Investigating Long-Term Behavior of Milan Stock Exchange (Italy)

The main purpose of this chapter is to highlight the long-term behavior of Milan Stock Exchange (Italy) based on the FTSE MIB major stock market index. The empirical analysis covers a long period of time from January 1999 to December 2013 and describes the daily stock price movements in order to identify both financial expansion and contraction cycles. However, Milan Stock Exchange is a developed stock market that exhibits a more stable behavior than emerging stock markets, even stylized facts are much lower in this case. The econometric analysis provides an exhaustive perspective, because selected stock market behavior has changed completely due to the negative influence of the global financial crisis.

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 82 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bashar Al-Zu'bi ◽  
Hussein Salameh ◽  
Qasim Mousa Abu Eid

<p>This paper studies the short and long term relationship between S&amp;P500 USA stock market index and the stock market indices of 30 countries around the world over the period June 2010-April 2015. We implement OLS regression and use error correction model to examine the short and long term relationship between the variables. Empirically, we find that there is a relationship on the short and long term between S&amp;P500 and the indices of 27 countries from East Asia, Europe, Latin America, Middle East as well as the countries of Australia and Canada. These results conclude that the global financial crisis of 2007-2008 significantly and lengthy increased the already high level of co-movement between the USA financial market and the observed stock market for 27 countries around the world. The findings from our research are important; however, we believe that further research based on our findings is necessary.</p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 125 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pribawa E Pantas ◽  
Muhamad Nafik Hadi Ryandono ◽  
Misbahul Munir ◽  
Rofiul Wahyudi

This study aims to determine the long-term relationship between stock market and exchange rate in Indonesia. The research method used is Johansen cointegration test. The results of this study found no cointegration between the variables tested. Thus the exchange rate, JII, and IHSG have no relationship in the long term. The fluctuation of the rupiah exchange rate in recent years did not generally affect the performance of stock indices especially after the global financial crisis of 2008. This shows the capital market in Indonesia has a good performance so that it is not so sensitive to the sentiment of the decline in the rupiah against the US dollar. This finding is in line with the findings of Syahrer (2010) which states the exchange rate has no effect on the stock market.


2013 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 39-48
Author(s):  
Sheilla Nyasha ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo

This paper highlights the origin and development of the Australian stock market. The country has three major stock exchanges, namely: the Australian Securities Exchange Group, the National Stock Exchange of Australia, and the Asia-Pacific Stock Exchange. These stock exchanges were born out of a string of stock exchanges that merged over time. Stock-market reforms have been implemented since the period of deregulation, during the 1980s; and the Exchanges responded largely positively to these reforms. As a result of the reforms, the Australian stock market has developed in terms of the number of listed companies, the market capitalisation, the total value of stocks traded, and the turnover ratio. Although the stock market in Australia has developed remarkably over the years, and was spared by the global financial crisis of the late 2000s, it still faces some challenges. These include the increased economic uncertainty overseas, the downtrend in global financial markets, and the restrained consumer confidence in Australia.


Akuntabilitas ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 259-267
Author(s):  
Rita Juliana

Uncertainty has been discussed as the core element of the slow economic recovery during the global financial crisis 2008-2009. The goal of this paper is specifically aiming to observe the effect of uncertainty to the firm’s financing policy. In this research, we utilize uncertainty in Indonesia level and world level that are developed by Ahir et al. (2018). The sample of this study are Indonesian companies that are listed in Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX) from period 2007 until 2019. The methodology we used was panel data regression. The result of this study show that uncertainty decrease the firm’s leverage level. This situation is caused by uncertainty that increase firm’s manager concern about their long-term solvency.


2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 68
Author(s):  
Deddy Saptomo ◽  
Insannul Kamil ◽  
Elita Amrina ◽  
Mego Plamonia

This research aims to design optimal portfolio with a case study of stocks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) that conduct transactions in the period 2011-2015. The sample used were 396 companies listed on nine sectors in BEI. Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) method is used to determine the realized return, expected return, and efficient portfolio involving four macroeconomic factors (Stock Price Index (IHSG), interest rate of Indonesian Bank Certificates (SBI), Inflation and Exchange Rate of Rupiah against the US Dollar). Efficient portfolio is formed by 231 undervalued companies. While the optimal portfolio with the Excess Return to Beta (ERB) approach was formed by 42 companies with a ERB value greater than (or equal to) cut-off point (0,1912). Under the uncertainty of the investment climate due to the global financial crisis, the decision to make investments needs to be done carefully and consider various factors, including macroeconomic factors. This research has succeeded in designing an optimal portfolio that can be a guide for investors to determine investment decisions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 218
Author(s):  
Larissa Batrancea

Financial performance and financial equilibrium are two key aspects that should be monitored by any business manager interested in passing the test of time and overcoming unpredictable events such as economic crises. The organic link between financial performance and financial equilibrium has rarely been studied in the long run for companies listed on the stock market. The present article fills this gap in the literature by examining the degree to which financial performance influenced long-term financial equilibrium using data from 34 major companies publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange and operating around the world in a wide variety of industries and sectors. The period of analysis spread over a decade (2007Q1–2020Q3) in order to cover two major crises that have marked the dawn of the third millennium and occurred relatively close to one another: the 2008 financial meltdown and the COVID-19 pandemic crisis. By means of panel data modelling, the study showed that the short-term and long-term financial equilibria of these public companies measured by current ratio, quick ratio and debt to equity ratio were significantly impacted by different financial performance indicators. The study addresses various implications of the empirical results and lays out avenues for future research.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 341
Author(s):  
Ștefan Cristian Gherghina ◽  
Daniel Ștefan Armeanu ◽  
Camelia Cătălina Joldeș

This paper investigates the volatility of daily returns on the Romanian stock market between January 2020 and April 2021. Volatility is analyzed by means of the representative index for Bucharest Stock Exchange (BSE), namely, the Bucharest Exchange Trading (BET) index, along with twelve companies traded on BSE. The quantitative investigation was performed using GARCH approach. In the survey, the GARCH model (1,1) was applied to explore the volatility of the BET and BSE traded shares. Conditional volatility for the daily return series showed noticeable evidence of volatility that shifts over the explored period. In the first quarter of 2020, the Romanian equity market volatility increased to a level very close to that recorded during the global financial crisis of 2007–2009. Over the next two quarters, volatility had a downward trend. Besides, after VAR estimation, no causal connection was found among the COVID-19 variables and the BET index.


2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 97-119 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bhowmik Roni ◽  
Ghulam Abbas ◽  
Shouyang Wang

Abstract This paper examines the extent of contagion and interdependence across the six Asian emerging countries stock markets (e.g., Bangladesh, China, India, Malaysia, the Philippine, and South Korea) and then try to quantify the extent of the Asian emerging market fluctuations which are described by intra-regional contagion effect. These markets experienced both fast growth and key upheaval during the sample period, and thus, provide potentially rich information on the nature of border market interactions. Using the daily stock market index data from January 2002 to December 2016 (breaking the 15 years data set into three sub periods; pre-crisis, crisis, and post crisis periods); particularly make attention to the global financial crisis of 2007∼2008. The return and volatility spillovers are modeled through the GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity), pairwise Granger causality tests, and the forecast error variance decomposition in a generalized VAR (vector auto regression) models. This paper shows that volatility and return spillovers behave very differently over time, during the pre-crisis, crisis, and post crisis periods. Importantly, Asian emerging stock markets interaction is less before the global financial crisis period. The return and volatility spillover indices touch their respective historical peaks during the global financial crisis 2007∼2008, however Bangladeshi market faces this condition in 2009∼2010.


2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-49 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amir Saadaoui ◽  
Younes Boujelbene

In the course of the recent global crisis, the stock shocks are distributed and transmitted from their homes in the developed stock market to emerging stock markets. By supporting the development of emerging stock markets, this study aims to see the transmission of volatility between the Dow Jones stock index and the Dow Jones emerging Islamic stock indiex. In this study we have divided the period into three, periods, before, during and after this crisis to demonstrate the resilience of the Islamic market index in response to the global financial crisis. Another aim of this study is to provide a new guide line for investors in emerging stock market before making investment decisions. The data are daily, going from 02/01/2005 until 31/12/2012. To measure the transmission we used bivariate BEKK-GARCH and DCC-GARCH model. The result shows that there is a transmission mainly during the crisis period which means that the crisis affects all the financial assets whether Islamic or not. The same result also shows the preference to invest in both Islamic and classical stock indexes since they are less risky.


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