An Application of AHP and FAHP on the Model Prediction

2014 ◽  
Vol 687-691 ◽  
pp. 1641-1644 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xi Shang Dong ◽  
Huai Zhi Ma ◽  
Zhen Yang

Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) are important methods in model prediction. In this paper, a case concerning in how to estimate the serial criminal’s next possible crime location is researched. Two models are devised to determine the “geographical profile” of a suspected serial criminal. Model 1 is proposed that we use the AHP and consider many factors which may influence a criminal to choose his next crime location. Model 2 is an improvement of Model 1. It is a combination of the FAHP and the Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Theory (FCET). And it overcomes the difficulty of dealing with uncertain factors, which model 1 cannot work. In the end, performances of the above models are analyzed.

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Li ◽  
Yahui Li ◽  
Zijiao Han ◽  
Guoqing Li ◽  
Kai Gao ◽  
...  

Studying optimization and decision for opening electromagnetic loop networks plays an important role in planning and operation of power grids. First, the basic principle of fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) is introduced, and then an improved FAHP-based scheme evaluation method is proposed for decoupling electromagnetic loop networks based on a set of indicators reflecting the performance of the candidate schemes. The proposed method combines the advantages of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. On the one hand, AHP effectively combines qualitative and quantitative analysis to ensure the rationality of the evaluation model; on the other hand, the judgment matrix and qualitative indicators are expressed with trapezoidal fuzzy numbers to make decision-making more realistic. The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated by the application results on the real power system of Liaoning province of China.


2013 ◽  
Vol 367 ◽  
pp. 452-456 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao Gang Zhao ◽  
Yi Zhou ◽  
Jian Yu Zhao

The Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP), based on the combination of Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation and AHP, is introduced in this paper and C# language is proposed to program its mathematical model. Moreover, such program is applied in the actual selection of the electrical heat tracing elements in oil pipeline system. The application shows that it is scientific, reliable, accurate, simple and rapid, which makes it suitable for other evaluations.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Xin Liu ◽  
Chengwei Ni ◽  
Liye Zhang ◽  
Ke Sheng ◽  
Baoning Hong

The durability of lightweight cellular concrete (LCC) and the corresponding assessment method are studied in this paper to improve the utilization of LCC in subgrade construction engineering. The durability assessment method is established by combining the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) with fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE). The main assessment processes are as follows. Firstly, based on the physical and mechanical properties of LCC, the influencing factors are selected in terms of preliminary design, construction technology, and operation and management after completion of construction. The grading standard of influencing factors is established as well. Secondly, a multilevel assessment model with targets level, criteria level, and indexes level is established. AHP determines the effective weight of the lower level relative to the upper level. The consistency check of the judgment matrix is conducted to prove the rationality of the distribution of influencing factors’ effect weight. Thirdly, the membership function which is suitable for each influencing factor is built to calculate the membership degree. Besides, the practicality and reliability of AHP combined with FCE are demonstrated through a practical engineering case, which is the third section of a highway in Guangdong Province, China.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Luqiang Ma ◽  
Youlin Xu ◽  
Jiaqiang Zheng ◽  
Xiang Dai

Multifunctional intelligent boom sprayer is a development direction of boom sprayers, and it could satisfy needs of precision and variable spraying and achieve aims of sustainable development of pesticide spraying, ecological protection, and efficient plant protection by reconfiguring its structures. Therefore, the evaluation of multifunctional intelligent boom sprayer reconfigurability has a role in improving product reconfigurability while reducing product function redundancy and production costs and reducing product function redundancy and production cost. In order to comprehensively evaluate the reconfigurability of a multifunctional intelligent boom sprayer, this paper established an evaluation index system and realized the evaluation process by using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, analytic hierarchy process, and validity test. The evaluation result would avail to directly and effectively guide product optimization and upgrade process in accordance with quantitatively analyzed evaluation indexes of intelligent boom sprayer reconfigurability by using mathematical methods such as analytic hierarchy process and validity test in evaluation process. The index system was formed from six components, which were key design information, quality, cost, efficiency, intelligence, and operational capability. Index weights were calculated by the analytic hierarchy process. Finally, a multifunctional shiftable boom intelligent sprayer was evaluated for product reconfigurability improvements by using the evaluation method. Reconfigurability evaluation result of the multifunctional shiftable boom intelligent sprayer belonged to "good" evaluation interval by the calculation of formulas. There was further room to improve product reconfigurability, as the membership degree in the “good” evaluation interval was below 0.5. The study could provide a scientific basis for improving the reconfigurability, technical performance, and operation quality of products in intelligent boom sprayer design. In addition, it may be possible to decrease the arbitrary nature of subjective design factors and support economic and ecological goals when businesses upgrade products.


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