scholarly journals Deduction of reservoir operating rules for application in global hydrological models

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 831-851 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hubertus M. Coerver ◽  
Martine M. Rutten ◽  
Nick C. van de Giesen

Abstract. A big challenge in constructing global hydrological models is the inclusion of anthropogenic impacts on the water cycle, such as caused by dams. Dam operators make decisions based on experience and often uncertain information. In this study information generally available to dam operators, like inflow into the reservoir and storage levels, was used to derive fuzzy rules describing the way a reservoir is operated. Using an artificial neural network capable of mimicking fuzzy logic, called the ANFIS adaptive-network-based fuzzy inference system, fuzzy rules linking inflow and storage with reservoir release were determined for 11 reservoirs in central Asia, the US and Vietnam. By varying the input variables of the neural network, different configurations of fuzzy rules were created and tested. It was found that the release from relatively large reservoirs was significantly dependent on information concerning recent storage levels, while release from smaller reservoirs was more dependent on reservoir inflows. Subsequently, the derived rules were used to simulate reservoir release with an average Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient of 0.81.

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hubertus M. Coerver ◽  
Martine M. Rutten ◽  
Nick C. van de Giesen

Abstract. A big challenge in constructing Global Hydrological Models is the inclusion of anthropogenic impacts on the water cycle, such as caused by dams. Dam operators make decisions based on experience and often uncertain information. In this study information generally available to dam operators, like inflow into the reservoir and storage levels, was used to derive fuzzy rules describing the way a reservoir is operated. Using an Artificial Neural Network capable of mimicking fuzzy logic, called the Adaptive-Network-Based Inference System, fuzzy rules linking inflow and storage with reservoir release were determined for 11 reservoirs in Central-Asia, the U.S. and Vietnam. By varying the input variables of the neural network, different configurations of fuzzy rules were created and tested. It was found that the release from relatively large reservoirs was significantly dependent on information concerning recent storage levels, while release from smaller reservoirs was more dependent on reservoir inflows. Subsequently, the derived rules were used to simulate reservoir release with an average Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient of 0.81.


Author(s):  
RAIDA AL-ALAWI

The paper evaluates the performance of a neuro-fuzzy pattern classification system based on the weightless neural network architecture. The system utilizes a Single Layer Weightless Neural Network (SLWNN) to extract the features vector that measures the similarity of the input pattern to the different classification groups. In contrast to the traditional crisp Winner-Takes-All (WTA) classification scheme used by SLWNN, our system uses a Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) for classification. The network is trained by a hybrid learning scheme that combines a single pass learning phase for training the SLWNN followed by a supervised learning phase for extracting a set of fuzzy rules suitable to classify the training set. The FIS learns fuzzy rules from the feature vectors generated by the SLWNN for the set of training patterns. The recognition of handwritten numerals is employed as a test-bed to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed neuro-fuzzy system. Experimental results show that the performance of the proposed system surpasses the performance of the traditional SLWNN.


2012 ◽  
Vol 197 ◽  
pp. 547-552
Author(s):  
Ming Ming Gao ◽  
Liang Shan

For the characteristics of fuzziness, indeterminacy etc. in nonlinear systems, this paper, combining fuzzy inference system with neural network, Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System model had been provided in the paper, ANFIS method is based on Sugeno fuzzy model and has a structure similar to neural network that tunes the parameters of the fuzzy inference system with back propagation algorithm and least - square method and can produce fuzzy rules automatically. This solutes extraction of fuzzy rules and learning of parameters of membership functions play an essential role in the design. This paper gives the simulation example of modeling a typical system with ANFIS method and good result is obtained.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paulo Vitor de Campos Souza ◽  
Augusto Junio Guimaraes ◽  
Vanessa Souza Araujo ◽  
Edwin Lughofer

AbstractThis paper proposes a Bayesian hybrid approach based on neural networks and fuzzy systems to construct fuzzy rules to assist experts in detecting features and relations regarding the presence of autism in human beings. The model proposed in this paper works with a database generated through mobile devices that deals with diagnoses of autistic characteristics in human beings who answer a series of questions in a mobile application. The Bayesian model works with the construction of Gaussian fuzzy neurons in the first and logical neurons in the second layer of the model to form a fuzzy inference system connected to an artificial neural network that activates a robust output neuron. The new fuzzy neural network model was compared with traditional state-of-the-art machine learning models based on high-dimensional based on real-world data sets comprising the autism occurrence in children, adults, and adolescents. The results (97.73- Children/94.32-Adolescent/97.28-Adult) demonstrate the efficiency of our new method in determining children, adolescents, and adults with autistic traits (being among the top performers among all ML models tested), can generate knowledge about the dataset through fuzzy rules.


Author(s):  
Prashant Kumar ◽  
Sabha Raj Arya ◽  
Khyati D. Mistry

Abstract In this article, a hybrid approach is implemented namely, neural network training (NNT) based machine learning (ML) estimator inspired by artificial neural network (ANN) and self-adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to tackle the voltage aggravations in the power distribution network (DN). In this work, potential of swarm intelligence technique namely particle swam optimization (PSO) is analysed to obtain an optimum prediction model with certain modifications in training algorithm parameters. In practice, when the systems are continuously subjected to parametric changes or external disturbances, then ample time is dedicated to tune the system to regain its stable performance. To improve the dynamic performance of the system intelligence-based techniques are proposed to overcome the shortcomings of conventional controllers. So, gain tuning process based on the intelligence system is a desirable choice. The statistical tools are used to proclaim the effectiveness of the controllers. The obtained MSE, RMSE, ME, SD and R were evaluated as 0.0015959, 0.039949, −0.00089838, 0.039941 and 1 in the training phase and 0.0015372, 0.039207, −0.0005657, 0.039203 and 1 in the testing phase, respectively. The results revealed that the ANFIS-PSO network model could accomplish a better DC voltage regulation performance when it is compared to the conventional PI. The proposed intelligence strategies confirm that the predicted DVR model based on NNT-ML and ANFIS has faster convergence speed and reliable prediction rate. Moreover, the simulation results show that the dynamic response is improved with proposed PSO based NNT based ML and ANFIS (Takagi-Sugeno) that significantly compensates the voltage based PQ issues. The proposed DVR is actualized in MATLAB/SIMULINK platform.


Author(s):  
R. Subasri ◽  
R. Meenakumari ◽  
R. Velnath ◽  
Srinivethaa Pongiannan ◽  
M. Sri Sai Mani Rohit Kumar

Author(s):  
Morteza Nazerian ◽  
Seyed Ali Razavi ◽  
Ali Partovinia ◽  
Elham Vatankhah ◽  
Zahra Razmpour

The main aim of this study is usability evaluation of different approaches, including response surface methodoloy, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system, and artificial neural network models to predict and evaluate the bonding strength of glued laminated timber (glulam) manufactured using walnut wood layers and a natural adhesive (oxidized starch adhesive), with respect to this fact that using the modified starch can decrease the formaldehyde emission. In this survey, four variables taken as the input data include the molar ratio of formaldehyde to urea (1.12–1.52), nanocellulose content (0%–4%, based on the dry weight of the adhesive), the mass ratio of the oxidized starch adhesive to the urea formaldehyde resin (30:70–70:30), and the press time (4–8 min). In order to find the best predictive performance of each selected evaluation approach, different membership functions were used. The optimal results were obtained when the molar ratio, nanocellulose content, mass ratio of the oxidised starch, and press time were set at 1.22, 3%, 70:30, and 7 min, respectively. Based on the performance criteria including root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) obtained from the modeling of response surface methodology, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference network, and artificial neural network, it became evident that response surface methodology could offer a better prediction of the response with the lowest level of errors. Beside, artificial neural network and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system support the response surface methodology approach to evaluate bonding strength response with high precision as well as to determine the optimal point in fabrication of laminated products.


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