scholarly journals Interannual Variability of the GNSS Precipitable Water Vapor in the Global Tropics

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 1698
Author(s):  
Zofia Baldysz ◽  
Grzegorz Nykiel ◽  
Beata Latos ◽  
Dariusz B. Baranowski ◽  
Mariusz Figurski
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Linear Trend ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Singular Spectrum Analysis ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Climate Indices ◽  
Single Station

This paper addresses the subject of inter-annual variability of the tropical precipitable water vapor (PWV) derived from 18 years of global navigation satellite system (GNSS) observations. Non-linear trends of retrieved GNSS PWV were investigated using the singular spectrum analysis (SSA) along with various climate indices. For most of the analyzed stations (~49%) the GNSS PWV anomaly was related to the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), although its influence on the PWV variability was not homogeneous. The cross-correlations coefficient values estimated between the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) and PWV were up to 0.78. A strong cross-correlation was also found for regional climate pattern expressed through CAR, DMI, HAW, NPGO, TNA and TSA indices. A distinct agreement was also found when instead of climate indices, the local sea surface temperature was examined (average correlation 0.60). The SSA method made it also possible to distinguish small-scale phenomena that affect PWV, such as local droughts or wetter rainy seasons. The overall nature of the investigated changes was also verified through linear trend analysis. In general, not a single station was characterized by a negative trend and its weighted mean value, calculated for all stations was equal to 0.08 ± 0.01 mm/year.

Statistical Characteristics of Long-Term High-Resolution Precipitable Water Vapor Data at Darwin

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (04) ◽  
pp. 1850010
Author(s):  
Kimberly Leung ◽  
Aneesh C. Subramanian ◽  
Samuel S. P. Shen
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor ◽  
Statistical Characteristics ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Best Estimates

This paper studies the statistical characteristics of a unique long-term high-resolution precipitable water vapor (PWV) data set at Darwin, Australia, from 12 March 2002 to 28 February 2011. To understand the convective precipitation processes for climate model development, the U.S. Department of Energy’s Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program made high-frequency radar observations of PWV at the Darwin ARM site and released the best estimates from the radar data retrievals for this time period. Based on the best estimates, we produced a PWV data set on a uniform 20-s time grid. The gridded data were sufficient to show the fractal behavior of precipitable water with Hausdorff dimension equal to 1.9. Fourier power spectral analysis revealed modulation instability due to two sideband frequencies near the diurnal cycle, which manifests as nonlinearity of an atmospheric system. The statistics of PWV extreme values and daily rainfall data show that Darwin’s PWV has El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) signatures and has potential to be a predictor for weather forecasting. The right skewness of the PWV data was identified, which implies an important property of tropical atmosphere: ample capacity to hold water vapor. The statistical characteristics of this long-term high-resolution PWV data will facilitate the development and validation of climate models, particularly stochastic models.

scholarly journals CONSTRUCTION OF REGIONAL WEIGHTED MEAN TEMPERATURE MODEL BASED ON OPTIMIZATION BP NEURAL NETWORK

2020 ◽  
Vol XLII-3/W10 ◽  
pp. 1099-1105
Author(s):  
Z. X. Chen ◽  
L. L. Liu ◽  
L. K. Huang ◽  
Q. T. Wan ◽  
X. Q. Mo
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Water Vapor ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor ◽  
Radiosonde Data ◽  
Weighted Mean ◽  
Mean Temperature ◽  
Weighted Mean Temperature ◽  
Single Station

Abstract. The tropospheric weighted mean temperature (Tm) is one of the key characteristic parameters in the troposphere, which plays an important role in the conversion of Zenith Wet Delay (ZWD) to atmospheric Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV). The precision of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) inversion of PWV can be significantly improved with the accurate calculation of Tm. Due to the strong nonlinear mapping ability of Back Propagation (BP) neural network, the algorithm can be used to excavate the law with massive data. In term of the nonlinear and non-stationary characteristics of GNSS precipitable water vapor, in this paper, we proposes a forecast method of GNSS precipitable water vapor based on BP neural network, which can modelling the weighted mean temperature of troposphere. The traditional BP neural network has some shortcomings, such as large amount of calculation, long training time and easy to appear “over-fitting” phenomenon and so on. In order to optimize the deficiency and numerical simulation, the three characteristic values include water vapor pressure, surface pressure and surface temperature provided are selected as input parameters, named as BP_Tm. The optimal initialization parameters of the model were obtained from the 2016 radiosonde data of 89 radiosonde stations in China, and the modeling and accuracy verification were conducted with the 2017 radiosonde data，and the accuracy of the new model was compared with the common regional Tm model. The results show the BP_Tm model has good simulation accuracy, the average deviation is −0.186K, and the root mean square error is 3.144K. When simulating the weighted mean temperature of a single station, the accuracy of the four models to simulate Tm is compared and analyzed, which the BP_Tm model can obtain good accuracy and reflect better stability and reliability.

scholarly journals Precipitable Water Vapor Estimates in the Australian Region from Ground-Based GPS Observations

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suelynn Choy ◽  
Chuan-Sheng Wang ◽  
Ta-Kang Yeh ◽  
John Dawson ◽  
Minghai Jia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Regional Distribution ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor ◽  
Mean Difference ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Long Baseline ◽  
Meteorological Observations

We present a comparison of atmospheric precipitable water vapor (PWV) derived from ground-based global positioning system (GPS) receiver with traditional radiosonde measurement and very long baseline interferometry (VLBI) technique for a five-year period (2008–2012) using Australian GPS stations. These stations were selectively chosen to provide a representative regional distribution of sites while ensuring conventional meteorological observations were available. Good agreement of PWV estimates was found between GPS and VLBI comparison with a mean difference of less than 1 mm and standard deviation of 3.5 mm and a mean difference and standard deviation of 0.1 mm and 4.0 mm, respectively, between GPS and radiosonde measurements. Systematic errors have also been discovered during the course of this study, which highlights the benefit of using GPS as a supplementary atmospheric PWV sensor and calibration system. The selected eight GPS sites sample different climates across Australia covering an area of approximately 30° NS/EW. It has also shown that the magnitude and variation of PWV estimates depend on the amount of moisture in the atmosphere, which is a function of season, topography, and other regional climate conditions.

scholarly journals A Novel ENSO Monitoring Method using Precipitable Water Vapor and Temperature in Southeast China

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 649
Author(s):  
Qingzhi Zhao ◽  
Yang Liu ◽  
Wanqiang Yao ◽  
Xiongwei Ma ◽  
Yibin Yao
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Weather Forecasting ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Satellite System ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor ◽  
Radiosonde Data ◽  
Monitoring Method ◽  
Southeast China ◽  
Enso Events

Southeast China, a non-core region influenced by the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), has been seldom investigated before. However, the occurrence of ENSO will affect the redistribution of precipitation and the temperature (T) spatial pattern on a global scale. This condition will further lead to flood or drought disasters in Southeast China. Therefore, the method of monitoring the occurrence of ENSO is important and is the focus of this paper. The spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitable water vapor (PWV) and T are first analyzed during ENSO using the empirical orthogonal function (EOF). The results showed that a high correlation spatiotemporal consistency exist between PWV and T. The response thresholds of PWV and T to ENSO are determined by moving the window correlation analysis (MWCA). If the sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) at the Niño 3.4 region exceeded the ranges of (−1.17°C, 1.04°C) and (−1.15°C, 1.09°C), it could cause the anomalous change of PWV and T in Southeast China. Multichannel singular spectral analysis (MSSA) is introduced to analyze the multi-type signals (tendency, period, and anomaly) of PWV and T over the period of 1979–2017. The results showed that the annual abnormal signal and envelope line fluctuation of PWV and T agreed well in most cases with the change in SSTA. Therefore, a standard PWV and T index (SPTI) is proposed on the basis of the results to monitor ENSO events. The PWV and T data derived from the grid-based European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) reanalysis products and GNSS/RS stations in Southeast China were used to validate the performance of the proposed SPTI. Experimental results revealed that the time series of average SPTI calculated in Southeast China corresponded well to that of SSTA with a correlation coefficient of 0.66 over the period of 1979–2017. The PWV values derived from the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) and radiosonde data at two specific stations (WUHN and 45004) were also used to calculate the SPTI. The results showed that the correlation coefficients between SPTI and SSTA were 0.73 and 0.71, respectively. Such results indicate the capacity of the proposed SPTI to monitor the ENSO in Southeast China.

scholarly journals Analysis of the Precipitable Water Vapor Observation in Yunnan–Guizhou Plateau during the Convective Weather System in Summer

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 1085
Author(s):  
Heng Hu ◽  
Yunchang Cao ◽  
Chuang Shi ◽  
Yong Lei ◽  
Hao Wen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Moisture Flux ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Weather System ◽  
Reanalysis Dataset ◽  
Time Space ◽  
Convective Weather ◽  
Guizhou Plateau

The ERA5 reanalysis dataset of the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) in the summers from 2015 to 2020 was used to compare and analyze the features of the precipitable water vapor (PWV) observed by six ground-based Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) meteorology (GNSS/MET) stations in the Yunnan–Guizhou Plateau. The correlation coefficients of the two datasets ranged between 0.804 and 0.878, the standard deviations ranged between 4.686 and 7.338 mm, and the monthly average deviations ranged between −4.153 and 9.459 mm, which increased with the altitude of the station. Matching the quality-controlled ground precipitation data with the PWV in time and space revealed that most precipitation occurred when the PWV was between 30 and 65 mm and roughly met the normal distribution. We used the vertical integral of divergence of moisture flux (∇p) and S-band Doppler radar networking products combined with the PWV to study the convergence and divergence process and the water vapor delivery conditions during the deep convective weather process from August 24 to 26, 2020, which can be used to analyze the real-time observation capability and continuity of PWV in small-scale and mesoscale weather processes. Furthermore, the 1 h precipitation and the cloud top temperature (ctt) data at the same site were used to demonstrate the effect of PWV on the transit of convective weather systems from different time−space scales.

KORELASI MUSIMAN ANTARA ZENITH WET DELAY (ZWD) DAN DEBIT SUNGAI DI DAS CIKAPUNDUNG HULU, KAWASAN BANDUNG UTARA, JAWA BARAT

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 741
Author(s):  
Wedyanto Kuntjoro ◽  
Z.A.J. Tanuwijaya ◽  
A. Pramansyah ◽  
Dudy D. Wijaya
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor ◽  
Zenith Wet Delay

Kandungan total uap air troposfer (precipitable water vapor) di suatu tempat dapat diestimasi berdasarkan karakteristik bias gelombang elektromagnetik dari satelit navigasi GPS, berupa zenith wet delay (ZWD). Pola musiman deret waktu ZWD sangat penting dalam studi siklus hidrologi khususnya yang terkait dengan kejadian-kejadian banjir. Artikel ini menganalisis korelasi musiman antara ZWD dan debit sungai Cikapundung di wilayah Bandung Utara berdasarkan estimasi rataan pola musimannya. Berdasarkan rekonstruksi sejumlah komponen harmonik ditemukan bahwa pola musiman ZWD memiliki kemiripan dan korelasi yang kuat dengan pola musiman debit sungai. Pola musiman ZWD dan debit sungai dipengaruhi secara kuat oleh fenomena pertukaran Monsun Asia dan Monsun Australia. Korelasi linier di antara keduanya menunjukkan hasil yang sangat kuat, dimana hampir 90% fluktuasi debit sungai dipengaruhi oleh kandungan uap air di troposfer dengan level signifikansi 95%. Berdasarkan spektrum amplitudo silang dan koherensi, kedua kuantitas ini nampak didominasi oleh siklus monsun satu tahunan disertai indikasi adanya pengaruh siklus tengah tahunan dan 4 bulanan.

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