Hydrological, hydraulic and multicriteria evaluations of flood susceptibility in coastal urban areas

Author(s):  
Vassiliki Terezinha Galvão Boulomytis
Author(s):  
B. Sozer ◽  
S. Kocaman ◽  
H. A. Nefeslioglu ◽  
O. Firat ◽  
C. Gokceoglu

<p><strong>Abstract.</strong> Susceptibility mapping for disasters is very important and provides the necessary means for efficient urban planning, such as site selection and the determination of the regulations, risk assessment and the planning of the post-disaster stage, such as emergency plans and activities. The main purpose of the present study is to introduce the preliminary results of an expert based flood susceptibility mapping approach applied in urban areas in case of Ankara, Turkey. The proposed approach is based on Modified Analytic Hierarchy Process (M-AHP), which is an expert-based algorithm and provides data based modeling. The existing spatial datasets are evaluated in the decision process and the specified number of decision points according to the degree desired can be formed. The parameter priorities can be identified at the beginning of the modeling with this approach by the responsible expert. The spatial datasets used in the modeling and mapping process have been provided by the General Directorate of Mapping (HGM). Additionally, the slope gradient of topography, drainage density, and topographic wetness index of the site being one of the second derivatives of topography have been evaluated to identify the main conditioning factors controlling water accumulation on ground. Considering the uncertainties in flood hazard assessment and limitations in sophisticated analytic solutions, the proposed methodology could be evaluated to be an efficient tool to detect the most influential parameters representing the flood vulnerability and assessing the mitigation applications in urban environment.</p>


2018 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 28-43 ◽  
Author(s):  
Priscila Barros Ramalho Alves ◽  
Hiran de Melo Filho ◽  
Bárbara Barbosa Tsuyuguchi ◽  
Iana Alexandra Alves Rufino ◽  
Patrícia Hermínio Cunha Feitosa

Abstract: The social and economic impacts caused by floods in urban areas are diverse and increase as the land becomes gradually impervious. Due to the increasing urbanization of cities, it is necessary to implement a better planning process and optimize the urban spaces management and occupation. Thus, the government needs to gather reliable and useful data for the decision-making process. Therefore, the GIS plays an important role among urban planning instruments. Given the current situation in Campina Grande County, Paraiba State, Brazil - an area continually facing disturbances caused by occasional and concentrated rainfalls - the current study aims to map the areas seen as the most susceptible to floods, by using a MCDA GIS-based model (Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis). There are five quantitative criteria considered in the analysis: slope, altitude, roads with drainage infrastructure, distance from water bodies and land use. It is a pixel by pixel analysis based on predetermined assumptions. Fuzzy functions were developed and overlay operations were performed. The results were consistent with historical records and with previous studies about the county, thus adding reliability to the model, which can be considered a potential management instrument for the case study area, as well as for cities facing similar issues.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 114 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tugce Yanar ◽  
Sultan Kocaman ◽  
Candan Gokceoglu

Urban areas may be affected by multiple hazards, and integrated hazard susceptibility maps are needed for suitable site selection and planning. Furthermore, geological–geotechnical parameters, construction costs, and the spatial distribution of existing infrastructure should be taken into account for this purpose. Up-to-date land-use and land-cover (LULC) maps, as well as natural hazard susceptibility maps, can be frequently obtained from high-resolution satellite sensors. In this study, an integrated hazard susceptibility assessment was performed for a developing urban settlement (Mamak District of Ankara City, Turkey) considering landslide and flood potential. The flood susceptibility map of Ankara City was produced in a previous study using modified analytical hierarchical process (M-AHP) approach. The landslide susceptibility map was produced using the logistic regression technique in this study. Sentinel-2 images were employed for generating LULC data with the random forest classification method. Topographical derivatives obtained from a high-resolution digital elevation model and lithological parameters were employed for the production of landslide susceptibility maps. For the integrated hazard susceptibility assessment, the Mamdani fuzzy algorithm was considered, and the results are discussed in the present study. The results demonstrate that multi-hazard susceptibility assessment maps for urban planning can be obtained by combining a set of expert-based and ensemble learning methods.


1996 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 167-174
Author(s):  
J A Cantrill ◽  
B Johannesson ◽  
M Nicholson ◽  
P R Noyce

2001 ◽  
Vol 60 (2) ◽  
pp. 99-107 ◽  
Author(s):  
Holger Schmid

Cannabis use does not show homogeneous patterns in a country. In particular, urbanization appears to influence prevalence rates, with higher rates in urban areas. A hierarchical linear model (HLM) was employed to analyze these structural influences on individuals in Switzerland. Data for this analysis were taken from the Switzerland survey of Health Behavior in School-Aged Children (HBSC) Study, the most recent survey to assess drug use in a nationally representative sample of 3473 15-year-olds. A total of 1487 male and 1620 female students indicated their cannabis use and their attributions of drug use to friends. As second level variables we included address density in the 26 Swiss Cantons as an indicator of urbanization and officially recorded offences of cannabis use in the Cantons as an indicator of repressive policy. Attribution of drug use to friends is highly correlated with cannabis use. The correlation is even more pronounced in urban Cantons. However, no association between recorded offences and cannabis use was found. The results suggest that structural variables influence individuals. Living in an urban area effects the attribution of drug use to friends. On the other hand repressive policy does not affect individual use.


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