scholarly journals X-Net-Based Radar Data Assimilation Study over the Seoul Metropolitan Area

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 893 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ji-Won Lee ◽  
Ki-Hong Min ◽  
Young-Hee Lee ◽  
GyuWon Lee
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Radial Velocity ◽  
Metropolitan Area ◽  
Numerical Data ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Radar Reflectivity ◽  
Model Verification ◽  
Seoul Metropolitan Area ◽  
X Band ◽  
Reflectivity Data

This study investigates the ability of the high-resolution Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to simulate summer precipitation with assimilation of X-band radar network data (X-Net) over the Seoul metropolitan area. Numerical data assimilation (DA) experiments with X-Net (S- and X-band Doppler radar) radial velocity and reflectivity data for three events of convective systems along the Changma front are conducted. In addition to the conventional assimilation of radar data, which focuses on assimilating the radial velocity and reflectivity of precipitation echoes, this study assimilates null-echoes and analyzes the effect of null-echo data assimilation on short-term quantitative precipitation forecasting (QPF). A null-echo is defined as a region with non-precipitation echoes within the radar observation range. The model removes excessive humidity and four types of hydrometeors (wet and dry snow, graupel, and rain) based on the radar reflectivity by using a three-dimensional variational (3D-Var) data assimilation technique within the WRFDA system. Some procedures for preprocessing radar reflectivity data and using null-echoes in this assimilation are discussed. Numerical experiments with conventional radar DA over-predicted the precipitation. However, experiments with additional null-echo information removed excessive water vapor and hydrometeors and suppressed erroneous model precipitation. The results of statistical model verification showed improvements in the analysis and objective forecast scores, reducing the amount of over-predicted precipitation. An analysis of a contoured frequency by altitude diagram (CFAD) and time–height cross-sections showed that increased hydrometeors throughout the data assimilation period enhanced precipitation formation, and reflectivity under the melting layer was simulated similarly to the observations during the peak precipitation times. In addition, overestimated hydrometeors were reduced through null-echo data assimilation.

An Approach of Radar Reflectivity Data Assimilation and Its Assessment with the Inland QPF of Typhoon Rusa (2002) at Landfall

2007 ◽  
Vol 46 (1) ◽  
pp. 14-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qingnong Xiao ◽  
Ying-Hwa Kuo ◽  
Juanzhen Sun ◽  
Wen-Chau Lee ◽  
Dale M. Barker ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Doppler Radar ◽  
Mesoscale Model ◽  
Control Variable ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Radar Reflectivity ◽  
Mixing Ratio ◽  
Warm Rain Process ◽  
Reflectivity Data

Abstract A radar reflectivity data assimilation scheme was developed within the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model (MM5) three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3DVAR) system. The model total water mixing ratio was used as a control variable. A warm-rain process, its linear, and its adjoint were incorporated into the system to partition the moisture and hydrometeor increments. The observation operator for radar reflectivity was developed and incorporated into the 3DVAR. With a single reflectivity observation, the multivariate structures of the analysis increments that included cloud water and rainwater mixing ratio increments were examined. Using the onshore Doppler radar data from Jindo, South Korea, the capability of the radar reflectivity assimilation for the landfalling Typhoon Rusa (2002) was assessed. Verifications of inland quantitative precipitation forecasting (QPF) of Typhoon Rusa (2002) showed positive impacts of assimilating radar reflectivity data on the short-range QPF.

scholarly journals Ensemble Kalman Filter Assimilation of Doppler Radar Data with a Compressible Nonhydrostatic Model: OSS Experiments

2005 ◽  
Vol 133 (7) ◽  
pp. 1789-1807 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingjing Tong ◽  
Ming Xue
Keyword(s):  
Kalman Filter ◽  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Radial Velocity ◽  
Ensemble Kalman Filter ◽  
Doppler Radar ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Relative Role ◽  
Doppler Radar Data ◽  
Ice Microphysics ◽  
Reflectivity Data

Abstract A Doppler radar data assimilation system is developed based on an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) method and tested with simulated radar data from a supercell storm. As a first implementation, it is assumed that the forward models are perfect and that the radar data are sampled at the analysis grid points. A general purpose nonhydrostatic compressible model is used with the inclusion of complex multiclass ice microphysics. New aspects of this study compared to previous work include the demonstration of the ability of the EnKF method to retrieve multiple microphysical species associated with a multiclass ice microphysics scheme, and to accurately retrieve the wind and thermodynamic variables. Also new are the inclusion of reflectivity observations and the determination of the relative role of the radial velocity and reflectivity data as well as their spatial coverage in recovering the full-flow and cloud fields. In general, the system is able to reestablish the model storm extremely well after a number of assimilation cycles, and best results are obtained when both radial velocity and reflectivity data, including reflectivity information outside of the precipitation regions, are used. Significant positive impact of the reflectivity assimilation is found even though the observation operator involved is nonlinear. The results also show that a compressible model that contains acoustic modes, hence the associated error growth, performs at least as well as an anelastic model used in previous EnKF studies at the cloud scale. Flow-dependent and dynamically consistent background error covariances estimated from the forecast ensemble play a critical role in successful assimilation and retrieval. When the assimilation cycles start from random initial perturbations, better results are obtained when the updating of the fields that are not directly related to radar reflectivity is withheld during the first few cycles. In fact, during the first few cycles, the updating of the variables indirectly related to reflectivity hurts the analysis. This is so because the estimated background covariances are unreliable at this stage of the data assimilation process, which is related to the way the forecast ensemble is initialized. Forecasts of supercell storms starting from the best-assimilated initial conditions are shown to remain very good for at least 2 h.

scholarly journals Mesoscale Resolution Radar Data Assimilation Experiments with the Harmonie Model

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 1453 ◽  
Author(s):  
Serguei Ivanov ◽  
Silas Michaelides ◽  
Igor Ruban
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Original Data ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Numerical Weather Prediction Model ◽  
Radar Reflectivity ◽  
Horizontal Structure ◽  
Cell Patterns ◽  
Reflectivity Data

This study presents a pre-processing approach adopted for the radar reflectivity data assimilation and results of simulations with the Harmonie numerical weather prediction model. The proposed method creates a 3D regular grid in which a horizontal size of meshes coincides with the horizontal model resolution. This minimizes the representative error associated with the discrepancy between resolutions of informational sources. After such preprocessing, horizontal structure functions and their gradients for radar reflectivity maintain the sizes and shapes of precipitation patterns similar to those of the original data. The method shows an improvement of precipitation prediction within the radar location area in both the rain rates and spatial pattern presentation. It redistributes precipitable water with smoothed values over the common domain since the control runs show, among several sub-domains with increased and decreased values, correspondingly. It also reproduces the mesoscale belts and cell patterns of sizes from a few to ten kilometers in precipitation fields. With the assimilation of radar data, the model simulates larger water content in the middle troposphere within the layer from 1 km to 6 km with major variations at 2.5 km to 3 km. It also reproduces the mesoscale belt and cell patterns of precipitation fields.

scholarly journals Typhoon rainstorm simulation with radar data assimilation in southeast coast of China

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiyang Tian ◽  
Ronghua Liu ◽  
Liuqian Ding ◽  
Liang Guo ◽  
Bingyu Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Radial Velocity ◽  
Doppler Radar ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Radar Reflectivity ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Storm Events ◽  
Southeast Coast ◽  
Assimilation Time ◽  
Radar Data Assimilation

Abstract. As an effective technique to improve the rainfall forecast, data assimilation plays an important role in meteorology and hydrology. The aim of this study is to explore the reasonable use of Doppler radar data assimilation to correct the initial and lateral boundary conditions of the Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) systems. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is applied to simulate three typhoon storm events in southeast coast of China. Radar data from Changle Doppler radar station are assimilated with three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3-DVar) model. Nine assimilation modes are designed by three kinds of radar data (radar reflectivity, radial velocity, radar reflectivity and radial velocity) and three assimilation time intervals (1 h, 3 h and 6 h). The rainfall simulations in a medium-scale catchment, Meixi, are evaluated by three indices including relative error (RE), critical success index (CSI) and root mean square error (RMSE). Assimilating radial velocity with time interval of 1 h can significantly improve the rainfall simulations and outperforms the other modes for all the three storm events. Shortening the assimilation time interval can improve the rainfall simulations in most cases, while assimilating radar reflectivity always leads to worse simulation as the time interval shortens. The rainfall simulation can be improved by data assimilation as a whole, especially for the heavy rainfall with strong convection. The findings provide references for improving the typhoon rainfall forecasts in catchment scale and have great significance on typhoon rainstorm warning.

scholarly journals A Cloud-Resolving 4DVAR Assimilation Experiment for a Local Heavy Rainfall Event in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area

2011 ◽  
Vol 139 (6) ◽  
pp. 1911-1931 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takuya Kawabata ◽  
Tohru Kuroda ◽  
Hiromu Seko ◽  
Kazuo Saito
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Metropolitan Area ◽  
Heavy Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Event ◽  
Radar Reflectivity ◽  
Heavy Rainfall Event ◽  
Convective System ◽  
Single Observation ◽  
Assimilation Experiment ◽  
Reflectivity Data

Abstract A cloud-resolving nonhydrostatic four-dimensional variational data assimilation system (NHM-4DVAR) was modified to directly assimilate radar reflectivity and applied to a data assimilation experiment using actual observations of a heavy rainfall event. Modifications included development of an adjoint model of the warm rain process, extension of control variables, and development of an observation operator for radar reflectivity. The responses of the modified NHM-4DVAR were confirmed by single-observation assimilation experiments for an isolated deep convection, using pseudo-observations of rainwater at the initial and end times of the data assimilation window. The results showed that the intensity of convection could be adjusted by assimilating appropriate observations of rainwater near the convection and that undesirable convection could be suppressed by assimilating small or no reflectivity. An assimilation experiment using actual observations of a local heavy rainfall in the Tokyo, Japan, metropolitan area was conducted with a horizontal resolution of 2 km. Precipitable water vapor derived from global positioning system data was assimilated at 5-min intervals within 30-min assimilation windows, and surface and wind profiler data were assimilated at 10-min intervals. Doppler radial wind and radar-reflectivity data below the elevation angle of 5.4° were assimilated at 1-min intervals. The 4DVAR assimilation reproduced a line-shaped rainband with a shape and intensity consistent with the observation. Assimilation of radar-reflectivity data intensified the rainband and suppressed false convection. The simulated rainband lasted for 1 h in the extended forecast and then gradually decayed. Sustaining the low-level convergence produced by northerly winds in the western part of the rainband was key to prolonging the predictability of the convective system.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Doppler radar and GTS Data Assimilation for NWP Rainfall Prediction of an Extreme Summer Storm in Northern China: from the Hydrological Perspective

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jia Liu ◽  
Jiyang Tian ◽  
Denghua Yan ◽  
Chuanzhe Li ◽  
Fuliang Yu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Radial Velocity ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Assimilation Efficiency ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Northern China ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Radar Reflectivity ◽  
Global Telecommunication System ◽  
Summer Storm

Abstract. Data assimilation is an effective tool in improving high-resolution rainfall of the numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems which always fails in providing satisfactory rainfall products for hydrological use. The aim of this study is to explore the potential effects of assimilating different sources of observations from the Doppler weather radar and the Global Telecommunication System (GTS) in improving the mesoscale NWP rainfall products. A 24 h summer storm occurring over the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region of northern China on 21 July 2012 is selected in this study. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is used to obtain 3 km rainfall forecasts, and the observations are assimilated using the three-dimensional variational (3D-Var) data assimilation method. Eleven data assimilation modes are designed for assimilating different combinations of observations in the two nested domains of the WRF model. Results show that the assimilation can largely improve the WRF rainfall products especially the accumulative process of rainfall, which is of great importance for hydrologic applications through the rainfall-runoff transformation process. Both radar reflectivity and GTS data are good choices for assimilation in improving the rainfall products, whereas special attentions should be paid for assimilating radial velocity where unsatisfactory results are always found. Simultaneously assimilating GTS and radar data always perform better than assimilating radar data alone. The inclusion of GTS data in the nested domains when radar reflectivity and radial velocity are assimilated in the innermost domain show the best results among all the 11 assimilation modes. The assimilation efficiency of the GTS data is higher than both radar reflectivity and radial velocity considering the number of data assimilated and its effect. It is also found that the assimilation of more observations cannot guarantee further improvement of the rainfall products, whereas the effective information contained in the assimilated data is of more importance than the data quantity. Potential improvements of data assimilation in improving the NWP rainfall products are discussed and suggestions are also made.

scholarly journals Doppler Radar Data Assimilation for Mesoscale Numerical Rainfall Prediction

10.29007/h6dv ◽  
2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiyang Tian ◽  
Jia Liu ◽  
Chuanzhe Li ◽  
Fuliang Yu
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Radial Velocity ◽  
Doppler Radar ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Radar Reflectivity ◽  
Rainfall Prediction ◽  
Doppler Radar Data ◽  
Radar Data Assimilation

Hydrological prediction needs high-resolution and accurate rainfall information, which can be provided by mesoscale Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models. However, the predicted rainfall is not always satisfactory for hydrological use. The assimilation of Doppler radar observations is found to be an effective method through correcting the initial and lateral boundary conditions of the NWP model. The aim of this study is to explore an efficient way of Doppler radar data assimilation from different height layers for mesoscale numerical rainfall prediction. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is applied to the Zijingguan catchment located in semi-humid and semi-arid area of Northern China. Three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3-DVar) technique is adopted to assimilate the Doppler radar data. Radar reflectivity and radial velocity are assimilated separately and jointly. Each type of radar data are divided into seven data sets according to the observation heights: (1) <500m; (2) <1000m; (3) <2000m; (4) 500~1000m; (5) 1000~2000m; (6) >2000m; (7) all heights. Results show that the assimilation of radar reflectivity leads to better results than radial velocity. The accuracy of the predicted rainfall deteriorates as the rise of the observation height of the assimilated radar data. Conclusions of this study provide a reference for efficient utilisation of the Doppler radar data in numerical rainfall prediction for hydrological use.

An Efficient Dual-Resolution Approach for Ensemble Data Assimilation and Tests with Simulated Doppler Radar Data

2008 ◽  
Vol 136 (3) ◽  
pp. 945-963 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jidong Gao ◽  
Ming Xue
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Radial Velocity ◽  
Computational Cost ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Velocity Data ◽  
Background Error ◽  
Cross Covariance ◽  
Radial Velocity Data

Abstract A new efficient dual-resolution (DR) data assimilation algorithm is developed based on the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) method and tested using simulated radar radial velocity data for a supercell storm. Radar observations are assimilated on both high-resolution and lower-resolution grids using the EnKF algorithm with flow-dependent background error covariances estimated from the lower-resolution ensemble. It is shown that the flow-dependent and dynamically evolved background error covariances thus estimated are effective in producing quality analyses on the high-resolution grid. The DR method has the advantage of being able to significantly reduce the computational cost of the EnKF analysis. In the system, the lower-resolution ensemble provides the flow-dependent background error covariance, while the single-high-resolution forecast and analysis provides the benefit of higher resolution, which is important for resolving the internal structures of thunderstorms. The relative smoothness of the covariance obtained from the lower 4-km-resolution ensemble does not appear to significantly degrade the quality of analysis. This is because the cross covariance among different variables is of first-order importance for “retrieving” unobserved variables from the radar radial velocity data. For the DR analysis, an ensemble size of 40 appears to be a reasonable choice with the use of a 4-km horizontal resolution in the ensemble and a 1-km resolution in the high-resolution analysis. Several sensitivity tests show that the DR EnKF system is quite robust to different observation errors. A 4-km thinned data resolution is a compromise that is acceptable under the constraint of real-time applications. A data density of 8 km leads to a significant degradation in the analysis.

scholarly journals Mobile Radar Observations of the Evolving Debris Field Compared with a Damage Survey of the Shawnee, Oklahoma, Tornado of 19 May 2013

2020 ◽  
Vol 148 (5) ◽  
pp. 1779-1803 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roger M. Wakimoto ◽  
Zachary Wienhoff ◽  
Howard B. Bluestein ◽  
David J. Bodine ◽  
James M. Kurdzo
Keyword(s):  
Cross Correlation ◽  
Vertical Structure ◽  
Leading Edge ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Radar Reflectivity ◽  
Vertical Profiles ◽  
Damage Survey ◽  
X Band ◽  
First Time ◽  
Rapid Scanning

Abstract A detailed damage survey is combined with high-resolution mobile, rapid-scanning X-band polarimetric radar data collected on the Shawnee, Oklahoma, tornado of 19 May 2013. The focus of this study is the radar data collected during a period when the tornado was producing damage rated EF3. Vertical profiles of mobile radar data, centered on the tornado, revealed that the radar reflectivity was approximately uniform with height and increased in magnitude as more debris was lofted. There was a large decrease in both the cross-correlation coefficient (ρhv) and differential radar reflectivity (ZDR) immediately after the tornado exited the damaged area rated EF3. Low ρhv and ZDR occurred near the surface where debris loading was the greatest. The 10th percentile of ρhv decreased markedly after large amounts of debris were lofted after the tornado leveled a number of structures. Subsequently, ρhv quickly recovered to higher values. This recovery suggests that the largest debris had been centrifuged or fallen out whereas light debris remained or continued to be lofted. Range–height profiles of the dual-Doppler analyses that were azimuthally averaged around the tornado revealed a zone of maximum radial convergence at a smaller radius relative to the leading edge of lofted debris. Low-level inflow into the tornado encountering a positive bias in the tornado-relative radial velocities could explain the existence of the zone. The vertical structure of the convergence zone was shown for the first time.

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