scholarly journals Expanded Fréchet Model: Mathematical Properties, Copula, Different Estimation Methods, Applications and Validation Testing

Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 1949
Author(s):  
Mukhtar M. Salah ◽  
M. El-Morshedy ◽  
M. S. Eliwa ◽  
Haitham M. Yousof

The extreme value theory is expanded by proposing and studying a new version of the Fréchet model. Some new bivariate type extensions using Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern copula, modified Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern copula, Clayton copula, and Renyi’s entropy copula are derived. After a quick study for its properties, different non-Bayesian estimation methods under uncensored schemes are considered, such as the maximum likelihood estimation method, Anderson–Darling estimation method, ordinary least square estimation method, Cramér–von-Mises estimation method, weighted least square estimation method, left-tail Anderson–Darling estimation method, and right-tail Anderson–Darling estimation method. Numerical simulations were performed for comparing the estimation methods using different sample sizes for three different combinations of parameters. The Barzilai–Borwein algorithm was employed via a simulation study. Three applications were presented for measuring the flexibility and the importance of the new model for comparing the competitive distributions under the uncensored scheme. Using the approach of the Bagdonavicius–Nikulin goodness-of-fit test for validation under the right censored data, we propose a modified chi-square goodness-of-fit test for the new model. The modified goodness-of-fit statistic test was applied for the right censored real data set, called leukemia free-survival times for autologous transplants. Based on the maximum likelihood estimators on initial data, the modified goodness-of-fit test recovered the loss in information while the grouping data and followed chi-square distributions. All elements of the modified goodness-of-fit criteria tests are explicitly derived and given.

Entropy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 592 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahmoud Mansour ◽  
Mahdi Rasekhi ◽  
Mohamed Ibrahim ◽  
Khaoula Aidi ◽  
Haitham M. Yousof ◽  
...  

In this paper, we first study a new two parameter lifetime distribution. This distribution includes “monotone” and “non-monotone” hazard rate functions which are useful in lifetime data analysis and reliability. Some of its mathematical properties including explicit expressions for the ordinary and incomplete moments, generating function, Renyi entropy, δ-entropy, order statistics and probability weighted moments are derived. Non-Bayesian estimation methods such as the maximum likelihood, Cramer-Von-Mises, percentile estimation, and L-moments are used for estimating the model parameters. The importance and flexibility of the new distribution are illustrated by means of two applications to real data sets. Using the approach of the Bagdonavicius–Nikulin goodness-of-fit test for the right censored validation, we then propose and apply a modified chi-square goodness-of-fit test for the Burr X Weibull model. The modified goodness-of-fit statistics test is applied for the right censored real data set. Based on the censored maximum likelihood estimators on initial data, the modified goodness-of-fit test recovers the loss in information while the grouped data follows the chi-square distribution. The elements of the modified criteria tests are derived. A real data application is for validation under the uncensored scheme.


Author(s):  
Khaoula Aidi ◽  
Nadeem Shafique Butt ◽  
Mir Masoom Ali ◽  
Mohamed Ibrahim ◽  
Haitham M. Yousof ◽  
...  

A new modified version of the Bagdonavičius-Nikulin goodness-of-fit test statistic is presented for validity for the right censor case under the double Burr type X distribution. The maximum likelihood estimation method in censored data case is used and applied. Simulations via the algorithm of Barzilai-Borwein is performed for assessing the right censored estimation method. Another simulation study is presented for testing the null hypothesis under the modified version of the Bagdonavičius and Nikulin goodness-of-fit statistical test. Four right censored data sets are analyzed under the new modified test statistic for checking the distributional validation.


Author(s):  
Haitham Yousof ◽  
Khaoula Aidi ◽  
G.G. Hamedani ◽  
Mohamed Ibrahim

A new three-parameter extension of the generalized Nadarajah-Haghighi model is introduced and studied. Some of its statistical properties are derived. Characterization results are presented. The failure rate can be "increasing", "decreasing", "bathtub", "upside-down", "upside-down-constant", "increasing-constant" or "constant". Different non-Bayesian estimation methods under uncensored scheme are considered. Numerical simulations are performed for comparing the estimation methods using different sample sizes. The censored Barzilai-Borwein algorithm is employed via a simulation study. Using the approach of the Bagdonavicius-Nikulin chi-square goodness-of-fit test for validation under the right censored data, we propose a modified chi-square goodness-of-fit test for the new model. Based on the maximum likelihood estimators on initial data, the modified Bagdonavicius-Nikulin chi-square goodness-of-fit test recovers the loss in information. The modified Bagdonavicius-Nikulin test for validation under the right censored data is applied to four real and right censored data sets. The new model is compared with many other competitive models by means of a real data set.


2018 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 00001
Author(s):  
Katarzyna Baran-Gurgul

Based on 30-year 24-hour flow sequences at 69 water gauging stations in the Upper Vistula catchment, it was determined that the probability distributions of the low flow duration and its maximum annual deficit can be described by the gamma distribution with the estimated parameters by the methods: MOM, the method of moments, LMOM, the method of linear moments, and MLE, the method of maximum likelihood. The stationarity of the time series was tested by the Mann-Kendall correlation using the Hamed and Rao variance correction. The low flows were defined by the SPA method, with the limit flow Q70%. The quality of the match was tested by the Anderson-Darling goodness of fit test. This test allowed accepting the gamma distribution in all analysed cases, regardless of the method used to estimate the distribution parameters, since the pv (p-values) values were greater than 5% (over 18% for Tmax and 7.5% for Vmax). The highest pv values for individual water gauging stations, as well as the highest 90% Tmax and Vmax quantiles were noted using LMOM to estimate the gamma distribution parameters. The highest 90% Tmax and Vmax quantiles were observed in the uppermost part of the studied area.


2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 0395
Author(s):  
Khaleel Et al.

This paper discusses reliability R of the (2+1) Cascade model of inverse Weibull distribution. Reliability is to be found when strength-stress distributed is inverse Weibull random variables with unknown scale parameter and known shape parameter. Six estimation methods (Maximum likelihood, Moment, Least Square, Weighted Least Square, Regression and Percentile) are used to estimate reliability. There is a comparison between six different estimation methods by the simulation study by MATLAB 2016, using two statistical criteria Mean square error and Mean Absolute Percentage Error, where it is found that best estimator between the six estimators is Maximum likelihood estimation method.


1978 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 145-153
Author(s):  
Berend Wierenga

The author presents a new method for estimating the parameters of the linear learning model. The procedure, essentially a least squares method, is easy to carry out and avoids certain difficulties of earlier estimation procedures. Applications to three different data sets are reported, as well as results from a goodness-of-fit test. A simulation study was carried out to validate the method. The outcomes are compared with those obtained from the minimum chi square estimation method. The results of the new method appear to be satisfactory.


Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 2490 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tao Lei ◽  
Weiwei Tan ◽  
Guangsi Chen ◽  
Delin Kong

This paper presents a novel Model Predictive Direct Power Control (MPDPC) approach for the pulse width modulation (PWM) rectifiers in the Aircraft Alternating Current Variable Frequency (ACVF) power system. The control performance of rectifiers may be largely affected by variations in the AC side impedance, especially for systems with limited power volume system. A novel idea for estimating the impedance variation based on the Bayesian estimation, using an algorithm embedded in MPDPC is presented in this paper. The input filter inductance and its equivalent series resistance (ESR) of PWM rectifiers are estimated in this algorithm by measuring the input current and input voltage in each cycle with the probability Bayesian estimation theory. This novel estimation method can overcome the shortcomings of traditional data based estimation methods such as least square estimation (LSE), which achieves poor estimation results with the small samples data set. In ACVF systems, the effect on the parameters estimation accuracy caused by the number of sampling points in one cycle is also analyzed in detail by simulation. The validity of this method is verified by the digital and Hard-in-loop simulation compared with other estimation methods such as the least square estimation method. The experimental testing results show that the proposed estimation algorithm can improve the robustness and the control performance of the MPDPC under the condition of the uncertainty of the AC side parameters of the three-phase PWM rectifiers in aircraft electrical power system.


Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Naif Alotaibi

A new continuous version of the inverse flexible Weibull model is proposed and studied. Some of its properties such as quantile function, moments and generating functions, incomplete moments, mean deviation, Lorenz and Bonferroni curves, the mean residual life function, the mean inactivity time, and the strong mean inactivity time are derived. The failure rate of the new model can be “increasing-constant,” “bathtub-constant,” “bathtub,” “constant,” “J-HRF,” “upside down bathtub,” “increasing,” “upside down-increasing-constant,” and “upside down.” Different copulas are used for deriving many bivariate and multivariate type extensions. Different non-Bayesian well-known estimation methods under uncensored scheme are considered and discussed such as the maximum likelihood estimation, Anderson Darling estimation, ordinary least square estimation, Cramér-von-Mises estimation, weighted least square estimation, and right tail Anderson Darling estimation methods. Simulation studies are performed for comparing these estimation methods. Finally, two real datasets are analyzed to illustrate the importance of the new model.


2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (4) ◽  
pp. 18
Author(s):  
Meeran Akram Fawzee ◽  
Samira M. Salh ◽  
Slahaddin A. Ahmed

Study the statistical distribution for rainfall is important to know the behaviour of the rainfall series and to know the most frequently rainfall amount in each month. Five statistical distribution were applied on Sulaimani, Erbil and Duhok rainfall series for the period (1941-2017) except Duhok (1944-2017). These distributions were Gamma(3P), Weibul(3P), Earlang (3P), Normal and General extreme value. Kolmogrove-Semirnov, Anderson-Darling and Chi-Square goodness of fit test were used to know the best fit distribution from these five distributions.


Author(s):  
Haitham M. Yousof ◽  
Abdullah H. Al-nefaie ◽  
Khaoula Aidi ◽  
M. Masoom Ali ◽  
Mohamed ibrahim Mohamed

In this paper, a modified Chi-square goodness-of-fit test called the modified Bagdonavičius-Nikulin goodness-of-fit test statistic is investigated and the applied for distributional validation under the right censored case. The new modified goodness-of-fit test is presented and applied for the right censored data sets. The algorithm of the censored Barzilai-Borwein is employed via a comprehensive simulation study for assessing validity of the new test. The modified Bagdonavičius-Nikulin test is applied to four real and right censored data sets. A new distribution is compared with many other competitive distributions under the new modified Bagdonavičius-Nikulin goodness-of-fit test statistic.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document