Review of Biophysics and vegetation cover change: a process-based evaluation framework for confronting land surface models with satellite observations

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wim Thiery
2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gregory Duveiller ◽  
Giovanni Forzieri ◽  
Eddy Robertson ◽  
Wei Li ◽  
Goran Georgievski ◽  
...  

Abstract. Land use and land cover change (LULCC) alter the biophysical properties of the Earth's surface. The associated changes in vegetation cover can perturb the local surface energy balance, which in turn can affect the local climate. The sign and magnitude of this change in climate depends on the specific vegetation transition, its timing and location, as well as on the background climate. Land surface models (LSMs) can be used to simulate such land-climate interactions and study their impact in past and future climates, but their capacity to model biophysical effects accurately across the globe remain unclear due to the complexity of the phenomena. Here we present a framework to evaluate the performance of such models with respect to a dedicated dataset derived from satellite remote sensing observations. Idealized simulations from four LSMs (JULES, ORCHIDEE, JSBACH and CLM) are combined with satellite observations to analyse the changes in radiative and turbulent fluxes caused by 15 specific vegetation cover transitions across geographic, seasonal and climatic gradients. The seasonal variation in net radiation associated with land cover change is the process that models capture best, whereas LSMs perform poorly when simulating spatial and climatic gradients of variation in latent, sensible and ground heat fluxes induced by land cover transitions. We expect that this analysis will help identify model limitations and prioritize efforts in model development as well as to inform where consensus between model and observations is already met, ultimately helping to improve the robustness and consistency of model simulations to better inform land-based mitigation and adaptation policies. The dataset is available at: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1182145.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 1265-1279 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gregory Duveiller ◽  
Giovanni Forzieri ◽  
Eddy Robertson ◽  
Wei Li ◽  
Goran Georgievski ◽  
...  

Abstract. Land use and land cover change (LULCC) alter the biophysical properties of the Earth's surface. The associated changes in vegetation cover can perturb the local surface energy balance, which in turn can affect the local climate. The sign and magnitude of this change in climate depends on the specific vegetation transition, its timing and its location, as well as on the background climate. Land surface models (LSMs) can be used to simulate such land–climate interactions and study their impact in past and future climates, but their capacity to model biophysical effects accurately across the globe remain unclear due to the complexity of the phenomena. Here we present a framework to evaluate the performance of such models with respect to a dedicated dataset derived from satellite remote sensing observations. Idealized simulations from four LSMs (JULES, ORCHIDEE, JSBACH and CLM) are combined with satellite observations to analyse the changes in radiative and turbulent fluxes caused by 15 specific vegetation cover transitions across geographic, seasonal and climatic gradients. The seasonal variation in net radiation associated with land cover change is the process that models capture best, whereas LSMs perform poorly when simulating spatial and climatic gradients of variation in latent, sensible and ground heat fluxes induced by land cover transitions. We expect that this analysis will help identify model limitations and prioritize efforts in model development as well as inform where consensus between model and observations is already met, ultimately helping to improve the robustness and consistency of model simulations to better inform land-based mitigation and adaptation policies. The dataset consisting of both harmonized model simulation and remote sensing estimations is available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1182145.


2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 12505-12542
Author(s):  
J. P. Boisier ◽  
N. de Noblet-Ducoudré ◽  
P. Ciais

Abstract. Cooling resulting from increases in surface albedo has been identified in several studies as the main biogeophysical effect of past land-use induced land cover changes (LCC) on climate. However, the amplitude of this effect remains quite uncertain due to, among other factors, (a) uncertainties in the magnitude of historical LCC and, (b) differences in the way various models simulate surface albedo and more specifically its dependency on vegetation type and snow cover. We have derived monthly albedo climatologies for croplands and four other land-cover types from MODIS satellite observations. We have then estimated the changes in surface albedo since preindustrial times by combining these climatologies with the land-cover maps of 1870 and 1992 used by modelers in the context of the LUCID intercomparison project. These reconstructions show surface albedo increases larger than 10% (absolute) in winter and 2% in summer between 1870 and 1992 over areas that have experienced intense deforestation in the northern temperate regions. The MODIS-based reconstructions of historical changes in surface albedo were then compared to those simulated by the various models participating to LUCID. The inter-model mean albedo response to LCC shows a similar spatial and seasonal pattern to the one resulting from the reconstructions, that is larger increases in winter than in summer driven by the presence of snow. However, individual models show significant differences with the satellite-based reconstructions, despite the fact that land-cover change maps are the same. Our analyses suggest that the primary reason for those discrepancies is how land-surface models parameterize albedo. Another reason, of secondary importance, results from differences in the simulated snowpack. Our methodology is a useful tool not only to infer observations-based historical changes in land surface variables impacted by LCC, but also to point to major deficiencies within the models; we therefore suggest that it could be more widely developed and used in conjunction with other tools in order to evaluate global land-surface models.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miguel Nogueira ◽  
Clément Albergel ◽  
Souhail Boussetta ◽  
Frederico Johannsen ◽  
Isabel F Trigo ◽  
...  

Abstract. Earth observations were used to evaluate the representation of Land Surface Temperature (LST) and vegetation coverage over Iberia in two state-of-the-art land surface models (LSMs) – the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) Carbon-Hydrology Tiled ECMWF Scheme for Surface Exchanges over Land (CHTESSEL) and the Météo-France Interaction between Soil Biosphere and Atmosphere model (ISBA) within the SURface EXternalisée modelling platform (SURFEX-ISBA) for the 2004–2015 period. The results show that the daily maximum LST simulated by CHTESSEL over Iberia is affected by a large cold bias during summer months when compared against the Satellite Application Facility on Land Surface Analysis (LSA-SAF), reaching magnitudes larger than 10 °C over wide portions of central and southwestern Iberia. This error is shown to be tightly linked to a misrepresentation of the vegetation cover. In contrast, SURFEX simulations did not display such a cold bias. We show that this was due to the better representation of vegetation cover in SURFEX, which uses an updated land cover dataset (ECOCLIMAP-II) and an interactive vegetation evolution, representing seasonality. The representation of vegetation over Iberia in CHTESSEL was improved by combining information from the European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative (ESA-CCI) land cover dataset with the Copernicus Global Land Service (CGLS) Leaf Area Index (LAI) and fraction of vegetation coverage (FCOVER). The proposed improvement in vegetation also includes a clumping approach that introduces seasonality to the vegetation cover. The results show significant added value, removing the daily maximum LST summer cold bias completely, without reducing the accuracy of the simulated LST, regardless of season or time of the day. The striking performance differences between SURFEX and CHTESSEL were fundamental to guide the developments in CHTESSEL highlighting the importance of using different models. This work has important implications: first, it takes advantage of LST, a key variable in surface-atmosphere energy and water exchanges, which is closely related to satellite top-of-atmosphere observations, to improve model’s representation of land surface processes. Second, CHTESSEL is the land surface model employed by ECMWF in the production of their weather forecasts and reanalysis, hence systematic errors in land surface variables and fluxes are then propagated into those products. Indeed, we show that the summer daily maximum LST cold bias over Iberia in CHTESSEL is present in the widely used ECMWF fifth generation reanalysis (ERA5). Finally, our results provide hints into the interaction between vegetation land-atmosphere exchanges, highlighting the relevance of the vegetation cover and respective seasonality in representing land surface temperature in both CHTESSEL and SURFEX. As a whole, this work demonstrates the added value in using multiple earth observation products for constraining and improving weather and climate simulations.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sandy P. Harrison ◽  
Wolfgang Cramer ◽  
Oskar Franklin ◽  
Iain Colin Prentice ◽  
Han Wang ◽  
...  

2006 ◽  
Vol 87 (10) ◽  
pp. 1367-1380 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. J. Dolman ◽  
J. Noilhan ◽  
P. Durand ◽  
C. Sarrat ◽  
A. Brut ◽  
...  

The Second Global Soil Wetness Project (GSWP-2) is an initiative to compare and evaluate 10-year simulations by a broad range of land surface models under controlled conditions. A major product of GSWP-2 is the first global gridded multimodel analysis of land surface state variables and fluxes for use by meteorologists, hydrologists, engineers, biogeochemists, agronomists, botanists, ecologists, geographers, climatologists, and educators. Simulations by 13 land models from five nations have gone into production of the analysis. The models are driven by forcing data derived from a combination of gridded atmospheric reanalyses and observations. The resulting analysis consists of multimodel means and standard deviations on the monthly time scale, including profiles of soil moisture and temperature at six levels, as well as daily and climatological (mean annual cycle) fields for over 50 land surface variables. The monthly standard deviations provide a measure of model agreement that may be used as a quality metric. An overview of key characteristics of the analysis is presented here, along with information on obtaining the data.


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