scholarly journals Foreign Monitoring and Predictability of Future Cash Flow

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (18) ◽  
pp. 4832
Author(s):  
Jaehong Lee ◽  
Eunsoo Kim
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Foreign Investors ◽  
Future Cash Flow ◽  
Flow Components ◽  
Future Cash Flows

A company’s sustainability is generally determined by whether it is able to create a positive long-term cash flow. This paper investigates whether the predictive ability of cash flows and earnings in forecasting future cash flows differs depending on the foreign investors’ ownership. Based on firms listed in the Korea Stock Exchange market from 2000 to 2017, we find that earnings and cash flow components of financial statements enhance the predictability of future cash flow in the Korean stock market. Conversely, foreign investors showed a tendency to decide on investments based on operating cash flow instead of earnings when predicting future cash flow. These findings indicate that reliability towards earnings may fall since foreign investors’ concerns are on the prospects of earnings management. These results were strengthened by the addition of several more analyses including cluster analyses, consideration of information asymmetry and the chaebol governance.

scholarly journals The Influence of Future Cash Flow Predictions on Profits in Companies Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange

2021 ◽  
pp. 026-033
Author(s):  
Titik Purwanti
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Net Income ◽  
Purposive Sampling ◽  
Future Cash Flow ◽  
Operating Profit ◽  
Food And Beverage ◽  
Future Cash Flows

This research was conducted to determine the effect of future cash flow predictions on profits (gross profit, operating profit, and net income) in food and beverage companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The method used in this research used purposive sampling with a population of food and beverage companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2016-2018. The samples in this research were 19 companies. The results obtained indicate that the operating profit variable has a partial effect on future cash flows, while the net income variable and the gross profit variable do not partially affect future cash flows. Simultaneously, gross profit, operating profit and net income have an effect on future cash flows.

scholarly journals Discretionary accruals and the predictive ability of earnings in the forecast of future cash flows: Evidence from Australia

2011 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 597-608 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shadi Farshadfar ◽  
Reza Monem
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Direct Method ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Discretionary Accruals ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Australian Context ◽  
Out Of Sample ◽  
Aggregate Earnings ◽  
Flow Components ◽  
Future Cash Flows

We examine whether discretionary and non-discretionary accruals improve the predictive ability of earnings for forecasting future cash flows in an Australian context. Using both within-sample and out-of-sample forecasting tests; we demonstrate that discretionary accruals improve the predictive ability of earnings in the forecast of future cash flows. Further, discretionary and non-discretionary accruals and direct method cash flow components together are more useful than (i) aggregate earnings, (ii) aggregate cash flow from operations and total accruals, and (iii) aggregate cash flow from operations, discretionary accruals and nondiscretionary accruals.

scholarly journals KEMAMPUAN LABA UNTUK MEMBERIKAN INFORMASI LABA PERIODE MENDATANG DAN ARUS KAS OPERASI PERIODE MENDATANG SELAMA PERIODE KONVERGENSI IFRS DI INDONESIA

CALYPTRA ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 196
Author(s):  
Sheila Irawan ◽  
Yie Ke Feliana
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Net Income ◽  
Full Disclosure ◽  
Future Earnings ◽  
Future Cash Flow ◽  
Business Entities ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Future Cash Flows

Abstrak - Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat dampak adopsi IFRS secara bertahap khususnya dalam kemampuan earnings periode ini untuk memberikan informasi future earnings dan future cash flows from operations selama periode konvergensi IFRS di Indonesia dengan membandingkan kemampuan earnings untuk memprediksi future earnings dan future cash flows from operations tiap periode. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan secara kuantitatif dengan badan usaha yang terdaftar di BEI selama periode 2010-2013 sebagai objek penelitian. Jumlah sampel yang digunakan pada penelitian ini adalah 420 badan usaha. Temuan penelitian menunjukkan bahwa tidak ada peningkatan hubungan antara earnings periode berjalan dengan future earnings, namun ada peningkatan hubungan antara earnings periode berjalan dengan future cash flows from operations. Hal ini terjadi karena adopsi IFRS menuntut perusahaan untuk lebih transparan dengan adanya full disclosure, sehingga net income kurang dapat dimanipulasi mengakibatkan earnings yang terjadi periode ini belum tentu berulang di periode selanjutnya yang menyebabkan menurunnya kemampuan untuk memprediksi future earnings, namun meningkatkan kemampuan untuk memprediksi future cash flows from operations karena laba yang terjadi periode tersebut berhubungan erat dengan arus kas dari aktivitas operasional di periode selanjutnya. Kata kunci : Current Earnings, Future Earnings, dan Future Cash Flows from Operations  Abstract – This study aims to look at the impact of the adoption of IFRS gradually, especially the ability of current earnings to provide information about future earnings and future cash flows from operations during the period IFRS convergence in Indonesia by comparing the ability of earnings to predict future earnings and future cash flows from operations of each period. This study uses a quantitative approach to all of the business entity listed on the Stock Exchange during the period 2010-2013 as the research object. The samples used in this study were 420 business entities. The study's findings that there is no increasing relationship between the current earnings and future earnings, but there is an increasing relationship between current earnings and future cash flows from operations. This happens because of the adoption of IFRS requires companies to be more transparent with their full disclosure, so net income is less manipulated, it makes earnings that occurred this period may not be repeated in the next period which led to a decreased ability to predict future earnings, but improving the ability of current earanings to predict future cash flows from operations because current earnings are more closely related to future cash flow from operating activities. Keywords : Current Earnings, Future Earnings, and Future Cash Flows from Operations

scholarly journals Kemampuan Laba dan Arus Kas Operasi dalam Memprediksi Laba dan Arus Kas Masa Depan

2018 ◽  
pp. 80
Author(s):  
Frans AP Dromexs Lumbantoruan ◽  
I Gusti Ngurah Agung Suaryana
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Flow Property ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Future Earnings ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
Operating Cash Flow ◽  
Future Cash Flows

This study aims to determine the ability of earnings and operating cash flows in predicting earnings and future cash flows. This research was conducted on property and real estate companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The samples used by 20 companies with 40 observations. The sampling was done by nonprobability samplingmethod with purposive samplingtechnique. The analysis technique used is multiple linear regression analysis. Based on the result of the analysis, earnings influences in predicting future earnings. Likewise, earnings and operating cash flow have an effect in predicting future cash flows. However, operating cash flow is not influential in predicting future earnings. Keywords: profitability, cash flow, property

scholarly journals Cash flow disaggregation and prediction of cash flow

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 464-479 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ehsan Khansalar ◽  
Mohammad Namazi
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Prediction Errors ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Balance Sheets ◽  
Income Statement ◽  
Aggregated Model ◽  
Flow Components ◽  
Future Cash Flows

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the incremental information content of estimates of cash flow components in predicting future cash flows. Design/methodology/approach The authors examine whether the models incorporating components of operating cash flow from income statements and balance sheets using the direct method are associated with smaller prediction errors than the models incorporating core and non-core cash flow. Findings Using data from US and UK firms and multiple regression analysis, the authors find that around 60 per cent of a current year’s cash flow will persist into the next period’s cash flows, and that income statement and balance sheet variables persist similarly. The explanatory power and predictive ability of disaggregated cash flow models are superior to that of an aggregated model, and further disaggregating previously applied core and non-core cash flows provides incremental information about income statement and balance sheet items that enhances prediction of future cash flows. Disaggregated models and their components produce lower out-of-sample prediction errors than an aggregated model. Research limitations/implications This study improves our appreciation of the behaviour of cash flow components and confirms the need for detailed cash flow information in accordance with the articulation of financial statements. Practical implications The findings are relevant to investors and analysts in predicting future cash flows and to regulators with respect to disclosure requirements and recommendations. Social implications The findings are also relevant to financial statement users interested in better predicting a firm’s future cash flows and thereby, its firm’s value. Originality/value This paper contributes to the existing literature by further disaggregating cash flow items into their underlying items from income statements and balance sheets.

scholarly journals THE INFLUENCE OF LIQUIDITY, CAPITAL STRUCTURE, PROFITABILITY AND CASH FLOWS ON THE COMPANY’S FINANCIAL DISTRESS

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-68
Author(s):  
MUHAMMAD REZA FAHLEVI ◽  
AAN MARLINAH
Keyword(s):  
Capital Structure ◽  
Cash Flow ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Financial Statement ◽  
Flow Ratio ◽  
Return On Assets ◽  
Current Ratio

Financial distress is a complicated phase and multidimensional problem facing by the company. Since it leads the company on the possibility of bankruptcy, this situation needs immediately to be recovered. This study aims to determine the factors that influence the company's financial distress. There are ten variables in this study which are classified into four categories: liquidity, capital structure, profitability and cash flows. This study used financial statement data of manufacturing company which is listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange during the threeyear study period from 2011 to 2013. There are some criteria in choosing the representative sample so that the sum of the companies are 90 companies or equal to 270 financial statements data. The empirical findings show that there are only three variables that influence the company’s financial distress. The significant variables are current ratio (liquidity), return on assets (profitability) and cash flow ratio (cash flow).

scholarly journals EFFECT OF INFORMATION ON ACCOUNTING PROFITS AND CASH FLOW COMPONENTS ON STOCK PRICES OF INSURANCE COMPANIES LISTED IN INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE (BEI) 2008-2012 PERIOD

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 171
Author(s):  
Nico Lukito ◽  
Kristian Chandra
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Insurance Companies ◽  
Research Model ◽  
Accounting Earnings ◽  
Independent Variables

<p><em>Many factors influence the fluctuation of stock prices, including: deposit interest rates, stock trading volume, return on equity, earnings per share. The last two factors are part of the financial statements presented by the issuers. The financial statements contain accounting earnings information and cash flow. Therefore it is necessary to examine empirically whether accounting earnings and cash flows have an influence on changes in stock prices. Data is collected from the stock prices of insurance companies that have gone public in the Jakarta Stock Exchange which have a nominal value per share of Rp.1,000.00 (one thousand rupiah) from 2008 to 2012. This study took 10 existing insurance companies to analyze. The basis for this sampling is based on the amount of data available on the Jakarta Stock Exchange Website. From the results of variable analysis of total cash flow and accounting profit variables in the first equation individually can not significantly influence stock prices. And together all the independent variables have no effect simultaneously on stock prices. The value of Squared R is very low, which means that the variable cannot explain stock prices, but can be explained by other variables not included in the research model. Variable operational cash flows, investment cash flows and funding cash flows in the second equation individually can not influence stock prices significantly. And together all the independent variables have no effect simultaneously on stock prices. Also obtained is a very low R Squared value, which means that the variable cannot explain stock prices, but can be explained by other variables not included in the research model</em></p>

scholarly journals PENGARUH EARNING DAN CASH FLOW OPERATION TERHADAP ARUS KAS MASA DEPAN

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 108-121
Author(s):  
Naz'aina Naz'aina ◽  
Chairunnisa Chairunnisa
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Future Cash Flow ◽  
Result Show ◽  
Independent Variable ◽  
Multi Linear Regression

This study is an empirical study that aims to analyze the effect of earning and cash flow operation on future cash flow. The type of data used in this study is secondary data from each companies financial statements in consumer goods sector that listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2014-2018. The number of samples in this study were 27 companies that selected by purposive sampling method. The independent variable used are earning and cash flow operation in 2014-2017, while dependent variable is future cash flow in 2015-2018. The analysis model used in this research is multi linear regression analysis using Eviews 11. 11. The result show that the earning variable has negative and significant effect on future cash flow. The cash flow operation variable has positive and significant effect on future cash flow. Thus, earning and cash flow operation simultaneously have positive and significant effect on future cash flow.

Extrapolation Bias and Robust Dynamic Liquidity Management

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seokwoo Lee ◽  
Alejandro Rivera
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Ambiguity Aversion ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Risk Models ◽  
Worst Case ◽  
Liquidity Management ◽  
Optimal Dynamic ◽  
Cash Flow Volatility ◽  
Future Cash Flows

We consider the optimal dynamic liquidity management of a financially constrained firm when its existing shareholders are risk neutral but ambiguity averse with respect to the firm’s future cash flows. The shareholders’ ambiguity aversion generates endogenous time-varying worst-case beliefs that overweight recent cash flow realizations, thereby providing a microeconomic foundation for extrapolation bias. Moreover, shareholders’ ambiguity aversion has different implications on firms’ liquidity management and recapitalization policies than risk. Models with risk alone imply that higher cash flow volatility increases firms’ payout and refinancing thresholds. By contrast, our model predicts that, when ambiguity-averse shareholders face a higher long-term cash flow uncertainty, they optimally reduce firms’ payout and refinancing thresholds. The implications for investment are also studied. This paper was accepted by Agostino Capponi, finance.

scholarly journals The Role of Dividend Payout in the Determination of the Relationship Between Earnings Before Interest and Tax Cash Flow From Operations, Capital Expenditures and Firm Sustainable Cash Flows: A Case Of Non-Financial Firms

2018 ◽  
pp. 382-390
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Capital Expenditures ◽  
Dividend Payout ◽  
Financial Firms ◽  
Free Cash Flows

The prime objective of the current study is to determine the predictive ability to earnings before interest and tax, cash flow from operations, dividend payout, and capital expenditures for free cash flows. In addition to the current study is also intended to highlight the moderating role of dividend payout predictive ability to earnings before interest and tax, cash flow from operations, and capital expenditures for free cash flows. To achieve the objective of the study the data of 100 listed non-financial firms are collected from the annual report of the firms listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange. The data is collected over a period of six years from 2012-2017. To achieve the first set of objective regarding the direct results we have chosen OLS as a final statistical test after undergoing basic diagnostic analysis. To achieve the second set of objectives regarding the indirect effect of dividend payout, we have used the hierarchical multiple regression models.The statistical software, STATA is used for the analysis purpose. The findings of the study have shown a great deal of agreement with hypothesized results and also provided support to the pecking order theory and theory of free cash flow. The findings of the study will be helpful for policymakers, investors, scholars, and students in understanding the key factors which affect the free cash flow decisions and determine its predictability.

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