scholarly journals Groundwater Radon Precursor Anomalies Identification by EMD-LSTM Model

Water ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 69
Author(s):  
Xiaobo Feng ◽  
Jun Zhong ◽  
Rui Yan ◽  
Zhihua Zhou ◽  
Lei Tian ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Effective Means ◽  
Memory Model ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Auxiliary Data ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Radon Concentrations

Groundwater radon concentrations can reflect the changes of crustal stress and strain. Scholars and scientific institutions have also recorded groundwater radon precursor anomalies before earthquakes. Therefore, groundwater radon monitoring is an effective means of predicting seismic activities. However, the variation of radon concentrations within groundwater is not only affected by structural factors, but also by environmental factors, such as air pressure, temperature, and rainfall. This causes difficulty in identifying the possible precursor anomalies. Therefore, the EMD-LSTM model is proposed to identify the radon anomalies. This study investigated the time series data of groundwater radon from well #32 located in Sichuan province. Three models (including the LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) model with auxiliary data, the EMD-LSTM (Empirical Mode Decomposition Long Short-Term Memory) model with auxiliary data, and the EMD-LSTM model without auxiliary data) were developed in order to predict groundwater radon variations. The results indicated that the prediction accuracy of the EMD-LSTM model was much higher than that of the LSTM model, and the EMD-LSTM model without auxiliary data also can obtain an ideal prediction result. Furthermore, the different durations of seismic activities T (T = ±10, ±30, ±50, and ±100) were also investigated by comparing the identification results. The identification rate of the precursor anomalies was the highest when T = ±30. The EMD-LSTM model identified five possible radon anomalies among the seven selected earthquakes. Taking well #32 as an example, we provided a promising method, that was the EMD-LSTM model, to detect the groundwater radon anomalies. It also suggested that the EMD-LSTM model can be used to identify the possible precursor anomalies within future studies.

The Prediction of Collisions in Connected Vehicle Systems with A Long Short-Term Memory Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 64 (1) ◽  
pp. 775-779
Author(s):  
Rohit Mishra ◽  
Yiqi Zhang ◽  
Fenglong Ma ◽  
Anlong Li
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Behavioral Experiment ◽  
Memory Model ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Connected Vehicle ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Vehicle Systems ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

The advances in connected vehicle systems (CVS) allow vehicles to communicate with each other and with infrastructures via wireless communication networks. This technology enables vehicles to detect potential hazards on the road, generate warnings, and assist the driver in taking preventive actions. To date, few mathematical models have been developed to predict the collision rates in connected vehicle systems. In this work, a Long Short-Term Memory model (LSTM) using time-series data of human drivers was developed to predict the collision rates in CVS by quantifying warning parameters and hazard scenario features. The model was validated with the driving performance data before and after warnings from thirty-two drivers in a behavioral experiment. The results indicated the LSTM model showed a prediction accuracy of 74% higher than SVM and logistic regression models. The LSTM model showed the potential to help optimize the warning algorithm in the connected vehicle systems to improve driver safety.

scholarly journals VN-INDEX TREND PREDICTION USING LONG-SHORT TERM MEMORY NEURAL NETWORKS

2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (12.2) ◽  
pp. 61
Author(s):  
Nguyen Ngoc Tra ◽  
Ho Phuoc Tien ◽  
Nguyen Thanh Dat ◽  
Nguyen Ngoc Vu
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Future Trend ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Trend Prediction ◽  
Temporal Dependence ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

The paper attemps to forecast the future trend of Vietnam index (VN-index) by using long-short term memory (LSTM) networks. In particular, an LSTM-based neural network is employed to study the temporal dependence in time-series data of past and present VN index values. Empirical forecasting results show that LSTM-based stock trend prediction offers an accuracy of about 60% which outperforms moving-average-based prediction.

scholarly journals Long Short Term Memory Recurrent Network for Standard and Poor’s 500 Index Modelling

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4.15) ◽  
pp. 25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Said Jadid Abdulkadir ◽  
Hitham Alhussian ◽  
Muhammad Nazmi ◽  
Asim A Elsheikh
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Recurrent Neural Network ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Forecasting time-series data are imperative especially when planning is required through modelling using uncertain knowledge of future events. Recurrent neural network models have been applied in the industry and outperform standard artificial neural networks in forecasting, but fail in long term time-series forecasting due to the vanishing gradient problem. This study offers a robust solution that can be implemented for long-term forecasting using a special architecture of recurrent neural network known as Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model to overcome the vanishing gradient problem. LSTM is specially designed to avoid the long-term dependency problem as their default behavior. Empirical analysis is performed using quantitative forecasting metrics and comparative model performance on the forecasted outputs. An evaluation analysis is performed to validate that the LSTM model provides better forecasted outputs on Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500) in terms of error metrics as compared to other forecasting models.  

scholarly journals Prediction of Rainfall Using Intensified LSTM Based Recurrent Neural Network with Weighted Linear Units

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 668 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Poornima ◽  
M. Pushpalatha
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Recurrent Neural Network ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Rainfall Prediction ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Prediction of rainfall is one of the major concerns in the domain of meteorology. Several techniques have been formerly proposed to predict rainfall based on statistical analysis, machine learning and deep learning techniques. Prediction of time series data in meteorology can assist in decision-making processes carried out by organizations responsible for the prevention of disasters. This paper presents Intensified Long Short-Term Memory (Intensified LSTM) based Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) to predict rainfall. The neural network is trained and tested using a standard dataset of rainfall. The trained network will produce predicted attribute of rainfall. The parameters considered for the evaluation of the performance and the efficiency of the proposed rainfall prediction model are Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), accuracy, number of epochs, loss, and learning rate of the network. The results obtained are compared with Holt–Winters, Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Recurrent Neural Network and Long Short-Term Memory models in order to exemplify the improvement in the ability to predict rainfall.

Deep Network based on Long Short-Term Memory for Time Series Prediction of Microclimate Data inside the Greenhouse

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (02) ◽  
pp. 2050013
Author(s):  
Sawsan Morkos Gharghory
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Weather Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Lstm Network

An enhanced architecture of recurrent neural network based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is suggested in this paper for predicting the microclimate inside the greenhouse through its time series data. The microclimate inside the greenhouse largely affected by the external weather variations and it has a great impact on the greenhouse crops and its production. Therefore, it is a massive importance to predict the microclimate inside greenhouse as a preceding stage for accurate design of a control system that could fulfill the requirements of suitable environment for the plants and crop managing. The LSTM network is trained and tested by the temperatures and relative humidity data measured inside the greenhouse utilizing the mathematical greenhouse model with the outside weather data over 27 days. To evaluate the prediction accuracy of the suggested LSTM network, different measurements, such as Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE), are calculated and compared to those of conventional networks in references. The simulation results of LSTM network for forecasting the temperature and relative humidity inside greenhouse outperform over those of the traditional methods. The prediction results of temperature and humidity inside greenhouse in terms of RMSE approximately are 0.16 and 0.62 and in terms of MAE are 0.11 and 0.4, respectively, for both of them.

scholarly journals iEnhancer-EBLSTM: Identifying Enhancers and Strengths by Ensembles of Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kun Niu ◽  
Ximei Luo ◽  
Shumei Zhang ◽  
Zhixia Teng ◽  
Tianjiao Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Dna Sequence ◽  
Dna Sequences ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Critical Issue ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Sequence Information ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Enhancers are regulatory DNA sequences that could be bound by specific proteins named transcription factors (TFs). The interactions between enhancers and TFs regulate specific genes by increasing the target gene expression. Therefore, enhancer identification and classification have been a critical issue in the enhancer field. Unfortunately, so far there has been a lack of suitable methods to identify enhancers. Previous research has mainly focused on the features of the enhancer’s function and interactions, which ignores the sequence information. As we know, the recurrent neural network (RNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) models are currently the most common methods for processing time series data. LSTM is more suitable than RNN to address the DNA sequence. In this paper, we take the advantages of LSTM to build a method named iEnhancer-EBLSTM to identify enhancers. iEnhancer-ensembles of bidirectional LSTM (EBLSTM) consists of two steps. In the first step, we extract subsequences by sliding a 3-mer window along the DNA sequence as features. Second, EBLSTM model is used to identify enhancers from the candidate input sequences. We use the dataset from the study of Quang H et al. as the benchmarks. The experimental results from the datasets demonstrate the efficiency of our proposed model.

scholarly journals Implementation of Long Short-Term Memory and Gated Recurrent Units on Grouped Time-Series Data to Predict Stock Prices Accurately

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Armin Lawi ◽  
Hendra Mesra ◽  
Supri Amir
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Abstract Stocks are an attractive investment option since they can generate large profits compared to other businesses. The movement of stock price patterns on the stock market is very dynamic; thus it requires accurate data modeling to forecast stock prices with a low error rate. Forecasting models using Deep Learning are believed to be able to accurately predict stock price movements using time-series data, especially the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) algorithms. However, several previous implementation studies have not been able to obtain convincing accuracy results. This paper proposes the implementation of the forecasting method by classifying the movement of time-series data on company stock prices into three groups using LSTM and GRU. The accuracy of the built model is evaluated using loss functions of Rooted Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results showed that the performance evaluation of both architectures is accurate in which GRU is always superior to LSTM. The highest validation for GRU was 98.73% (RMSE) and 98.54% (MAPE), while the LSTM validation was 98.26% (RMSE) and 97.71% (MAPE).

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