scholarly journals PENGARUH NILAI TUKAR, TINGKAT BUNGA, INFLASI, DAN JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR TERHADAP INDEKS HARGA SAHAM SEKTOR KEUANGAN DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA (BEI) (Studi Kasus pada Indek Harga Saham Sektor Keuangan Di BEI)

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
Amna Mawardi
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
Stock Price Index

In the midst of uncertain economic condition, nowadays people tend to secure the potential assests they have, and think how to take advantage of the assets they have in order to keep it high in value for a long period of time. One of the way is by invest in the form of securities traded in the capital market. That is why every investor in the capital market urgently require a relevant informations on trend of transactions as reference in making investment decisions. One of the required information is stock market index. The purpose of this study is to examine the effect 0f macro economic indicators, US Dollar exchange rate, interest rate, inflation rate, and money supply on stock market index in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The method used in this research is using multiple linear regression. Data obtained from SEKI -  Bank Indonesia (Economic and Financial Statistics - Central Bank of The Republic of Indonesia) and  IDX (Indonesia Stock Exchange), in the form of secondary data of monthly period in year 2011 – 2015, collected by documentation techniniques. The results showed that partially variable of US Dollar exchange rates, interest rates, inflation rates, and money supply have no effect on the stock price index of financial sector. Whereas universally interest rates have a significant positive effect on the stock price index of financial sector. Over all simultaneously US Dollar exchange rates, interest rates, inflation rates, and money supply have an effect on the stock price index of financial sector.   Keywords: exchange rate, interest rate, inflation rate, money supply, and stock market index.

scholarly journals The relationship between macroeconomic factors and stock market volatility: empirical evidence from the Vietnam stock market

2013 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 86-100
Author(s):  
Kieu Minh Nguyen ◽  
Diep Van Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Stock Price Index ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Relationship

The main target of this study is to measure the relationship of macroeconomic factors to the volatility of the stock market in Vietnam (through stock price VN-index). There are four factors including the consumer price index (measure of inflation), the exchange rate of USD/VND and money supply M2. Research shows that the stock price VN-Index has a positive relationship with the money supply M2 and the domestic gold price in long term. On the contrary, it has a negative relationship with the inflation while it does not have any connection to the exchange rate and stock price index. In short term, the current stock price index has proportional to the stock price index last month and inversely proportional to the exchange rate. The estimated speed of adjustment indicates that the Vietnam stock market converges to the equilibrium about 8 months (adjusted approximately 13.04% per month) to reach equilibrium in the long term.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Inflasi, Suku Bunga Sbi Dan Jumlah Uang Beredar Terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) Dengan Model Arch-Garch

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 688
Author(s):  
Ernest Theodore Febrianto Sitompul ◽  
Ignatius Roni Setyawan
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Hypothesis Test ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Garch Model ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Stock Price Index

The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of inflation, interest rates certificates of Bank Indonesia and the money supply on the composite stock price index (CSPI) with the Arch-Garch model. The analytical method used in this study is multiple regression analysis method with the Arch-Garch model which was carried out with Eviews 9.0. One of the requirements for conducting multiple analysis tests is to test the classical assumptions. This is necessary so that the resulting regression equation is good. Then test the hypothesis, test the coefficient of determination and z test. The results of this study indicate that the Inflation variable has an effect on the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) in the period January 2014 – December 2018. The interest rates certificates of Bank Indonesia an effect on the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) in the period January 2014 – December 2018. The Money Supply has an effect. against the Composite Stock Price Index (JCI) in the period January 2014 – December 2018.Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui pengaruh inflasi, suku bunga SBI dan jumlah uang beredar teradap indeks harga saham gabungan (IHSG) dengan model Arch-Garch. Metode analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah metode analisis regresi berganda dengan model Arch-Garch yang dilakukan dengan Eviews 9.0. Salah satu syarat untuk melakukan uji analisis berganda perlu dilakukan uji asumsi klasik. Hal ini diperlukan agar persamaan regresi yang dihasilkan baik. Kemudian dilakukan uji hipotesis, uji koefisien determinasi dan uji z. Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa variable Inflasi berpengaruh terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) pada periode Januari 2014 – Desember 2018. Suku Bunga SBI memiliki pengaruh terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) pada periode Januari 2014 – Desember 2018. Jumlah Uang Beredar berpengaruh terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) pada periode Januari 2014 – Desember 2018.

scholarly journals Is Bitcoin Price Driven by Macro-financial Factors and Liquidity? A Global Consumer Survey Empirical Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 399-414
Author(s):  
Shinta Amalina Hazrati Havidz ◽  
Viendya Ervina Karman ◽  
Indra Yudha Mambea
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Fixed Effect Model ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Internal Factor ◽  
Financial Factors ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Effect Model ◽  
Us Dollar

This research aims to utilize macro-financial and liquidity elements as the factors that may affect the price of Bitcoin as the largest cryptocurrency in terms of market capitalization. The macro-financial factors analyzed in this study were foreign exchange, stock market index, interest rates, and gold, while liquidity ratio is the internal factor. This study applied a fixed-effect model (FEM) and Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) on gathered weekly data from 1 January 2017 to 29 December 2019 from 18 countries with the total of 2,826 observations. The analysis revealed that US Dollar amplifies Bitcoin trading; an increase in interest rate will decrease investors’ intention to invest in Bitcoin as a speculative asset, and gold could replace Bitcoin as a substitute asset. Moreover, Bitcoin was found to be highly liquid, which attracts many investors, while the stock market index proved to be insignificant.

scholarly journals ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA PERIODE

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Dwi Purwaningsih ◽  
Tina Sulistiyani
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Stock Price Index

This study aims to determine the effect of the money supply, inflation, and SBI interest rates partially and simultaneously on the composite stock price index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) in 2012-2014, the type of data and data sources used in this study are data secondary data from the Bank Indonesia Annual Report, the Indonesian Ministry of Trade Institute, and Exchange Corner Financial Data. To analyze the data of this study used a multiple linear regression analysis tool that aims to determine the effect of the money supply, inflation, and SBI interest rates on the Composite Stock Price Index using SPSS statistical tools. Based on this research, the research method used in the first hypothesis is the Statistical t test and the second is the Statistical F test. Based on the results of this study indicate that the variable Money Supply has a significant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index. For the inflation variable does not have a significant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index. And the SBI Interest Rate variable has a significant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index. Together these three independent variables (Amount of Money Supply, Inflation, SBI Interest Rates) have a significant influence on the dependent variable (Composite Stock Price Index).

scholarly journals Estimasi permintaan indeks harga saham gabungan di Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 65-76
Author(s):  
Ade Nugraha Paer ◽  
Syamsurijal Tan ◽  
Emilia Emilia
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Stock Price Index ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Index Exchange

The purpose of this study is (a) to see the development of the composite stock price index, exchange rate, inflation, interest rates, and the money supply in Indonesia. (b) analyze the effect of the exchange rate, inflation, interest rate, and money supply on the composite stock price index in Indonesia. The method used in this study is a quantitative descriptive method with multiple linear regression analysis tools using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The data used is in the form of a time series. The results of this study average the development of the composite stock price index by 0.22 percent, the exchange rate by 2.57 percent, inflation by -0.90 percent, interest rates by -2.73 percent, and the Money Supply by 0.06 percent. Based on the results of the analysis conducted, exchange rates and interest rates have a negative and significant effect on the composite stock price index, inflation and the money supply have a positive and significant effect on the composite stock price index. Keywords: Composite stock price index, Exchange rate, Inflation, Interest rates, Money supply.

scholarly journals FAKTOR MAKRO EKONOMI DAN INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN

2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Rohmad Fuad Armansyah
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Stock Price Index ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Capital Market

ABSTRACTrequired in the economic development of a country. Indonesia’s capital markets that began operating government took steps to make the capital market as a distributor of funds and investments equivalentto bank and non-bank institutions. Stock price of the capital market are closely related to several factors, which may consist of a factor derived from the company’s internal and external. This study tried to examine the factors that affect stock price index focuses on macro economic factors. In this study the authors wanted to determine the effect of the money supply, interest rates on deposits, and dollar exchange rates simultaneously and partially on the Composite Index in Indonesian capital market. Besides that, the authors also wanted to know that among the factors mentioned above, there are some factors dominantly affecting the Composite Stock Price Index. The approach used in this study is quantitative approach, because the existing data in the form of numbers are arranged in a list. The analysis method used in this study is the method of statistical analysis by multiple linear regression using SPSS version 16. Population and sample used in this study are all companies listed on the Indonesian stock exchange by looking at the composite stock price index. The results of this study indicate that the interest rate of deposits, money supply, and the dollar exchange rate which  change and development of the Composite Stock Price Index and the money supply, are dominant Composite Stock Price Index.

Pengaruh Inflasi, BI-7 Day Reverse Repo Rate, Kurs, Jumlah Uang Beredar dan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan terhadap Nilai Aktiva Bersih Reksa Dana Saham

Owner ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 358-367
Author(s):  
Jhon Lismart Benget. P.
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Asset Value ◽  
Net Asset Value ◽  
Repo Rate ◽  
Stock Price Index

The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of inflation, BI-7 day reverses repo rate, exchange rate, the money supply, and composite stock price index on the net asset value of stock mutual funds. The population of this study is the stock mutual fund which was listed on the financial services authority in 2017-2020. The results of this study indicate that simultaneously inflation, BI-7 day reverse repo rate, exchange rate, the money supply, and composite stock price index affect the net asset value of the stock mutual fund. Partially, this study show BI-7 day reverse repo rate has a positive and significant effect on the net asset value of a stock mutual fund. The exchange rate has a positive and significant effect on the net asset value of stock mutual funds. The composite stock price index has a positive and significant effect on the net asset value of stock mutual funds. The money supply has a negative and significant effect on the net asset value of a stock mutual fund while inflation has no significant effect on the net asset value of a stock mutual fund.

Prediction of the Unemployment and Bank Interest Rates on Changes in the Stock Price Index with Efficient Regression

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Berlian Al Kindhi ◽  
Rista Anisa Dewi ◽  
Noviyanti Santoso ◽  
Akhmad Yuzfa Salvian Idris ◽  
Afrizandy Bayu Yudhistira ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Stock Price Index

scholarly journals Impact of Macroeconomic and Demographic Variables on the Stock Market: Evidence from Tunisian Crisis

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 194
Author(s):  
Sirine Ben Yaâla ◽  
Jamel Eddine Henchiri
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Demographic Variables ◽  
Second Order ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Order Difference ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

<p>This study aims to analyze the long-run as well as the short-run relationship between macroeconomic, demographic variables and the Tunisian stock market for the period subsequent to the financial crisis. Monthly data over the period 2008-2014 and ARDL model have been employed. Results indicate that the Tunisian stock market index, macroeconomic and demographic indicators are cointegrated and, therefore, a long-run relationship exists between them. The long-run coefficients suggest that budget deficit, inflation rate and number of unemployed graduates had a negative effect, otherwise, money supply and number of non-resident entries had positive effect on the Tunisian stock market. Moreover, results from the error correction model show that the Tunisian stock market index is influenced positively by money supply and second order difference of the number of unemployed graduated and negatively by first and second order difference of money supply, inflation rate, first order difference of number of non-resident entries and number of unemployment graduates.</p>

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