scholarly journals Poor Correlation between Diamondback Terrapin Population Estimates Using Two New Estimation Methods

Diversity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 409
Author(s):  
Lisa Prowant ◽  
Russell L. Burke
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Long Island ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Survey Method ◽  
Diamondback Terrapin ◽  
Poor Correlation ◽  
Similar Data ◽  
Population Size Estimates ◽  
Population Sizes ◽  
Diamondback Terrapins

Reliable estimates of animal and plant population sizes are necessary to track trends in populations through time. Diamondback terrapins are an ecologically unique keystone species that are globally declining. Conservation efforts for this species rely on accurate estimates of population sizes; however, diamondback terrapin population size estimates are difficult to measure with precision or accuracy. Terrapin collection methods are often labor-, time-, and cost-intensive. The present study compares two recently developed rapid assessment methods for measuring diamondback terrapin abundances. Since mark–recapture or similar data were unavailable, we could not test the accuracy of either method directly; instead, we compared the two methods. If the methods produce similar estimates of terrapin population size, this would increase confidence in these methods. We measured the abundance of diamondback terrapins at 77 sites in Long Island, New York, using headcount surveys and surveys of parasitic trematodes that can be used as a proxy for terrapin abundance. We used random forest analyses to test whether the variation in diamondback terrapin abundance measured using headcount surveys could be explained by either the prevalence or the abundance of trematode parasites. The most variation explained by any of the models was 7.77%, indicating that trematode prevalence and abundance could not explain the variation in terrapin abundance measured using headcounts. This poor correlation between terrapin census methods indicates that one, or both, of the census measures are inaccurate, at least in the habitats found across Long Island, NY. A technique that accurately estimates the abundance of diamondback terrapin populations is critical to understanding their population fluctuations and trends. The only way to evaluate the status of the species is to have information on population numbers and trends across the species’ range, which might not be possible without a more accessible survey method.

Estimation of Catchabilities and Population Sizes of Lobsters

1963 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-88 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. E. Paloheimo
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Factors ◽  
Population Size ◽  
Atlantic Coast ◽  
Temperature Data ◽  
New Method ◽  
Bottom Temperature ◽  
Population Size Estimates ◽  
Population Sizes ◽  
Estimate Population Size ◽  
Size Estimates

Techniques of estimating population size, level of fishing, and the degree of dependence of fishing success on environmental factors are examined on the basis of tagging, catch and effort data. A new method is developed to estimate population size from catch, effort, and temperature data when the catchability varies with temperature.The methods of estimation discussed are applied to data collected from a number of lobster fisheries on Canada's Atlantic coast. Analysis confirms a relationship between the catchability of lobsters and bottom temperature. Differences in this relationship are found between areas and between tagged and untagged lobsters within areas. It is suggested that these differences are attributable to the differences in densities as well as to aggregations of lobsters and fishing. The effect of these aggregations on population size estimates is considered.Calculated average catchabilities at comparable temperatures are different for different areas. These differences are correlated with the numbers of trap hauls per day per square miles fished. It is suggested that the differences in the catchabilities might be due to interactions between units of gear not predicted by the customary relationship between catch and effort.

Mark-release-recapture studies on three anthropophilic populations of Aedes (Stegomyia) simpsoni comple(Diptera: Culicidae) in Uganda

1994 ◽  
Vol 84 (4) ◽  
pp. 521-527 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.J. Lutwama ◽  
L.G. Mukwaya
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Human Population ◽  
Yellow Fever Virus ◽  
Survival Rates ◽  
Estimated Parameters ◽  
Mark Release Recapture ◽  
Population Size Estimates ◽  
Population Sizes ◽  
Size Estimates ◽  
Aedes Simpsoni

AbstractMultiple mark-release-recapture experiments were carried out on females of three anthropophilic populations of Aedes simpsoni (Theobald) complex at Nkokonjeru and Bwamba in Uganda to determine and compare the population size, survival rates and longevity of the adult stages. There were high recapture rates (26.23%, 2 7.42% and 28.28%) at the different sites. The population sizes, estimated by Jolly's stochastic method for the three sites (465, 561 and 675 female mosquitoes) were not significantly different, neither were the survival rates of the females (0.6026, 0.7145 and 0.8152). Other parameters estimated for the three populations were also similar. Population size estimates by Jolly's stochastic model and the simple Lincoln Index methods were not in agreement. The other method over-estimated population size. Since the estimated parameters for the Nkokonjeru population are similar to those of the Bwamba populations, there is a potential for the transmission of yellow fever virus to the human population at Nkokonjeru, as at Bwamba.

Population-size estimators and unequal catchability in painted turtles

1998 ◽  
Vol 76 (3) ◽  
pp. 458-465 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicola Koper ◽  
Ronald J Brooks
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Sampling Methods ◽  
Ecological Research ◽  
Closed Population ◽  
Painted Turtles ◽  
Population Size Estimates ◽  
Population Sizes ◽  
Almost All ◽  
Size Estimates ◽  
True Population

Most methods of estimating population size from mark-recapture data assume equal catchability. Failure to meet this assumption may have profound effects on population-size estimates. We used 3 sampling methods to compare population-size estimates derived from Petersen, Schumacher and Eschmeyer, and Jolly-Seber models with the true size of a closed population of painted turtles (Chrysemys picta) in Algonquin Park, Ontario. We found significant variation in capture probabilities, and almost all population-size estimates were far below the true population size. To try to improve the accuracy of the estimates, we applied 4 techniques commonly recommended for reducing bias when catchability is unequal: (i) changing sampling methods, (ii) using several sampling methods simultaneously, (iii) dividing the population by sex, and (iv) calculating population sizes using the computer program CAPTURE. None of the 4 methods reduced the error that resulted from unequal catchability in any of the estimates sufficiently for these methods to be suitable for management of populations or for ecological research.

scholarly journals Conservation of Northwestern and Southwestern Pond Turtles: Threats, Population Size Estimates, and Population Viability Analysis

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephanie Manzo ◽  
E. Griffin Nicholson ◽  
Zachary Devereux ◽  
Robert N. Fisher ◽  
Chris W. Brown ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Natural Disasters ◽  
Population Size ◽  
Population Viability Analysis ◽  
Population Viability ◽  
Population Declines ◽  
Viability Analysis ◽  
Population Size Estimates ◽  
Population Sizes ◽  
Size Estimates

Accurate status assessments of long-lived, widely distributed taxa depend on the availability of long-term monitoring data from multiple populations. However, monitoring populations across large temporal and spatial scales is often beyond the scope of any one researcher or research group. Consequently, wildlife managers may be tasked with utilizing limited information from different sources to detect range-wide evidence of population declines and their causes. When assessments need to be made under such constraints, the research and management communities must determine how to extrapolate from variable population data to species-level inferences. Here, using three different approaches, we integrate and analyze data from the peer-reviewed literature and government agency reports to inform conservation for northwestern pond turtles (NPT) Actinemys marmorata and southwestern pond turtles (SPT) Actinemys pallida. Both NPT and SPT are long-lived freshwater turtles distributed along the west coast of the United States and Mexico. Conservation concerns exist for both species; however, SPT may face more severe threats and are thought to exist at lower densities throughout their range than NPT. For each species, we ranked the impacts of 13 potential threats, estimated population sizes, and modeled population viability with and without long-term droughts. Our results suggest that predation of hatchlings by invasive predators, such as American bullfrogs Lithobates catesbeianus and Largemouth Bass Micropterus salmoides, is a high-ranking threat for NPT and SPT. Southwestern pond turtles may also face more severe impacts associated with natural disasters (droughts, wildfires, and floods) than NPT. Population size estimates from trapping surveys indicate that SPT have smaller population sizes on average than NPT (p = 0.0003), suggesting they may be at greater risk of local extirpation. Population viability analysis models revealed that long-term droughts are a key environmental parameter; as the frequency of severe droughts increases with climate change, the likelihood of population recovery decreases, especially when census sizes are low. Given current population trends and vulnerability to natural disasters throughout their range, we suggest that conservation and recovery actions first focus on SPT to prevent further population declines.

Fish population size estimates from a small intermittently open estuary in South Africa, based on mark-recapture techniques

2001 ◽  
Vol 52 (3) ◽  
pp. 283 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. D. Cowley ◽  
A. K. Whitfield
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Total Population ◽  
Fish Population ◽  
Minimum Size ◽  
Population Estimates ◽  
Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Mark Recapture ◽  
Population Size Estimates ◽  
Population Sizes ◽  
Size Estimates

Population sizes of the migratory marine-spawning fishes in the small intermittently open East Kleinemonde Estuary (33º32′S, 27º03′E) were estimated during two independent mark–recapture studies between 1994 and 1996. Seines were used to sample fishes during the closed-mouth phase of the estuary. All individuals above a stipulated minimum size were marked by fin-clipping. Population estimates were obtained by use of two mark–recapture models (Schnabel and a maximum-likelihood estimator) and a derived method. The total population size was estimated at ~18 000 and ~133 000 individuals during the two study periods respectively. The large temporal (interannual) variability was ascribed to both abiotic (estuary mouth conditions) and biotic-conditions. The dominant species during both periods was Rhabdosargus holubi, which accounted for ~75% and ~80%of the total population of marine fishes in the estuary. The success of this species is attributed to an extended breeding season and the ability to recruit during mouth overwash events.

Demography of the northern quoll (Dasyurus hallucatus) in the most arid part of its range

2019 ◽  
Vol 100 (4) ◽  
pp. 1191-1198
Author(s):  
Lorna Hernandez-Santin ◽  
Judy A Dunlop ◽  
Anne W Goldizen ◽  
Diana O Fisher
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Habitat Quality ◽  
Local Population ◽  
Population Characteristics ◽  
Population Declines ◽  
Population Size Estimates ◽  
Population Sizes ◽  
Harsh Climate ◽  
Rocky Habitats ◽  
Carnivorous Marsupial

Abstract The northern quoll (Dasyurus hallucatus) is a carnivorous marsupial that has suffered severe population declines over the last 50 years and is now listed as Endangered. The Pilbara region of Western Australia is a semi-arid area that represents an extreme of the northern quoll’s range. The overall objective of this study was to assess population characteristics of northern quolls at two rocky sites in the Pilbara, focusing on body condition, reproductive timing, population size, and sex-specific survival. We interpret these in the context of variation in habitat quality and the harsh climate. We found that reproduction occurred later in the year than in populations at more mesic locations where quolls have been previously studied, although their life history and demography were otherwise similar to that in other parts of their range. Contrary to our expectations, post-mating mortality of males was not complete. Population sizes differed between sites, suggesting that these rocky habitats varied in habitat quality. We suggest that local population size estimates can guide decisions on the relative importance of sites to ensure the long-term conservation of the species, given impacts of mining and the imminent invasion of introduced cane toads (Rhinella marina).

Estimating the population size of people who inject drugs in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam: A two-survey capture-recapture exercise (Preprint)

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abu Abdul-Quader
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Illicit Drugs ◽  
People Who Inject Drugs ◽  
Care Service ◽  
Ho Chi Minh City ◽  
Size Estimation ◽  
Population Size Estimates ◽  
Capture Recapture ◽  
The City ◽  
Size Estimates

BACKGROUND Population size estimation of people who inject drugs (PWID) in Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC), Vietnam relied on the UNAIDS Estimation and Projection Package and reports from the city police department. The two estimates vary widely. OBJECTIVE To estimate the population size of people who inject drugs in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam METHODS Using Respondent-driven sampling (RDS), we implemented two-source capture-recapture method to estimate the population size of PWID in HCMC in 2017 in 7 out of 24 districts. The study included men or women aged at least 18 years who reported injecting illicit drugs in the last 90 days and who had lived in the city the past six months. We calculated two sets of size estimates, the first assumed that all participants in each survey round resided in the district where the survey was conducted, the second, used the district of residence as reported by the participant. District estimates were summed to obtain an aggregate estimate for the seven districts. To calculate the city total, we weighted the population size estimates for each district by the inverse of the stratum specific sampling probabilities. RESULTS The first estimate resulted in a population size of 19,155 (95% CI: 17,006–25,039). The second one generated a smaller population size estimate of 12,867 (95% CI: 11,312–17,393). CONCLUSIONS The two-survey capture-recapture exercise provided two disparate estimates of PWID in HCMC. For planning HIV prevention and care service needs among PWID in HCMC, both estimates may need to be taken into consideration together with size estimates from other sources.

scholarly journals Effect of Pheromone Blend Components, Sex Ratio, and Population Size on the Mating of Cadra cautella (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae)

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abeysinghe Mudiyanselage Prabodha Sammani ◽  
Dissanayaka Mudiyanselage Saman Kumara Dissanayaka ◽  
Leanage Kanaka Wolly Wijayaratne ◽  
William Robert Morrison
Keyword(s):  
Sex Ratio ◽  
Population Size ◽  
Management Practices ◽  
Mating Disruption ◽  
Current Knowledge ◽  
Mating Status ◽  
Cadra Cautella ◽  
Synthetic Chemicals ◽  
Population Sizes ◽  
Lepidoptera Pyralidae

Abstract The almond moth Cadra cautella (Walker), a key pest of storage facilities, is difficult to manage using synthetic chemicals. Pheromone-based management methods remain a high priority due to advantages over conventional management practices, which typically use insecticides. Cadra cautella females release a blend of pheromone including (Z, E)-9,12-tetradecadienyl acetate (ZETA) and (Z)-9-tetradecadien-1-yl acetate (ZTA). The effect of these components on mating of C. cautella and how response varies with the population density and sex ratio remain unknown. In this study, the mating status of C. cautella was studied inside mating cages under different ratios of ZETA and ZTA diluted in hexane and at different population sizes either with equal or unequal sex ratio. The lowest percentage of mated females (highest mating disruption [MD] effects), corresponding to roughly 12.5%, was produced by a 5:1 and 3.3:1 ratio of ZETA:ZTA. Populations with equal sex ratio showed the lowest percentage of mated females, at 20% and 12.5% under lower and higher density, respectively. The next lowest percentage of mated females was produced when the sex ratio was set to 1: 2 and 2:1 male:female, with just 25% and 22.5% of moths mated, respectively. This study shows that mating status of C. cautella is influenced by ZETA:ZTA ratio, sex ratio, and population size. This current knowledge would have useful implications for mating disruption programs.

scholarly journals EFFECTS OF POPULATION SIZE AND SELECTION INTENSITY ON SHORT-TERM RESPONSE TO SELECTION FOR POSTWEANING GAIN IN MICE

Genetics ◽  
1973 ◽  
Vol 73 (3) ◽  
pp. 513-530
Author(s):  
J P Hanrahan ◽  
E J Eisen ◽  
J E Legates
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Selection Response ◽  
Selection Intensity ◽  
Realized Heritability ◽  
Family Selection ◽  
Effective Population ◽  
Population Sizes ◽  
Selection For ◽  
Selection Intensities ◽  
Term Response

ABSTRACT The effects of population size and selection intensity on the mean response was examined after 14 generations of within full-sib family selection for postweaning gain in mice. Population sizes of 1, 2, 4, 8 and 16 pair matings were each evaluated at selection intensities of 100% (control), 50% and 25% in a replicated experiment. Selection response per generation increased as selection intensity increased. Selection response and realized heritability tended to increase with increasing population size. Replicate variability in realized heritability was large at population sizes of 1, 2 and 4 pairs. Genetic drift was implicated as the primary factor causing the reduced response and lowered repeatability at the smaller population sizes. Lines with intended effective population sizes of 62 yielded larger selection responses per unit selection differential than lines with effective population sizes of 30 or less.

The closed-subpopulation method and estimation of population size from mark-recapture and ancillary data

2000 ◽  
Vol 78 (2) ◽  
pp. 320-326 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank AM Tuyttens
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Ancillary Data ◽  
Mark Recapture ◽  
Animal Populations ◽  
Accuracy And Precision ◽  
Population Size Estimates ◽  
Minimum Number ◽  
Flexible Framework ◽  
And Performance ◽  
Better Than

The algebraic relationships, underlying assumptions, and performance of the recently proposed closed-subpopulation method are compared with those of other commonly used methods for estimating the size of animal populations from mark-recapture records. In its basic format the closed-subpopulation method is similar to the Manly-Parr method and less restrictive than the Jolly-Seber method. Computer simulations indicate that the accuracy and precision of the population estimators generated by the basic closed-subpopulation method are almost comparable to those generated by the Jolly-Seber method, and generally better than those of the minimum-number-alive method. The performance of all these methods depends on the capture probability, the number of previous and subsequent trapping occasions, and whether the population is demographically closed or open. Violation of the assumption of equal catchability causes a negative bias that is more pronounced for the closed-subpopulation and Jolly-Seber estimators than for the minimum-number-alive. The closed-subpopulation method provides a simple and flexible framework for illustrating that the precision and accuracy of population-size estimates can be improved by incorporating evidence, other than mark-recapture data, of the presence of recognisable individuals in the population (from radiotelemetry, mortality records, or sightings, for example) and by exploiting specific characteristics of the population concerned.

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