scholarly journals Impact of Foreign Exchange Rate and Inflation Rate on the Economic Growth of India

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 4333-4335
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Foreign Exchange Rate ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Economic Progress ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
The Impact

This paper tries to investigate the impact of foreign exchange rate and inflation rate on the economic progress of India. In this study the economic progress has been measured by annual GDP ( Gross Domestic Product ) growth in India. Correlation analysis and multiple regression model have been designed to explore the relationship among the mentioned three variables. The annual GDP growth of India has been considered as the dependent variable and the other two macroeconomic variables ( Foreign exchange rate and inflation rate ) have been considered as the independent variables. Secondary sources of data have been gathered to arrive at a logical conclusion. The results show a positive correlation between GDP growth rate and the foreign exchange rate and a negative correlation between the GDP growth rate and the inflation rate. Results from the linear regression analysis show that inflation rate has a strong influence or impact on the GDP growth rate than the foreign exchange rate. It is expected that the present study will help the policy makers and the researchers to understand the impact of foreign exchange rate and inflation rate on the GDP growth in India

scholarly journals The Impact of Government Size on Inflation in selected Developing Countries (2006-2014)

2018 ◽  
pp. 71-90
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Government Size ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Money Growth ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
The Impact

One of the serious challenges facing developing countries that are facing is the issue of inflation. Inflation creates serious challenges for economic agents as a result of the greatly damaging effects of economic and economic growth. Despite the general understanding of the concept of inflation, there is still no agreement between economists on the causes of its creation. The present study examines the impact of government size on inflation in 16 selected developing countries (Afghanistan, India, Iran, Malaysia, Mexico, Argentina, Qatar, Singapore, Kuwait, Pakistan, Uruguay, Benon, Nepal, Mali, Vietnam and Bhutan) will be tested during the period from 2006 to 2014. The pattern examined for this purpose, using the combination (panel) data in the least squared method completely, for the investigated pattern for this purpose, using generalized least squares panel data, toinvestigate the effect of each of the variables of government size, the index of import value, interest rate, Money and quasi money growth rate and GDP growth rate used on the Inflation rate. The results of this research indicate that the Money and quasi money growth rate, interest rate and growth rate of the import value index had a positive and significant effect on the inflation rate, and the GDP growth rate had a negative and significant effect on the inflation rate. Also, the main independent variable of government size model has had a negative and significant impact on inflation in the studied countries.

scholarly journals Impacts of Macroeconomic Variables on the Stock Market Returns of South Asian Region

2020 ◽  
pp. 24-34 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Currency Reserve ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate

This paper is intended to find out whether macroeconomic variables may impact on the stock market as well as whether such impact has any country specific pattern. The stock market return was taken as the dependent variable and real interest rate, inflation rate, GDP growth rate, foreign currency reserve growth rate, fiscal deficit, FDI to GDP ratio, exchange rate were taken as independent variables. Data-set was covered from 1993 to 2019 for five South Asian countries which were Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Nepal. The pattern of the stock market, as well as macro conditions of these countries, was observed and it was found that some relationships exist between the stock market returns and these chosen independent variables. Unit root test, Heteroscedasticty test, autocorrelation test, Hausman test is conducted to authenticate and clarified data to investigate relationship nature. Granger Casualty test indicated that there exist cause and effect relationship between GDP growth rate, exchange rate, and stock market returns. Finally, the regression test reveals that the inflation rate and foreign currency reserve growth rate have a significant impact on the stock market returns. It was expected to have the unique nature of different countries having versatile impact on dependent, so additionally fixed effects model and random effects model were run and it was found that the random effects model is statistically appropriate through conducting the Hausman test. The test reveals that GDP growth rate, foreign currency reserve growth rate, and fiscal deficit positively impact the stock market returns and these also support the literature review. Interest rates, inflation rate, FDI to GDP ratio, and exchange rate have negatively impacted the stock market return where only interest rate, inflation rate & exchange rate.

scholarly journals Macroeconomic factors, firm characteristics and financial performance

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 142-168 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chinedu Francis Egbunike ◽  
Chinedu Uchenna Okerekeoti
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Financial Performance ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Manufacturing Firms ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Firm Characteristics ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to explore the interrelationship between macroeconomic factors, firm characteristics and financial performance of quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. Specifically, the study investigates the effect of interest rate, inflation rate, exchange rate and the gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate, while the firm characteristics were size, leverage and liquidity. The dependent variable financial performance is measured as return on assets (ROA). Design/methodology/approach The study used the ex post facto research design. The population comprised all quoted manufacturing firms on the Nigerian Stock Exchange. The sample was restricted to companies in the consumer goods sector, selected using non-probability sampling method. The study used multiple linear regression as the method of validating the hypotheses. Findings The study finds no significant effect for interest rate and exchange rate, but a significant effect for inflation rate and GDP growth rate on ROA. Second, the firm characteristics showed that firm size, leverage and liquidity were significant. Practical implications The study has implications for regulators and policy makers in formulating policy decisions. In addition, managers may better understand the interplay between macroeconomic factors, firm characteristics and profitability of firms. Originality/value Few studies have addressed the interplay of macroeconomic factors and firm characteristics in determining the profitability of manufacturing firms in the country and developing countries in general.

scholarly journals Impact of Non-Performing Loans on Credit Growth in the Banking Industry in Tanzania: 2009 – 2018

2021 ◽  
pp. 10-18
Author(s):  
John P. Lihawa ◽  
Deus D. Ngaruko
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Credit Growth ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
The Impact

This study adopted descriptive statistics and multiple regression analysis in investigating the impact of Non-Performing Loans (NPL) on credit growth to private sector in Tanzania, apart from NPL. The study also investigated the influence of interest rates, inflation rates and GDP on credit advancement to private sector in Tanzania. Using multiple linear regression analysis the study found that both NPL and interest rates have negative impact on the credit growth to private sector in Tanzania, with coefficient values of -0.323 and -0.263 for NPL and interest rate respectively. Furthermore, the study also found that Inflation rate and GDP growth rate have positive impact on the credit growth to private sector in Tanzania with coefficients of 0.247and 0.156 for inflation rate and GDP growth rate respectively. The study found that NPL has a significant negative impact on the credit growth by commercial bank to private sector in Tanzania. These results suggest that the central bank should continue to closely monitor and control the level of NPL in the economy and confine it below the threshold of 5% as stipulated by the BOT and IMF. The study also recommends that commercial banks should ensure that a thorough credit risk assessment is conducted when advancing loans to private sector.

scholarly journals Analysis of the Impact of Exchange Rate, Inflation, Export and Import on Gross Domestic Product in Bangladesh

2019 ◽  
pp. 170-175
Author(s):  
Papi Halder
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
The Impact

This study is about the impact of selected macroeconomic variables on economic growth of Bangladesh. Economic growth of Bangladesh is measured in terms of annual nominal GDP growth rate. Least squared regression model has been employed considering exchange rate, export, import and inflation rate as independent variables and gross domestic product as the dependent variable in this study. The results reveal that export and import have significant positive impact on GDP growth rate. The other variables (exchange rate and inflation) are not significant, indicating that there exists no significant relationship among the variables. The findings will help the policy makers to make policies concerning the country’s economic growth to remain robust in the near future.

scholarly journals Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Islamic Banks Profitability

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 20-35
Author(s):  
Qaisar Ali ◽  
Selamah Maamor ◽  
Hakimah Yaacob ◽  
Muhammad Usman Tariq Gill
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Brunei Darussalam ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
The Impact

The main objective of this study is to understand and determine the impact of macroeconomic variables on Islamic banks’ profitability in Brunei. The impact of GDP growth rate, inflation, interest rate, exchange rate, oil prices, competition and money supply on Bank Islam Brunei Darussalam (BIBD) profitability was determined from the year 2012 to the year 2016. The secondary data was obtained from DEPD, AMBD and IMF annual reports. The collected data was analysed using Stata 15. The fixed effects panel regression technique was adopted to measure the impact of each variable on Islamic banks’ profitability. The findings revealed that GDP growth rate, inflation, exchange rate, oil prices and money supply have a significant positive impact on profitability. The findings further revealed that oil prices, GDP and inflation were the most significant and exchange rate and money supply were the least significant determinants of profitability. The findings suggest the regulators and policy makers to discover alternative resources to rejuvenate economic and financial system. Islamic bankers may revamp its marketing strategies to reduce the intensity of macroeconomic variables. This study has vigorously contributed in the existing literature of single country analysis of Islamic banks particularly in the context of Brunei.

scholarly journals THE INFLUENCE OF MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS ON CREDIT RISK: CASE OF ROMANIAN BANKING SYSTEM

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iulia Andreea Bucur ◽  
Simona Elena Dragomirescu
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange Rate ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Macroeconomic Conditions ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Rate Fluctuation

This paper aims to explore the interactions between macroeconomic conditions, such as: real GDP growth rate, inflation rate, market interest rate, broad money supply, foreign exchange rate fluctuation and unemployment rate, and credit risk in Romanian banking sector during 2008-2013. The interrelations of indicators’ complexity imply a multidimensional statistical analysis in order to find a relation between the macroeconomic conditions and the credit risk. Our regression analysis findings confirm the hypothesis according to which the money supply growth rate and the market foreign exchange rate are negatively related with credit risk and the unemployment rate is positively related with it. Furthermore, our findings revealed that the credit risk is significantly and negatively affected by the exchange rate fluctuation and significantly and positively affected by the unemployment rate. The results do not indicate a significant relationship between credit risk and real GDP growth rate.

scholarly journals Stress Testing of Banking Systems: an examination against the Shocks of Macroeconomic Variables

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (SPE1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kamiar Askari ◽  
Fatemeh Sarraf ◽  
Roya Darabi ◽  
Fatemeh Zandi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Economic Growth Rate ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Default Rates

In the past years, overdue due receivables of the banks have increased in an unprecedented way compared to all the facilities granted in Iran’s banking network, showing the not very acceptable quality of bank assets that decrease the bank credit and make them financially unstable. The macroeconomic variables in this article are as follow: GDP growth rate, economic growth, exchange rate, inflation rate, unemployment rate, government debt. The decrease in this amount of arrears shows the ability of banks to maintain their resources. At this research, after identifying the macroeconomic variables affecting the default of banks using the stress test and applying one standard deviation with the help of the historical scenario, the study examined the banks’ resilience to the shocks of these variables from 2006 to 2019. The results indicated that the shock of the economic growth rate had the greatest effect. In other words, the decrease in the economic growth rate had the greatest effect on the increase of borrowers’ default rates. In addition to this, shocks of economic growth and government debt have highly effect on the borrowers’ default rates and inflation rate, unemployment rate, GDP growth rate and exchange rate have a significant impact upon borrowers’ default rates.

scholarly journals Domestic Investment, Foreign Direct Investment and Macroeconomic Stability in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 04 (05) ◽  
Author(s):  
Saliu Mojeed Olanrewaju ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate

This study examines the relationship between the two major investment components (domestic investment and foreign direct investment) and macroeconomic stability in Nigeria. In order to capture the macroeconomic stability, some selected macroeconomic variables are presented, namely: real GDP growth rate (RGDPgr), trade openness (TOP), exchange rate (EXR), inflation rate (INFR), interest rate (INTR), private sector credit (PSC) which represent domestic variables and world oil price (WOP) which represent foreign variable. The study employs Johansen cointegration and Vector Autoregressive model as the estimation techniques. Findings from the study reveals that there is no long-run relationship between the selected macroeconomic variables and the two investment variables. The study also reveals that shocks and fluctuations from real GDP growth rate (RGDPgr), private sector credit (PSC), inflation rate (INFR), interest rate (INTR), exchange rate (EXR) and world oil price (WOP) strongly and significantly affect domestic investment in Nigeria; while the shocks and instabilities arising from real GDP growth rate (RGDPgr), inflation rate (INFR), interest rate (INTR), exchange rate (EXR), trade openness (TOP) and world oil price (WOP) majorly and significantly affect foreign direct investment in Nigeria during the period under review. The study therefore recommends that Nigerian government should provide stability measures in all the aforementioned macroeconomic indicators, as this will attract a higher level of FDI and this will create an enabling business environment for domestic investment to operate.

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