Consumption Growth and the Real Interest Rate following a Monetary Policy Shock: Is the Habit Persistence Assumption Relevant?

2008 ◽  
Vol 74 (2) ◽  
pp. 121 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stéphane Auray ◽  
Clémentine Gallès
2008 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 591-618 ◽  
Author(s):  
Filippo Occhino

Following a contractionary monetary policy shock, the aggregate output decreases over time for six to eight quarters, while the real interest rate increases immediately and remains high for three quarters, which can hardly be replicated by models characterized by a standard consumption Euler equation. This paper adopts a segmented markets framework where some households are permanently excluded from financial markets. The aggregate output and the nominal interest rate are modeled as exogenous autoregressive processes, while the real interest rate is determined endogenously. For intermediate levels of market segmentation, the model is able to account for both the persistent decreasing path of the aggregate output and the persistent increase in the real interest rate which follow an unanticipated increase in the nominal interest rate. The sign, the size and the persistence of the responses of the real interest rate and the money growth rate are close to those in the data.


Review ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 100 (2) ◽  
pp. 151-169 ◽  
Author(s):  
William Gavin

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Hafiansyah Mahadika ◽  
Wisnu Wibowo

This study aims to determine the influence of monetary policy on the unemployment rate in Indonesia. Unemployment is one of the fundamental problems in the economy. The unemployment problem can be overcome by monetary policy. This study used time series data with the period 1975-2016 using real money demand, economic growth, real interest rates, and real exchange rates as independent variables, and the unemployment rate as the dependent variable. The data used in this study is secondary data obtained from the World Bank. The method used is ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) which can change a static economic theory to be dynamic by taking into account the role of time explicitly. The results show that in the long run the probability value of the economic growth variable is below the 5% significance level which indicates that economic growth had a negative and significant effect on the unemployment rate. In the short run, the real interest rate, the real interest rate at lag 1, economic growth at lag 1 and lag 3, and the real exchange rate at lag 1 had a negative and significant effect on the unemployment rate. This indicates that the impact of monetary policy on the unemployment rate is temporary.Keywords: Unemployment Rate, Monetary Policy, ARDL.JEL : E24, E52, E61.


1996 ◽  
Vol 78 (1) ◽  
pp. 111 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rene Garcia ◽  
Pierre Perron

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