scholarly journals Neural network cloud top pressure and height for MODIS

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 3177-3196 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nina Håkansson ◽  
Claudia Adok ◽  
Anke Thoss ◽  
Ronald Scheirer ◽  
Sara Hörnquist

Abstract. Cloud top height retrieval from imager instruments is important for nowcasting and for satellite climate data records. A neural network approach for cloud top height retrieval from the imager instrument MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) is presented. The neural networks are trained using cloud top layer pressure data from the CALIOP (Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization) dataset. Results are compared with two operational reference algorithms for cloud top height: the MODIS Collection 6 Level 2 height product and the cloud top temperature and height algorithm in the 2014 version of the NWC SAF (EUMETSAT (European Organization for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites) Satellite Application Facility on Support to Nowcasting and Very Short Range Forecasting) PPS (Polar Platform System). All three techniques are evaluated using both CALIOP and CPR (Cloud Profiling Radar for CloudSat (CLOUD SATellite)) height. Instruments like AVHRR (Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer) and VIIRS (Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite) contain fewer channels useful for cloud top height retrievals than MODIS, therefore several different neural networks are investigated to test how infrared channel selection influences retrieval performance. Also a network with only channels available for the AVHRR1 instrument is trained and evaluated. To examine the contribution of different variables, networks with fewer variables are trained. It is shown that variables containing imager information for neighboring pixels are very important. The error distributions of the involved cloud top height algorithms are found to be non-Gaussian. Different descriptive statistic measures are presented and it is exemplified that bias and SD (standard deviation) can be misleading for non-Gaussian distributions. The median and mode are found to better describe the tendency of the error distributions and IQR (interquartile range) and MAE (mean absolute error) are found to give the most useful information of the spread of the errors. For all descriptive statistics presented MAE, IQR, RMSE (root mean square error), SD, mode, median, bias and percentage of absolute errors above 0.25, 0.5, 1 and 2 km the neural network perform better than the reference algorithms both validated with CALIOP and CPR (CloudSat). The neural networks using the brightness temperatures at 11 and 12 µm show at least 32 % (or 623 m) lower MAE compared to the two operational reference algorithms when validating with CALIOP height. Validation with CPR (CloudSat) height gives at least 25 % (or 430 m) reduction of MAE.

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nina Håkansson ◽  
Claudia Adok ◽  
Anke Thoss ◽  
Ronald Scheirer ◽  
Sara Hörnquist

Abstract. Cloud top height retrieval from imager instruments is important for Nowcasting and for satellite climate data records. A neural network approach for cloud top height retrieval from the imager instrument MODIS is presented. The neural networks are trained using cloud top layer pressure data from the CALIOP dataset. Results are compared with two operational reference algorithms for cloud top height: the MODIS Collection 6 level 2 height product and the cloud top temperature and height algorithm (CTTH) in the 2014 version of the NWCSAF Polar Platform System (PPS-v2014). All three techniques are evaluated using both CALIOP and CPR (CloudSat) height. Instruments like AVHRR and VIIRS contain fewer channels useful for cloud top height retrievals than MODIS, therefore several different neural networks are investigated to test how infrared channel selection influences retrieval performance. Also a network with only channels available for the AVHRR1 instrument is trained and evaluated. To examine the contribution of different variables, networks with fewer variables are trained. It is shown that variables containing imager information for neighbouring pixels are very important. Overall results for the neural network height retrievals are very promising. The neural networks using the brightness temperatures at 11 μm and 12 μm show at least 33 % (or 627 m) lower mean absolute error (MAE) compared to the two operational reference algorithms when validating with CALIOP height. Validation with CPR (CloudSat) height gives at least 25 % (or 433 m) reduction of MAE. For the network trained with a channel combination available for AVHRR1, the MAE is at least 542 m better when validated with CALIOP and 414 m when validated with CPR (CloudSat) compared to the two operational reference algorithms. The NWCSAF PPS-2018 release will contain a neural network based cloud height algorithm.


2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (12) ◽  
pp. 4023-4047 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Piscini ◽  
M. Picchiani ◽  
M. Chini ◽  
S. Corradini ◽  
L. Merucci ◽  
...  

Abstract. In this work neural networks (NNs) have been used for the retrieval of volcanic ash and sulfur dioxide (SO2) parameters based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) multispectral measurements. Different neural networks were built in order for each parameter to be retrieved, for experimenting with different topologies and evaluating their performances. The neural networks' capabilities to process a large amount of new data in a very fast way have been exploited to propose a novel applicative scheme aimed at providing a complete characterization of eruptive products. As a test case, the May 2010 Eyjafjallajókull eruption has been considered. A set of seven MODIS images have been used for the training and validation phases. In order to estimate the parameters associated to the volcanic eruption, such as ash mass, effective radius, aerosol optical depth and SO2 columnar abundance, the neural networks have been trained using the retrievals from well-known algorithms. These are based on simulated radiances at the top of the atmosphere and are estimated by radiative transfer models. Three neural network topologies with a different number of inputs have been compared: (a) three thermal infrared MODIS channels, (b) all multispectral MODIS channels and (c) the channels selected by a pruning procedure applied to all MODIS channels. Results show that the neural network approach is able to estimate the volcanic eruption parameters very well, showing a root mean square error (RMSE) below the target data standard deviation (SD). The network built considering all the MODIS channels gives a better performance in terms of specialization, mainly on images close in time to the training ones, while the networks with less inputs reveal a better generalization performance when applied to independent data sets. In order to increase the network's generalization capability and to select the most significant MODIS channels, a pruning algorithm has been implemented. The pruning outcomes revealed that channel sensitive to ash parameters correspond to the thermal infrared, visible and mid-infrared spectral ranges. The neural network approach has been proven to be effective when addressing the inversion problem for the estimation of volcanic ash and SO2 cloud parameters, providing fast and reliable retrievals, important requirements during volcanic crises.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 86 ◽  
Author(s):  
César Pérez López ◽  
María Delgado Rodríguez ◽  
Sonia de Lucas Santos

The goal of the present research is to contribute to the detection of tax fraud concerning personal income tax returns (IRPF, in Spanish) filed in Spain, through the use of Machine Learning advanced predictive tools, by applying Multilayer Perceptron neural network (MLP) models. The possibilities springing from these techniques have been applied to a broad range of personal income return data supplied by the Institute of Fiscal Studies (IEF). The use of the neural networks enabled taxpayer segmentation as well as calculation of the probability concerning an individual taxpayer’s propensity to attempt to evade taxes. The results showed that the selected model has an efficiency rate of 84.3%, implying an improvement in relation to other models utilized in tax fraud detection. The proposal can be generalized to quantify an individual’s propensity to commit fraud with regards to other kinds of taxes. These models will support tax offices to help them arrive at the best decisions regarding action plans to combat tax fraud.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 6194
Author(s):  
Selma Tchoketch_Kebir ◽  
Nawal Cheggaga ◽  
Adrian Ilinca ◽  
Sabri Boulouma

This paper presents an efficient neural network-based method for fault diagnosis in photovoltaic arrays. The proposed method was elaborated on three main steps: the data-feeding step, the fault-modeling step, and the decision step. The first step consists of feeding the real meteorological and electrical data to the neural networks, namely solar irradiance, panel temperature, photovoltaic-current, and photovoltaic-voltage. The second step consists of modeling a healthy mode of operation and five additional faulty operational modes; the modeling process is carried out using two networks of artificial neural networks. From this step, six classes are obtained, where each class corresponds to a predefined model, namely, the faultless scenario and five faulty scenarios. The third step involves the diagnosis decision about the system’s state. Based on the results from the above step, two probabilistic neural networks will classify each generated data according to the six classes. The obtained results show that the developed method can effectively detect different types of faults and classify them. Besides, this method still achieves high performances even in the presence of noises. It provides a diagnosis even in the presence of data injected at reduced real-time, which proves its robustness.


2000 ◽  
Vol 1719 (1) ◽  
pp. 103-111 ◽  
Author(s):  
Satish C. Sharma ◽  
Pawan Lingras ◽  
Guo X. Liu ◽  
Fei Xu

Estimation of the annual average daily traffic (AADT) for low-volume roads is investigated. Artificial neural networks are compared with the traditional factor approach for estimating AADT from short-period traffic counts. Fifty-five automatic traffic recorder (ATR) sites located on low-volume rural roads in Alberta, Canada, are used as study samples. The results of this study indicate that, when a single 48-h count is used for AADT estimation, the factor approach can yield better results than the neural networks if the ATR sites are grouped appropriately and the sample sites are correctly assigned to various ATR groups. Unfortunately, the current recommended practice offers little guidance on how to achieve the assignment accuracy that may be necessary to obtain reliable AADT estimates from a single 48-h count. The neural network approach can be particularly suitable for estimating AADT from two 48-h counts taken at different times during the counting season. In fact, the 95th percentile error values of about 25 percent as obtained in this study for the neural network models compare favorably with the values reported in the literature for low-volume roads using the traditional factor approach. The advantage of the neural network approach is that classification of ATR sites and sample site assignments to ATR groups are not required. The analysis of various groups of low-volume roads presented also leads to a conclusion that, when defining low-volume roads from a traffic monitoring point of view, it is not likely to matter much whether the AADT on the facility is less than 500 vehicles, less than 750 vehicles, or less than 1,000 vehicles.


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 4627-4643 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simon Pfreundschuh ◽  
Patrick Eriksson ◽  
David Duncan ◽  
Bengt Rydberg ◽  
Nina Håkansson ◽  
...  

Abstract. A neural-network-based method, quantile regression neural networks (QRNNs), is proposed as a novel approach to estimating the a posteriori distribution of Bayesian remote sensing retrievals. The advantage of QRNNs over conventional neural network retrievals is that they learn to predict not only a single retrieval value but also the associated, case-specific uncertainties. In this study, the retrieval performance of QRNNs is characterized and compared to that of other state-of-the-art retrieval methods. A synthetic retrieval scenario is presented and used as a validation case for the application of QRNNs to Bayesian retrieval problems. The QRNN retrieval performance is evaluated against Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation and another Bayesian method based on Monte Carlo integration over a retrieval database. The scenario is also used to investigate how different hyperparameter configurations and training set sizes affect the retrieval performance. In the second part of the study, QRNNs are applied to the retrieval of cloud top pressure from observations by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). It is shown that QRNNs are not only capable of achieving similar accuracy to standard neural network retrievals but also provide statistically consistent uncertainty estimates for non-Gaussian retrieval errors. The results presented in this work show that QRNNs are able to combine the flexibility and computational efficiency of the machine learning approach with the theoretically sound handling of uncertainties of the Bayesian framework. Together with this article, a Python implementation of QRNNs is released through a public repository to make the method available to the scientific community.


2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 106-116
Author(s):  
Saddam BENSAOUCHA ◽  
Sid Ahmed BESSEDIK ◽  
Aissa AMEUR ◽  
Abdellatif SEGHIOUR

In this paper, a study has presented the performance of a neural networks technique to detect the broken rotor bars (BRBs) fault in induction motors (IMs). In this context, the fast Fourier transform (FFT) applied on Hilbert modulus obtained via the stator current signal has been used as a diagnostic signal to replace the FFT classic, the characteristics frequency are selected from the Hilbert modulus spectrum, in addition, the different load conditions are used as three inputs data for the neural networks. The efficiency of the proposed method is verified by simulation in MATLAB environment.


Energies ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 588
Author(s):  
Felipe Leite Coelho da Silva ◽  
Kleyton da Costa ◽  
Paulo Canas Rodrigues ◽  
Rodrigo Salas ◽  
Javier Linkolk López-Gonzales

Forecasting the industry’s electricity consumption is essential for energy planning in a given country or region. Thus, this study aims to apply time-series forecasting models (statistical approach and artificial neural network approach) to the industrial electricity consumption in the Brazilian system. For the statistical approach, the Holt–Winters, SARIMA, Dynamic Linear Model, and TBATS (Trigonometric Box–Cox transform, ARMA errors, Trend, and Seasonal components) models were considered. For the approach of artificial neural networks, the NNAR (neural network autoregression) and MLP (multilayer perceptron) models were considered. The results indicate that the MLP model was the one that obtained the best forecasting performance for the electricity consumption of the Brazilian industry under analysis.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 (02) ◽  
pp. 89-98
Author(s):  
Vijayakumar T

Predicting the category of tumors and the types of the cancer in its early stage remains as a very essential process to identify depth of the disease and treatment available for it. The neural network that functions similar to the human nervous system is widely utilized in the tumor investigation and the cancer prediction. The paper presents the analysis of the performance of the neural networks such as the, FNN (Feed Forward Neural Networks), RNN (Recurrent Neural Networks) and the CNN (Convolutional Neural Network) investigating the tumors and predicting the cancer. The results obtained by evaluating the neural networks on the breast cancer Wisconsin original data set shows that the CNN provides 43 % better prediction than the FNN and 25% better prediction than the RNN.


Author(s):  
Daniela Danciu

Neural networks—both natural and artificial, are characterized by two kinds of dynamics. The first one is concerned with what we would call “learning dynamics”. The second one is the intrinsic dynamics of the neural network viewed as a dynamical system after the weights have been established via learning. The chapter deals with the second kind of dynamics. More precisely, since the emergent computational capabilities of a recurrent neural network can be achieved provided it has suitable dynamical properties when viewed as a system with several equilibria, the chapter deals with those qualitative properties connected to the achievement of such dynamical properties as global asymptotics and gradient-like behavior. In the case of the neural networks with delays, these aspects are reformulated in accordance with the state of the art of the theory of time delay dynamical systems.


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