scholarly journals Sensitivity of the tropical climate to an interhemispheric thermal gradient: the role of tropical ocean dynamics

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 285-297 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefanie Talento ◽  
Marcelo Barreiro
Keyword(s):  
Seasonal Cycle ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Thermocline Depth ◽  
Thermal Forcing ◽  
Tropical Ocean ◽  
Slab Ocean

Abstract. This study aims to determine the role of the tropical ocean dynamics in the response of the climate to extratropical thermal forcing. We analyse and compare the outcomes of coupling an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) with two ocean models of different complexity. In the first configuration the AGCM is coupled with a slab ocean model while in the second a reduced gravity ocean (RGO) model is additionally coupled in the tropical region. We find that the imposition of extratropical thermal forcing (warming in the Northern Hemisphere and cooling in the Southern Hemisphere with zero global mean) produces, in terms of annual means, a weaker response when the RGO is coupled, thus indicating that the tropical ocean dynamics oppose the incoming remote signal. On the other hand, while the slab ocean coupling does not produce significant changes to the equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) seasonal cycle, the RGO configuration generates strong warming in the central-eastern basin from April to August balanced by cooling during the rest of the year, strengthening the seasonal cycle in the eastern portion of the basin. We hypothesize that such changes are possible via the dynamical effect that zonal wind stress has on the thermocline depth. We also find that the imposed extratropical pattern affects El Niño–Southern Oscillation, weakening its amplitude and low-frequency behaviour.

scholarly journals Sensitivity of the tropical climate to an interhemispheric thermal gradient: the role of tropical ocean dynamics

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefanie Talento ◽  
Marcelo Barreiro
Keyword(s):  
Seasonal Cycle ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Thermocline Depth ◽  
Thermal Forcing ◽  
Tropical Ocean ◽  
Slab Ocean

Abstract. This study aims to determine the role of the tropical ocean dynamics in the response of the climate to an extratropical thermal forcing. We analyse and compare the outcomes of coupling an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) with two ocean models of different complexity. In the first configuration the AGCM is coupled with a slab ocean model while in the second a Reduced Gravity Ocean (RGO) model is additionally coupled in the tropical region. We find that the imposition of an extratropical thermal forcing (warming in the Northern Hemisphere and cooling in the Southern Hemisphere with zero global mean) produces, in terms of annual means, a weaker response when the RGO is coupled, thus indicating that the tropical ocean dynamics opposes the incoming remote signal. On the other hand, while the slab ocean coupling does not produce significant changes to the equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) seasonal cycle, the RGO configuration generates a strong warming in the centre-east of the basin from April to August balanced by a cooling during the rest of the year, strengthening the seasonal cycle in the eastern portion of the basin. We hypothesize that such changes are possible via the dynamical effect that zonal wind stress has on the thermocline depth. We also find that the imposed extratropical pattern affects El Niño Southern Oscillation, weakening its amplitude and low-frequency behaviour.

GFDL’s ESM2 Global Coupled Climate–Carbon Earth System Models. Part I: Physical Formulation and Baseline Simulation Characteristics

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (19) ◽  
pp. 6646-6665 ◽  
Author(s):  
John P. Dunne ◽  
Jasmin G. John ◽  
Alistair J. Adcroft ◽  
Stephen M. Griffies ◽  
Robert W. Hallberg ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Changes ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Heat Content ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Thermocline Depth ◽  
Earth System ◽  
System Models ◽  
Model Version ◽  
Earth System Models

Abstract The physical climate formulation and simulation characteristics of two new global coupled carbon–climate Earth System Models, ESM2M and ESM2G, are described. These models demonstrate similar climate fidelity as the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory’s previous Climate Model version 2.1 (CM2.1) while incorporating explicit and consistent carbon dynamics. The two models differ exclusively in the physical ocean component; ESM2M uses Modular Ocean Model version 4p1 with vertical pressure layers while ESM2G uses Generalized Ocean Layer Dynamics with a bulk mixed layer and interior isopycnal layers. Differences in the ocean mean state include the thermocline depth being relatively deep in ESM2M and relatively shallow in ESM2G compared to observations. The crucial role of ocean dynamics on climate variability is highlighted in El Niño–Southern Oscillation being overly strong in ESM2M and overly weak in ESM2G relative to observations. Thus, while ESM2G might better represent climate changes relating to total heat content variability given its lack of long-term drift, gyre circulation, and ventilation in the North Pacific, tropical Atlantic, and Indian Oceans, and depth structure in the overturning and abyssal flows, ESM2M might better represent climate changes relating to surface circulation given its superior surface temperature, salinity, and height patterns, tropical Pacific circulation and variability, and Southern Ocean dynamics. The overall assessment is that neither model is fundamentally superior to the other, and that both models achieve sufficient fidelity to allow meaningful climate and earth system modeling applications. This affords the ability to assess the role of ocean configuration on earth system interactions in the context of two state-of-the-art coupled carbon–climate models.

scholarly journals Importance of Ocean Dynamics for the Skewness of the Indian Ocean Dipole Mode*

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (7) ◽  
pp. 2145-2159 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomomichi Ogata ◽  
Shang-Ping Xie ◽  
Jian Lan ◽  
Xiaotong Zheng
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Model Simulation ◽  
Heat Budget ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Ocean General Circulation Model ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Thermocline Depth ◽  
Indian Ocean Dipole Mode ◽  
Budget Analysis

Abstract Interannual anomalies of sea surface temperature (SST), wind, and cloudiness in the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean (SE-TIO) show negative skewness. In this research, asymmetry between warm and cold episodes in the SE-TIO and the importance of ocean dynamics are investigated. A coupled model simulation and observations show an asymmetric relationship between SST and the thermocline depth in the SE-TIO where SST is more sensitive to an anomalous shoaling than to deepening of the thermocline. This asymmetric thermocline feedback on SST is a result of a deep mean thermocline. Sensitivity experiments with an ocean general circulation model (OGCM) show that a negative SST skewness arises in response to sinusoidal zonal wind variations that are symmetric between the westerly and easterly phases. Heat budget analysis with an OGCM hindcast also supports the importance of ocean dynamics for SST skewness off Sumatra and Java.

scholarly journals Subtropical Forcing of Tropical Pacific Climate and Decadal ENSO Modulation

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (18) ◽  
pp. 4691-4709 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniela Matei ◽  
Noel Keenlyside ◽  
Mojib Latif ◽  
Johann Jungclaus
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Pacific

Abstract The relative impact of the subtropical North and South Pacific Oceans on the tropical Pacific climate mean state and variability is estimated using an ocean–atmosphere–sea ice coupled general circulation model. Tailored experiments are performed in which the model is forced by idealized sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) in the subtropics of both hemispheres. The main results of this study suggest that subtropical South Pacific climate variations play a dominant role in tropical Pacific decadal variability and in the decadal modulation of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). In response to a 2°C warming in the subtropical South Pacific, the equatorial Pacific SST increases by about 0.6°C, approximately 65% larger than the change in the North Pacific experiment. The subtropics affect equatorial SST mainly through atmosphere–mixed layer interactions in the South Pacific experiments; the response is mostly accomplished within a decade. The “oceanic tunnel” dominates in the North Pacific experiments; the response takes at least 100 yr to be accomplished. Similar sensitivity experiments conducted with the stand-alone atmosphere model showed that both air–sea interactions and ocean dynamics are crucial in shaping the tropical climate response. The statistics of ENSO exhibit significant changes in amplitude and frequency in response to a warming/cooling of the subtropical South Pacific: a 2°C warming (cooling) of subtropical South Pacific SST reduces (increases) the interannual standard deviation by about 30% (20%) and shortens (lengthens) the ENSO period. The simulated changes in the equatorial zonal SST gradient are the main contributor to the modulation of ENSO variability. The simulated intensification (weakening) of the annual cycle in response to an enhanced warming (cooling) in subtropical South Pacific partly explains the shifts in frequency, but may also lead to a weaker (stronger) ENSO. The subtropical North Pacific thermal forcing did not change the statistical properties of ENSO as strongly.

scholarly journals Reproducibility of Seasonal Land Surface Climate

2006 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 114-136 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas J. Phillips
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Seasonal Cycle ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Seasonal Prediction ◽  
Climate Simulation ◽  
Continental Climate

Abstract In this study, the sensitivity of the continental seasonal climate to initial conditions is estimated from an ensemble of decadal simulations of an atmospheric general circulation model with the same specifications of radiative forcings and monthly ocean boundary conditions, but with different initial states of atmosphere and land. As measures of the “reproducibility” of continental climate for different initial conditions, spatiotemporal correlations are computed across paired realizations of 11 model land surface variables in which the seasonal cycle is either included or excluded—the former case being pertinent to climate simulation and the latter to seasonal prediction. It is found that the land surface variables that include the seasonal cycle are impacted only marginally by changes in initial conditions; moreover, their seasonal climatologies exhibit high spatial reproducibility. In contrast, the reproducibility of a seasonal land surface anomaly is generally low, although it is substantially higher in the Tropics; its spatial reproducibility also markedly fluctuates in tandem with warm and cold phases of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation. However, the overall degree of reproducibility depends on the particular land surface anomaly considered. It is also shown that the predictability of a land surface anomaly implied by its reproducibility statistics is consistent with what is inferred from more conventional predictability metrics. Implications of these results for climate model intercomparison projects and for operational forecasts of seasonal continental climate also are elaborated.

scholarly journals Evaluation of a near-global eddy-resolving ocean model

2013 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 591-615 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. R. Oke ◽  
D. A. Griffin ◽  
A. Schiller ◽  
R. J. Matear ◽  
R. Fiedler ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Seasonal Cycle ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Mixed Layer Depth ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Ocean General Circulation Model ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Future Version ◽  
Volume Transports

Abstract. Analysis of the variability of the last 18 yr (1993–2012) of a 32 yr run of a new near-global, eddy-resolving ocean general circulation model coupled with biogeochemistry is presented. Comparisons between modelled and observed mean sea level (MSL), mixed layer depth (MLD), sea level anomaly (SLA), sea surface temperature (SST), and {\\chla} indicate that the model variability is realistic. We find some systematic errors in the modelled MLD, with the model generally deeper than observations, which results in errors in the {\\chla}, owing to the strong biophysical coupling. We evaluate several other metrics in the model, including the zonally averaged seasonal cycle of SST, meridional overturning, volume transports through key straits and passages, zonally averaged temperature and salinity, and El Niño-related SST indices. We find that the modelled seasonal cycle in SST is 0.5–1.5 °C weaker than observed; volume transports of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, the East Australian Current, and Indonesian Throughflow are in good agreement with observational estimates; and the correlation between the modelled and observed NINO SST indices exceeds 0.91. Most aspects of the model circulation are realistic. We conclude that the model output is suitable for broader analysis to better understand upper ocean dynamics and ocean variability at mid- and low latitudes. The new model is intended to underpin a future version of Australia's operational short-range ocean forecasting system.

scholarly journals Influence of Oceanic Intraseasonal Kelvin Waves on Eastern Pacific Hurricane Activity

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (22) ◽  
pp. 7941-7955 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julien Boucharel ◽  
Fei-Fei Jin ◽  
Matthew H. England ◽  
Boris Dewitte ◽  
I. I. Lin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Scales ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Kelvin Waves ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Eastern Pacific ◽  
Thermocline Depth ◽  
Ocean Reanalysis ◽  
Hurricane Activity

Abstract Recent studies have highlighted the role of subsurface ocean dynamics in modulating eastern Pacific (EPac) hurricane activity on interannual time scales. In particular, the well-known El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) recharge–discharge mechanism has been suggested to provide a good understanding of the year-to-year variability of hurricane activity in this region. This paper investigates the influence of equatorial subsurface subannual and intraseasonal oceanic variability on tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the EPac. That is to say, it examines previously unexplored time scales, shorter than interannual, in an attempt to explain the variability not related to ENSO. Using ocean reanalysis products and TC best-track archive, the role of subannual and intraseasonal equatorial Kelvin waves (EKW) in modulating hurricane intensity in the EPac is examined. It is shown first that these planetary waves have a clear control on the subannual and intraseasonal variability of thermocline depth in the EPac cyclone-active region. This is found to affect ocean subsurface temperature, which in turn fuels hurricane intensification with a marked seasonal-phase locking. This mechanism of TC fueling, which explains up to 30% of the variability of TC activity unrelated to ENSO (around 15%–20% of the total variability), is embedded in the large-scale equatorial dynamics and therefore offers some predictability with lead time up to 3–4 months at seasonal and subseasonal time scales.

Tropical-ocean-atmosphere interactions in a coupled model

1989 ◽  
Vol 329 (1604) ◽  
pp. 207-223 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Heat Budget ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Tropical Pacific Ocean ◽  
Tropical Ocean

A high-resolution tropical Pacific Ocean model coupled to a medium-resolution atmospheric general circulation model has been integrated for 2 years. A seasonal cycle was included. The atmospheric model when forced with climatological seasonally varying sea surface temperatures simulates the surface stress and net surface heating over the tropical Pacific Ocean to within the uncertainty in the climatological estimates in these quantities. When coupled, however, the models drift into an annually recurring anomalous state, similar in many respects to the El Nino Southern Oscillation observed in the ocean and atmosphere. The model results emphasize the role of off-equatorial anomalies in temperature, atmospheric heating and wind response. Air—sea heat exchange is found to be dominant in determining sea surface temperature changes in these off-equatorial regions. Both cloud and evaporative feedbacks are important in the anomalous surface heat budget.

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