scholarly journals Weather Trumps Festivity? More Cardiovascular Disease Events Occur in Winter than in December Holidays in Queensland, Australia

Author(s):  
Clifford Afoakwah ◽  
Son Nghiem ◽  
Paul Scuffham ◽  
Simon Stewart ◽  
Joshua Byrnes

Objective: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of hospitalisations and deaths in Australia. This study estimates the excess CVD hospitalisations and deaths across seasons and during the December holidays in Queensland, Australia. Methods: The study uses retrospective, longitudinal, population-based cohort data from Queensland, Australia from January 2010 to December 2015. The outcomes were hospitalisations and deaths categorised as CVD-related. CVD events were grouped according to when they occurred in the calendar year. Excess hospitalisations and deaths were estimated using the multivariate ordinary least squares method after adjusting for confounding effects. Results: More CVD hospitalisations and deaths occurred in winter than in summer, with 7811 (CI: 1353, 14,270; p < 0.01) excess hospitalisations and 774 (CI: 35, 1513; p < 0.01) deaths compared to summer. During the coldest month (July), there was an excess of 42 hospitalisations and 7 deaths per 1000 patients. Fewer CVD hospitalisations (−20 (CI: −29, −9; p < 0.01)) occurred during the December holidays than any other period during the calendar year. Non-CVD events were mostly not statistically significant different between periods. Conclusion: Most CVD events in Queensland occurred in winter rather than during the December holidays. Potentially cost-effective initiatives should be explored such as encouraging patients with CVD conditions to wear warmer clothes during cold temperatures and/or insulating the homes of CVD patients who cannot otherwise afford to.

Axioms ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 278
Author(s):  
Ming-Feng Yeh ◽  
Ming-Hung Chang

The only parameters of the original GM(1,1) that are generally estimated by the ordinary least squares method are the development coefficient a and the grey input b. However, the weight of the background value, denoted as λ, cannot be obtained simultaneously by such a method. This study, therefore, proposes two simple transformation formulations such that the unknown parameters, and can be simultaneously estimated by the least squares method. Therefore, such a grey model is termed the GM(1,1;λ). On the other hand, because the permission zone of the development coefficient is bounded, the parameter estimation of the GM(1,1) could be regarded as a bound-constrained least squares problem. Since constrained linear least squares problems generally can be solved by an iterative approach, this study applies the Matlab function lsqlin to solve such constrained problems. Numerical results show that the proposed GM(1,1;λ) performs better than the GM(1,1) in terms of its model fitting accuracy and its forecasting precision.


1985 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 331-340 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Cunia ◽  
R. D. Briggs

To construct biomass tables for various tree components that are consistent with each other, one may use linear regression techniques with dummy variables. When the biomass of these components is measured on the same sample trees, one should also use the generalized rather than ordinary least squares method. A procedure is shown which allows the estimation of the covariance matrix of the sample biomass values and circumvents the problem of storing and inverting large covariance matrices. Applied to 20 sets of sample tree data, the generalized least squares regressions generated estimates which, on the average were slightly higher (about 1%) than the sample data. The confidence and prediction bands about the regression function were wider, sometimes considerably wider than those estimated by the ordinary weighted least squares.


2014 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 174
Author(s):  
Yaser Abdelhadi

Linear transformations are performed for selected exponential engineering functions. The Optimum values of parameters of the linear model equation that fits the set of experimental or simulated data points are determined by the linear least squares method. The classical and matrix forms of ordinary least squares are illustrated. Keywords: Exponential Functions; Linear Modeling; Ordinary Least Squares; Parametric Estimation; Regression Steps.


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (94) ◽  
pp. 4681-4689
Author(s):  
Cristian Pedraza-Yepes ◽  
Jose Daniel Hernandez-Vasquez ◽  
Fernando Pastor Forero ◽  
Leonardo Perez Manotas ◽  
Jorge Gonzalez-Coneo

2018 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 218-233 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wang Jingwen ◽  
Liang Mingzhu

This article assesses the economic impact of visitor expenditure in Macao and the impacts of major expense types to the visitor expenditure. As consumption habits are changing gradually, which can be reflected in the consumption habits of the tourists, we concentrate on the characteristics of visitor expenditure to analyze the factors that drive up the consumption. This article analyzes the relative statistical indicators from 2010 to 2016 in Macao using the ordinary least squares method. According to empirical analysis of this study, 1 Macanese Patacas (MOP) of visitor expenditure can create 7.896 MOP in additional gross domestic product (GDP) in Macao. Moreover, “transportation” and “shopping” present obvious equal status on the pulling function to the visitor expenditure, which indicates that a better transportation system can increase more consumption opportunities. The items of “shopping” and “cosmetics and perfume” have a distinctively high pulling function to the visitor expenditure. This indicates that the power of female consumer group should be emphasized. Compared with other commodities, we observed the obvious pulling function of “local food products,” which shows that the culture-based tourism experience will be helpful to promote the visitor expenditure. In discussing the results, relevant suggestions for developing the diversified tourism in Macao are presented in the article.


2004 ◽  
Vol 127 (1) ◽  
pp. 50-56 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Xi ◽  
D. Nancoo ◽  
G. Knopf

In this paper a method is proposed to register three-dimensional line laser scanning data acquired in two different viewpoints. The proposed method is based on three-point position measurement by scanning three reference balls to determine the transformation between two views. Since there are errors in laser scanning data and sphere fitting, the two sets of three-point position measurement data at two different views are both subject to errors. For this reason, total least-squares methods are applied to determine the transformation, because they take into consideration the errors both at inputs and outputs. Simulations and experiment are carried to compare three methods, namely, ordinary least-squares method, unconstrained total least-squares method, and constrained total least-squares method. It is found that the last method gives the most accurate results.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Xiaohui Wang ◽  
Weiguo Zhang

Ordinary least squares estimators of variogram parameters in long-memory stochastic volatility are studied in this paper. We use the discrete observations for practical purposes under the assumption that the Hurst parameterH∈(1/2,1)is known. Based on the ordinary least squares method, we obtain both the explicit estimators for drift and diffusion by minimizing the distance function between the variogram and the data periodogram. Furthermore, the resulting estimators are shown to be consistent and to have the asymptotic normality. Numerical examples are also presented to illustrate the performance of our method.


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