scholarly journals Prediction of Seismic zone in India using Neural Network Algorithms

In this world, earthquake is a major catastrophe which creates huge amount of loss in living non living things. The prediction of an earthquake is an important task in seismology. Neural network performs a key task in the prediction of earthquake. The neural network architecture are created with different input layer and hidden layers with deep learning optimization algorithms. The input layer was developed with the parameters of historical earthquake data of India taken from India Meteorological Department (IMD). The earthquake event such as date, latitude, longitude, depth, magnitude are mathematically converted into seismic indicators depend on Gutenberg-Richter’s inverse law, are the input layers of this neural network model. The developed network model was trained with set of data items using neural network algorithms such as Backpropagation and sequential learning. The Backpropagation is used to find the magnitude prediction and sequential learning is used to find the prediction model for the cartographic risky areas. The loss and accuracy of the model are analyzed with the help of software tool, Disaster Management System which is developed for this work using Python. The deep neural network optimizers such as Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD), Adaptive Gradient algorithm (AdaGrad) and Root Mean Square propagation (RMSprop) are used to optimize the prediction model. The optimizer produced earthquake prediction model with high ability and more accuracy. Also give the cartography which shows the seismic zone in India face earthquake in future

2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 220-228
Author(s):  
Gusti Alfahmi Anwar ◽  
Desti Riminarsih

Panthera merupakan genus dari keluarga kucing yang memiliki empat spesies popular yaitu, harimau, jaguar, macan tutul, singa. Singa memiliki warna keemasan dan tidak memilki motif, harimau memiliki motif loreng dengan garis-garis panjang, jaguar memiliki tubuh yang lebih besar dari pada macan tutul serta memiliki motif tutul yang lebih lebar, sedangkan macan tutul memiliki tubuh yang sedikit lebih ramping dari pada jaguar dan memiliki tutul yang tidak terlalu lebar. Pada penelitian ini dilakukan klasifikasi genus panther yaitu harimau, jaguar, macan tutul, dan singa menggunakan metode Convolutional Neural Network. Model Convolutional Neural Network yang digunakan memiliki 1 input layer, 5 convolution layer, dan 2 fully connected layer. Dataset yang digunakan berupa citra harimau, jaguar, macan tutul, dan singa. Data training terdiri dari 3840 citra, data validasi sebanyak 960 citra, dan data testing sebanyak 800 citra. Hasil akurasi dari pelatihan model untuk training yaitu 92,31% dan validasi yaitu 81,88%, pengujian model menggunakan dataset testing mendapatan hasil 68%. Hasil akurasi prediksi didapatkan dari nilai F1-Score pada pengujian didapatkan sebesar 78% untuk harimau, 70% untuk jaguar, 37% untuk macan tutul, 74% untuk singa. Macan tutul mendapatkan akurasi terendah dibandingkan 3 hewan lainnya tetapi lebih baik dibandingkan hasil penelitian sebelumnya.


Author(s):  
Chang Guo ◽  
Ming Gao ◽  
Peixin Dong ◽  
Yuetao Shi ◽  
Fengzhong Sun

As one kind of serious environmental problems, flow-induced noise in centrifugal pumps pollutes the working circumstance and deteriorates the performance of pumps, meanwhile, it always changes drastically under various working conditions. Consequently, it is extremely significant to predict flow-induced noise of centrifugal pumps under various working conditions with a practical mathematical model. In this paper, a three-layer back propagation (BP) neural network model is established and the number of input, hidden and output layer node is set as 3, 6 and 1, respectively. To be specific, the flow rate, rotational speed and medium temperature are chosen as input layer, and the corresponding flow-induced noise evaluated by average of total sound pressure level (A_TSPL) as output layer. Furthermore, the tansig function is used to act as transfer function between the input layer and hidden layer, and the purelin function is used between hidden layer and output layer. The trainlm function based on Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm is selected as the training function. By using a large number of sample data, the training of the network model and prediction research are accomplished. The results indicate that good correlation is established among the sample data, and the predictive values show great consistence with simulation ones, of which the average relative error of A_TSPL in process of verification is 0.52%. The precision of the model can satisfy the requirement of relevant research and engineering application.


2022 ◽  
Vol 2022 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Wei Guo ◽  
Guoyun Gao ◽  
Jun Dai ◽  
Qiming Sun

Lung infection seriously affects the effect of chemotherapy in patients with lung cancer and increases pain. The study is aimed at establishing the prediction model of infection in patients with lung cancer during chemotherapy by an artificial neural network (ANN). Based on the data of historical cases in our hospital, the variables were screened, and the prediction model was established. A logistic regression (LR) model was used to screen the data. The indexes with statistical significance were selected, and the LR model and back propagation neural network model were established. A total of 80 cases of advanced lung cancer patients with palliative chemotherapy were predicted, and the prediction performance of different model was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). It was found that age ≧ 60 years, length of stay ≧ 14  d, surgery history, combined chemotherapy, myelosuppression, diabetes, and hormone application were risk factors of infection in lung cancer patients during chemotherapy. The area under the ROC curve of the LR model for prediction lung infection was 0.729 ± 0.084 , which was less than that of the ANN model ( 0.897 ± 0.045 ). The results concluded that the neural network model is better than the LR model in predicting lung infection of lung cancer patients during chemotherapy.


2014 ◽  
Vol 536-537 ◽  
pp. 837-840
Author(s):  
Jiang Sun ◽  
Chong Wei

A BP neural network model was employed to forecast the railway freight turnover. First, this paper analyses the data of railway freight turnover in China from 1998 to 2012, build a three layers BP neural network, then by training and learning, a well-trained network can be used for simulating and forecasting. Finally, predict by the Grey GM(1,1) model and well-trained BP neural network respectively, and compares the errors of two prediction model, the results show that predicting the railway freight turnover by BP neural network has higher precision.


2014 ◽  
Vol 571-572 ◽  
pp. 717-720
Author(s):  
De Kun Hu ◽  
Yong Hong Liu ◽  
Li Zhang ◽  
Gui Duo Duan

A deep Neural Network model was trained to classify the facial expression in unconstrained images, which comprises nine layers, including input layer, convolutional layer, pooling layer, fully connected layers and output layer. In order to optimize the model, rectified linear units for the nonlinear transformation, weights sharing for reducing the complexity, “mean” and “max” pooling for subsample, “dropout” for sparsity are applied in the forward processing. With large amounts of hard training faces, the model was trained via back propagation method with stochastic gradient descent. The results of shows the proposed model achieves excellent performance.


2011 ◽  
Vol 121-126 ◽  
pp. 4847-4851 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Zhen Yang ◽  
Wen Guang Zhao ◽  
Wei Chen ◽  
Xu Quan Chen

Wavelet Neural Network (WNN) is a new form of neural network combined with the wavelet theory and artificial neural network. The wavelet neural network model based on Morlet wavelet and the corresponding learning algorithm were studied in this paper. And through learning the wavelet neural network model is applied to all kinds of engineering examples, it proved that the wavelet neural network prediction model which has a more flexible and efficient function approximation ability and strong fault tolerance, and with high predicting precision.


2013 ◽  
Vol 663 ◽  
pp. 68-71
Author(s):  
Kai Jiang ◽  
Yi Hong Zhou ◽  
Yao Ying Huang ◽  
Shao Wu Zhou ◽  
Dan Dan Liu

The explicit statistical model of concrete temperature variation is difficult to reasonably reflect the nonlinear relationship between the historical information and future information. This article is based on neural network intelligence tools and uses the neural network model to describe the concrete temperature variation during the construction. The relationships between the concrete temperature and initial temperature (pouring temperature), environmental temperature, the cement hydration heat temperature increase, water cooling effect and other factors are nonlinear. Establishing the neural network model of concrete temperature variation, exploring the historical temperature information could predict the future temperature information. Applying the intelligent prediction model to a construction project shows that when compared with the traditional explicit temperature statistical model, the temperature neural network prediction model established in this paper has obvious simplicity and superiority.


2013 ◽  
Vol 415 ◽  
pp. 569-573 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fang Li ◽  
Yan Yan Zuo

According to the complexity and non-linear characteristics of car interior sound quality evaluation, the technology of BP neural network is used in sound quality evaluation. The interior noise samples from actual cars were obtained by road experiment. The subjective evaluation test of sound quality annoyance was carried out. Meanwhile, several objective psycho-acoustical parameters of these samples were calculated. The sound quality prediction model of vehicle interior noise was established based on BP neural network. Annoyance of samples was obtained by means of the prediction model and the results were compared with that obtained by multiple liner regression prediction model. The results indicate that the prediction results from BP neural network model were close to the measured values. The BP neural network model was more effective than multiple liner regression model, and it can be used effectively to the evaluation of modern car noise.


Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 928
Author(s):  
Hsiu-An Lee ◽  
Louis R. Chao ◽  
Chien-Yeh Hsu

Cancer is the leading cause of death in Taiwan. According to the Cancer Registration Report of Taiwan’s Ministry of Health and Welfare, a total of 13,488 people suffered from lung cancer in 2016, making it the second-most common cancer and the leading cancer in men. Compared with other types of cancer, the incidence of lung cancer is high. In this study, the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRDB) was used to determine the diseases and symptoms associated with lung cancer, and a 10-year probability deep neural network prediction model for lung cancer was developed. The proposed model could allow patients with a high risk of lung cancer to receive an earlier diagnosis and support the physicians’ clinical decision-making. The study was designed as a cohort study. The subjects were patients who were diagnosed with lung cancer between 2000 and 2009, and the patients’ disease histories were back-tracked for a period, extending to ten years before the diagnosis of lung cancer. As a result, a total of 13 diseases were selected as the predicting factors. A nine layers deep neural network model was created to predict the probability of lung cancer, depending on the different pre-diagnosed diseases, and to benefit the earlier detection of lung cancer in potential patients. The model is trained 1000 times, the batch size is set to 100, the SGD (Stochastic gradient descent) optimizer is used, the learning rate is set to 0.1, and the momentum is set to 0.1. The proposed model showed an accuracy of 85.4%, a sensitivity of 72.4% and a specificity of 85%, as well as an 87.4% area under ROC (AUROC) (95%, 0.8604–0.8885) model precision. Based on data analysis and deep learning, our prediction model discovered some features that had not been previously identified by clinical knowledge. This study tracks a decade of clinical diagnostic records to identify possible symptoms and comorbidities of lung cancer, allows early prediction of the disease, and assists more patients with early diagnosis.


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