scholarly journals Parameterization and Calibration of Wild Blueberry Machine Learning Models to Predict Fruit-Set in the Northeast China Bog Blueberry Agroecosystem

Agronomy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 1736
Author(s):  
Hongchun Qu ◽  
Rui Xiang ◽  
Efrem Yohannes Obsie ◽  
Dianwen Wei ◽  
Francis Drummond

Data deficiency prevents the development of reliable machine learning models for many agroecosystems, especially those characterized by a dearth of knowledge derived from field data. However, other similar agroecosystems with extensive data resources can be of use. We propose a new predictive modeling approach based upon the concept of transfer learning to solve the problem of data deficiency in predicting productivity of agroecosystems, where productivity is a nonlinear function of various interacting biotic and abiotic factors. We describe the process of building metamodels (machine learning models built and trained on simulation data) from simulations built for one agroecosystem (US wild blueberry) as the source domain, where the data resource is abundant. Metamodels are evaluated and the best metamodel representing the system dynamics is selected. The best metamodel is re-parameterized and calibrated to another agroecosystem (Northeast China bog blueberry) as the target domain where field collected data are lacking. Experimental results showed that our metamodel developed for wild blueberry achieved 78% accuracy in fruit-set prediction for bog blueberry. To demonstrate its usefulness, we applied this calibrated metamodel to investigate the response of bog blueberry to various weather conditions. We found that an 8% reduction in fruit-set of bog blueberry is likely to happen if weather becomes warmer and wetter as predicted by climate models. In addition, southern and eastern production regions will suffer more severe fruit-set decline than the other growing regions. Predictions also suggest that increasing commercially available honeybee densities to 18 bees/m2/min, or bumble bee densities to 0.6 bees/m2/min, is a viable way to compensate for the predicted 8% climate induced fruit-set decline in the future.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue Jia ◽  
Yongjun Su ◽  
Fengchun Wang ◽  
Pengcheng Li ◽  
Shuyi Huo

Abstract Reliable global solar radiation (Rs) information is crucial for the design and management of solar energy systems for agricultural and industrial production. However, Rs measurements are unavailable in many regions of the world, which impedes the development and application of solar energy. To accurately estimate Rs, this study developed a novel machine learning model, called a Gaussian exponential model (GEM), for daily global Rs estimation. The GEM was compared with four other machine learning models and two empirical models to assess its applicability using daily meteorological data from 1997–2016 from four stations in Northeast China. The results showed that the GEM with complete inputs had the best performance. Machine learning models provided better estimates than empirical models when trained by the same input data. Sunshine duration was the most effective factor determining the accuracy of the machine learning models. Overall, the GEM with complete inputs had the highest accuracy and is recommended for modeling daily Rs in Northeast China.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Meyer

<p>The use of real data for training machine learning (ML) models are often a cause of major limitations. For example, real data may be (a) representative of a subset of situations and domains, (b) expensive to produce, (c) limited to specific individuals due to licensing restrictions. Although the use of synthetic data are becoming increasingly popular in computer vision, ML models used in weather and climate models still rely on the use of large real data datasets. Here we present some recent work towards the generation of synthetic data for weather and climate applications and outline some of the major challenges and limitations encountered.</p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-6
Author(s):  
Eric Holloway

Imagination Sampling is the usage of a person as an oracle for generating or improving machine learning models. Previous work demonstrated a general system for using Imagination Sampling for obtaining multibox models. Here, the possibility of importing such models as the starting point for further automatic enhancement is explored.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Norberto Sánchez-Cruz ◽  
Jose L. Medina-Franco

<p>Epigenetic targets are a significant focus for drug discovery research, as demonstrated by the eight approved epigenetic drugs for treatment of cancer and the increasing availability of chemogenomic data related to epigenetics. This data represents a large amount of structure-activity relationships that has not been exploited thus far for the development of predictive models to support medicinal chemistry efforts. Herein, we report the first large-scale study of 26318 compounds with a quantitative measure of biological activity for 55 protein targets with epigenetic activity. Through a systematic comparison of machine learning models trained on molecular fingerprints of different design, we built predictive models with high accuracy for the epigenetic target profiling of small molecules. The models were thoroughly validated showing mean precisions up to 0.952 for the epigenetic target prediction task. Our results indicate that the herein reported models have considerable potential to identify small molecules with epigenetic activity. Therefore, our results were implemented as freely accessible and easy-to-use web application.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shreya Reddy ◽  
Lisa Ewen ◽  
Pankti Patel ◽  
Prerak Patel ◽  
Ankit Kundal ◽  
...  

<p>As bots become more prevalent and smarter in the modern age of the internet, it becomes ever more important that they be identified and removed. Recent research has dictated that machine learning methods are accurate and the gold standard of bot identification on social media. Unfortunately, machine learning models do not come without their negative aspects such as lengthy training times, difficult feature selection, and overwhelming pre-processing tasks. To overcome these difficulties, we are proposing a blockchain framework for bot identification. At the current time, it is unknown how this method will perform, but it serves to prove the existence of an overwhelming gap of research under this area.<i></i></p>


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