scholarly journals Genomic and Epidemiological Analysis of SARS-CoV-2 Viruses in Sri Lanka

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chandima Jeewandara ◽  
Deshni Jayathilaka ◽  
Diyanath Ranasinghe ◽  
Nienyun Sharon Hsu ◽  
Dinuka Ariyaratne ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Common Ancestor ◽  
Epidemiological Data ◽  
Upper Bounds ◽  
Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Lower And Upper Bounds ◽  
Epidemiological Analysis ◽  
Most Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Large Outbreak ◽  
Returning Travellers

Background: In order to understand the molecular epidemiology of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) in Sri Lanka, since March 2020, we carried out genomic sequencing overlaid on available epidemiological data until April 2021.Methods: Whole genome sequencing was carried out on diagnostic sputum or nasopharyngeal swabs from 373 patients with COVID-19. Molecular clock phylogenetic analysis was undertaken to further explore dominant lineages.Results: The B.1.411 lineage was most prevalent, which was established in Sri Lanka and caused outbreaks throughout the country until March 2021. The estimated time of the most recent common ancestor (tMRCA) of this lineage was June 1, 2020 (with 95% lower and upper bounds March 30 to July 27) suggesting cryptic transmission may have occurred, prior to a large epidemic starting in October 2020. Returning travellers were identified with infections caused by lineage B.1.258, as well as the more transmissible B.1.1.7 lineage, which has replaced B.1.411 to fuel the ongoing large outbreak in the country.Conclusions: The large outbreak that started in early October, is due to spread of a single virus lineage, B.1.411 until the end of March 2021, when B.1.1.7 emerged and became the dominant lineage.

scholarly journals Genomic and epidemiological analysis of SARS-CoV-2 viruses in Sri Lanka

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chandima Jeewandara ◽  
Deshni Jayathilaka ◽  
Diyanath Ranasinghe ◽  
Nienyun Sharon Hsu ◽  
Dinuka Ariyaratne ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Epidemiological Data ◽  
Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Sri Lankan ◽  
Lower And Upper Bounds ◽  
Epidemiological Analysis ◽  
Most Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Returning Travellers ◽  
Small Clusters ◽  
Roll Out

Since identification of the first Sri Lankan individual with the SARS-CoV-2 in early March 2020, small clusters that occurred were largely contained until the current extensive outbreak that started in early October 2020. In order to understand the molecular epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 in Sri Lanka, we carried out genomic sequencing overlaid on available epidemiological data. The B.1.411 lineage was most prevalent, which was established in Sri Lanka and caused outbreaks throughout the country. The estimated time of the most recent common ancestor of this lineage was 10th August 2020 (95% lower and upper bounds 6th July to 7th September), suggesting cryptic transmission may have occurred, prior to a large epidemic starting in October 2020. Returning travellers were identified with infections caused by lineage B.1.258 , as well as the more transmissible B.1.1.7 lineage. Ongoing genomic surveillance in Sri Lanka is vital as vaccine roll-out increases.

The time back to the most recent common ancestor in exchangeable population models

2004 ◽  
Vol 36 (01) ◽  
pp. 78-97 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Möhle
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Common Ancestor ◽  
Large Population ◽  
Upper Bounds ◽  
Population Models ◽  
Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Coalescent Theory ◽  
Expected Time ◽  
Most Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Haploid Population

A class of haploid population models with population size N, nonoverlapping generations and exchangeable offspring distribution is considered. Based on an analysis of the discrete ancestral process, we present solutions, algorithms and strong upper bounds for the expected time back to the most recent common ancestor which hold for arbitrary sample size n ∈ {1,…,N}. New insights into the asymptotic behaviour of the expected time back to the most recent common ancestor for large population size are presented relating the results to coalescent theory.

scholarly journals A territory-wide study of early COVID-19 outbreak in Hong Kong community: A clinical, epidemiological and phylogenomic investigation

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenneth Siu-Sing Leung ◽  
Timothy Ting-Leung Ng ◽  
Alan Ka-Lun Wu ◽  
Miranda Chong-Yee Yau ◽  
Hiu-Yin Lao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Phylogenetic Analysis ◽  
Hong Kong ◽  
Local Community ◽  
Common Ancestor ◽  
Evolutionary Rate ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Epidemiological Data ◽  
Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Common Mutation ◽  
Most Recent Common Ancestor

AbstractInitial cases of COVID-19 reported in Hong Kong were mostly imported from China. However, most cases reported in February 2020 were locally-acquired infections, indicating local community transmissions. We extracted the demographic, clinical and epidemiological data from 50 COVID-19 patients, who accounted for 53.8% of the cases in Hong Kong by February 2020. Whole-genome sequencing of the SARS-CoV-2 were conducted to determine the phylogenetic relatedness and transmission dynamics. Only three (6.0%) patients required ICU admission. Phylogenetic analysis identified six transmission clusters. All locally-acquired cases harboured a common mutation Orf3a G251V and were clustered in two subclades in global phylogeny of SARS-CoV-2. The estimated time to the most recent common ancestor of local COVID-2019 outbreak was December 24, 2019 with an evolutionary rate of 3.04×10−3 substitutions per site per year. The reproduction number value was 1.84. Social distancing and vigilant epidemiological control are crucial to the containment of COVID-19 transmission.Article summary linesA combined epidemiological and phylogenetic analysis of early COVID-19 outbreak in Hong Kong revealed that a SARS-CoV-2 variant with ORF3a G251V mutation accounted for all locally acquired cases, and that asymptomatic carriers could be a huge public health risk for COVID-19 control.

The time back to the most recent common ancestor in exchangeable population models

2004 ◽  
Vol 36 (1) ◽  
pp. 78-97 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Möhle
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Common Ancestor ◽  
Large Population ◽  
Upper Bounds ◽  
Population Models ◽  
Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Coalescent Theory ◽  
Expected Time ◽  
Most Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Haploid Population

A class of haploid population models with population size N, nonoverlapping generations and exchangeable offspring distribution is considered. Based on an analysis of the discrete ancestral process, we present solutions, algorithms and strong upper bounds for the expected time back to the most recent common ancestor which hold for arbitrary sample size n ∈ {1,…,N}. New insights into the asymptotic behaviour of the expected time back to the most recent common ancestor for large population size are presented relating the results to coalescent theory.

scholarly journals Allelic Genealogies in Sporophytic Self-Incompatibility Systems in Plants

Genetics ◽  
1998 ◽  
Vol 150 (3) ◽  
pp. 1187-1198 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mikkel H Schierup ◽  
Xavier Vekemans ◽  
Freddy B Christiansen
Keyword(s):  
Dominance Hierarchy ◽  
Common Ancestor ◽  
Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Self Incompatibility ◽  
Most Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Dominance Interactions ◽  
Turnover Process ◽  
Neutral Gene ◽  
Interspecific Comparisons ◽  
Coalescence Times

Abstract Expectations for the time scale and structure of allelic genealogies in finite populations are formed under three models of sporophytic self-incompatibility. The models differ in the dominance interactions among the alleles that determine the self-incompatibility phenotype: In the SSIcod model, alleles act codominantly in both pollen and style, in the SSIdom model, alleles form a dominance hierarchy, and in SSIdomcod, alleles are codominant in the style and show a dominance hierarchy in the pollen. Coalescence times of alleles rarely differ more than threefold from those under gametophytic self-incompatibility, and transspecific polymorphism is therefore expected to be equally common. The previously reported directional turnover process of alleles in the SSIdomcod model results in coalescence times lower and substitution rates higher than those in the other models. The SSIdom model assumes strong asymmetries in allelic action, and the most recessive extant allele is likely to be the most recent common ancestor. Despite these asymmetries, the expected shape of the allele genealogies does not deviate markedly from the shape of a neutral gene genealogy. The application of the results to sequence surveys of alleles, including interspecific comparisons, is discussed.

scholarly journals Molecular epidemiological characteristics of echovirus 6 in mainland China: extensive circulation of genotype F from 2007 to 2018

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenjun Cheng ◽  
Tianjiao Ji ◽  
Shuaifeng Zhou ◽  
Yong Shi ◽  
Lili Jiang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Common Ancestor ◽  
Mainland China ◽  
Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Genetic Characteristics ◽  
Most Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Echovirus 6 ◽  
Epidemiological Characteristics ◽  
Highest Posterior Density ◽  
Genotype F

AbstractEchovirus 6 (E6) is associated with various clinical diseases and is frequently detected in environmental sewage. Despite its high prevalence in humans and the environment, little is known about its molecular phylogeography in mainland China. In this study, 114 of 21,539 (0.53%) clinical specimens from hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) cases collected between 2007 and 2018 were positive for E6. The complete VP1 sequences of 87 representative E6 strains, including 24 strains from this study, were used to investigate the evolutionary genetic characteristics and geographical spread of E6 strains. Phylogenetic analysis based on VP1 nucleotide sequence divergence showed that, globally, E6 strains can be grouped into six genotypes, designated A to F. Chinese E6 strains collected between 1988 and 2018 were found to belong to genotypes C, E, and F, with genotype F being predominant from 2007 to 2018. There was no significant difference in the geographical distribution of each genotype. The evolutionary rate of E6 was estimated to be 3.631 × 10-3 substitutions site-1 year-1 (95% highest posterior density [HPD]: 3.2406 × 10-3-4.031 × 10-3 substitutions site-1 year-1) by Bayesian MCMC analysis. The most recent common ancestor of the E6 genotypes was traced back to 1863, whereas their common ancestor in China was traced back to around 1962. A small genetic shift was detected in the Chinese E6 population size in 2009 according to Bayesian skyline analysis, which indicated that there might have been an epidemic around that year.

scholarly journals The Ancestry of a Sample of Sequences Subject to Recombination

Genetics ◽  
1999 ◽  
Vol 151 (3) ◽  
pp. 1217-1228 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carsten Wiuf ◽  
Jotun Hein
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Distance ◽  
Population Size ◽  
Upper Bound ◽  
Recombination Rate ◽  
Common Ancestor ◽  
Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Sequence Length ◽  
Most Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Mean Time

Abstract In this article we discuss the ancestry of sequences sampled from the coalescent with recombination with constant population size 2N. We have studied a number of variables based on simulations of sample histories, and some analytical results are derived. Consider the leftmost nucleotide in the sequences. We show that the number of nucleotides sharing a most recent common ancestor (MRCA) with the leftmost nucleotide is ≈log(1 + 4N Lr)/4Nr when two sequences are compared, where L denotes sequence length in nucleotides, and r the recombination rate between any two neighboring nucleotides per generation. For larger samples, the number of nucleotides sharing MRCA with the leftmost nucleotide decreases and becomes almost independent of 4N Lr. Further, we show that a segment of the sequences sharing a MRCA consists in mean of 3/8Nr nucleotides, when two sequences are compared, and that this decreases toward 1/4Nr nucleotides when the whole population is sampled. A measure of the correlation between the genealogies of two nucleotides on two sequences is introduced. We show analytically that even when the nucleotides are separated by a large genetic distance, but share MRCA, the genealogies will show only little correlation. This is surprising, because the time until the two nucleotides shared MRCA is reciprocal to the genetic distance. Using simulations, the mean time until all positions in the sample have found a MRCA increases logarithmically with increasing sequence length and is considerably lower than a theoretically predicted upper bound. On the basis of simulations, it turns out that important properties of the coalescent with recombinations of the whole population are reflected in the properties of a sample of low size.

The evolutionary history and conservation value of disjunct Bartonia paniculata subsp. paniculata (Branched Bartonia) populations in Canada

Botany ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 91 (9) ◽  
pp. 605-613 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudia Ciotir ◽  
Chris Yesson ◽  
Joanna Freeland
Keyword(s):  
Great Lakes ◽  
Evolutionary History ◽  
Common Ancestor ◽  
Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Great Lakes Region ◽  
Conservation Value ◽  
Most Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Disjunct Populations ◽  
Management Plans ◽  
Global Status

Understanding the spatial distribution of genetic diversity and its evolutionary history is an essential part of developing effective biodiversity management plans. This may be particularly true when considering the value of peripheral or disjunct populations. Although conservation decisions are often made with reference to geopolitical boundaries, many policy-makers also consider global distributions, and therefore a species’ global status may temper its regional status. Many disjunct populations can be found in the Great Lakes region of North America, including those of Bartonia paniculata subsp. paniculata, a species that has been designated as threatened in Canada but globally secure. We compared chloroplast sequences between disjunct (Canada) and core (USA) populations of B. paniculata subsp. paniculata separated by 600 km, which is the minimum distance between disjunct and core populations in this subspecies. We found that although lineages within the disjunct populations shared a relatively recent common ancestor, the genetic divergence between plants from Ontario and New Jersey was substantially greater than expected for a consubspecific comparison. A coalescence-based analysis dated the most recent common ancestor of the Canadian and US populations at approximately 534 000 years ago with the lower confidence estimate at 226 000 years ago. This substantially predates the Last Glacial Maximum and suggests that disjunct and core populations have followed independent evolutionary trajectories throughout multiple glacial–interglacial cycles. Our findings provide important insight into the diverse processes that have resulted in numerous disjunct species in the Great Lakes region and highlight a need for additional work on Canadian B. paniculata subsp. paniculata taxonomy prior to a reevaluation of its conservation value.

Whole-genome analysis-based phylogeographic investigation of Streptococcus pneumoniae serotype 19A sequence type 320 isolates in Japan.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Satoshi Nakano ◽  
Takao Fujisawa ◽  
Bin Chang ◽  
Yutaka Ito ◽  
Hideki Akeda ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Common Ancestor ◽  
Sampling Bias ◽  
Health Concern ◽  
Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
Whole Genome ◽  
Whole Genome Analysis ◽  
Identification Rate ◽  
Most Recent Common Ancestor ◽  
The Common ◽  
The U.S

After the introduction of the seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, the global spread of multidrug resistant serotype 19A-ST320 strains became a public health concern. In Japan, the main genotype of serotype 19A was ST3111, and the identification rate of ST320 was low. Although the isolates were sporadically detected in both adults and children, their origin remains unknown. Thus, by combining pneumococcal isolates collected in three nationwide pneumococcal surveillance studies conducted in Japan between 2008 and 2020, we analyzed 56 serotype 19A-ST320 isolates along with 931 global isolates, using whole-genome sequencing to uncover the transmission route of the globally distributed clone in Japan. The clone was frequently detected in Okinawa Prefecture, where the U.S. returned to Japan in 1972. Phylogenetic analysis demonstrated that the isolates from Japan were genetically related to those from the U.S.; therefore, the common ancestor may have originated in the U.S. In addition, Bayesian analysis suggested that the time to the most recent common ancestor of the isolates form Japan and the U.S. was approximately the 1990s to 2000, suggesting the possibility that the common ancestor could have already spread in the U.S. before the Taiwan 19F-14 isolate was first identified in a Taiwanese hospital in 1997. The phylogeographical analysis supported the transmission of the clone from the U.S. to Japan, but the analysis could be influenced by sampling bias. These results suggested the possibility that the serotype 19A-ST320 clone had already spread in the U.S. before being imported into Japan.

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