scholarly journals Predicting Stock Market Movements with Social Media and Machine Learning

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paraskevas Koukaras ◽  
Vasiliki Tsichli ◽  
Christos Tjortjis
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Social Media ◽  
Stock Market

scholarly journals DAViS: a unified solution for data collection, analyzation, and visualization in real-time stock market prediction

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Suppawong Tuarob ◽  
Poom Wettayakorn ◽  
Ponpat Phetchai ◽  
Siripong Traivijitkhun ◽  
Sunghoon Lim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Social Media ◽  
Data Collection ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Contextual Information ◽  
Online News ◽  
Stock Prediction ◽  
Stock Market Prediction

AbstractThe explosion of online information with the recent advent of digital technology in information processing, information storing, information sharing, natural language processing, and text mining techniques has enabled stock investors to uncover market movement and volatility from heterogeneous content. For example, a typical stock market investor reads the news, explores market sentiment, and analyzes technical details in order to make a sound decision prior to purchasing or selling a particular company’s stock. However, capturing a dynamic stock market trend is challenging owing to high fluctuation and the non-stationary nature of the stock market. Although existing studies have attempted to enhance stock prediction, few have provided a complete decision-support system for investors to retrieve real-time data from multiple sources and extract insightful information for sound decision-making. To address the above challenge, we propose a unified solution for data collection, analysis, and visualization in real-time stock market prediction to retrieve and process relevant financial data from news articles, social media, and company technical information. We aim to provide not only useful information for stock investors but also meaningful visualization that enables investors to effectively interpret storyline events affecting stock prices. Specifically, we utilize an ensemble stacking of diversified machine-learning-based estimators and innovative contextual feature engineering to predict the next day’s stock prices. Experiment results show that our proposed stock forecasting method outperforms a traditional baseline with an average mean absolute percentage error of 0.93. Our findings confirm that leveraging an ensemble scheme of machine learning methods with contextual information improves stock prediction performance. Finally, our study could be further extended to a wide variety of innovative financial applications that seek to incorporate external insight from contextual information such as large-scale online news articles and social media data.

scholarly journals Learning-Based Stock Market Trending Analysis by Incorporating Social Media Sentiment Analysis

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhaoxia Wang ◽  
Zhenda HU ◽  
Fang LI ◽  
Seng-Beng HO
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Social Media ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Sentiment Analysis ◽  
Prediction Performance ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Stock Market Prediction ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Media Sentiment

Abstract Stock market trending analysis is one of the key research topics in financial analysis. Various theories once highlighted the non-viability of stock market prediction. With the advent of machine learning and Artificial Intelligence (AI), more and more efforts have been devoted to this research area, and predicting the stock market has been demonstrated to be possible. Learning-based methods have been popularly studied for stock price prediction. However, due to the dynamic nature of the stock market and its non-linearity, stock market prediction is still one of the most dificult tasks. With the rise of social networks, huge amount of data is being generated every day and there is a gaining in popularity of incorporating these data into prediction model in the effort to enhance the prediction performance. Therefore, this paper explores the possibilities of the viability of learning-based stock market trending prediction by incorporating social media sentiment analysis. Six machine learning methods including Multi-Layer Perception, Support Vector Machine, Naïve Bayes, Random Forest, Logistic Regression and Extreme Gradient Boosting are selected as the baseline model. The result indicates the possibilities of successful stock market trending prediction and the performance of different learning-based methods is discussed. It is discovered that the distribution of the value of stocks may affect the prediction performance of the methods involved. This research not only demonstrates the merits and weaknesses of different learning-based methods, but also points out that incorporating social opinion is a right direction for improving the performance of stock market trending prediction.

Stock market prediction using machine learning classifiers and social media, news

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wasiat Khan ◽  
Mustansar Ali Ghazanfar ◽  
Muhammad Awais Azam ◽  
Amin Karami ◽  
Khaled H. Alyoubi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Social Media ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Market Prediction ◽  
Machine Learning Classifiers ◽  
Learning Classifiers

Stock Market Analysis and Prediction using Hadoop and Machine Learning

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (5) ◽  
pp. 578-584
Author(s):  
Piyush Jain ◽  
◽  
◽  
◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Market Analysis

Utilizing Blockchain Technology in Social Media Bot Identification

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shreya Reddy ◽  
Lisa Ewen ◽  
Pankti Patel ◽  
Prerak Patel ◽  
Ankit Kundal ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Social Media ◽  
Gold Standard ◽  
The Internet ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Current Time ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Blockchain Technology ◽  
Modern Age ◽  
Machine Learning Models

<p>As bots become more prevalent and smarter in the modern age of the internet, it becomes ever more important that they be identified and removed. Recent research has dictated that machine learning methods are accurate and the gold standard of bot identification on social media. Unfortunately, machine learning models do not come without their negative aspects such as lengthy training times, difficult feature selection, and overwhelming pre-processing tasks. To overcome these difficulties, we are proposing a blockchain framework for bot identification. At the current time, it is unknown how this method will perform, but it serves to prove the existence of an overwhelming gap of research under this area.<i></i></p>

How Social Media Impacts Mass Media News Viewership in the Stock Market

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Ren ◽  
Hang Dong ◽  
Gaurav Sabnis ◽  
Jeffrey V. Nickerson
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Mass Media ◽  
Stock Market

Hybrid features prediction model of movie quality using Multi-machine learning techniques for effective business resource planning

2021 ◽  
Vol 40 (5) ◽  
pp. 9361-9382 ◽  
Author(s):  
Naeem Iqbal ◽  
Rashid Ahmad ◽  
Faisal Jamil ◽  
Do-Hyeun Kim
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Social Media ◽  
Resource Planning ◽  
Experimental Results ◽  
Quality Prediction ◽  
Classification Models ◽  
Hybrid Features ◽  
Social Media Data ◽  
Media Data

Quality prediction plays an essential role in the business outcome of the product. Due to the business interest of the concept, it has extensively been studied in the last few years. Advancement in machine learning (ML) techniques and with the advent of robust and sophisticated ML algorithms, it is required to analyze the factors influencing the success of the movies. This paper presents a hybrid features prediction model based on pre-released and social media data features using multiple ML techniques to predict the quality of the pre-released movies for effective business resource planning. This study aims to integrate pre-released and social media data features to form a hybrid features-based movie quality prediction (MQP) model. The proposed model comprises of two different experimental models; (i) predict movies quality using the original set of features and (ii) develop a subset of features based on principle component analysis technique to predict movies success class. This work employ and implement different ML-based classification models, such as Decision Tree (DT), Support Vector Machines with the linear and quadratic kernel (L-SVM and Q-SVM), Logistic Regression (LR), Bagged Tree (BT) and Boosted Tree (BOT), to predict the quality of the movies. Different performance measures are utilized to evaluate the performance of the proposed ML-based classification models, such as Accuracy (AC), Precision (PR), Recall (RE), and F-Measure (FM). The experimental results reveal that BT and BOT classifiers performed accurately and produced high accuracy compared to other classifiers, such as DT, LR, LSVM, and Q-SVM. The BT and BOT classifiers achieved an accuracy of 90.1% and 89.7%, which shows an efficiency of the proposed MQP model compared to other state-of-art- techniques. The proposed work is also compared with existing prediction models, and experimental results indicate that the proposed MQP model performed slightly better compared to other models. The experimental results will help the movies industry to formulate business resources effectively, such as investment, number of screens, and release date planning, etc.

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