Retrieval of Arctic sea ice freeboard from passive microwave data using deep neural network

Author(s):  
Junhwa Chi ◽  
Hyun-Cheol Kim ◽  
Sung Jae Lee

<p>Changes in Arctic sea ice cover represent one of the most visible indicators of climate change. While changes in sea ice extent affect the albedo, changes in sea ice volume explain changes in the heat budget and the exchange of fresh water between ice and the ocean. Global climate simulations predict that Arctic sea ice will exhibit a more significant change in volume than extent. Satellite observations show a long-term negative trend in Arctic sea ice  during all seasons, particularly in summer. Sea ice volume has been estimated by ICESat and CryoSat-2 satellites, and then NASA’s second-generation spaceborne lidar mission, ICESat-2 has successfully been launched in 2018.  Although these sensors can measure sea ice freeboard precisely, long revisit cycles and narrow swaths are problematic for monitoring of the freeboard in the entire of Arctic ocean effectively. Passive microwave sensors are widely used in retrieval of sea ice concentration. Because of the capability of high temporal resolution and wider swaths, these sensors enable to produce daily sea ice concentration maps over the entire Arctic ocean. Brightness temperatures from passive microwave sensors are often used to estimate sea ice freeboard for first-year ice, but it is difficult to associate with physical characteristics related to sea ice height of multi-year ice. In machine learning community, deep learning has gained attention and notable success in addressing more complicated decision making using multiple hidden layers. In this study, we propose a deep learning based Arctic sea ice freeboard retrieval algorithm incorporating the brightness temperature data from the AMSR2 passive microwave data and sea ice freeboard data from the ICESat-2. The proposed retrieval algorithm enables to estimate daily freeboard for both first- and multi-year ice over the entire Arctic ocean. The estimated freeboard values from the AMSR2 are then quantitatively and qualitatively compared with other sea ice freeboard or thickness products.  </p>

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harry Heorton ◽  
Michel Tsamados ◽  
Paul Holland ◽  
Jack Landy

<p><span>We combine satellite-derived observations of sea ice concentration, drift, and thickness to provide the first observational decomposition of the dynamic (advection/divergence) and thermodynamic (melt/growth) drivers of wintertime Arctic sea ice volume change. Ten winter growth seasons are analyzed over the CryoSat-2 period between October 2010 and April 2020. Sensitivity to several observational products is performed to provide an estimated uncertainty of the budget calculations. The total thermodynamic ice volume growth and dynamic ice losses are calculated with marked seasonal, inter-annual and regional variations</span><span>. Ice growth is fastest during Autumn, in the Marginal Seas and over first year ice</span><span>. Our budget decomposition methodology can help diagnose the processes confounding climate model predictions of sea ice. We make our product and code available to the community in monthly pan-Arctic netcdft files for the entire October 2010 to April 2020 period.</span></p>


Author(s):  
Y. Chen ◽  
X. Zhao ◽  
M. Qu ◽  
Z. Cheng ◽  
X. Pang ◽  
...  

Abstract. Passive microwave (PM) sensors on satellite can monitor sea ice distribution with their strengths of daylight- and weather-independent observations. Microwave Radiation Imager (MWRI) sensor aboard on the Chinese FengYun-3D (FY-3D) satellites was launched in 2017 and provides continuous observation for Arctic sea ice since then. In this study, sea ice concentration (SIC) product is derived from brightness temperature (TB) data of MWRI, based on an Arctic Radiation and Turbulence Interaction Study Sea Ice (ASI) dynamic tie points algorithm. Our product is inter-compared with a published MWRI SIC product by the Enhanced NASA Team (NT2) algorithm, and three Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2) SIC products by the ASI, Bootstrap (BST) and NT2 algorithm. Results show that MWRI SIC are generally higher than AMSR2 SIC and the median of monthly SIC differences are larger in summer. Regional analysis indicates that the smaller differences between AMSR2 SIC and MWRI-ASI SIC occur in the higher SIC areas, and the biases are within ±5% in the Beaufort Sea, Chukchi Sea, East Siberian Sea, Canadian Archipelago Sea and Central Arctic Sea. There is the smallest SIC difference in the Central Arctic Sea with the biases of −0.77%, −0.60%, and 0.19% for AMSR2-ASI, AMSR2-BST and AMSR2-NT2, respectively. The trends of MWRI and AMSR2 sea ice extent and sea ice area are consistent with correlation coefficients all greater than 0.997. Besides, mean SIC, sea ice extent and sea ice area of MWRI-ASI are closer to those of AMSR2 than those of MWRI-NT2.


1984 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 61-68 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Holt ◽  
P. M. Kelly ◽  
B. S. G. Cherry

Soviet plans to divert water from rivers flowing into the Arctic Ocean have led to research into the impact of a reduction in discharge on Arctic sea ice. We consider the mechanisms by which discharge reductions might affect sea-ice cover and then test various hypotheses related to these mechanisms. We find several large areas over which sea-ice concentration correlates significantly with variations in river discharge, supporting two particular hypotheses. The first hypothesis concerns the area where the initial impacts are likely to which is the Kara Sea. Reduced riverflow is associated occur, with decreased sea-ice concentration in October, at the time of ice formation. This is believed to be the result of decreased freshening of the surface layer. The second hypothesis concerns possible effects on the large-scale current system of the Arctic Ocean and, in particular, on the inflow of Atlantic and Pacific water. These effects occur as a result of changes in the strength of northward-flowing gradient currents associated with variations in river discharge. Although it is still not certain that substantial transfers of riverflow will take place, it is concluded that the possibility of significant cryospheric effects and, hence, large-scale climate impact should not be neglected.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vladimir Semenov ◽  
Tatiana Matveeva

<p>Global warming in the recent decades has been accompanied by a rapid recline of the Arctic sea ice area most pronounced in summer (10% per decade). To understand the relative contribution of external forcing and natural variability to the modern and future sea ice area changes, it is necessary to evaluate a range of long-term variations of the Arctic sea ice area in the period before a significant increase in anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. Available observational data on the spatiotemporal dynamics of Arctic sea ice until 1950s are characterized by significant gaps and uncertainties. In the recent years, there have appeared several reconstructions of the early 20<sup>th</sup> century Arctic sea ice area that filled the gaps by analogue methods or utilized combined empirical data and climate model’s output. All of them resulted in a stronger that earlier believed negative sea ice area anomaly in the 1940s concurrent with the early 20<sup>th</sup> century warming (ETCW) peak. In this study, we reconstruct the monthly average gridded sea ice concentration (SIC) in the first half of the 20th century using the relationship between the spatiotemporal features of SIC variability, surface air temperature over the Northern Hemisphere extratropical continents, sea surface temperature in the North Atlantic and North Pacific, and sea level pressure. In agreement with a few previous results, our reconstructed data also show a significant negative anomaly of the Arctic sea ice area in the middle of the 20th century, however with some 15% to 30% stronger amplitude, about 1.5 million km<sup>2</sup> in September and 0.7 million km<sup>2</sup> in March. The reconstruction demonstrates a good agreement with regional Arctic sea ice area data when available and suggests that ETWC in the Arctic has been accompanied by a concurrent sea ice area decline of a magnitude that have been exceeded only in the beginning of the 21<sup>st</sup> century.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francois Massonnet ◽  
Sara Fleury ◽  
Florent Garnier ◽  
Ed Blockley ◽  
Pablo Ortega Montilla ◽  
...  

<p>It is well established that winter and spring Arctic sea-ice thickness anomalies are a key source of predictability for late summer sea-ice concentration. While numerical general circulation models (GCMs) are increasingly used to perform seasonal predictions, they are not systematically taking advantage of the wealth of polar observations available. Data assimilation, the study of how to constrain GCMs to produce a physically consistent state given observations and their uncertainties, remains, therefore, an active area of research in the field of seasonal prediction. With the recent advent of satellite laser and radar altimetry, large-scale estimates of sea-ice thickness have become available for data assimilation in GCMs. However, the sea-ice thickness is never directly observed by altimeters, but rather deduced from the measured sea-ice freeboard (the height of the emerged part of the sea ice floe) based on several assumptions like the depth of snow on sea ice and its density, which are both often poorly estimated. Thus, observed sea-ice thickness estimates are potentially less reliable than sea-ice freeboard estimates. Here, using the EC-Earth3 coupled forecasting system and an ensemble Kalman filter, we perform a set of sensitivity tests to answer the following questions: (1) Does the assimilation of late spring observed sea-ice freeboard or thickness information yield more skilful predictions than no assimilation at all? (2) Should the sea-ice freeboard assimilation be preferred over sea-ice thickness assimilation? (3) Does the assimilation of observed sea-ice concentration provide further constraints on the prediction? We address these questions in the context of a realistic test case, the prediction of 2012 summer conditions, which led to the all-time record low in Arctic sea-ice extent. We finally formulate a set of recommendations for practitioners and future users of sea ice observations in the context of seasonal prediction.</p>


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