Analisis pengaruh indeks saham asing terhadap indeks harga saham gabungan dengan pendekatan Error Correction Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-39
Author(s):  
Risky Nuraeni ◽  
Jihad Lukis Panjawa
Keyword(s):  
Error Correction ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Jones Index ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect

The Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) is a composite index of many shares listed on the stock exchange and their movements show conditions that occur in the capital market. JCI is confident of macroeconomic factors and foreign exchange indexes. The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of the Dow Jones Index, the Straits Time Index, the Hang Seng Index, the Nikkei 225 Index, and the FTSE 100 Index on the composite price index. The research method used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). In the short term, the DJIA and FTSE 100 variables have a positive effect on the JCI, the STI and Hang Seng variables have no significant on the JCI, while the Nikkei 225 has a negative effect on the JCI. In the long term, the DJIA and STI variables have a positive effect on the IHSG, the JSI and FTSE 100 variables have no effect on the IHSG, while the Nikkei 225 variable has a negative effect on the JCI.

scholarly journals ANALISIS HARGA SAHAM INDEX KOMPAS 100 DENGAN PENDEKATAN ERROR CORRECTION MODEL

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 406-414
Author(s):  
Amir Hamzah
Keyword(s):  
Error Correction ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Positive Effect

The purpose of this research is to analyze the short term and long term relationship between ROI, EPS, PER ,inflation, SBI, exchange rate,and GDP on Stock Price. The data in this research is company financial statements which included Compas 100 Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. statistical analysis in this research used stasionarity test, The Classical Assumptions Test, Cointegration Test, Error Correction Model Test. This research found that partially ROI, EPS, PER variables a positive effect on stock prices in the short term and long term, KURS and SBI a positive effect on stock prices in the short term, but there is no effect in the long term, inflation and GDP do not affect the stock price both in the short term and long term. Simultaneously affected the stock prices significantly affect on stock price both in the short term and long term.

scholarly journals REVISITING ANALYSIS OF THE ROOT CAUSES ON FINANCIAL CRISIS IN ISLAMIC PERSPECTIVE

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-60
Author(s):  
Mega Tria Rizki Luik ◽  
Ahlis Fatoni
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
System Stability ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect

Steady financial system stability is important in an economy. The financial crisis showed a constantly recurring problem that has not been resolved completely. Macroprudential policy which became the term savior after the subprime mortgage crisis was essentially a temporary not eliminate the root causes of the problems of the financial crisis. This study attempts to revise the root causes of the financial crisis in the perspective of Islam by using three approaches namely Vector Error Correction Model (VECM ), Error Correction Model (ECM), and Distributed-Lag Autoregressive (ARDL). The result of this study that the consistence of ribâ (interest rate) variable as the main factor of crisis; ribâ increases the inflation and decreases the growth. The IRF (impluse response function) result and FEVD (forcast error varian decomposition) show 21.87% interest rate (INT) increases the inflation and decreases the growth by 9.5%, while profit-loss sharing (PLS) variable contributes to decreases the inflation by 0.02% and increases the growth by 0.61%, reciprocally with ECM approach that interest rate (INT) has positive effect to inflation and  negative effect to growth (financial crisis) vice versa PLS sicnificantly has negative effect to inflation and positive effect to grwoth, whereas ARDL approach shows that PLS increases the grwoth at long and short run but also increases the inflation at long run. Another conventional variabels consistantly contribut to financial crisis acording to all aproachs; volatile food (VFP) and administred price (ADM).

scholarly journals The Impact of Bank Indonesia Regulation No. 17/3/2015 on Exchange Rate: Analysis Using Vector Error Correction Model (VECM)

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 131-141
Author(s):  
Muhamad Yudi Setiawan ◽  
Tanti Novianti ◽  
Mukhamad Najib
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
Vector Error Correction Model ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

The weakening of the Rupiah against the US dollar has encouraged Bank Indonesia to issued Bank Indonesia Regulation (Peraturan Bank Indonesia - PBI) No. 17/3/2015. The research aimed to analyze the factors that affected the Rupiah exchange rate, the effect of PBI No. 17/3/2015 on the movement of the Rupiah exchange rate, and the behavior of exchange rate movement to the shocks on the variables that influenced it. The research applied secondary data, namely monthly data from January 2008 to April 2019 taken from reliable sources such as National Development Planning Agency (Bappenas), Bank Indonesia (BI), and Statistics Indonesia (BPS). It was explanatory research with a quantitative approach. The studied data were processed with the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) method to identify long and short-term effects. The results of the long-term equation show that export-import has a negative effect on the exchange rate. Similarly, inflation has no significant effect on the exchange rate. Then, the money supply has a significantly negative effect on the exchange rate. However, the interest rate of Bank Indonesia positively affects the exchange rate. Next, the implementation of PBI No. 17/3/2015 has a significant and positive impact on the exchange rate. Last, the crisis condition does not affect the changes in exchange rates.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH GONCANGAN FAKTOR EKSTERNAL TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 25
Author(s):  
Monica Wulandari ◽  
Hasdi Aimon ◽  
Mike Triani
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
External Factors ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Significant Positive Effect ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Positive Effect

The purpose of this research is to see how far the influence of external factors toward the economic growth in Indonesia and also to see any external factors that can decreasing economic growth in short and long term. The method is used in this research is Ordinary Least Square with use Error Correction Model (ECM) test and Cointegration. Based on analysis data was obtained three conclusions were; The first is based on the results of multiple regression, foreign investment and world oil prices and a significant positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia, while the exchange rate and foreign debt and no significant positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia at the 5% significance level. The second is in the short term through the Error Correction Model (ECM) test, the world oil price and foreign direct investment to boost economic growth while exchange rate USD / $ (NTR) and External Debt (ED) can shocks the economic growth in Indonesia. The third is in the long term through cointegration test, the variables included in the model and no significant negative effect on economic growth

scholarly journals Pengaruh Dow Jones Indeks, Strait Time , dan Hang Sheng Terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan dengan Pendekatan Eror Correction Model

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 307-313
Author(s):  
Tiar Lina Situngkir
Keyword(s):  
Error Correction ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Jones Index ◽  
Time Index ◽  
Strait Time ◽  
Short And Long Term

Abstrak Tujuan penelitian ini adalah menganalisis pengaruh Dow Jones Index, Strait Times Index dan Hang seng Indeks terhadap indeks harga saham gabungan. Metodologi yang digunakan dalam menganalisa adalah Error Correction Model. Hasil penelitian menemukan bahwa DJI dalam jangka pendek dan panjang berpengaruh positif tidak signifikan. STI dalam jangka pendek dan panjang berpengaruh berpengaruh positif signifikan. HSE dalam jangka pendek dan panjang berpengaruh negatif tidak signifikan. Simpulan secara simultan dalam penelitian ini terbukti paling tidak terdapat satu variabel independen berpengaruh signifikan. Abstract The objective of this research is to analyse whether the Dow Jones Index, Strait Times Index and Hang Seng Index, each has a significant effect on Composite Stock Index. The methodology of analysis of this research is the Error Correction Model. The result of research found that in the short term Dow Jones has no significant while in the long term it has a positive and significant impact on Indonesian Composite Stock Index. Summary In the short and long term Strait Time Index has a positive and significant impact. In short and long term Hang Seng Index has no significant on Composite Stock Index.

scholarly journals PERGERAKAN INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN SEBAGAI DAMPAK DARI VARIABEL MAKRO

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yessa Dermi Yulianti ◽  
Irdha Yusra
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect ◽  
Selection Of

The Composite Stock Price Index or The Composite Index (CI) is a reflection of the Indonesian economy, when the JCI showed an increase it meant that the Indonesian economy was in a conducive condition and vice versa. To be able to find out what can help the CI movement, several factors need to be considered such as world gold prices, the rupiah exchange rate, world oil prices and SBI interest rates. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of world gold prices, the rupiah exchange rate, world oil prices and SBI interest rates on the CI. This research was carried out on the IDX by using a sample of 84 with the selection of samples limited to the closing data each month during the observation period. Observations were carried out for 7 years between 2011-2017 and data were analyzed by multiple linear regression analysis techniques. world gold prices, world oil prices and SBI interest rates partially have a significant negative effect on the CI, this means an increase in world gold price rates, world oil prices and SBI interest rates can result in a decline in the value of the CI. The rupiah exchange rate partially has a significant positive effect, which means that the increase in the rupiah exchange rate can increase the CI value.

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