scholarly journals The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment and Foreign Trade on Gross Domestic Product in Eurasian Countries: Panel Cointegration Analysis

Author(s):  
Mehmet Songur ◽  
Demet Yaman

In recent years, with the phenomenon of globalization, both foreign trade and foreign direct investment have become important factors that impact on economic growth. The effect of foreign trade and foreign direct investment on economic growth has been an important research area for many economists. For this purpose, this study investigates the effects of foreign direct invesment and foreign trade on economic growth, with the help of Pedroni Panel Cointegration Analysis,for 9 Eurasian countries using annual data for the period 1995-2011.The results show that in analyzed countries, there has been a long-term relationship between the variables. The results of cointegration coeffficients show that, import and export has a negative impact but foreign direct invesment has a positive impact on GDP. From these results, Eurasian economies on one hand should develop policies to increase the effeciency of foreign direct invesment and increase foreign trade. On the other hand Eurasian economies should improve policies to increase the economic and human infrastructure.

2021 ◽  
pp. 0958305X2110453
Author(s):  
Jaleel Ahmed ◽  
Shuja ur Rehman ◽  
Zaid Zuhaira ◽  
Shoaib Nisar

This study examines the impact of financial development on energy consumption for a wide array of countries. The estimators used for financial development are foreign direct investment, economic growth and urbanization. The study employed a panel data regression on 136 countries with time frame of years 1990 to 2019. The model in this study deploys system GMM technique to estimate the model. The results show that financial development has a significant negative impact on energy consumption overall. Foreign direct investment and urbanization has significant impact on energy consumption. Also, economic growth positive impact on energy consumption its mean that economic growth promotes energy consumption. When dividing further the sample into different groups of regions such as Asian, European, African, North/Latin American and Caribbean countries then mixed results related to the nexus between financial development and energy consumption with respect to economic growth, urbanization and foreign direct investment. The policymakers in these different groups of countries must balance the relationship between energy supply and demand to achieving the sustainable economic development.


2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 57-66
Author(s):  
Aditya Febriananta Putra ◽  
Suyanto . ◽  
Irzameingindra Putri Radjamin

Exertions to accelerate development carried out by developing countries in general are oriented towards improving or improving people’s lives. Developing countries are characterized as countries that lack capital, savings and investment. The role of Labor has a significant effect but has a negative impact on economic growth. Agriculture and Service also performance a significant role, despite having a positive impact on economic growth. While other variables, namely Fixed Capital Formation, Foreign Direct Investment, Export, Manufacture, and Fertility showed insignificant results on economic growth.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-26
Author(s):  
Sumaira Alvi ◽  
Imran Sharif Chaudhry ◽  
Fatima Farooq ◽  
Noreen Safdar

The present research endeavors to evaluate whether trade liberalization, foreign direct investment inflows and environmental quality affect the economic growth in Pakistan and China. These have crucial role in the economies and pragmatic for formulating economic growth policies. The secondary data is used for all the variables. The ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration is applied to evaluate the determinants included in the model for both countries. The results of the research conclude that trade liberalization and foreign direct investment both have positive impact on economic growth while environmental pollution has negative impact on economic growth in long-run.


Author(s):  
Ravinthirakumaran Navaratnam ◽  
Kasavarajah Mayandy

The impact of fiscal deficit on economic growth is one of the most widely debated issues among economists and policy makers in both developed and developing countries in the recent period. This paper seeks to examine the impact of fiscal deficit on economic growth in selected South Asian countries, namely, Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka using time series annual data over the period 1980 to 2014. The paper uses cointegration analysis, error correction modelling and Granger causality test under a Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework. The results from this study confirmed that the fiscal deficit has a negative impact on economic growth in the South Asian countries considered in this study except Nepal, which confirmed the positive impact. The results also highlighted that the direction of causality for the SAARC countries is mixed where fiscal deficit causes economic growth for Bangladesh, Nepal and Pakistan, but the reverse is true for India and Sri Lanka.  


Author(s):  
Dada, Matthew Abiodun

This study conducted a disaggregated analysis of foreign trade impact on economic growth using Nigeria historical data. The data used spans the period 1981-2017 on variables such as foreign trade decomposed into four components namely; oil import, oil export, non-oil import, and non-oil export. Others are GDP, aggregated government expenditure data and consumer price index. The variables were sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria [CBN] Statistical Bulletin [latest edition] augmented with World Development Indicator [WDI], latest version and CBN Annual Report [various issues].  Models were formulated with and without recession dummy variable and estimated using (FMOLS) technique. Variables were tested and found to be non-stationary at level. They become stationary after first differencing, meaning that all variables exhibit a I[1] process. The group of I(1) variables were found to be cointegrated after testing for cointegration following a multivariate cointegration analysis proposed by Johansen and Juselius [20]. The result shows that non-oil trade has positive impact on growth while oil trade has negative impact on growth. The negative impact of oil trade declines marginally in recession period.  Both government expenditure and consumer prices have significant positive impact on economic growth. This study strongly recommends that government in her effort to diversifying and repositioning the Nigerian economy should give urgent attention to the non-oil sector in order to boost trade in this sector to enhance economic growth. The study therefore concluded that foreign trade impact on economic growth in Nigeria depends largely on the magnitude of foreign trade resulting from non-oil export.


2018 ◽  
Vol 04 (S1) ◽  
pp. 81
Author(s):  
Ashraf Mahate ◽  

There is a strong body of literature that finds a direct connection between inward foreign direct investment and economic growth in the host country. At the same time, economic growth in the host country attracts additional Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). This bidirectional relationship can be supported by the IMF through its lending program to countries to assist in dealing with short-term shocks as well as managing more long-term structural issues. In fact, the IMF programs in theory should provide an indicator to potential investors that the country is committed to making a change and opening its economy, which are typical requirements under IMF conditions. IMF intervention should lead to a positive impact on inward FDI. This study examines the impact of IMF-support programs on inward FDI for a sample of Latin American and Caribbean Countries. The results from this study reveal that being on an IMF borrowing program has a negative impact on inward FDI in the second and third year. We argue that being on an IMF borrowing program does not provide inward FDI with the seal of approval that it requires in making an investment.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 94-102
Author(s):  
Dao Hoang Tuan ◽  

Foreign direct investment (FDI) is an important sector of many developing economies in general and of Vietnam in particular. In Vietnam, the FDI sector contributed up to 27.7% of the average economic growth rate of 6.0% per year from 2010 to 2018. Besides this contribution, operations of FDI in Vietnam reveal many limitations, the most noticeable of which is the weak linkage between FDI and Vietnamese firms. This article examines determinants of FDI-domestic firms linkage in Vietnam. This research looks at all three types of linkage, including horizontal linkage, vertical linkage, and supply-backward linkage. Factors that have a positive impact on linkages are provincial economic growth, firms’ technology level, regional factors, being located in industrial zones, and operating in the manufacturing sector. Macroeconomic instability has a negative impact on linkage. The quality of economic governance, as measured by the Provincial Competitiveness Index, is important for attracting FDI, but does not affect linkages.


2014 ◽  
Vol 41 (1) ◽  
pp. 60-75
Author(s):  
Tomasz M. Napiórkowski

Abstract The aim of this research is to asses the hypothesis that foreign direct investment (FDI) and international trade have had a positive impact on innovation in one of the most significant economies in the world, the United States (U.S.). To do so, the author used annual data from 1995 to 2010 to build a set of econometric models. In each model, 11 in total) the number of patent applications by U.S. residents is regressed on inward FDI stock, exports and imports of the economy as a collective, and in each of the 10 SITC groups separately. Although the topic of FDI is widely covered in the literature, there are still disagreements when it comes to the impact of foreign direct investment on the host economy [McGrattan, 2011]. To partially address this gap, this research approaches the host economy not only as an aggregate, but also as a sum of its components (i.e., SITC groups), which to the knowledge of this author has not yet been done on the innovation-FDI-trade plane, especially for the U.S. Unfortunately, the study suffers from the lack of available data. For example, the number of patents and other used variables is reported in the aggregate and not for each SITC groups (e.g., trade). As a result, our conclusions regarding exports and imports in a specific SITC category (and the total) impact innovation in the U.S. is reported in the aggregate. General notions found in the literature are first shown and discussed. Second, the dynamics of innovation, trade and inward FDI stock in the U.S. are presented. Third, the main portion of the work, i.e. the econometric study, takes place, leading to several policy applications and conclusions.


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