Reducing bias in risk indices for COVID-19

Spatiotemporal modelling of infectious diseases such as coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) involves using a variety of epidemiological metrics such as regional proportion of cases and/or regional positivity rates. Although observing changes of these indices over time is critical to estimate the regional disease burden, the dynamical properties of these measures, as well as crossrelationships, are usually not systematically given or explained. Here we provide a spatiotemporal framework composed of six commonly used and newly constructed epidemiological metrics and conduct a case study evaluation. We introduce a refined risk estimate that is biased neither by variation in population size nor by the spatial heterogeneity of testing. In particular, the proposed methodology would be useful for unbiased identification of time periods with elevated COVID-19 risk without sensitivity to spatial heterogeneity of neither population nor testing coverage.We offer a case study in Poland that shows improvement over the bias of currently used methods. Our results also provide insights regarding regional prioritisation of testing and the consequences of potential synchronisation of epidemics between regions. The approach should apply to other infectious diseases and other geographical areas.

The Research of Sequence Shadowing Property and Regularly Recurrent Point on the Double Inverse Limit Space

According to the definition of sequence shadowing property and regularly recurrent point in the inverse limit space, we introduce the concept of sequence shadowing property and regularly recurrent point in the double inverse limit space and study their dynamical properties. The following results are obtained: (1) Regularly recurrent point sets of the double shift map σ f ∘ σ g are equal to the double inverse limit space of the double self-map f ∘ g in the regularly recurrent point sets. (2) The double self-map f ∘ g has sequence shadowing property if and only if the double shift map σ f ∘ σ g has sequence shadowing property. Thus, the conclusions of sequence shadowing property and regularly recurrent point are generalized to the double inverse limit space.

G -Chain Mixing and G -Chain Transitivity in Metric G-Space

Firstly, we introduce the concept of G -chain mixing, G -mixing, and G -chain transitivity in metric G -space. Secondly, we study their dynamical properties and obtain the following results. (1) If the map f has the G -shadowing property, then the map f is G -chain mixed if and only if the map f is G -mixed. (2) The map f is G -chain transitive if and only if for any positive integer k ≥ 2 , the map f k is G -chain transitive. (3) If the map f is G -pointwise chain recurrent, then the map f is G -chain transitive. (4) If there exists a nonempty open set U satisfying G U = U , U ¯ ≠ X , and f U ¯ ⊂ U , then we have that the map f is not G -chain transitive. These conclusions enrich the theory of G -chain mixing, G -mixing, and G -chain transitivity in metric G -space.

Dynamics of matter-wave solitons in three-component Bose-Einstein condensates with time-modulated interactions and gain or loss effect

The gain or loss effect on the dynamics of the matter-wave solitons in three-component Bose-Einstein condensates with time-modulated interactions trapped in parabolic external potentials are investigated analytically. Some exact matter-wave soliton solutions to the three-coupled Gross-Pitaevskii equation describing the three-component Bose-Einstein condensates are constructed by similarity transformation. The dynamical properties of the matter-wave solitons are analyzed graphically, and the effects of the gain or loss parameter and the frequency of the external potentials on the matter-wave solitons are explored. It is shown that the gain coefficient makes the atom condensate to absorb energy from the background, while the loss coefficient brings about the collapse of the condensate.

Dynamical properties of a novel one dimensional chaotic map

<abstract><p>In this paper, a novel one dimensional chaotic map $ K(x) = \frac{\mu x(1\, -x)}{1+ x} $, $ x\in [0, 1], \mu &gt; 0 $ is proposed. Some dynamical properties including fixed points, attracting points, repelling points, stability and chaotic behavior of this map are analyzed. To prove the main result, various dynamical techniques like cobweb representation, bifurcation diagrams, maximal Lyapunov exponent, and time series analysis are adopted. Further, the entropy and probability distribution of this newly introduced map are computed which are compared with traditional one-dimensional chaotic logistic map. Moreover, with the help of bifurcation diagrams, we prove that the range of stability and chaos of this map is larger than that of existing one dimensional logistic map. Therefore, this map might be used to achieve better results in all the fields where logistic map has been used so far.</p></abstract>

New dynamical features of pure k-essential cosmologies

We come back on the dynamical properties of [Formula: see text]-essential cosmological models and show how the interesting phenomenological features of those models are related to the existence of boundaries in the phase surface. We focus our attention to the branching curves where the energy density has an extremum and the effective speed of sound diverges. We discuss the behaviour of solutions of a general class of cosmological models exhibiting such curves and give two possible interpretations; the most interesting possibility regards the arrow of time that is reversed in trespassing the branching curve. This study teaches to us something new about general FLRW cosmologies where the fluids driving the cosmic evolution have equations of state that are multivalued functions of the energy density and other thermodynamical quantities.

Pattern Formation in One-Dimensional Polaron Systems and Temporal Orthogonality Catastrophe

Recent studies have demonstrated that higher than two-body bath-impurity correlations are not important for quantitatively describing the ground state of the Bose polaron. Motivated by the above, we employ the so-called Gross Ansatz (GA) approach to unravel the stationary and dynamical properties of the homogeneous one-dimensional Bose-polaron for different impurity momenta and bath-impurity couplings. We explicate that the character of the equilibrium state crossovers from the quasi-particle Bose polaron regime to the collective-excitation stationary dark-bright soliton for varying impurity momentum and interactions. Following an interspecies interaction quench the temporal orthogonality catastrophe is identified, provided that bath-impurity interactions are sufficiently stronger than the intraspecies bath ones, thus generalizing the results of the confined case. This catastrophe originates from the formation of dispersive shock wave structures associated with the zero-range character of the bath-impurity potential. For initially moving impurities, a momentum transfer process from the impurity to the dispersive shock waves via the exerted drag force is demonstrated, resulting in a final polaronic state with reduced velocity. Our results clearly demonstrate the crucial role of non-linear excitations for determining the behavior of the one-dimensional Bose polaron.