scholarly journals Reaksi Pasar Modal di Asia Tenggara Terhadap Pandemi Covid-19

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 162-172
Author(s):  
Sari Octavera ◽  
Febri Rahadi

Covid 19 is global case in almost around the world. Early April 2020, Covid 19 cases reached 1 million in a number of countries and increased significantly. This pandemic caused a major impact on economic activity, and more than 100 countries carried out a full or partial lockdown which resulted in economic disruption in many sectors including the stock market. This study investigation impact that occurs on the stock market, especially in Southeast Asia (Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand and Singapore). Change in the composite index from the capital market are used as a proxy to measure market reactions using the OLS panel data regression model. The natural log of GDP is used as a control variabel for differences between the four capital markets. In addition, to control for the effect of different transaction days, a dummy variable is included in the regression model. The result show that changes in the number of covid 19 infections have been shown to significantly affect index changes. The market response in this regard has moved in a negative direction. Meanwhile, the measurement of the effect to the death  to covid 19 is not proven to significantly affect change in the composite stock market index. ABSTRAK Covid 19 menjadi kasus global dengan penyebaran yang sangat cepat hampir diseluruh belahan dunia. Awal April 2020 kasus Covid 19 menyentuh angka 1 juta penderita yang tersebar di sejumlah negara dan terus meningkat secara signifikan. Pandemi ini berpengaruh besar terhadap aktifitas perekonomian hampir di seluruh dunia. Puncaknya, akhir Maret 2020 lebih dari 100 negara melakukan Lockdown baik secara penuh maupun sebagian yang memberikan dampak terbatasnya aktifitas ekonomi di berbagai sektor seperti transportasi, pariwisata, perbankan, asuransi termasuk pasar modal. Penelitian ini berupaya melihat dampak yang terjadi di pasar modal khususnya di empat negara di Asia Tenggara (Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand dan Singapura). Perubahan Indeks gabungan dari pasar modal dipergunakan sebagai proksi untuk mengukur reaksi pasar dengan menggunakan pendekatan model regresi data panel Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Untuk mengendalikan dampak yang mungkin muncul dari perbedaan yang mendasar dari keempat pasar modal tersebut, dipergunakan log natural PDB sebagai variabel kontrol. Selain itu, untuk mengontrol efek perbedaaan hari transaksi dimasukkan pula variabel dummy didalam model regresi. Hasil menunjukkan perubahan angka terinfeksi COVID-19 terbukti secara signifikan mempengaruhi perubahan indeks. Respon pasar terkait hal tersebut bergerak kearah negatif. Sementara pengukuran terhadap pengaruh angka maninggal dunia akibat COVID-19 tidak terbukti secara signifikan mempengaruhi perubahan indeks pasar saham gabungan

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ainhoa Fernández-Pérez ◽  
María de las Nieves López-García ◽  
José Pedro Ramos Requena

In this paper we present a non-conventional statistical arbitrage technique based in varying the number of standard deviations used to carry the trading strategy. We will show how values of 1 and 1,2 in the standard deviation provide better results that the classic strategy of Gatev et al (2006). An empirical application is performance using data of the FST100 index during the period 2010 to June 2019.


2021 ◽  
pp. 104225872110104
Author(s):  
Naciye Sekerci ◽  
Jamil Jaballah ◽  
Marc van Essen ◽  
Nadine Kammerlander

We study family firm status as an important condition in signaling theory; specifically, we propose that the market reacts more positively to positive, and more negatively to negative, CSR news (i.e., signals) from family firms than to similar news from nonfamily firms. Moreover, we propose that during recessions, the direction of these relationships reverses. Based on an event study of 1247 positive and negative changes in the CSR ratings for all firms listed on the French SFB120 stock market index (2003-2013), we find support for our hypotheses. Moreover, a post hoc analysis reveals that the relationships are contingent on whether a family CEO leads the firm.


2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 123-146 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kim Hiang Liow

Purpose This research aims to investigate whether and to what extent the co-movements of cross-country business cycles, cross-country stock market cycles and cross-country real estate market cycles are linked across G7 from February 1990 to June 2014. Design/methodology/approach The empirical approaches include correlation analysis on Hodrick–Prescott (HP) cycles, HP cycle return spillovers effects using Diebold and Yilmaz’s (2012) spillover index methodology, as well as Croux et al.’s (2001) dynamic correlation and cohesion methodology. Findings There are fairly strong cycle-return spillover effects between the cross-country business cycles, cross-country stock market cycles and cross-country real estate market cycles. The interactions among the cross-country business cycles, cross-country stock market cycles and cross-country real estate market cycles in G7 are less positively pronounced or exhibit counter-cyclical behavior at the traditional business cycle (medium-term) frequency band when “pure” stock market cycles are considered. Research limitations/implications The research is subject to the usual limitations concerning empirical research. Practical implications This study finds that real estate is an important factor in influencing the degree and behavior of the relationship between cross-country business cycles and cross-country stock market cycles in G7. It provides important empirical insights for portfolio investors to understand and forecast the differential benefits and pitfalls of portfolio diversification in the long-, medium- and short-cycle horizons, as well as for research studying the linkages between the real economy and financial sectors. Originality/value In adding to the existing body of knowledge concerning economic globalization and financial market interdependence, this study evaluates the linkages between business cycles, stock market cycles and public real estate market cycles cross G7 and adds to the academic real estate literature. Because public real estate market is a subset of stock market, our approach is to use an original stock market index, as well as a “pure” stock market index (with the influence of real estate market removed) to offer additional empirical insights from two key complementary perspectives.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kanon Kumar Sen ◽  
◽  
Md. Thasinul Abedin ◽  
Ratan Ghosh ◽  
◽  
...  

We look for the integration of Bangladesh Stock Market with international gold and oil price using most recent monthly data set from January 2003 to December 2020 (2003m1-2020m12). We employ the bounds-testing approach to cointegration between stock market index (DSEX) and international gold and oil price and eventually find an integration and dynamic significant impact of international gold and oil price on DSEX in the long and short-run. We discuss the important policy implications of the dynamic impact of international gold and oil price on stock market index.


Author(s):  
Mohd Faizal Basri Et.al

This paper explores the firm-specific factors,which are assets tangibility, sales growth, profitability, and firm size in ascertaining the capital structure of Shariah-compliant telecommunications and media companies in Malaysia. Panel data regression model based on ordinary least square (OLS) method was employed in the research. The sample of research comprisesof nine Shariah-compliant companies listed in telecommunications and media sector in the Main Market and Ace Market ofBursa Malaysiafrom 2009to 2018, with a 90firms-years of total number of observations. The dependent variable selected was debt to equity ratio. Meanwhile, the independent variables chosen were assets tangibility, sales growth, profitability, and firm size. Thefindings revealed thatassets tangibilityhas a positive relationship, while profitability is negatively related to the dependent variable. Conversely, sales growth and firm size were insignificant to debt to equity ratio.The pecking order and trade-off theories of capital structure is very much applicable to the Shariah-compliant telecommunications and media in Malaysia sinceassets tangibility and profitability have significant relationship with leverage.


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