scholarly journals Predicting the Insolvency of SMEs Using Technological Feasibility Assessment Information and Data Mining Techniques

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (23) ◽  
pp. 9790
Author(s):  
Sanghoon Lee ◽  
Keunho Choi ◽  
Donghee Yoo

The government makes great efforts to maintain the soundness of policy funds raised by the national budget and lent to corporate. In general, previous research on the prediction of company insolvency has dealt with large and listed companies using financial information with conventional statistical techniques. However, small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) do not have to undergo mandatory external audits, and the quality of accounting information is low due to weak internal control. To overcome this problem, we developed an insolvency prediction model for SMEs using data mining techniques and technological feasibility assessment information as non-financial information. We divided the dataset into two types of data based on three years of corporate age. The synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) was used to solve the data imbalance that occurred at this time. Six insolvency prediction models were created using logistic regression, a decision tree, an artificial neural network, and an ensemble (i.e., boosting) of each algorithm. By applying a boosted decision tree, the best accuracies of 69.1% and 82.7% were derived, and by applying a decision tree, nine and seven influential factors affected the insolvency of SMEs established for fewer than three years and more than three years, respectively. In addition, we derived several insolvency rules for the two types of SMEs from the decision tree-based prediction model and proposed ways to enhance the health of loans given to potentially insolvent companies using these derived rules. The results of this study show that it is possible to predict SMEs’ insolvency using data mining techniques with technological feasibility assessment information and find meaningful rules related to insolvency.

2014 ◽  
Vol 931-932 ◽  
pp. 1467-1471 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaree Thongkam ◽  
Vatinee Sukmak

A psychiatric readmission is argued to be an adverse outcome because it is costly and occurs when relapse to the illness is so severe. An analysis of systematic models in readmission data can provide useful insight into the quicker and sicker patients with schizophrenia. This research aims to develop and investigate schizophrenia readmission prediction models using data mining techniques including decision tree, Random Tree, Random Forests, AdaBoost, Bagging and a combination of AdaBoost with decision tree, AdaBoost with Random Tree, AdaBoost with Random Forests, Bagging with decision tree, Bagging with Random Tree and Bagging with Random Forests. The experimental results successfully showed that AdaBoost with decision tree has the highest precision, recall and F-measure up to 98.11%, 98.79% and 98.41%, respectively.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 121-127
Author(s):  
Bareen Haval ◽  
Karwan Jameel Abdulrahman ◽  
Araz Rajab

This article presents the results of connecting an educational data mining techniques to the academic performance of students. Three classification models (Decision Tree, Random Forest and Deep Learning) have been developed to analyze data sets and predict the performance of students. The projected submission of the three classificatory was calculated and matched. The academic history and data of the students from the Office of the Registrar were used to train the models. Our analysis aims to evaluate the results of students using various variables such as the student's grade. Data from (221) students with (9) different attributes were used. The results of this study are very important, provide a better understanding of student success assessments and stress the importance of data mining in education. The main purpose of this study is to show the student successful forecast using data mining techniques to improve academic programs. The results of this research indicate that the Decision Tree classifier overtakes two other classifiers by achieving a total prediction accuracy of 97%.


NCICCNDA ◽  
2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Insha Sirur ◽  
Karthik B ◽  
Sharath P ◽  
Mohan Kumari M ◽  
Rumana Anjum

Breast cancer classification can be useful for discovering the genetic behavior of tumors and envision the outcome of some diseases. Through this paper we are predicting the noxious behavior of a tumor. The prediction models used are Random Forest, Naïve Bayes, IBK (Instance Based Learner), SMO (Sequential minimal optimization), and Multi Class Classifier. This prediction model which can potentially be used as a biomarker of breast cancer is based on physical attributes of a breast mass and which is gathered from digitized image of Fine Needle Aspirate (FNA). These can be helpful in prediction and reduction of invasive tumors


Author(s):  
Jastini Mohd. Jamil ◽  
Nurul Farahin Mohd Pauzi ◽  
Izwan Nizal Mohd. Shahara Nee

Large volume of educational data has led to more challenging in predicting student’s performance. In Malaysia currently, study about the performance of students in Malaysia institutions is very little being addressed. The previous studies are still insufficient to identify what factors contribute to student’s achievements and lack of investigations on exploring pattern of student’s behaviour that affecting their academic performance within Malaysia context. Therefore, predicting student’s academic performance by using decision trees is proposed to improve student’s achievements more effectively. The main objective of this paper is to provide an overview on predicting student’s academic performance using by using data mining techniques. This paper also focuses on identifying the pattern of student’s behaviour and the most important attributes that impact to the student’s achievement. By using educational data mining techniques, the students, lecturers and academic institution are able to have a better understanding on the student’s achievement.


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