scholarly journals Non-Primary Home Buyers, Shadow Banking, and the US Housing Market

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (174) ◽  
Author(s):  
Adrian Alter ◽  
Zaki Dernaoui
Keyword(s):  
Housing Market ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
House Prices ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Shadow Banking ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Variable Approach ◽  
The Us ◽  
Run Up ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

This paper studies the US housing market using a proprietary and comprehensive dataset covering nearly 90 million residential transactions over 1998–2018. First, we document the evolution of different types of investment purchases such as those conducted by short-term buyers, out-of-state buyers, and corporate cash investors. Second, we quantify the contributions of non-primary home buyers to the housing cycle. Our findings suggest that the share of short-term investors grew substantially in the run-up to the global financial crisis (GFC), which amplified the boom-bust cycle, while out-of-state buyers propped up prices in some areas during the recession. An instrumental variable approach is employed to establish a causal relationship between housing investors and prices. Finally, we show that the recent rise of shadow bank lending in the residential market is associated with riskier mortgages, and explore its implications for non-primary home buyers and its effects on house prices and rents.

Financial Reform Efforts since the Global Financial Crisis—An Overview

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Schillig
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Banking Regulation ◽  
Shadow Banking ◽  
Reform Agenda ◽  
Current State ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Institutional Architecture ◽  
Market Infrastructure

The chapter provides an overview of the current state of the reform efforts in the jurisdictions under consideration with a focus on the institutional architecture, banking regulation, shadow banking, and financial market infrastructure. It briefly reviews the generally accepted causes of the global financial crisis and the eurozone crisis, as well as the reform agenda at global/international level. It summarizes the reform efforts in the EU and the US that are of particular relevance for the recovery and resolution of credit institutions and investment firms. These reform efforts form the context in which the new recovery and resolution regime must be viewed.

Sun, wind, rain and the sewer: outward form opportunities in a degraded landscape

2009 ◽  
Vol 13 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 285-294
Author(s):  
Timothy Stenson
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Dioxide ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Housing Market ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Good News ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Usa ◽  
And Performance ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

The US housing market is infamous on at least two counts: implicated in the global financial crisis and notorious for its unsustainable consumption of resources and consequent discharge of carbon dioxide. Lately anything like good news regarding housing in the USA is scarce. However, the pause resulting from the collapse of the market, and increasing concern regarding building's agency in the environment, combine to provide an opportunity to reconsider the form and performance of housing. This may yet create an opening for design.

scholarly journals The global financial crisis and the behavior of short-term interest rates: International and Serbian aspects

2009 ◽  
Vol 56 (4) ◽  
pp. 491-506 ◽  
Author(s):  
Djordje Djukic ◽  
Malisa Djukic
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Banking Industry ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Cross Border ◽  
The Us ◽  
National Bank ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Throughout the current global financial crisis the market has continued to fall due to a lack of confidence of those banks that are not yet prepared to lend on the interbank money market. For instance, the negative repercussions of the crisis onto the Serbian financial sector have created a number of issues including a significant increase in lending rates, a difficulty, or impossibility, for the corporate sector to use cheap cross-border loans and a reduction in the supply of foreign exchange on that basis. The inability of the National Bank of Serbia to follow the aggressive reduction of the key interest rate that has been implemented by central banks in developed countries, partly explains the lack of a decline in short-term interest rates by the Serbian banking industry. The first section of the paper focuses on the effects of the financial crisis through the behavior of short-term interest rates in the US and Europe, while the second section gives an estimation of the effects of the global financial crisis on interest rates in the banking industry in Serbia.

scholarly journals The Market Structure of Securitisation and the US Housing Bubble

2014 ◽  
Vol 230 ◽  
pp. R34-R44 ◽  
Author(s):  
Susan Wachter
Keyword(s):  
Market Structure ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Housing Price ◽  
Housing Finance ◽  
Price Bubble ◽  
The Us ◽  
Salient Factor ◽  
Run Up ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Housing finance and, specifically, the subprime private label securitisation market in the US, was at the epicentre of the global financial crisis. Excessive debt expansion in the run-up to the crisis resulted in credit risk, under-identified and mispriced ex ante, and in systemic risk. This paper considers the role of financial innovation in debt markets and the changing market structure of securitisation in the evolution of the US housing price bubble. New financing vehicles contributed to growing risk, but the more salient factor was the change in the structure of securitisation, which led to unsustainable levels of debt.

scholarly journals 28 Months Later: How Inflation Targeters Outperformed Their Peers in the Great Recession

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Irineu E de Carvalho Filho
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Capital Inflows ◽  
Current Account Balance ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Trading Partners ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Twenty-eight months after the onset of the global financial crisis of August 2008, the evidence on post-crisis GDP growth emerging from a sample of 51 advanced and emerging countries is flattering for inflation targeting countries relative to their peers. The positive effect of IT is not explained away by plausible pre-crisis determinants of post-crisis performance, such as growth in private credit, ratios of short-term debt to GDP, reserves to short-term debt and reserves to GDP, capital account restrictions, total capital inflows, trade openness, current account balance and exchange rate flexibility, or post-crisis drivers such as the growth performance of trading partners and changes in terms of trade. We find that inflation targeting countries lowered nominal and real interest rates more sharply than other countries; were less likely to face deflation scares; and had sharp real depreciations without a relative deterioration in their risk assessment by markets. While the task of establishing causal relationships from cross-sectional macroeconomics series is daunting, our reading of this evidence is consistent with the resilience of IT countries being related to their ability to loosen their monetary policy when most needed, thereby avoiding deflation scares and the zero lower bound on interest rates.

scholarly journals Empty talk? University voices on the Global Financial Crisis

2010 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Todd Bridgman
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
News Media ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
The Us ◽  
Complex Events ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Company Sector

The global financial crisis (GFC) which began in 2007 with a liquidity squeeze in the US banking system and which continues to play out today has affected us all, whether through the collapse of the finance company sector, rising unemployment, falling housing prices or the recession which followed the initial market crash. The speed and scope of the crisis surprised most experts – policy makers included. Specialists from a myriad of disciplines, from economics and finance to risk management, corporate governance and property, are trying to make sense of what happened, why it happened and what it means for us now and into the future. Members of the public rely on the news media to keep them informed of the crisis as it unfolds and they rely on experts to translate these complex events into a language which they can understand. The GFC is educating us all, and it is important that we all learn from it to avoid making the same mistakes again. 

scholarly journals Cointegration of Stock Market and Exchange Rate in Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 125 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pribawa E Pantas ◽  
Muhamad Nafik Hadi Ryandono ◽  
Misbahul Munir ◽  
Rofiul Wahyudi
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Us ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Johansen Cointegration Test ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

This study aims to determine the long-term relationship between stock market and exchange rate in Indonesia. The research method used is Johansen cointegration test. The results of this study found no cointegration between the variables tested. Thus the exchange rate, JII, and IHSG have no relationship in the long term. The fluctuation of the rupiah exchange rate in recent years did not generally affect the performance of stock indices especially after the global financial crisis of 2008. This shows the capital market in Indonesia has a good performance so that it is not so sensitive to the sentiment of the decline in the rupiah against the US dollar. This finding is in line with the findings of Syahrer (2010) which states the exchange rate has no effect on the stock market.

scholarly journals What Has Publishing Inflation Forecasts Accomplished? Central Banks and Their Competitors

2019 ◽  
pp. 736-778 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pierre L. Siklos
Keyword(s):  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Output Gap ◽  
Great Moderation ◽  
Confidence Set ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Inflation Forecasts ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Model Confidence Set

This chapter explores short-term sources of inflation forecast disagreement in nine advanced economies. Domestic versus global factors among other determinants are considered. The chapter also adapts an idea from the model confidence set approach to obtain a quasi-confidence interval for inflation forecast disagreement. Some forecasters may change their outlook, especially when data are frequently revised (e.g., the output gap). This extension is also considered. Estimates of disagreement are found to be sensitive to the chosen benchmark, and central banks need not always be the benchmark of choice. The range of forecast disagreement can be high even when levels of disagreement are low. There is little evidence that forecasts are strongly coordinated with those of the central bank. Finally, at least over the period considered, which covers the end of the Great Moderation and the global financial crisis, there is consistent evidence that global factors impact forecast disagreement.

scholarly journals Determinants of failure in Greek manufacturing SMEs

2017 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 45-55 ◽  
Author(s):  
Efthalia Tabouratzi ◽  
Christos Lemonakis ◽  
Alexandros Garefalakis
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Reporting ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Z Score ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

The globalization and the global financial crisis provide a new extremely competitive environment for small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs). During the latest years, the increased number of firms’ default has generated the need of understanding the factors of firms’ default, as SMEs in periods of financial crisis suffer from lack of financial resources and expensive bank lending. We use a sample of 3600 Greek manufacturing firms (9 Sectors), covering the time period of 2003-2011 (9 years). We run a panel regression model with correction for fixed effects in both the cross-section and period dimensions using as dependent variable the calculated Z-Score of each firm, and as independent variables several financial ratios, as well as the exporting activity and the use of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS Accounting Standards).We find that firms presenting higher performance in terms of ROA and sales and higher leverage levels that enhance their liquidity as well are healthier in terms of Z-score than their less profitable counterparts and acquire lower rates of probability of default: in other words, less risk. The results of the study can lead to policy implications for both Managers and the Government in order to enhance the growth of Greek manufacturing sector.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document