scholarly journals A Novel ENSO Monitoring Method using Precipitable Water Vapor and Temperature in Southeast China

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 649
Author(s):  
Qingzhi Zhao ◽  
Yang Liu ◽  
Wanqiang Yao ◽  
Xiongwei Ma ◽  
Yibin Yao

Southeast China, a non-core region influenced by the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), has been seldom investigated before. However, the occurrence of ENSO will affect the redistribution of precipitation and the temperature (T) spatial pattern on a global scale. This condition will further lead to flood or drought disasters in Southeast China. Therefore, the method of monitoring the occurrence of ENSO is important and is the focus of this paper. The spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitable water vapor (PWV) and T are first analyzed during ENSO using the empirical orthogonal function (EOF). The results showed that a high correlation spatiotemporal consistency exist between PWV and T. The response thresholds of PWV and T to ENSO are determined by moving the window correlation analysis (MWCA). If the sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) at the Niño 3.4 region exceeded the ranges of (−1.17°C, 1.04°C) and (−1.15°C, 1.09°C), it could cause the anomalous change of PWV and T in Southeast China. Multichannel singular spectral analysis (MSSA) is introduced to analyze the multi-type signals (tendency, period, and anomaly) of PWV and T over the period of 1979–2017. The results showed that the annual abnormal signal and envelope line fluctuation of PWV and T agreed well in most cases with the change in SSTA. Therefore, a standard PWV and T index (SPTI) is proposed on the basis of the results to monitor ENSO events. The PWV and T data derived from the grid-based European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) reanalysis products and GNSS/RS stations in Southeast China were used to validate the performance of the proposed SPTI. Experimental results revealed that the time series of average SPTI calculated in Southeast China corresponded well to that of SSTA with a correlation coefficient of 0.66 over the period of 1979–2017. The PWV values derived from the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) and radiosonde data at two specific stations (WUHN and 45004) were also used to calculate the SPTI. The results showed that the correlation coefficients between SPTI and SSTA were 0.73 and 0.71, respectively. Such results indicate the capacity of the proposed SPTI to monitor the ENSO in Southeast China.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Syachrul Arief

<p>The huge amount of water vapor in the atmosphere caused disastrous heavy rain and floods in early July 2018 in SW Japan. Here I present a comprehensive space geodetic study of water brought by this heavy rain done by using a dense network of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) receivers. </p><p>First, I reconstruct sea level precipitable water vapor above land region on the heavy rain. The total amount of water vapor derived by spatially integrating precipitable water vapor on land was ~25.8 Gt, which corresponds to the bucket size to carry water from ocean to land. I then compiled the precipitation measured with a rain radar network. The data showed the total precipitation by this heavy rain as ~22.11 Gt.</p><p>Next, I studied the crustal subsidence caused by the rainwater as the surface load. The GNSS stations located under the heavy rain area temporarily subsided 1-2 centimeters and the subsidence mostly recovered in a day. Using such vertical crustal movement data, I estimated the distribution of surface water in SW Japan. </p><p>The total amount of the estimated water load on 6 July 2018 was ~68.2 Gt, which significantly exceeds the cumulative on-land rainfalls of the heavy rain day from radar rain gauge analyzed precipitation data. I consider that such an amplification of subsidence originates from the selective deployment of GNSS stations in the concave places, e.g. along valleys and within basins, in the mountainous Japanese Islands.</p>


Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (24) ◽  
pp. 5566 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qingzhi Zhao ◽  
Xiongwei Ma ◽  
Wanqiang Yao ◽  
Yang Liu ◽  
Zheng Du ◽  
...  

Standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) is an acknowledged drought monitoring index, and the evapotranspiration (ET) used to calculated SPEI is obtained based on the Thornthwaite (TH) model. However, the SPEI calculated based on the TH model is overestimated globally, whereas the more accurate ET derived from the Penman–Monteith (PM) model recommended by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations is unavailable due to the lack of a large amount of meteorological data at most places. Therefore, how to improve the accuracy of ET calculated by the TH model becomes the focus of this study. Here, a revised TH (RTH) model is proposed using the temperature (T) and precipitable water vapor (PWV) data. The T and PWV data are derived from the reanalysis data and the global navigation satellite system (GNSS) observation, respectively. The initial value of ET for the RTH model is calculated based on the TH model, and the time series of ET residual between the TH and PM models is then obtained. Analyzed results reveal that ET residual is highly correlated with PWV and T, and the correlate coefficient between PWV and ET is −0.66, while that between T and ET for cases of T larger or less than 0 °C are −0.54 and 0.59, respectively. Therefore, a linear model between ET residual and PWV/T is established, and the ET value of the RTH model can be obtained by combining the TH-derived ET and estimated ET residual. Finally, the SPEI calculated based on the RTH model can be obtained and compared with that derived using PM and TH models. Result in the Loess Plateau (LP) region reveals the good performance of the RTH-based SPEI when compared with the TH-based SPEI over the period of 1979–2016. A case analysis in April 2013 over the LP region also indicates the superiority of the RTH-based SPEI at 88 meteorological and 31 GNSS stations when the PM-based SPEI is considered as the reference.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Biyan Chen ◽  
Wujiao Dai ◽  
Zhizhao Liu ◽  
Lixin Wu ◽  
Pengfei Xia

Satellite remote sensing of the atmospheric water vapor distribution over the oceans is essential for both weather and climate studies. Satellite onboard microwave radiometer is capable of measuring the water vapor over the oceans under all weather conditions. This study assessed the accuracies of precipitable water vapor (PWV) products over the south and east China seas derived from the Global Precipitation Measurement Microwave Imager (GMI), using radiosonde and GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) located at islands and coasts as truth. PWV measurements from 14 radiosonde and 5 GNSS stations over the period of 2014–2017 were included in the assessments. Results show that the GMI 3-day composites have an accuracy of better than 5 mm. A further evaluation shows that RMS (root mean square) errors of the GMI 3-day composites vary greatly in the range of 3∼14 mm at different radiosonde/GNSS sites. GMI 3-day composites show very good agreements with radiosonde and GNSS measured PWVs with correlation coefficients of 0.896 and 0.970, respectively. The application of GMI products demonstrates that it is possible to reveal the weather front, moisture advection, transportation, and convergence during the Meiyu rainfall. This work indicates that the GMI PWV products can contribute to various studies such as climate change, hydrologic cycle, and weather forecasting.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (04) ◽  
pp. 1850010
Author(s):  
Kimberly Leung ◽  
Aneesh C. Subramanian ◽  
Samuel S. P. Shen

This paper studies the statistical characteristics of a unique long-term high-resolution precipitable water vapor (PWV) data set at Darwin, Australia, from 12 March 2002 to 28 February 2011. To understand the convective precipitation processes for climate model development, the U.S. Department of Energy’s Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program made high-frequency radar observations of PWV at the Darwin ARM site and released the best estimates from the radar data retrievals for this time period. Based on the best estimates, we produced a PWV data set on a uniform 20-s time grid. The gridded data were sufficient to show the fractal behavior of precipitable water with Hausdorff dimension equal to 1.9. Fourier power spectral analysis revealed modulation instability due to two sideband frequencies near the diurnal cycle, which manifests as nonlinearity of an atmospheric system. The statistics of PWV extreme values and daily rainfall data show that Darwin’s PWV has El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) signatures and has potential to be a predictor for weather forecasting. The right skewness of the PWV data was identified, which implies an important property of tropical atmosphere: ample capacity to hold water vapor. The statistical characteristics of this long-term high-resolution PWV data will facilitate the development and validation of climate models, particularly stochastic models.


Proceedings ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raquel Perdiguer-López ◽  
José Luis Berné-Valero ◽  
Natalia Garrido-Villén

A processing methodology with GNSS observations to obtain Zenith Tropospheric Delay using Bernese GNSS Software version 5.2 is revised in order to obtain Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV). The most traditional PWV observation method is the radiosonde and it is often used as a standard to validate those derived from GNSS. For this reason, a location in the north of Spain, in A Coruña, which has a GNSS station with available data and also a radiosonde station, was chosen. Two GPS weeks, in different weather conditions were calculated. The result of the comparison between the GNSS- retrieved PWV and Radiosonde-PWV is explained in the last section of this paper.


Author(s):  
Z. X. Chen ◽  
L. L. Liu ◽  
L. K. Huang ◽  
Q. T. Wan ◽  
X. Q. Mo

Abstract. The tropospheric weighted mean temperature (Tm) is one of the key characteristic parameters in the troposphere, which plays an important role in the conversion of Zenith Wet Delay (ZWD) to atmospheric Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV). The precision of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) inversion of PWV can be significantly improved with the accurate calculation of Tm. Due to the strong nonlinear mapping ability of Back Propagation (BP) neural network, the algorithm can be used to excavate the law with massive data. In term of the nonlinear and non-stationary characteristics of GNSS precipitable water vapor, in this paper, we proposes a forecast method of GNSS precipitable water vapor based on BP neural network, which can modelling the weighted mean temperature of troposphere. The traditional BP neural network has some shortcomings, such as large amount of calculation, long training time and easy to appear “over-fitting” phenomenon and so on. In order to optimize the deficiency and numerical simulation, the three characteristic values include water vapor pressure, surface pressure and surface temperature provided are selected as input parameters, named as BP_Tm. The optimal initialization parameters of the model were obtained from the 2016 radiosonde data of 89 radiosonde stations in China, and the modeling and accuracy verification were conducted with the 2017 radiosonde data,and the accuracy of the new model was compared with the common regional Tm model. The results show the BP_Tm model has good simulation accuracy, the average deviation is −0.186K, and the root mean square error is 3.144K. When simulating the weighted mean temperature of a single station, the accuracy of the four models to simulate Tm is compared and analyzed, which the BP_Tm model can obtain good accuracy and reflect better stability and reliability.


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