scholarly journals Comment on "A hybrid model of self organizing maps and least square support vector machine for river flow forecasting" by Ismail et al. (2012)

2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 13889-13895
Author(s):  
F. Fahimi ◽  
A. H. El-Shafie
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Water Resource Management ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Self Organizing Map ◽  
River Flow Forecasting ◽  
Self Organizing

Abstract. Without a doubt, river flow forecasting is one of the most important issues in water engineering field. There are lots of forecasting techniques, which have successfully been utilized by previously conducted studies in water resource management and water engineering. The study of Ismail et al. (2012) which has been published in Journal of Hydrology and Earth System Sciences in 2012 was a valuable research that investigated the combination of two effective methods (self-organizing map and least squares support vector machine) for river flow forecasting. The goal was to make a comparison between the performances of SOM-LSSVM, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), artificial neural network (ANN) and least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) models for river flow prediction. This comment attempts to focus on some parts of the original paper that need more discussion. The emphasis here is to provide more information about the accuracy of the observed river flow data and the optimum map size for SOM mode as well.

scholarly journals Comment on "A hybrid model of self organizing maps and least square support vector machine for river flow forecasting" by Ismail et al. (2012)

2014 ◽  
Vol 18 (7) ◽  
pp. 2711-2714 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Fahimi ◽  
A. H. El-Shafie
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Water Resource Management ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Self Organizing Map ◽  
River Flow Forecasting ◽  
Self Organizing

Abstract. Without a doubt, river flow forecasting is one of the most important issues in water engineering field. There are lots of forecasting techniques that have successfully been utilized by previously conducted studies in water resource management and water engineering. The study of Ismail et al. (2012), which was published in the journal Hydrology and Earth System Sciences in 2012, was a valuable piece of research that investigated the combination of two effective methods (self-organizing map and least squares support vector machine) for river flow forecasting. The goal was to make a comparison between the performances of self organizing map and least square support vector machine (SOM-LSSVM), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), artificial neural network (ANN) and least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) models for river flow prediction. This comment attempts to focus on some parts of the original paper that need more discussion. The emphasis here is to provide more information about the accuracy of the observed river flow data and the optimum map size for SOM mode as well.

scholarly journals River Flow Forecasting: a Hybrid Model of Self Organizing Maps and Least Square Support Vector Machine

2010 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 8179-8212 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Ismail ◽  
R. Samsudin ◽  
A. Shabri
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Hybrid Model ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Linear Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Promising Alternative ◽  
River Flow Forecasting ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Self Organizing

Abstract. Successful river flow time series forecasting is a major goal and an essential procedure that is necessary in water resources planning and management. This study introduced a new hybrid model based on a combination of two familiar non-linear method of mathematical modeling: Self Organizing Map (SOM) and Least Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) model referred as SOM-LSSVM model. The hybrid model uses the SOM algorithm to cluster the training data into several disjointed clusters and the individual LSSVM is used to forecast the river flow. The feasibility of this proposed model is evaluated to actual river flow data from Bernam River located in Selangor, Malaysia. Their results have been compared to those obtained using LSSVM and artificial neural networks (ANN) models. The experiment results show that the SOM-LSSVM model outperforms other models for forecasting river flow. It also indicates that the proposed model can forecast more precisely and provides a promising alternative technique in river flow forecasting.

scholarly journals A hybrid model of self organizing maps and least square support vector machine for river flow forecasting

2012 ◽  
Vol 16 (11) ◽  
pp. 4417-4433 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Ismail ◽  
A. Shabri ◽  
R. Samsudin
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Hybrid Model ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Resource Planning ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Promising Alternative ◽  
Output Layer ◽  
River Flow Forecasting ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Self Organizing

Abstract. Successful river flow forecasting is a major goal and an essential procedure that is necessary in water resource planning and management. There are many forecasting techniques used for river flow forecasting. This study proposed a hybrid model based on a combination of two methods: Self Organizing Map (SOM) and Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) model, referred to as the SOM-LSSVM model for river flow forecasting. The hybrid model uses the SOM algorithm to cluster the entire dataset into several disjointed clusters, where the monthly river flows data with similar input pattern are grouped together from a high dimensional input space onto a low dimensional output layer. By doing this, the data with similar input patterns will be mapped to neighbouring neurons in the SOM's output layer. After the dataset has been decomposed into several disjointed clusters, an individual LSSVM is applied to forecast the river flow. The feasibility of this proposed model is evaluated with respect to the actual river flow data from the Bernam River located in Selangor, Malaysia. The performance of the SOM-LSSVM was compared with other single models such as ARIMA, ANN and LSSVM. The performance of these models was then evaluated using various performance indicators. The experimental results show that the SOM-LSSVM model outperforms the other models and performs better than ANN, LSSVM as well as ARIMA for river flow forecasting. It also indicates that the proposed model can forecast more precisely, and provides a promising alternative technique for river flow forecasting.

scholarly journals A hybrid least squares support vector machines and GMDH approach for river flow forecasting

2010 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 3691-3731 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Samsudin ◽  
P. Saad ◽  
A. Shabri
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Group Method ◽  
River Flow Forecasting ◽  
Input Variables

Abstract. This paper proposes a novel hybrid forecasting model, which combines the group method of data handling (GMDH) and the least squares support vector machine (LSSVM), known as GLSSVM. The GMDH is used to determine the useful input variables for LSSVM model and the LSSVM model which works as time series forecasting. In this study the application of GLSSVM for monthly river flow forecasting of Selangor and Bernam River are investigated. The results of the proposed GLSSVM approach are compared with the conventional artificial neural network (ANN) models, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model, GMDH and LSSVM models using the long term observations of monthly river flow discharge. The standard statistical, the root mean square error (RMSE) and coefficient of correlation (R) are employed to evaluate the performance of various models developed. Experiment result indicates that the hybrid model was powerful tools to model discharge time series and can be applied successfully in complex hydrological modeling.

scholarly journals PREDICTION OF PASSENGER FLOW ON THE HIGHWAY BASED ON THE LEAST SQUARE SUPPOERT VECTOR MACHINE / MAŽIAUSIŲ KVADRATŲ ATRAMINIŲ VEKTORIŲ METODO TAIKYMAS KELEIVIŲ SRAUTUI GREITKELYJE PROGNOZUOTI / ПРИМЕНЕНИЕ МЕТОДА ОПОРНЫХ ВЕКТОРОВ С КВАДРАТИЧНОЙ ФУНКЦИЕЙ ПОТЕРЬ ДЛЯ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ ПАССАЖИРСКИХ ПОТОКОВ НА АВТОМАГИСТРАЛЯХ

Transport ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 197-203 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanrong Hu ◽  
Chong Wu ◽  
Hongjiu Liu
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Small Samples ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Risk Minimization ◽  
Structural Risk Minimization ◽  
Passenger Flow ◽  
Regressive Model ◽  
Structural Risk

A support vector machine is a machine learning method based on the statistical learning theory and structural risk minimization. The support vector machine is a much better method than ever, because it may solve some actual problems in small samples, high dimension, nonlinear and local minima etc. The article utilizes the theory and method of support vector machine (SVM) regression and establishes the regressive model based on the least square support vector machine (LS-SVM). Through predicting passenger flow on Hangzhou highway in 2000–2008, the paper shows that the regressive model of LS-SVM has much higher accuracy and reliability of prediction, and therefore may effectively predict passenger flow on the highway. Santrauka Atraminių vektorių metodas (Support Vector Machine – SVM) yra skaičiuojamasis metodas, paremtas statistikos teorija, struktūriniu požiūriu mažinant riziką. SVM metodas, palyginti su kitais metodais, yra patikimesnis metodas, nes juo remiantis galima išspręsti realias problemas, esant įvairioms sąlygoms. Tyrimams naudojama SVM metodo regresijos teorija ir sukuriamas regresinis modelis, kuris grindžiamas mažiausių kvadratų atraminių vektorių metodu (Least Squares Support Vector Machine – LS-SVM). Straipsnio autoriai prognozuoja keleivių srautą Hangdžou (Kinija) greitkelyje 2000–2008 m. Gauti rezultatai rodo, kad regresinis LS-SVM modelis yra labai tikslus ir patikimas, todėl gali būti efektyviai taikomas keleivių srautams prognozuoti greitkeliuose. Резюме Метод опорных векторов (Support Vector Machine – SVM) – это набор аналогичных алгоритмов вида «обучение с учителем», использующихся для задач классификации и регрессионного анализа. Метод SVM принадлежит к семейству линейных классификаторов. Основная идея метода SVM заключается в переводе исходных векторов в пространство более высокой размерности и поиске разделяющей гиперплоскости с максимальным зазором в этом пространстве. Алгоритм работает в предположении, что чем больше разница или расстояние между параллельными гиперплоскостями, тем меньше будет средняя ошибка классификатора. В сравнении с другими методами метод SVM более надежен и позволяет решать проблемы с различными условиями. Для исследования был использован метод SVM и регрессионный анализ, затем создана регрессионная модель, основанная на методе опорных векторов с квадратичной функцией потерь (Least Squares Support Vector Machine – LS-SVM). Авторы прогнозировали пассажирский поток на автомагистрали Ханчжоу (Китай) в 2000–2008 гг. Полученные результаты показывают, что регрессионная модель LS-SVM является надежной и может быть применена для прогнозирования пассажирских потоков на других магистралях.

Modeling of Flexible Structures by Means of Least Square Support Vector Machine

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hammam Tamimi ◽  
Dirk Söffker
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Flexible Structures ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Suitable Model ◽  
Support Vector Machine Algorithm ◽  
Training Time ◽  
Svm Algorithm

This paper investigates modeling of flexible structures by means of the least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) algorithm. Modeling is the first step to obtain a suitable model-based controller for any given system. Accurate modeling of a flexible structure based on experimental data using LS-SVM algorithm requires less knowledge about the physical system. Least squares support vector machine algorithm can achieve global and unique solution when compared with other soft computing algorithms. Also, LS-SVM algorithm requires less training time. In this paper, the successful use of support vector machine algorithm to model the flexible cantilever is demonstrated. The acquired model is able to provide accurate prediction of the system output under different operating conditions. Experimental results demonstrate the efficiency and high precision of the proposed approach.

Optimization of Financial Forecasting Based on Least Squares Support Vector Machine

2013 ◽  
Vol 760-762 ◽  
pp. 1987-1991
Author(s):  
Yun Fa Li
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Simulated Annealing ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Simulated Annealing Algorithm ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Stock Investment ◽  
Annealing Algorithm

To master the variation regularity of finance, obtain greater benefits in stock investment. study of the support vector machine and application in prediction of stock market. The simulated annealing algorithm to optimize the least squares support vector machine prediction model, and the least square support vector machine and simulated annealing algorithm is described, given the optimal prediction model. Through the research on the simulation of the Hang Seng Index, shows that this method is simple, fast convergence, the algorithm with high accuracy. Has the actual guiding sense for investors, the stock market of the financial firm to operate.

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