Study of the Concrete Block Temperature Intelligent Prediction Model during the Construction

2013 ◽  
Vol 663 ◽  
pp. 68-71
Author(s):  
Kai Jiang ◽  
Yi Hong Zhou ◽  
Yao Ying Huang ◽  
Shao Wu Zhou ◽  
Dan Dan Liu

The explicit statistical model of concrete temperature variation is difficult to reasonably reflect the nonlinear relationship between the historical information and future information. This article is based on neural network intelligence tools and uses the neural network model to describe the concrete temperature variation during the construction. The relationships between the concrete temperature and initial temperature (pouring temperature), environmental temperature, the cement hydration heat temperature increase, water cooling effect and other factors are nonlinear. Establishing the neural network model of concrete temperature variation, exploring the historical temperature information could predict the future temperature information. Applying the intelligent prediction model to a construction project shows that when compared with the traditional explicit temperature statistical model, the temperature neural network prediction model established in this paper has obvious simplicity and superiority.

2006 ◽  
Vol 24 (8) ◽  
pp. 2105-2114 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. J. Barbero ◽  
G. López ◽  
F. J. Batlles

Abstract. In this study, two different methodologies are used to develop two models for estimating daily solar UV radiation. The first is based on traditional statistical techniques whereas the second is based on artificial neural network methods. Both models use daily solar global broadband radiation as the only measured input. The statistical model is derived from a relationship between the daily UV and the global clearness indices but modulated by the relative optical air mass. The inputs to the neural network model were determined from a large number of radiometric and atmospheric parameters using the automatic relevance determination method, although only the daily solar global irradiation, daily global clearness index and relative optical air mass were shown to be the optimal input variables. Both statistical and neural network models were developed using data measured at Almería (Spain), a semiarid and coastal climate, and tested against data from Table Mountain (Golden, CO, USA), a mountainous and dry environment. Results show that the statistical model performs adequately in both sites for all weather conditions, especially when only snow-free days at Golden were considered (RMSE=4.6%, MBE= –0.1%). The neural network based model provides the best overall estimates in the site where it has been trained, but presents an inadequate performance for the Golden site when snow-covered days are included (RMSE=6.5%, MBE= –3.0%). This result confirms that the neural network model does not adequately respond on those ranges of the input parameters which were not used for its development.


Author(s):  
Mostafa H. Tawfeek ◽  
Karim El-Basyouny

Safety Performance Functions (SPFs) are regression models used to predict the expected number of collisions as a function of various traffic and geometric characteristics. One of the integral components in developing SPFs is the availability of accurate exposure factors, that is, annual average daily traffic (AADT). However, AADTs are not often available for minor roads at rural intersections. This study aims to develop a robust AADT estimation model using a deep neural network. A total of 1,350 rural four-legged, stop-controlled intersections from the Province of Alberta, Canada, were used to train the neural network. The results of the deep neural network model were compared with the traditional estimation method, which uses linear regression. The results indicated that the deep neural network model improved the estimation of minor roads’ AADT by 35% when compared with the traditional method. Furthermore, SPFs developed using linear regression resulted in models with statistically insignificant AADTs on minor roads. Conversely, the SPF developed using the neural network provided a better fit to the data with both AADTs on minor and major roads being statistically significant variables. The findings indicated that the proposed model could enhance the predictive power of the SPF and therefore improve the decision-making process since SPFs are used in all parts of the safety management process.


2011 ◽  
Vol 213 ◽  
pp. 419-426
Author(s):  
M.M. Rahman ◽  
Hemin M. Mohyaldeen ◽  
M.M. Noor ◽  
K. Kadirgama ◽  
Rosli A. Bakar

Modeling and simulation are indispensable when dealing with complex engineering systems. This study deals with intelligent techniques modeling for linear response of suspension arm. The finite element analysis and Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN) technique is used to predict the response of suspension arm. The linear static analysis was performed utilizing the finite element analysis code. The neural network model has 3 inputs representing the load, mesh size and material while 4 output representing the maximum displacement, maximum Principal stress, von Mises and Tresca. Finally, regression analysis between finite element results and values predicted by the neural network model was made. It can be seen that the RBFNN proposed approach was found to be highly effective with least error in identification of stress-displacement of suspension arm. Simulated results show that RBF can be very successively used for reduction of the effort and time required to predict the stress-displacement response of suspension arm as FE methods usually deal with only a single problem for each run.


2022 ◽  
Vol 2022 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Wei Guo ◽  
Guoyun Gao ◽  
Jun Dai ◽  
Qiming Sun

Lung infection seriously affects the effect of chemotherapy in patients with lung cancer and increases pain. The study is aimed at establishing the prediction model of infection in patients with lung cancer during chemotherapy by an artificial neural network (ANN). Based on the data of historical cases in our hospital, the variables were screened, and the prediction model was established. A logistic regression (LR) model was used to screen the data. The indexes with statistical significance were selected, and the LR model and back propagation neural network model were established. A total of 80 cases of advanced lung cancer patients with palliative chemotherapy were predicted, and the prediction performance of different model was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). It was found that age ≧ 60 years, length of stay ≧ 14  d, surgery history, combined chemotherapy, myelosuppression, diabetes, and hormone application were risk factors of infection in lung cancer patients during chemotherapy. The area under the ROC curve of the LR model for prediction lung infection was 0.729 ± 0.084 , which was less than that of the ANN model ( 0.897 ± 0.045 ). The results concluded that the neural network model is better than the LR model in predicting lung infection of lung cancer patients during chemotherapy.


2014 ◽  
Vol 536-537 ◽  
pp. 837-840
Author(s):  
Jiang Sun ◽  
Chong Wei

A BP neural network model was employed to forecast the railway freight turnover. First, this paper analyses the data of railway freight turnover in China from 1998 to 2012, build a three layers BP neural network, then by training and learning, a well-trained network can be used for simulating and forecasting. Finally, predict by the Grey GM(1,1) model and well-trained BP neural network respectively, and compares the errors of two prediction model, the results show that predicting the railway freight turnover by BP neural network has higher precision.


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (11) ◽  
pp. 3213 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amr Hassan ◽  
Abdel-Rahman Akl ◽  
Ibrahim Hassan ◽  
Caroline Sunderland

Predicting the results of soccer competitions and the contributions of match attributes, in particular, has gained popularity in recent years. Big data processing obtained from different sensors, cameras and analysis systems needs modern tools that can provide a deep understanding of the relationship between this huge amount of data produced by sensors and cameras, both linear and non-linear data. Using data mining tools does not appear sufficient to provide a deep understanding of the relationship between the match attributes and results and how to predict or optimize the results based upon performance variables. This study aimed to suggest a different approach to predict wins, losses and attributes’ sensitivities which enables the prediction of match results based on the most sensitive attributes that affect it as a second step. A radial basis function neural network model has successfully weighted the effectiveness of all match attributes and classified the team results into the target groups as a win or loss. The neural network model’s output demonstrated a correct percentage of win and loss of 83.3% and 72.7% respectively, with a low Root Mean Square training error of 2.9% and testing error of 0.37%. Out of 75 match attributes, 19 were identified as powerful predictors of success. The most powerful respectively were: the Total Team Medium Pass Attempted (MBA) 100%; the Distance Covered Team Average in zone 3 (15–20 km/h; Zone3_TA) 99%; the Team Average ball delivery into the attacking third of the field (TA_DAT) 80.9%; the Total Team Covered Distance without Ball Possession (Not in_Poss_TT) 76.8%; and the Average Distance Covered by Team (Game TA) 75.1%. Therefore, the novel radial based function neural network model can be employed by sports scientists to adapt training, tactics and opposition analysis to improve performance.


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