals and plants, but little is known of its long term effects. Here we investigate the long-term effects of genomic selection on the change in the genetic architecture of traits over generations. We defined the genetic architecture as the subset, allele frequencies and statistical additive effects of causal loci. We simulated a livestock population under 50 generations of phenotypic, pedigree, or genomic selection for a single trait, controlled by either only additive, additive and dominance, or additive, dominance and epistatic effects. The simulated epistasis was based on yeast data. The observed change in genetic architecture over generations was similar for genomic and pedigree selection, and slightly smaller for phenotypic selection. Short-term response was highest with genomic selection, while long-term response was highest with phenotypic selection, especially when non-additive effects were present. This was mainly because the loss in genetic variance and in segregating loci was much greater with genomic selection. Compared to pedigree selection, genomic selection lost a similar amount of the genetic variance but maintained more segregating loci, which on average had lower minor allele frequencies. For all selection methods, the presence of epistasis limited the changes in allele frequency and the fixation of causal loci, and substantially changed the statistical additive effects over generations. Our results show that non-additive effects can have a substantial impact on the change in genetic architecture. Therefore, non-additive effects can substantially impact the accuracy and future genetic gain of genomic selection.


Author(s):  
Nicholas Santantonio ◽  
Kelly Robbins

1AbstractPlant breeding programs must adapt genomic selection to an already complex system. Inbred or hybrid plant breeding programs must make crosses, produce inbred individuals, and phenotype inbred lines or their hybrid test-crosses to select and validate superior material for product release. These products are few, and while it is clear that population improvement is necessary for continued genetic gain, it may not be sufficient to generate superior products. Rapid-cycle recurrent truncation genomic selection has been proposed to increase genetic gain by reducing generation time. This strategy has been shown to increase short-term gains, but can quickly lead to loss of genetic variance through inbreeding as relationships drive prediction. The optimal contribution of each individual can be determined to maximize gain in the following generation while limiting inbreeding. While optimal contribution strategies can maintain genetic variance in later generations, they suffer from a lack of short-term gains in doing so. We present a hybrid approach that branches out yearly to push the genetic value of potential varietal materials while maintaining genetic variance in the recurrent population, such that a breeding program can achieve short-term success without exhausting long-term potential. Because branching increases the genetic distance between the phenotyping pipeline and the recurrent population, this method requires sacrificing some trial plots to phenotype materials directly out of the recurrent population. We envision the phenotypic pipeline not only for selection and validation, but as an information generator to build predictive models and develop new products.


Genetics ◽  
1996 ◽  
Vol 144 (4) ◽  
pp. 1961-1974 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming Wei ◽  
Armando Caballero ◽  
William G Hill

Formulae were derived to predict genetic response under various selection schemes assuming an infinitesimal model. Account was taken of genetic drift, gametic (linkage) disequilibrium (Bulmer effect), inbreeding depression, common environmental variance, and both initial segregating variance within families (σAW02) and mutational (σM2) variance. The cumulative response to selection until generation t(CRt) can be approximated asCRt≈R0[t−β(1−σAW∞2σAW02)t24Ne]−Dt2Ne,where Ne is the effective population size, σAW∞2=NeσM2 is the genetic variance within families at the steady state (or one-half the genic variance, which is unaffected by selection), and D is the inbreeding depression per unit of inbreeding. R  0 is the selection response at generation 0 assuming preselection so that the linkage disequilibrium effect has stabilized. β is the derivative of the logarithm of the asymptotic response with respect to the logarithm of the within-family genetic variance, i.e., their relative rate of change. R  0 is the major determinant of the short term selection response, but σM2, Ne and β are also important for the long term. A selection method of high accuracy using family information gives a small Ne and will lead to a larger response in the short term and a smaller response in the long term, utilizing mutation less efficiently.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Éder David Borges da Silva ◽  
Alencar Xavier ◽  
Marcos Ventura Faria

Genomic-assisted breeding has become an important tool in soybean breeding. However, the impact of different genomic selection (GS) approaches on short- and long-term gains is not well understood. Such gains are conditional on the breeding design and may vary with a combination of the prediction model, family size, selection strategies, and selection intensity. To address these open questions, we evaluated various scenarios through a simulated closed soybean breeding program over 200 breeding cycles. Genomic prediction was performed using genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP), Bayesian methods, and random forest, benchmarked against selection on phenotypic values, true breeding values (TBV), and random selection. Breeding strategies included selections within family (WF), across family (AF), and within pre-selected families (WPSF), with selection intensities of 2.5, 5.0, 7.5, and 10.0%. Selections were performed at the F4 generation, where individuals were phenotyped and genotyped with a 6K single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) array. Initial genetic parameters for the simulation were estimated from the SoyNAM population. WF selections provided the most significant long-term genetic gains. GBLUP and Bayesian methods outperformed random forest and provided most of the genetic gains within the first 100 generations, being outperformed by phenotypic selection after generation 100. All methods provided similar performances under WPSF selections. A faster decay in genetic variance was observed when individuals were selected AF and WPSF, as 80% of the genetic variance was depleted within 28–58 cycles, whereas WF selections preserved the variance up to cycle 184. Surprisingly, the selection intensity had less impact on long-term gains than did the breeding strategies. The study supports that genetic gains can be optimized in the long term with specific combinations of prediction models, family size, selection strategies, and selection intensity. A combination of strategies may be necessary for balancing the short-, medium-, and long-term genetic gains in breeding programs while preserving the genetic variance.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. e0153945 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shiori Yabe ◽  
Masanori Yamasaki ◽  
Kaworu Ebana ◽  
Takeshi Hayashi ◽  
Hiroyoshi Iwata

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew G Hamilton

Abstract Optimal contributions approaches to parental selection in closed breeding populations aim to maximise genetic gains, while restraining long-term inbreeding. The adoption of optimal contribution selection (OCS) in highly-fecund outcrossing species presents a number of challenges not applicable to species of low fecundity (e.g. livestock) for which they were developed. This is particularly true if overlapping-generations or rolling-front breeding strategies are applied, in which case the number of individuals per family in juvenile (i.e. sexually immature) age groups is not necessarily known but is likely to be large. In these circumstances, conventional OCS procedures must be modified or a large number of dummy individuals defined, making computations onerous. Here, an approach to OCS is presented that involves the use of ‘between-family relationship matrices’ instead of ‘between-individual relationship matrices’. The method is applicable to breeding programs involving highly fecund outcrossing species with overlapping generations, including circumstances where the number of juveniles per family is unknown but large.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Owen Powell ◽  
R. Chris Gaynor ◽  
Gregor Gorjanc ◽  
Christian R. Werner ◽  
John M. Hickey

AbstractHybrid crop breeding programs using a two-part strategy produced the most genetic gain, but a maximum avoidance of inbreeding crossing scheme was required to increase long-term genetic gain. The two-part strategy uses outbred parents to complete multiple generations per year to reduce the generation interval of hybrid crop breeding programs. The maximum avoidance of inbreeding crossing scheme manages genetic variance by maintaining uniform contributions and inbreeding coefficients across all crosses. This study performed stochastic simulations to quantify the potential of a two-part strategy in combination with two crossing schemes to increase the rate of genetic gain in hybrid crop breeding programs. The two crossing schemes were: (i) a circular crossing scheme, and (ii) a maximum avoidance of inbreeding crossing scheme. The results from this study show that the implementation of genomic selection increased the rate of genetic gain, and that the two-part hybrid crop breeding program generated the highest genetic gain. This study also shows that the maximum avoidance of inbreeding crossing scheme increased long-term genetic gain in two-part hybrid crop breeding programs completing multiple selection cycles per year, as a result of maintaining higher levels of genetic variance over time. The flexibility of the two-part strategy offers further opportunities to integrate new technologies to further increase genetic gain in hybrid crop breeding programs, such as the use of outbred training populations. However, the practical implementation of the two-part strategy will require the development of bespoke transition strategies to fundamentally change the data, logistics, and infrastructure that underpin hybrid crop breeding programs.Key messageHybrid crop breeding programs using a two-part strategy produced the most genetic gain by using outbred parents to complete multiple generations per year. However, a maximum avoidance of inbreeding crossing scheme was required to manage genetic variance and increase long-term genetic gain.


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