scholarly journals Smart IOT based Short Term Forecasting of Power Generation Systems and Quality Improvement Using Resilient Back Propagation Neural Network

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 1200-1211
Author(s):  
Rafeek Ahmed S
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Power Generation ◽  
Quality Improvement ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Resilient Back Propagation ◽  
Short Term Forecasting ◽  
Power Generation Systems

scholarly journals Ultra-Short-Term Forecasting of Photo-Voltaic Power via RBF Neural Network

Electronics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (10) ◽  
pp. 1717
Author(s):  
Wanxing Ma ◽  
Zhimin Chen ◽  
Qing Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Power Generation ◽  
Smart Grids ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Solar Pv ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Forecasting Method ◽  
Photo Voltaic ◽  
Short Term Forecasting ◽  
Pv Power Generation

With the fast expansion of renewable energy systems during recent years, the stability and quality of smart grids using solar energy have been challenged because of the intermittency and fluctuations. Hence, forecasting photo-voltaic (PV) power generation is essential in facilitating planning and managing electricity generation and distribution. In this paper, the ultra-short-term forecasting method for solar PV power generation is investigated. Subsequently, we proposed a radial basis function (RBF)-based neural network. Additionally, to improve the network generalization ability and reduce the training time, the numbers of hidden layer neurons are limited. The input of neural network is selected as the one with higher Spearman correlation among the predicted power features. The data are normalized and the expansion parameter of RBF neurons are adjusted continuously in order to reduce the calculation errors and improve the forecasting accuracy. Numerous simulations are carried out to evaluate the performance of the proposed forecasting method. The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the testing set is within 10%, which show that the power values of the following 15 min. can be predicted accurately. The simulation results verify that our method shows better performance than other existing works.

Short Term Electric Load Forecasting with Back Propagation Neural Network and Simulated Annealing Genetic Algorithm

2015 ◽  
Vol 785 ◽  
pp. 14-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Badar ul Islam ◽  
Zuhairi Baharudin ◽  
Perumal Nallagownden
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Simulated Annealing ◽  
Hybrid Approach ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Forecast Accuracy ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Search Performance ◽  
Training Algorithm ◽  
Short Term

Although, Back Propagation Neural Network are frequently implemented to forecast short-term electricity load, however, this training algorithm is criticized for its slow and improper convergence and poor generalization. There is a great need to explore the techniques that can overcome the above mentioned limitations to improve the forecast accuracy. In this paper, an improved BP neural network training algorithm is proposed that hybridizes simulated annealing and genetic algorithm (SA-GA). This hybrid approach leads to the integration of powerful local search capability of simulated annealing and near accurate global search performance of genetic algorithm. The proposed technique has shown better results in terms of load forecast accuracy and faster convergence. ISO New England data for the period of five years is employed to develop a case study that validates the efficacy of the proposed technique.

Prediction of Human Responses to Dairy Odor Using an Electronic Nose and Neural Networks

2018 ◽  
Vol 61 (2) ◽  
pp. 399-409 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fangle Chang ◽  
Paul Heinemann
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Electronic Nose ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Sources Of Information ◽  
Independent Validation ◽  
Quantitative Measurements ◽  
Resilient Back Propagation ◽  
Human Assessment

Abstract. Odor emitted from dairy operations may cause negative reactions by farm neighbors. Identification and evaluation of such malodors is vital for better understanding of human response and methods for mitigating effects of odors. The human nose is a valuable tool for odor assessment, but using human panels can be costly and time-consuming, and human evaluation of odor is subjective. Sensing devices, such as an electronic nose, have been widely used to measure volatile emissions from different materials. The challenge, though, is connecting human assessment of odors with the quantitative measurements from instruments. In this work, a prediction system was designed and developed to use instruments to predict human assessment of odors from common dairy operations. The model targets are the human responses to odor samples evaluated using a general pleasantness scale ranging from -11 (extremely unpleasant) to +11 (extremely pleasant). The model inputs were the electronic nose measurements. Three different neural networks, a Levenberg-Marquardt back-propagation neural network (LMBNN), a scaled conjugate gradient back-propagation neural network (CGBNN), and a resilient back-propagation neural network (RPBNN), were applied to connect these two sources of information (human assessments and instrument measurements). The results showed that the LMBNN model can predict human assessments with accuracy as high as 78% within a 10% range and as high as 63% within a 5% range of the targets in independent validation. In addition, the LMBNN model performed with the best stability in both training and independent validation. Keywords: Animal production, Hedonic tone, Olfactometric models.

scholarly journals Peramalan Jumlah Penumpang Kereta Api di Indonesia dengan Resilient Back-Propagation (Rprop) Neural Network

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 90-99
Author(s):  
Mertha Endah Ervina ◽  
Rini Silvi ◽  
Intaniah Ratna Nur Wisisono
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Network Architectures ◽  
Forecasting Accuracy ◽  
Resilient Back Propagation ◽  
Very High

Train scheduling affects the level of customer satisfaction and profitability of the train service provider. The prediction method of Back-propagation Neural Network (BPNN) has relatively slow convergence. Therefore, this study uses Resilient Back-propagation (Rprop) because it has a more fast convergence and high accuracy. The model produced is a model for Jabodetabek, Java (non-Jabodetabek), Sumatra, and Indonesia. From the results of data analysis conducted, it can be concluded that the performance of neural network model with Resilient Back-propagation (Rprop) formed from training data gives very accurate prediction accuracy level with mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) less than 10% for each model. Then forecasting for the next 12 months conducted and the results compared with the data testing, Rprop provides a very high forecasting accuracy with MAPE value below 10%. The MAPE value for each forecasting the number of rail passengers is 7.50% for Jabodetabek, 5.89% for Java (non-Jabodetabek), 5.36% for Sumatra and 4.80% for Indonesia. That is, four neural network architectures with Rprop can be used for this case with very accurate forecasting results.

scholarly journals Short-term power prediction of photovoltaic power station based on long short-term memory-back-propagation

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (10) ◽  
pp. 155014771988313 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chi Hua ◽  
Erxi Zhu ◽  
Liang Kuang ◽  
Dechang Pi
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Photovoltaic Power ◽  
Forecasting Method ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Accurate prediction of the generation capacity of photovoltaic systems is fundamental to ensuring the stability of the grid and to performing scheduling arrangements correctly. In view of the temporal defect and the local minimum problem of back-propagation neural network, a forecasting method of power generation based on long short-term memory-back-propagation is proposed. On this basis, the traditional prediction data set is improved. According to the three traditional methods listed in this article, we propose a fourth method to improve the traditional photovoltaic power station short-term power generation prediction. Compared with the traditional method, the long short-term memory-back-propagation neural network based on the improved data set has a lower prediction error. At the same time, a horizontal comparison with the multiple linear regression and the support vector machine shows that the long short-term memory-back-propagation method has several advantages. Based on the long short-term memory-back-propagation neural network, the short-term forecasting method proposed in this article for generating capacity of photovoltaic power stations will provide a basis for dispatching plan and optimizing operation of power grid.

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