Drying Tendency over the Southern Tibetan Plateau in Recent Past Decades

Author(s):  
Ziqian Wang ◽  
Song Yang ◽  
Anmin Duan

<p>The Tibetan Plateau (TP) exerts a significant impact on the weather and climate over many places of the world through both mechanical and thermal-dynamical effects. In summer, the major rainfall of the TP occurs over the southern slope, and the associated atmospheric latent heating dominates the total diabatic heating of TP. Then the variation of summer rainfall can directly regulate the TP’s thermal effects. On the other hand, the rainfall center over the southern slope is corresponding with the northern branch of South Asian summer monsoon, which is important to the agricultural productivity and economic stability along the Ganges River with dense population. This study shows that there existed a drying tendency over the southern TP (STP) in the rainy season of recent decades. A moisture budget analysis indicates that the dynamic change in vertical moisture advection is the dominant contributor to the drying trend, which is associated with the weakened upward motion over the STP. The changes in dynamic process over STP are induced by the northward shift of the subtropical westerly jet, whose northward shift reduces the upper-level anticyclone over STP and weakens the upper-level divergence, leading to a trend of vertical sinking motion. Furthermore, the northward shift of the jet is mainly attributed to the internal variability of the atmosphere, characterized by an upper-level circum-global wave train. The influence of atmospheric internal variability is demonstrated by the CESM Large Ensemble Project data.</p>

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (11) ◽  
pp. 6641-6663 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yixuan Gu ◽  
Hong Liao ◽  
Jianchun Bian

Abstract. We use the global three-dimensional Goddard Earth Observing System chemical transport model (GEOS-Chem) to examine the contribution of nitrate aerosol to aerosol concentrations in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) over the Tibetan Plateau and the South Asian summer monsoon (TP/SASM) region during summertime of year 2005. Simulated surface-layer aerosol concentrations are compared with ground-based observations, and simulated aerosols in the UTLS are evaluated by using the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment II satellite data. Simulations show elevated aerosol concentrations of sulfate, nitrate, ammonium, black carbon, organic carbon, and PM2.5 (particles with diameter equal to or less than 2.5 µm, defined as the sum of sulfate, nitrate, ammonium, black carbon, and organic carbon aerosols in this study) in the UTLS over the TP/SASM region throughout the summer. Nitrate aerosol is simulated to be of secondary importance near the surface but the most dominant aerosol species in the UTLS over the studied region. Averaged over summertime and over the TP/SASM region, CNIT (the ratio of nitrate concentration to PM2.5 concentration) values are 5–35 % at the surface, 25–50 % at 200 hPa, and could exceed 60 % at 100 hPa. The mechanisms for the accumulation of nitrate in the UTLS over the TP/SASM region include vertical transport and the gas-to-aerosol conversion of HNO3 to form nitrate. The high relative humidity and low temperature associated with the deep convection over the TP/SASM region are favorable for the gas-to-aerosol conversion of HNO3.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoxin Yang ◽  
Sunil Acharya ◽  
Tandong Yao

Abstract. The mid-latitude westerlies and South Asian Summer Monsoon (SASM) are two major atmospheric circulation systems influencing the Tibetan Plateau (TP). We report a seven-year (2007/2008–2013/2014) dataset of δ18O in precipitation (δ18Op) collected at three stations. Taxkorgan (TX) and Bulunkou (BLK) are located on the northwestern TP where westerly winds dominate while Lulang (LL) is situated on the southeastern TP where the SASM dominates. δ18O in precipitation (δ18Op) in northwestern TP varies with surface temperature (T) throughout the study period, and is depleted in 18O in precipitation during June to September when the monsoonal circulation enters the TP. Integration with model outputs suggests that large-scale atmospheric circulation plays a major role in isotopic seasonality in both regions. A teleconnection between precipitation on the northwestern TP and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) warm phase is suggested by changes in the relationship between δ18O and δD (e.g., reduced slope and weighted d-excess) in precipitation samples. These observations are indicative of a weakening of the mid-latitude westerly jet allowing local processes in the continental interior to become more dominant, thereby increasing the contribution of secondary evaporation from falling raindrops and kinetic fractionation. Under the conditions of a high Northern Annular Mode (NAM) the westerly jet is intensified over the southeastern TP which enhances local evaporation and continental recycling as revealed by a lower δD-δ18O slope and intercept, but higher d-excess average in contemporaneously collected precipitation samples. The significant correlation between T and δ18Op in the northwestern TP during various composite periods highlights a variation from 0.39 ‰ / ℃ (ENSO warm) to 0.77 ‰ / ℃ (high NAM), attributable to decreased (increased) water vapor availability over the northwestern TP during the ENSO warm (strong positive NAM) phase. ENSO cold and strong negative NAM phases show analogous effects on atmospheric circulation over both regions.


2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 24809-24853
Author(s):  
N. K. Heath ◽  
H. E. Fuelberg

Abstract. The Asian summer monsoon is a prominent feature of the global circulation that is associated with an upper-level anticyclone (ULAC) that stands out vividly in satellite observations of trace gases. The ULAC also is an important region of troposphere-to-stratosphere transport. We ran the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model at convective-permitting scales (4 km grid spacing) between 10–20 August 2012 to understand the role of convection in transporting boundary layer air into the upper-level anticyclone. Such high-resolution modeling of the Asian ULAC previously has not been documented in the literature. Comparison of our WRF simulation with reanalysis and satellite observations showed that WRF simulated the atmosphere sufficiently well to be used to study convective transport into the ULAC. A back-trajectory analysis based on hourly WRF output showed that > 90% of convectively influenced parcels reaching the ULAC came from the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and the southern slope (SS) of the Himalayas. A distinct diurnal cycle is seen in the convective trajectories, with their greatest impact occurring between 1600–2300 local solar time. This finding highlights the role of "everyday" diurnal convection in transporting boundary layer air into the ULAC. WRF output at 15 min intervals was produced for 16 August to examine the convection in greater detail. This high-temporal output revealed that the weakest convection in the study area occurred over the TP. However, because the TP is at 3000–5000 m a.m.s.l., its convection does not have to be as strong to reach the ULAC as in lower altitude regions. In addition, because the TP's elevated heat source is a major cause of the ULAC, we propose that convection over the TP and the neighboring SS is ideally situated geographically to impact the ULAC. The vertical mass flux of water vapor into the ULAC also was calculated. Results show that the TP and SS regions dominate other Asian regions in transporting moisture vertically into the ULAC. Because convection reaching the ULAC is more widespread over the TP than nearby, we propose that the abundant convection partially explains the TP's dominant water vapor fluxes. In addition, greater outgoing longwave radiation reaches the upper levels of the TP due to its elevated terrain. This creates a warmer ambient upper level environment, allowing parcels with greater saturation mixing ratios to enter the ULAC. Lakes in the Tibetan Plateau are shown to provide favorable conditions for deep convection during the night.


2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (22) ◽  
pp. 8973-8985 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoyang Chen ◽  
Qinglong You

The onset of the South Asian summer monsoon (SASM) indicates the beginning of the rainy season in the South Asia region. It is not only critical for the local agriculture and animal husbandry but also important for water and life security. Precipitation in the early rainy season (May) increases rapidly and has a large interannual variability, especially in the Tibetan Plateau (TP) region. One of the starting mechanisms of the monsoon system is the land–sea thermal contrast (LSTC) between the Indian Ocean (IO) and South Asia region. Therefore, the IO can be considered as a crucial factor for the intensity of the monsoon system, as well as the TP precipitation. In this study, the relationships between IO sea surface temperature (SST) and TP precipitation on the interannual time scale are investigated. Correlation maps show that IO SST variability contains a portion that is independent from the tropical Pacific Ocean SST and is negatively correlated with the TP precipitation. Here the authors define an LSTC index to determine the thermal condition over the IO and South Asia region. The SASM reveals an out-of-phase relationship with LSTC between land and ocean, which means it would be suppressed by the enhanced LSTC. The daily data are used to further analyze the relationship between the SASM and TP precipitation in detail. Results show that the anomalous TP precipitation in May is mainly caused by the Bay of Bengal monsoon and that the Indian monsoon is responsible for the TP precipitation in June. More specifically, warmer SST enlarges the LSTC between the IO and South Asia region. The SASM is weaker than the mean state, resulting in less precipitation over the TP. In negative years the opposite occurs.


2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (21) ◽  
pp. 32049-32099 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Gu ◽  
H. Liao

Abstract. We use the global three-dimensional Goddard Earth Observing System chemical transport model (GEOS-Chem) to examine the contribution of nitrate aerosol to aerosol concentrations in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) over the Tibetan Plateau and the South Asian summer monsoon (TP/SASM) region during summertime of year 2005. Simulated surface-layer aerosol concentrations are compared with ground-based observations, and simulated aerosols in the UTLS are evaluated by using the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment II satellite data. Simulations show elevated aerosol concentrations of sulfate, nitrate, ammonium, black carbon, organic carbon, and PM2.5 (particles with diameter equal or less than 2.5 μm) in the UTLS over the TP/SASM region throughout the summer. Nitrate aerosol is simulated to be the second largest aerosol species in the surface-layer but the most dominant aerosol species in the UTLS over the studied region. Averaged over summertime and over the TP/SASM region, CNIT (the ratio of nitrate concentration to PM2.5 concentration) values are 5–35 % at the surface, 25–50 % at 200 hPa, and exceed 60 % at 100 hPa. The mechanisms for the accumulation of nitrate in the UTLS over the TP/SASM region include vertical transport and the gas-to-aerosol conversion of HNO3 to form nitrate. The high relative humidity and low temperature associated with the deep convection over the TP/SASM region are favorable for the gas-to-aerosol conversion of HNO3.


2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 5019-5036
Author(s):  
G.-S. Chen ◽  
Z. Liu ◽  
J. E. Kutzbach

Abstract. The Tibetan Plateau has been conventionally treated as an elevated heat source driving the Asian monsoon system, especially for the South Asian monsoon. Numerous model simulations with general circulation models (GCMs) support this hypothesis with the finding that the Asian monsoon system is weak or absent with all elevated topographies removed. A recent model simulation shows that the South Asian summer monsoon circulation is little affected with only the Himalayas (no Tibetan Plateau) kept as a barrier, leading to a hypothesis of the barrier "blocking" mechanism of the Tibetan Plateau. In this paper, a new series of experiments are designed to reexamine this barrier effect. We find that with the barrier, the large-scale summer monsoon circulation over South Asia is simulated in general agreement with the full Tibetan Plateau, which is consistent with the previous finding. However there remains significant differences in both wind field and precipitation field elsewhere, suggesting a role of the full Tibetan Plateau as well. Moreover, the proposed barrier "blocking" mechanism is not found in our experiments. The energy of the low-level air and the convection is lower/weaker over the Indian subcontinent in the full Tibetan Plateau experiment than that in the no-Tibetan Plateau experiment or the barrier only experiment, which is opposite to the barrier "blocking" hypothesis. Instead, there is a similar candle-like latent heating in the middle troposphere along the south edge of the Tibetan Plateau in both the full Tibetan Plateau and the barrier experiments, whereas this "candle heating" disappears in the no-Tibetan Plateau experiment. We propose that this candle heating is the key to understand the mechanisms of the Tibetan Plateau on the South Asian monsoon. Future studies are needed to check the source of the "candle heating" and its effect on the Asian monsoon.


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