Faculty Opinions recommendation of A reconstruction of regional and global temperature for the past 11,300 years.

Author(s):  
Karl Havens
Keyword(s):  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karsten Haustein

<p class="p1">The role of external (radiative) forcing factors and internal unforced (ocean) low-frequency variations in the instrumental global temperature record are still hotly debated. More recent findings point towards a larger contribution from changes in external forcing, but the jury is still out. While the estimation of the human-induced total global warming fraction since pre-industrial times is fairly robust and mostly independent of multidecadal internal variability, this is not necessarily the case for key regional features such as Arctic amplification or enhanced warming over continental land areas. Accounting for the slow global temperature adjustment after strong volcanic eruptions, the spatially heterogeneous nature of anthropogenic aerosol forcing and known biases in the sea surface temperature record, almost all of the multidecadal fluctuations observed over at least the last 160+ years can be explained without a relevant role for internal variability. Using a two-box response model framework, I will demonstrate that not only multidecadal variability is very likely a forced response, but warming trends over the past 40+ years are entirely attributable to human factors. Repercussions for amplifed European (or D-A-CH for that matter) warming and associated implications for extreme weather events are discussed. Further consideration is given to the communications aspect of such critical results as well as the question of wider societal impacts.</p>


Nature ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 599 (7884) ◽  
pp. 208-209
Author(s):  
Shaun A. Marcott ◽  
Jeremy D. Shakun

Nature ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 538 (7624) ◽  
pp. 226-228 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carolyn W. Snyder
Keyword(s):  

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manuel Chevalier ◽  
et al.

Appendix S1 (pollen taxa used for the reconstruction), Appendices S2 and S3 (comparison of MAT and pollen diversity with independent regional and global temperature records), and Data Set S1 (MAT reconstructions from marine core MD96-2048).<br>


2006 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Barrett

A temperature change of 3ºC is something we experience wherever we are on earth every day - in fact a typical daily change in most places is more like 8 or 9ºC. In the past few years scientists have become concerned because global temperature has risen 0.6ºC. So why the fuss?


Science ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 339 (6124) ◽  
pp. 1198-1201 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. A. Marcott ◽  
J. D. Shakun ◽  
P. U. Clark ◽  
A. C. Mix
Keyword(s):  

Author(s):  
Tim Lenton

The Earth system has maintained habitable conditions for life over geological periods of time. These conditions include an equable global temperature, enough atmospheric carbon dioxide to fuel photosynthesis, and sufficient nutrients to grow. Furthermore, for at least the past 370 million years there has been enough atmospheric oxygen to support complex, mobile animal life, but not so much that wildfires decimated vegetation. ‘Regulation’ introduces the ways in which the biogeochemical cycles of the Earth system are self-regulated, how they are coupled to the Earth’s climate, and how scientists study this regulation.


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