ANALYSIS OF FACTORS AFFECTING POVERTY IN THE PROVINCE OF THE BANGKA BELITUNG ISLANDS

Poverty is a condition of the inability of individuals or community groups to meet basic needs such as housing, clothing and food to ensure a certain standard of living. If a country is able to reduce the level of poverty, then the welfare of the community can be realized through the implementation of quality development. This study aims to analyze and determine the effect of economic growth, income inequality, government spending and the open unemployment rate on poverty. This research used quantitative research. The analytical tool used in this study is multiple linear regression with panel data. The results showed that partially the economic growth had a negative and significant effect on poverty, government spending had a negative and insignificant effect on poverty and income inequality and open unemployment had a positive and significant effect on poverty in the Province of the Bangka Belitung Islands. Meanwhile, the results of the simultaneous test show that overall the variables of economic growth, income inequality, government spending and the open unemployment rate have a positive and significant effect on poverty in the Province of the Bangka Belitung Islands.Keywords: Economic Growth, Income Inequality, Government Expenditure, Unemployment Rate, PovertyJEL: O40, 015, H53, I30

THE IMPACT OF POPULATION FACTORS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF BANGKA BELITUNG ISLANDS - INDONESIA

This study aims to analyze and determine the effect of population factors on economic growth in the Province of the Bangka Belitung Islands. The analysis method used is panel data regression. The type of data is quantitative data in the form of ADHK GRDP data by Regency/City, population growth rate, labor force participation rate, average length of schooling and life expectancy from 2010-2019. The data source is secondary obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics of the Bangka Belitung Islands Province. The results showed that the population growth rate had a negative and significant effect on economic growth while the labor force participation rate had a positive and insignificant effect on economic growth, the average length of schooling had a positive and significant effect on economic growth and life expectancy had a positive and significant effect on growth. the economy of the Bangka Belitung Islands Province. Simultaneously the population growth rate, labor force participation rate, average length of schooling and life expectancy have a positive and significant impact on economic growth in the Province of the Bangka Belitung Islands.Keywords: Economic Growth, Population Growth Rate, Labor Force Participation Rate, Average Length of Schooling, and Life Expectancy.JEL : O40, J11, J21, P36

ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECT OF GROSS REGIONAL DOMESTIC PRODUCT, NUMBER OF POPULATION, REGIONAL MINIMUM WAGE, OPEN UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, AND HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX ON POVERTY IN 2010-2020 EAST JAVA PROVINCE

Poverty is an economic problem experienced by almost all regions in Indonesia, including East Java Province, where poverty in East Java is relatively high in 2016 East Java Absolute poverty of 4.78 million people. Therefore, it is necessary to find a solution to overcome the problem or reduce poverty. This study aims to analyze the effect of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), population, Regional Minimum Wage (UMR), open unemployment rate and Human Development Index (IPM) on poverty in East Java Province in 2010-2020. This research uses panel data method with fixed effect model approach, and the data used is secondary data. Adjusted R2 value is quite high. then the results of this study are the variables of GRDP, population, open unemployment rate and HDI have a significant effect on poverty, while the UMR variable has no significant effect on poverty. Therefore, the development of GRDP, population, open unemployment rate should be considered to overcome the problem of poverty.Keywords: Gross Regional Domestic Product, population, Regional Minimum Wage, open unemployment rate, Human Development Index.JEL: P24, J11, J31, J64, O15

INVESTMENT RETURNS ANALYSIS OF EDUCATION IN EAST JAVA

Education is one of the tools in human capital investment because it is considered important in producing an adequate return to schooling. At the East Java Province in 2015 and 2018 the highest education was marked by a difference in the number of each level of education, especially at the tertiary level, which was still relatively low. So, that will be affect return to schooling received by the workforce. This research uses cross section data sourced from SAKERNAS data in 2015 and 2018, with Ordinary Least Square (OLS). The results of OLS in 2015 and 2018 shown if the level of education, age, worked training, worked experience, sex, and location have a significant effect on income. The results of the OLS regression are then used to calculated return to education based on education level, sex, and location. The results shown if the education achieved produce a rate of return that is always increasing at every level of education while return to schooling based on gender is a difference in junior and university education, in rural areas return to schooling at the primary school is higher than in the urban area.Keywords: Gender, Education, Return To Education, LocationJEL: J24, I21

THE EFFECT OF GOVERNMENT MACROECONOMIC POLICY ON INDONESIA'S FISHERIES EXPORT TO THE UNITED STATES IN 1989-2019

Indonesia is a maritime country that has huge potential in fisheries sector. The average of indonesian fisheries production and export volumes always increase every year. This study aims to analyze the effect of exchange rates, government spending, inflation, interest rates, and sanitation policies to Indonesia fishery export to the United States in 1989-2019. Data were obtained from the Indonesian Ministry of Finance, the World Bank, UN COMTRADE, and the Indonesian Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries. This study uses the Error Coerrection Model (ECM) method to examine the effect of the independent variables on the dependent variable in the long term and short term. This study explains that in the long-term, government spending and exchange rate have positive effect, and interest rates have negative effect on export. In short-term, government spending and exchange rate have positive effect on export. Inflation and sanitation policy do not affect export in the long-term or short-term, while interest rates in the short-term do not affect Indonesian fishery exports. Keywords: Exports, Government Spending, Exchange Rates, Non-Tariff Barriers, Error Correction Model.JEL: F10, F13, C32

The Effect of Credit Risk and Liquidity Risk on Bank Stability

The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of credit risk and liquidity risk on bank stability. This study used the multiple regression analysis to determine the effect of credit risk and liquidity risk as the independent variables, with BOPO (Biaya Operasional Pendapatan Operasional), GDP (Gross Domestic Bruto), BI Rate as the control variables, on Bank Stability as the dependent variable. Using purposive sampling method to collected data from the list of banking companies in OJK (Otoritas Jasa Keuangan) from 2013 to 2017 consisting of 437 observations. The estimated results show that credit risk has a significant negative effect on bank stability, and liquidity risk has a significant negative effect on bank stability. Whereas in the control variable, GDP does not affect bank stability, BOPO has a significant negative effect on bank stability, and the BI-Rate does not affect bank stability. Keywords: Credit Risk, Liquidity Risk, Bank Stability.

IMPACT OF INTEREST RATE, INFLATION AND GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT TO DEMAND FOR PROPERTY CREDIT IN INDONESIA

An increase in credit, especially consumption credit, can trigger aggregate demand growth above potential output which causes the economy to heat up. This study aims to analyze the effect of macroeconomic variables, such as interest rates, inflation, and gross domestic product (GDP), on the demand for property credit in Indonesia with the period January 2011 – December 2018. The results show that in the short term, the interest rate lag 1 and lag 2, inflation lag 1, and GDP significantly influence the demand for peoperty credit. While, in the long term, only the interest rates and GDP significantly influence to the demand for property credit.Keywords: Property Credit, Interest Rates, Inflation, GDP, ARDL JEL: C22, E51, G21

FINANCIAL DEEPENING RELATIONSHIP WITH ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA

This article aims to analyze the interaction between financial deepening and economic growth in Indonesia. In this case, it also indirectly analyzes the interaction between the research control variables, namely the interbank money market interest rate and the exchange rate with economic growth in Indonesia. The journal uses secondary data, including taking from the official website of the Central Bureau of Statistics and Bank Indonesia, which is the website of the Republic of Indonesia government. This journal uses an analysis of the interaction between variables in the period 2010-2019. The method used is the VECM method, a method used to explore financing and exchange rates which have a significant negative interaction with economic growth in Indonesia. And the interbank money market interest rate has a significant negative interaction with economic growth in Indonesia. In addition, the financial interior also has directional interactions with the government in Indonesia so that it can be said to follow bidirectional causality.Keywords: Financial Deepening, Economic Growth, VRCM, and bidirectional causality JEL : G320, C320

THE EFFECT OF MINIMUM WAGE, INVESTMENT, GRDP, AND TECHNOLOGY INDEX ON INDONESIAN LABOR ABSORPTION

Labor issues become an obstacle to the development process in a country. This problem arises due to a lack of employment opportunities, so that the existing workforce is not maximally absorbed. This problem is not spared from several development factors including the minimum wage, investment, GRDP and technology index. With the aim of knowing the influence of the minimum wage, investment, GRDP and technology index variables with the Indonesian labor absorption variable in 2015-2019. Using secondary data obtained from BPS Indonesia and using panel data regression analysis techniques with the Fixed Effect model as the selected model and using classical assumption tests and hypothesis testing. The results of the hypothesis test show that the influence of the minimum wage, investment, GRDP and technology index variables has an effect on the labor absorption variable simultaneously. The magnitude of the effect (R²) by all independent variables shows that the minimum wage, investment, GRDP and technology index have an effect of 99.82% on the depnden variable (labor absorption).

ANALYSIS OF FEMALE LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION (FLFP) IN EAST JAVA

Employment has an important role to support a certain economy. The number of female workers have increased every year, due to family welfare fulfillment and female role shifting as a head of households. This paper aims to observe the driving factors of female labor force participation in East Java-Indonesia. Logit model is incorporated to estimate the parameters which involved total sample of 23.218 women in productive age which consist of 13.473 working women and the rest of 9.745 non working women in East Java. On the basis of micro data level from National Labor Force Survey (Sakernas) 2018, the result shows that age, education level, marital status, head of the household status, household size, rural-urban location, and income have a substantial effect on FLFP in East Java. Keywords: FLFP, Employment Status, Work Decision, Logit Model. JEL: J01, J20, J21.