Background. Current guidelines recommend that infants born to women with hepatitis C (HCV) viremia are screened for HCV antibody at age 18 months, and if positive, referred for RNA testing at 3 years to confirm chronic infection. This policy is based in part on analyses suggesting 25%-40% of vertically acquired HCV infections clear spontaneously within 4-5 years.
Methods. Data on 179 infants with RNA and/or anti-HCV evidence of vertically acquired viraemia (single PCR+) or confirmed infection (2 PCR+ or anti-HCV beyond 18 months) in three prospective European cohorts were investigated. Ages at clearance of viremia and confirmed infection were estimated taking account of interval censoring and delayed entry. We also investigated clearance in infants in whom RNA was not detectable until after 6 weeks.
Results. Clearance rates decline rapidly over the first 6 months. An estimated 90.6% (95%CrI: 83.5-95.9) of viremia cleared by 5 years, most within 3 months, and 65.9% (50.1-81.6) of confirmed infection cleared by 5 years, at a median 12.4 (7.1-18.9) months. If treatment began at age 6 months, 18 months or 3 years, at least 59.0% (42.0-76.9), 39.7 (17.9-65.9), and 20.9 (4.6-44.8) of those treated would clear without treatment. In seven (6.6%) confirmed infections, RNA was not detectable until after 6 weeks, and in 2 (1.9%) not until after 6 months. However, all such cases subsequently cleared.
Conclusions. Most viraemia clears within 3 months, and most confirmed infection by 3 years. Delaying treatment avoids but does not eliminate over-treatment and should be balanced against loss to follow-up.
Spontaneous Clearance of Chronic HCV: The Key Ending Left in the Dark
