The viability of the GPS precipitable water vapor In detecting drought-causing El Niño-southern oscillation at the Borneo Island

This paper studies the statistical characteristics of a unique long-term high-resolution precipitable water vapor (PWV) data set at Darwin, Australia, from 12 March 2002 to 28 February 2011. To understand the convective precipitation processes for climate model development, the U.S. Department of Energy’s Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program made high-frequency radar observations of PWV at the Darwin ARM site and released the best estimates from the radar data retrievals for this time period. Based on the best estimates, we produced a PWV data set on a uniform 20-s time grid. The gridded data were sufficient to show the fractal behavior of precipitable water with Hausdorff dimension equal to 1.9. Fourier power spectral analysis revealed modulation instability due to two sideband frequencies near the diurnal cycle, which manifests as nonlinearity of an atmospheric system. The statistics of PWV extreme values and daily rainfall data show that Darwin’s PWV has El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) signatures and has potential to be a predictor for weather forecasting. The right skewness of the PWV data was identified, which implies an important property of tropical atmosphere: ample capacity to hold water vapor. The statistical characteristics of this long-term high-resolution PWV data will facilitate the development and validation of climate models, particularly stochastic models.

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Observations of Precipitable Water Vapor along the Maritime Continent Associated with El Niño-Southern Oscillation Activity

Annals of Geophysics ◽

10.4401/ag-7600 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 61 (Vol 61 (2018)) ◽

Author(s):

Wayan Suparta

Keyword(s):

Water Vapor ◽

El Niño ◽

El Nino ◽

Southern Oscillation ◽

Precipitable Water ◽

Precipitable Water Vapor ◽

El Niño Southern Oscillation ◽

El Nino Southern Oscillation ◽

Maritime Continent

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Interannual Variability of the GNSS Precipitable Water Vapor in the Global Tropics

Atmosphere ◽

10.3390/atmos12121698 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 12 (12) ◽

pp. 1698

Author(s):

Zofia Baldysz ◽

Grzegorz Nykiel ◽

Beata Latos ◽

Dariusz B. Baranowski ◽

Mariusz Figurski

Keyword(s):

Water Vapor ◽

Southern Oscillation ◽

Linear Trend ◽

Regional Climate ◽

Singular Spectrum Analysis ◽

Precipitable Water ◽

Precipitable Water Vapor ◽

Small Scale ◽

Climate Indices ◽

Single Station

This paper addresses the subject of inter-annual variability of the tropical precipitable water vapor (PWV) derived from 18 years of global navigation satellite system (GNSS) observations. Non-linear trends of retrieved GNSS PWV were investigated using the singular spectrum analysis (SSA) along with various climate indices. For most of the analyzed stations (~49%) the GNSS PWV anomaly was related to the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), although its influence on the PWV variability was not homogeneous. The cross-correlations coefficient values estimated between the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) and PWV were up to 0.78. A strong cross-correlation was also found for regional climate pattern expressed through CAR, DMI, HAW, NPGO, TNA and TSA indices. A distinct agreement was also found when instead of climate indices, the local sea surface temperature was examined (average correlation 0.60). The SSA method made it also possible to distinguish small-scale phenomena that affect PWV, such as local droughts or wetter rainy seasons. The overall nature of the investigated changes was also verified through linear trend analysis. In general, not a single station was characterized by a negative trend and its weighted mean value, calculated for all stations was equal to 0.08 ± 0.01 mm/year.

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A Novel ENSO Monitoring Method using Precipitable Water Vapor and Temperature in Southeast China

Remote Sensing ◽

10.3390/rs12040649 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 12 (4) ◽

pp. 649

Author(s):

Qingzhi Zhao ◽

Yang Liu ◽

Wanqiang Yao ◽

Xiongwei Ma ◽

Yibin Yao

Keyword(s):

Water Vapor ◽

Weather Forecasting ◽

Southern Oscillation ◽

Precipitable Water ◽

Satellite System ◽

Precipitable Water Vapor ◽

Radiosonde Data ◽

Monitoring Method ◽

Southeast China ◽

Enso Events

Southeast China, a non-core region influenced by the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), has been seldom investigated before. However, the occurrence of ENSO will affect the redistribution of precipitation and the temperature (T) spatial pattern on a global scale. This condition will further lead to flood or drought disasters in Southeast China. Therefore, the method of monitoring the occurrence of ENSO is important and is the focus of this paper. The spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitable water vapor (PWV) and T are first analyzed during ENSO using the empirical orthogonal function (EOF). The results showed that a high correlation spatiotemporal consistency exist between PWV and T. The response thresholds of PWV and T to ENSO are determined by moving the window correlation analysis (MWCA). If the sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) at the Niño 3.4 region exceeded the ranges of (−1.17°C, 1.04°C) and (−1.15°C, 1.09°C), it could cause the anomalous change of PWV and T in Southeast China. Multichannel singular spectral analysis (MSSA) is introduced to analyze the multi-type signals (tendency, period, and anomaly) of PWV and T over the period of 1979–2017. The results showed that the annual abnormal signal and envelope line fluctuation of PWV and T agreed well in most cases with the change in SSTA. Therefore, a standard PWV and T index (SPTI) is proposed on the basis of the results to monitor ENSO events. The PWV and T data derived from the grid-based European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) reanalysis products and GNSS/RS stations in Southeast China were used to validate the performance of the proposed SPTI. Experimental results revealed that the time series of average SPTI calculated in Southeast China corresponded well to that of SSTA with a correlation coefficient of 0.66 over the period of 1979–2017. The PWV values derived from the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) and radiosonde data at two specific stations (WUHN and 45004) were also used to calculate the SPTI. The results showed that the correlation coefficients between SPTI and SSTA were 0.73 and 0.71, respectively. Such results indicate the capacity of the proposed SPTI to monitor the ENSO in Southeast China.

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KORELASI MUSIMAN ANTARA ZENITH WET DELAY (ZWD) DAN DEBIT SUNGAI DI DAS CIKAPUNDUNG HULU, KAWASAN BANDUNG UTARA, JAWA BARAT

Seminar Nasional Geomatika ◽

10.24895/sng.2018.3-0.1033 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 3 ◽

pp. 741

Author(s):

Wedyanto Kuntjoro ◽

Z.A.J. Tanuwijaya ◽

A. Pramansyah ◽

Dudy D. Wijaya

Keyword(s):

Water Vapor ◽

Precipitable Water ◽

Precipitable Water Vapor ◽

Zenith Wet Delay

Kandungan total uap air troposfer (precipitable water vapor) di suatu tempat dapat diestimasi berdasarkan karakteristik bias gelombang elektromagnetik dari satelit navigasi GPS, berupa zenith wet delay (ZWD). Pola musiman deret waktu ZWD sangat penting dalam studi siklus hidrologi khususnya yang terkait dengan kejadian-kejadian banjir. Artikel ini menganalisis korelasi musiman antara ZWD dan debit sungai Cikapundung di wilayah Bandung Utara berdasarkan estimasi rataan pola musimannya. Berdasarkan rekonstruksi sejumlah komponen harmonik ditemukan bahwa pola musiman ZWD memiliki kemiripan dan korelasi yang kuat dengan pola musiman debit sungai. Pola musiman ZWD dan debit sungai dipengaruhi secara kuat oleh fenomena pertukaran Monsun Asia dan Monsun Australia. Korelasi linier di antara keduanya menunjukkan hasil yang sangat kuat, dimana hampir 90% fluktuasi debit sungai dipengaruhi oleh kandungan uap air di troposfer dengan level signifikansi 95%. Berdasarkan spektrum amplitudo silang dan koherensi, kedua kuantitas ini nampak didominasi oleh siklus monsun satu tahunan disertai indikasi adanya pengaruh siklus tengah tahunan dan 4 bulanan.

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HGPT2: An ERA5-Based Global Model to Estimate Relative Humidity

Remote Sensing ◽

10.3390/rs13112179 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 13 (11) ◽

pp. 2179

Author(s):

Pedro Mateus ◽

Virgílio B. Mendes ◽

Sandra M. Plecha

Keyword(s):

Water Vapor ◽

Relative Humidity ◽

Real Time ◽

Prediction Models ◽

Weather Prediction ◽

Precipitable Water ◽

Precipitable Water Vapor ◽

Global Navigation Satellite Systems ◽

International Gnss Service ◽

Weighted Mean Temperature

The neutral atmospheric delay is one of the major error sources in Space Geodesy techniques such as Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS), and its modeling for high accuracy applications can be challenging. Improving the modeling of the atmospheric delays (hydrostatic and non-hydrostatic) also leads to a more accurate and precise precipitable water vapor estimation (PWV), mostly in real-time applications, where models play an important role, since numerical weather prediction models cannot be used for real-time processing or forecasting. This study developed an improved version of the Hourly Global Pressure and Temperature (HGPT) model, the HGPT2. It is based on 20 years of ERA5 reanalysis data at full spatial (0.25° × 0.25°) and temporal resolution (1-h). Apart from surface air temperature, surface pressure, zenith hydrostatic delay, and weighted mean temperature, the updated model also provides information regarding the relative humidity, zenith non-hydrostatic delay, and precipitable water vapor. The HGPT2 is based on the time-segmentation concept and uses the annual, semi-annual, and quarterly periodicities to calculate the relative humidity anywhere on the Earth’s surface. Data from 282 moisture sensors located close to GNSS stations during 1 year (2020) were used to assess the model coefficients. The HGPT2 meteorological parameters were used to process 35 GNSS sites belonging to the International GNSS Service (IGS) using the GAMIT/GLOBK software package. Results show a decreased root-mean-square error (RMSE) and bias values relative to the most used zenith delay models, with a significant impact on the height component. The HGPT2 was developed to be applied in the most diverse areas that can significantly benefit from an ERA5 full-resolution model.

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