Prediction of the Forest Health Based on BP Neural Networks

2013 ◽  
Vol 726-731 ◽  
pp. 4303-4306 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Wang ◽  
Zhuang Xiong

This paper simple introduced back propagation (BP) neural networks, and constructed a dynamic predict model, based on it to predict forest disease and insect and rat pest. Then it analyzed and simulated with the BP neural network model with the data produced in the recent ten years. The result indicated that the BP neural network model is reliable for predicting the forest disease and insect and rat pest. The method provides scientific foundation for the forestry management of studied area.

2019 ◽  
Vol 116 (2) ◽  
pp. 201
Author(s):  
Xiaoli Yuan ◽  
Lin Wang ◽  
Jianqiang Zhang ◽  
Oleg Ostrovski ◽  
Chen Zhang ◽  
...  

Viscosity is an important property of mold fluxes for steel continuous casting. However, direct measurement of viscosity of multi-component systems in a broad range of temperatures and compositions is an onerous work and has some limitations. This paper developed a model using the back propagation (BP) neural network to describe the viscosity of fluorine-free mold fluxes. The BP neural network model was developed and validated using 70 experimental values of viscosity of fluorine-free mold fluxes CaO-SiO2-Al2O3-B2O3-Na2O-TiO2-MgO-Li2O-MnO-ZrO2; 51 of them were used for developing the neural network model and the rest 19 viscosity data for the model validation. Calculated viscosities were in a good agreement with the experimental data. Based on the developed model, the effects of temperature and composition on the viscosity of fluorine-free fluxes were predicted and discussed.


2020 ◽  
Vol 143 ◽  
pp. 02002
Author(s):  
Qi Chen ◽  
Mutao Huang ◽  
Ronghui Wang

Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) accurate inversion in inland water is important for water environmental protection. In this study, we tested the Genetic Algorithm optimized Back Propagation (GA-BP) neural network model to precisely simulated the Chl-a in an inland lake using Landsat 8 OLI images. The result show that the R2 of GA-BP neural network model has increased 28.17% compared to traditional BP neural network model. Then this GA-BP model was applied to another two scenes of Landsat 8 OLI image with the R2 of 0.961, 0.954 respectively for March 26 2018, October 26 2018. And the spatial distribution have shown a reasonable result of Chl-a variation in Lake Donghu. This study can provide a new method for Chla concentration inversion in urban lakes and support water environment protection on a large scale.


2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanan Li ◽  
Jiaqi Liang ◽  
Xuewen Xu ◽  
Xian Jiang ◽  
Chuan Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Fibrosarcomatous dermatofibrosarcoma protuberans (FS-DFSP) is a form of tumor progression of dermatofibrosarcoma protuberans (DFSP) with an increased risk of metastasis and recurrence. Few studies have compared the clinicopathological features of FS-DFSP and conventional DFSP (C-DFSP). Objectives To better understand the epidemiological and clinicopathological characteristics of FS-DFSP. Methods We conducted a cohort study of 221 patients diagnosed with DFSP and built a recognition model with a back-propagation (BP) neural network for FS-DFSP. Results Twenty-six patients with FS-DFSP and 195 patients with C-DFSP were included. There were no differences between FS-DFSP and C-DFSP regarding age at presentation, age at diagnosis, sex, size at diagnosis, size at presentation, and tumor growth. The negative ratio of CD34 in FS-DFSP (11.5%) was significantly lower than that in C-DFSP (5.1%) (P = 0.005). The average Ki-67 index of FS-DFSP (18.1%) cases was significantly higher than that of C-DFSP (8.1%) cases (P < 0.001). The classification accuracy of the BP neural network model training samples was 100%. The correct rates of classification and misdiagnosis were 84.1% and 15.9%. Conclusions The clinical manifestations of FS-DFSP and C-DFSP are similar but have large differences in immunohistochemistry. The classification accuracy and feasibility of the BP neural network model are high in FS-DFSP.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanan Li ◽  
Jiaqi Liang ◽  
Xuewen Xu ◽  
Xian Jiang ◽  
Chuan Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract BackgroundFibrosarcomatous dermatofibrosarcoma protuberans (FS-DFSP) is a form of tumor progression of dermatofibrosarcoma protuberans (DFSP) with an increased risk of metastasis and recurrence. Few studies have compared the clinicopathological features of FS-DFSP and conventional DFSP (C-DFSP).ObjectivesTo better understand the epidemiological and clinicopathological characteristics of FS-DFSP.MethodsWe conducted a cohort study of 221 patients diagnosed with DFSP and built a recognition model with a back-propagation (BP) neural network for FS-DFSP.ResultsTwenty-six patients with FS-DFSP and 195 patients with C-DFSP were included. There were no differences between FS-DFSP and C-DFSP regarding age at presentation, age at diagnosis, sex, size at diagnosis, size at presentation, and the size interval. The negative ratio of CD34 in FS-DFSP (11.5%) was significantly lower than that in C-DFSP (5.1%) (P=0.005). The average Ki-67 index of FS-DFSP (18.1%) cases was significantly higher than that of C-DFSP (8.1%) cases (P<0.001). The classification accuracy of the BP neural network model training samples was 100%. The correct rates of classification and misdiagnosis were 84.1% and 15.9%.ConclusionsThe clinical manifestations of FS-DFSP and C-DFSP are similar but have large differences in immunohistochemistry. The classification accuracy and feasibility of the BP neural network model are high in FS-DFSP.


Filomat ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 34 (15) ◽  
pp. 4937-4952
Author(s):  
Qing Wu ◽  
Jie Wang ◽  
Gang Xu ◽  
Shuai Li ◽  
Dechao Chen

Traditional back-propagation (BP) neural networks can implement complex nonlinear mapping relationships, and solve internal mechanism problems. However, as number of samples increases, training BP neural networks may consume a lot of time. For this reason, to improve the efficiency as well as prediction accuracy of the neural network model, in this paper, we propose an intelligent optimization algorithm, by leveraging the beetle antennae search (BAS) strategy to optimize the weights of neural network model, and apply it to the population prediction. A series of experiments demonstrate the improved accuracy of the proposed algorithm over BP neural networks. In particular, the calculation time spent of neural network model via the proposed algorithm is only 20% of the one of BP neural network model. Finally, we present a reasonable trend of population growth in China, and analyze the causes of changes in population trends, which may provide an effective basis for the department to adjust population development strategies


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (16) ◽  
pp. 4321 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingjing Pei ◽  
Wen Liu

Improving the resilience of enterprise safety production is one of the important ways to deal with the frequency of safety accidents. Based on the definition of enterprise safety production resilience, we fully consider the impacts of recovery resilience, self-organizing resilience, and learning resilience as the three dimensions of enterprise safety production resilience. We build a back propagation (BP) neural network model that analyzes the main factors of enterprise safety production resilience using the results of gray relational analysis as an input that can assess the resilience of enterprise safety production and provide a valuable reference for the improvement of an enterprise’s safety production level. The results show that the resilience of production safety obviously increased after the Chinese enterprises with low resilience (as predicted by the model) adopted the corresponding early warning methods. The gray relational degree analysis method can incorporate well the variables for the establishment of the BP neural network prediction model.


Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (5) ◽  
pp. 1112 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sheng Wen ◽  
Quanyong Zhang ◽  
Xuanchun Yin ◽  
Yubin Lan ◽  
Jiantao Zhang ◽  
...  

Recently, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have rapidly emerged as a new technology in the fields of plant protection and pest control in China. Based on existing variable spray research, a plant protection UAV variable spray system integrating neural network based decision making is designed. Using the existing data on plant protection UAV operations, combined with artificial neural network (ANN) technology, an error back propagation (BP) neural network model between the factors affecting droplet deposition is trained. The factors affecting droplet deposition include ambient temperature, ambient humidity, wind speed, flight speed, flight altitude, propeller pitch, nozzles pitch and prescription value. Subsequently, the BP neural network model is combined with variable rate spray control for plant protection UAVs, and real-time information is collected by multi-sensor. The deposition rate is determined by the neural network model, and the flow rate of the spray system is regulated according to the predicted deposition amount. The amount of droplet deposition can meet the prescription requirement. The results show that the training variance of the ANN is 0.003, and thus, the model is stable and reliable. The outdoor tests show that the error between the predicted droplet deposition and actual droplet deposition is less than 20%. The ratio of droplet deposition to prescription value in each unit is approximately equal, and a variable spray operation under different conditions is realized.


2020 ◽  
Vol 90 (21-22) ◽  
pp. 2564-2578
Author(s):  
Zhou Jie ◽  
Ma Qiurui

A Genetic Algorithm-Back Propagation (GA-BP) neural network method has been proposed to predict the clothing pressure of girdles in different postures. Firstly, a Back Propagation (BP) neural network model was used to predict the clothing pressure based on seven parameters, and three optimal functions of the model were derived. However, the prediction error 0.85411 of the network was more than the forecast requirement of 0.5 and the optimal initial weights and thresholds for the network could not be calculated. Therefore, a GA model and the BP neural network model were combined into a new GA-BP neural network model, which was used to predict the clothing pressure based on the three optimal functions. The results showed that the prediction error for this GA-BP neural network model was 0.41652, which was less than the forecast requirement of 0.5. Hence, the model was shown to predict the girdle pressure with acceptable accuracy. Finally, the internal calculation function equation for the GA-BP neural network was derived.


2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 942-952
Author(s):  
Xicun ZHU ◽  
Zhuoyuan WANG ◽  
Lulu GAO ◽  
Gengxing ZHAO ◽  
Ling WANG

The objective of the paper is to explore the best phenophase for estimating the nitrogen contents of apple leaves, to establish the best estimation model of the hyperspectral data at different phenophases. It is to improve the apple trees precise fertilization and production management. The experiments were done in 20 orchards in the field, measured hyperspectral data and nitrogen contents of apple leaves at three phenophases in two years, which were shoot growth phenophase, spring shoots pause growth phenophase, autumn shoots pause growth phenophase. The study analyzed the nitrogen contents of apple leaves with its original spectral and first derivative, screened sensitive wavelengths of each phenophase. The hyperspectral parameters were built with the sensitive wavelengths. Multiple stepwise regressions, partial least squares and BP neural network model were adopted in the study. The results showed that 551 nm, 716 nm, 530 nm, 703 nm; 543 nm, 705 nm, 699 nm, 756 nm and 545 nm, 702 nm, 695 nm, 746 nm were sensitive wavelengths of three phenophases. R551+R716, R551*R716, FDR530+FDR703, FDR530*FDR703; R543+R705, R543*R705, FDR699+FDR756, FDR699*FDR756and R545+R702, R545*R702, FDR695+FDR746, FDR695*FDR746 were the best hyperspectral parameters of each phenophase. Of all the estimation models, the estimated effect of shoot growth phenophase was better than other two phenophases, so shoot growth phenophase was the best phenophase to estimate the nitrogen contents of apple leaves based on hyperspectral models. In the three models, the 4-3-1 BP neural network model of shoot growth phenophase was the best estimation model. The R2 of estimated value and measured value was 0.6307, RE% was 23.37, RMSE was 0.6274.


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