scholarly journals Forecasting of Landslide Displacement Using a Probability-Scheme Combination Ensemble Prediction Technique

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (13) ◽  
pp. 4788 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junwei Ma ◽  
Xiao Liu ◽  
Xiaoxu Niu ◽  
Yankun Wang ◽  
Tao Wen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Quantile Regression ◽  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Ensemble Prediction ◽  
Three Gorges Reservoir Area ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Landslide Displacement Prediction ◽  
Learning Machine

Data-driven models have been extensively employed in landslide displacement prediction. However, predictive uncertainty, which consists of input uncertainty, parameter uncertainty, and model uncertainty, is usually disregarded in deterministic data-driven modeling, and point estimates are separately presented. In this study, a probability-scheme combination ensemble prediction that employs quantile regression neural networks and kernel density estimation (QRNNs-KDE) is proposed for robust and accurate prediction and uncertainty quantification of landslide displacement. In the ensemble model, QRNNs serve as base learning algorithms to generate multiple base learners. Final ensemble prediction is obtained by integration of all base learners through a probability combination scheme based on KDE. The Fanjiaping landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir area (TGRA) was selected as a case study to explore the performance of the ensemble prediction. Based on long-term (2006–2018) and near real-time monitoring data, a comprehensive analysis of the deformation characteristics was conducted for fully understanding the triggering factors. The experimental results indicate that the QRNNs-KDE approach can perform predictions with perfect performance and outperform the traditional backpropagation (BP), radial basis function (RBF), extreme learning machine (ELM), support vector machine (SVM) methods, bootstrap-extreme learning machine-artificial neural network (bootstrap-ELM-ANN), and Copula-kernel-based support vector machine quantile regression (Copula-KSVMQR). The proposed QRNNs-KDE approach has significant potential in medium-term to long-term horizon forecasting and quantification of uncertainty.

scholarly journals Pressure Prediction of Coal Slurry Transportation Pipeline Based on Particle Swarm Optimization Kernel Function Extreme Learning Machine

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Xue-cun Yang ◽  
Xiao-ru Yan ◽  
Chun-feng Song
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Kernel Function ◽  
Particle Swarm ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Particle Swarm Algorithm ◽  
Coal Slurry ◽  
Swarm Optimization ◽  
Learning Machine

For coal slurry pipeline blockage prediction problem, through the analysis of actual scene, it is determined that the pressure prediction from each measuring point is the premise of pipeline blockage prediction. Kernel function of support vector machine is introduced into extreme learning machine, the parameters are optimized by particle swarm algorithm, and blockage prediction method based on particle swarm optimization kernel function extreme learning machine (PSOKELM) is put forward. The actual test data from HuangLing coal gangue power plant are used for simulation experiments and compared with support vector machine prediction model optimized by particle swarm algorithm (PSOSVM) and kernel function extreme learning machine prediction model (KELM). The results prove that mean square error (MSE) for the prediction model based on PSOKELM is 0.0038 and the correlation coefficient is 0.9955, which is superior to prediction model based on PSOSVM in speed and accuracy and superior to KELM prediction model in accuracy.

scholarly journals Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Based on Data-Driven Model

Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 152 ◽  
Author(s):  
Su-qi Zhang ◽  
Kuo-Ping Lin
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Local Optimum ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Swarm Optimization ◽  
Traffic Flow Forecasting ◽  
Learning Machine ◽  
The One

Short-term traffic flow forecasting is the technical basis of the intelligent transportation system (ITS). Higher precision, short-term traffic flow forecasting plays an important role in alleviating road congestion and improving traffic management efficiency. In order to improve the accuracy of short-term traffic flow forecasting, an improved bird swarm optimizer (IBSA) is used to optimize the random parameters of the extreme learning machine (ELM). In addition, the improved bird swarm optimization extreme learning machine (IBSAELM) model is established to predict short-term traffic flow. The main researches in this paper are as follows: (1) The bird swarm optimizer (BSA) is prone to fall into the local optimum, so the distribution mechanism of the BSA optimizer is improved. The first five percent of the particles with better fitness values are selected as producers. The last ten percent of the particles with worse fitness values are selected as beggars. (2) The one-day and two-day traffic flows are predicted by the support vector machine (SVM), particle swarm optimization support vector machine (PSOSVM), bird swarm optimization extreme learning machine (BSAELM) and IBSAELM models, respectively. (3) The prediction results of the models are evaluated. For the one-day traffic flow sequence, the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) values of the IBSAELM model are smaller than the SVM, PSOSVM and BSAELM models, respectively. The experimental analysis results show that the IBSAELM model proposed in this study can meet the actual engineering requirements.

scholarly journals Optimised genetic algorithm-extreme learning machine approach for automatic COVID-19 detection

PLoS ONE ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (12) ◽  
pp. e0242899
Author(s):  
Musatafa Abbas Abbood Albadr ◽  
Sabrina Tiun ◽  
Masri Ayob ◽  
Fahad Taha AL-Dhief ◽  
Khairuddin Omar ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Ct Scan ◽  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Experimental Result ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
X Ray ◽  
Chest X Ray ◽  
Learning Machine

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19), is an ongoing global pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome. Chest Computed Tomography (CT) is an effective method for detecting lung illnesses, including COVID-19. However, the CT scan is expensive and time-consuming. Therefore, this work focus on detecting COVID-19 using chest X-ray images because it is widely available, faster, and cheaper than CT scan. Many machine learning approaches such as Deep Learning, Neural Network, and Support Vector Machine; have used X-ray for detecting the COVID-19. Although the performance of those approaches is acceptable in terms of accuracy, however, they require high computational time and more memory space. Therefore, this work employs an Optimised Genetic Algorithm-Extreme Learning Machine (OGA-ELM) with three selection criteria (i.e., random, K-tournament, and roulette wheel) to detect COVID-19 using X-ray images. The most crucial strength factors of the Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) are: (i) high capability of the ELM in avoiding overfitting; (ii) its usability on binary and multi-type classifiers; and (iii) ELM could work as a kernel-based support vector machine with a structure of a neural network. These advantages make the ELM efficient in achieving an excellent learning performance. ELMs have successfully been applied in many domains, including medical domains such as breast cancer detection, pathological brain detection, and ductal carcinoma in situ detection, but not yet tested on detecting COVID-19. Hence, this work aims to identify the effectiveness of employing OGA-ELM in detecting COVID-19 using chest X-ray images. In order to reduce the dimensionality of a histogram oriented gradient features, we use principal component analysis. The performance of OGA-ELM is evaluated on a benchmark dataset containing 188 chest X-ray images with two classes: a healthy and a COVID-19 infected. The experimental result shows that the OGA-ELM achieves 100.00% accuracy with fast computation time. This demonstrates that OGA-ELM is an efficient method for COVID-19 detecting using chest X-ray images.

A Hybrid Kernel Extreme Learning Machine and Improved Cat Swarm Optimization for Microarray Medical Data Classification

2020 ◽  
pp. 779-814
Author(s):  
S. Chakravarty ◽  
R. Bisoi ◽  
P. K. Dash
Keyword(s):  
Gene Expression ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Medical Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Swarm Optimization ◽  
Cat Swarm Optimization ◽  
Kernel Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Learning Machine ◽  
Small Sample Sizes

This paper presents the pattern classification of the binary microarray gene expression based medical data using extreme learning machine (ELM) and its variants like on-line sequential ELM (OSELM) and kernel based extreme learning machine (KELM). In the KELM category two variants namely the wavelet based kernel (WKELM) extreme learning machine and radial basis kernel extreme learning machine (RKELM) along with support vector machine (SVMRBF) and support vector machine polynomial (SVMPoly) are used to classify microarray medical datasets. Further to reduce the high dimensionality of Microarray medical datasets giving rise to high number of gene expression and small sample sizes, a modified evolutionary cat swarm optimization (MCSO) technique is adopted. The efficiency of the proposed algorithm is verified using a set of performance metrics for four binary medical datasets belonging to breast cancer, prostate cancer, colon tumor, and leukemia, respectively.

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