scholarly journals Selecting the best growth model for elasmobranches

Author(s):  
Kwang-Ming Liu ◽  
Chiao-Bin Wu ◽  
Shoou-Jeng Joung ◽  
Wen-Pei Tsai

Age and growth information is essential for accurate stock assessment of fish, and growth model selection may influence the result of stock assessment. Previous descriptions of the age and growth of elasmobranches relied mainly on the von Bertalanffy growth model (VBGM). However, it has been noted that sharks, skates and rays exhibit significant variety in size, shape, and life-history traits. Given this variation, the VBGM may not necessarily provide the best fit for all elasmobranches. This study attempts to improve the accuracy of age estimates by testing four growth models—the VBGM, two-parameter VBGM, Robertson (Logistic) and Gompertz models—to fit observed and simulated length-at-age data for 37 species of elasmobranches. The best growth model was selected based on corrected Akaike’s Information Criterion (AICc), the AICc difference, and the AICc weight. The VBGM and two-parameter VBGM provide the best fit for species with slow growth and extended longevity (L∞ > 100 cm TL, 0.05 < k < 0.15 yr-1), such as pelagic sharks. For fast-growing small sharks (L∞ < 100 cm TL, kr or kg > 0.2 yr-1) in deep waters and for small-sized demersal skates/rays, the Robertson and the Gompertz models provide the best fit. The best growth models for small sharks in shallow waters are the two-parameter VBGM and the Robertson model, while all the species best fit by the Gompertz model are skates and rays.

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kwang-Ming Liu ◽  
Chiao-Bin Wu ◽  
Shoou-Jeng Joung ◽  
Wen-Pei Tsai

Age and growth information is essential for accurate stock assessment of fish, and growth model selection may influence the result of stock assessment. Previous descriptions of the age and growth of elasmobranches relied mainly on the von Bertalanffy growth model (VBGM). However, it has been noted that sharks, skates and rays exhibit significant variety in size, shape, and life-history traits. Given this variation, the VBGM may not necessarily provide the best fit for all elasmobranches. This study attempts to improve the accuracy of age estimates by testing four growth models—the VBGM, two-parameter VBGM, Robertson (Logistic) and Gompertz models—to fit observed and simulated length-at-age data for 37 species of elasmobranches. The best growth model was selected based on corrected Akaike’s Information Criterion (AICc), the AICc difference, and the AICc weight. The VBGM and two-parameter VBGM provide the best fit for species with slow growth and extended longevity (L∞ > 100 cm TL, 0.05 < k < 0.15 yr-1), such as pelagic sharks. For fast-growing small sharks (L∞ < 100 cm TL, kr or kg > 0.2 yr-1) in deep waters and for small-sized demersal skates/rays, the Robertson and the Gompertz models provide the best fit. The best growth models for small sharks in shallow waters are the two-parameter VBGM and the Robertson model, while all the species best fit by the Gompertz model are skates and rays.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kwang-Ming Liu ◽  
Chiao-Bin Wu ◽  
Shoou-Jeng Joung ◽  
Wen-Pei Tsai ◽  
Kuan-Yu Su

Age and growth information is essential for stock assessment of fish, and growth model selection may influence the accuracy of stock assessment and subsequent fishery management decision making. Previous descriptions of the age and growth of elasmobranchs relied mainly on the von Bertalanffy growth model (VBGM). However, it has been noted that sharks, skates and rays exhibit significant variety in size, shape, and life history traits. Given this variation, the VBGM may not necessarily provide the best fit for all elasmobranchs. This study attempts to improve the growth estimates by using multi-model approach to test four growth models—the VBGM, the two-parameter VBGM, the Robertson (Logistic) and the Gompertz models to fit observed or simulated length-at-age data for 38 species (44 cases) of elasmobranchs. The best-fit growth model was selected based on the bias corrected Akaike’s Information Criterion (AICc), the AICc difference, the AICc weight, the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), and the Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV). The VBGM and two-parameter VBGM provide the best fit for species with slow growth and extended longevity (L∞ &gt; 100 cm TL, 0.02 &lt; k &lt; 0.25 yr–1), such as pelagic sharks. For fast-growing small sharks (L∞ &lt; 100 cm TL, kr or kg &gt; 0.2 yr–1) in deep waters and for small-sized demersal skates/rays, the Robertson and the Gompertz models provide the best fit. The best-fit growth models for small sharks in shallow waters are the two-parameter VBGM and the Robertson model. Although it was found that the best-fit growth models for elasmobranchs were associated with their life history trait, exceptions were also noted. Therefore, a multi-model approach incorporating with the best-fit model selected for each group in this study was recommended in growth estimation for elasmobranchs.


2019 ◽  
Vol 32 ◽  
pp. 7
Author(s):  
Carlos Goicochea-Vigo ◽  
Enrique Morales-Bojórquez ◽  
Viridiana Y. Zepeda-Benitez ◽  
José Ángel Hidalgo-de-la-Toba ◽  
Hugo Aguirre-Villaseñor ◽  
...  

Mantle length (ML) and age data were analyzed to describe the growth patterns of the flying jumbo squid, Dosidicus gigas, in Peruvian waters. Six non-asymptotic growth models and four asymptotic growth models were fitted. Length-at-age data for males and females were analysed separately to assess the growth pattern. Multi-model inference and Akaike's information criterion were used to identify the best fitting model. For females, the best candidate growth model was the Schnute model with L∞ = 106.96 cm ML (CI 101.23–110.27 cm ML, P < 0.05), age at growth inflection 244.71 days (CI 232.82–284.86 days, P < 0.05), and length at growth inflection 57.26 cm ML (CI 55.42–58.51 cm ML, P < 0.05). The growth pattern in males was best described by a Gompertz growth model with L∞ = 127.58 cm ML (CI 115.27–131.80 cm ML, P < 0.05), t0 = 21.8 (CI 20.06–22.41, P < 0.05), and k = 0.007 (CI 0.006–0.007, P < 0.05). These results contrast with the growth model previously reported for D. gigas in the region, where the growth pattern was identified as non-asymptotic.


BMJ Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. e035785
Author(s):  
Shukrullah Ahmadi ◽  
Florence Bodeau-Livinec ◽  
Roméo Zoumenou ◽  
André Garcia ◽  
David Courtin ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo select a growth model that best describes individual growth trajectories of children and to present some growth characteristics of this population.SettingsParticipants were selected from a prospective cohort conducted in three health centres (Allada, Sekou and Attogon) in a semirural region of Benin, sub-Saharan Africa.ParticipantsChildren aged 0 to 6 years were recruited in a cohort study with at least two valid height and weight measurements included (n=961).Primary and secondary outcome measuresThis study compared the goodness-of-fit of three structural growth models (Jenss-Bayley, Reed and a newly adapted version of the Gompertz growth model) on longitudinal weight and height growth data of boys and girls. The goodness-of-fit of the models was assessed using residual distribution over age and compared with the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). The best-fitting model allowed estimating mean weight and height growth trajectories, individual growth and growth velocities. Underweight, stunting and wasting were also estimated at age 6 years.ResultsThe three models were able to fit well both weight and height data. The Jenss-Bayley model presented the best fit for weight and height, both in boys and girls. Mean height growth trajectories were identical in shape and direction for boys and girls while the mean weight growth curve of girls fell slightly below the curve of boys after neonatal life. Finally, 35%, 27.7% and 8% of boys; and 34%, 38.4% and 4% of girls were estimated to be underweight, wasted and stunted at age 6 years, respectively.ConclusionThe growth parameters of the best-fitting Jenss-Bayley model can be used to describe growth trajectories and study their determinants.


2012 ◽  
Vol 90 (8) ◽  
pp. 915-931 ◽  
Author(s):  
S.C. Lubetkin ◽  
J.E. Zeh ◽  
J.C. George

We used baleen lengths and age estimates from 175 whales and body lengths and age estimates from 205 whales to test which of several single- and multi-stage growth models best characterized age-specific baleen and body lengths for bowhead whales ( Balaena mysticetus L., 1758) with the goal of determining which would be best for predicting whale age based on baleen or body length. Previous age estimates were compiled from several techniques, each of which is valid over a relatively limited set of physical characteristics. The best fitting single-stage growth model was a variation of the von Bertalanffy growth model for both baleen and body length data. Based on Bayesian information criterion, the two- and three-stage versions of the von Bertalanffy model fit the data better than did the single-stage models for both baleen and body length. The best baleen length models can be used to estimate expected ages for bowhead whales with up to 300–325 cm baleen, depending on sex, which correspond to age estimates approaching 60 years. The best body length models can be used to estimate expected ages for male bowhead whales up to 14 m, and female bowheads up to 15.5 m or ages up to approximately 40 years.


2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (7) ◽  
pp. 1426-1434 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shaara M. Ainsley ◽  
David A. Ebert ◽  
Gregor M. Cailliet

Abstract Ainsley, S. M., Ebert, D. A., and Cailliet, G. M. 2011. Age, growth, and maturity of the whitebrow skate, Bathyraja minispinosa, from the eastern Bering Sea. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 68: 1426–1434. Skates are a common bycatch in groundfish fisheries in the Bering Sea; however, their life-history characteristics are not well known. The study is the first to investigate the age, growth, and age at maturity of Bathyraja minispinosa. Ages were estimated using sectioned vertebrae and several growth models were compared. The Gompertz model was the best fit and no significant differences were detected between sexes for any model. The maximum age estimated was 37 years, and parameter estimates generated from the three-parameter von Bertalanffy model were k = 0.02 year−1 and L∞ = 146.9 cm total length (TL). Males reached their size at 50% maturity larger than females (70.1 and 67.4 cm, respectively), but no significant differences in the estimated size or age at maturity were found. Whereas B. minispinosa is smaller than many skate species in the eastern Bering Sea, it has a considerably longer estimated lifespan, indicating that size may not be a reliable method of estimating the vulnerability of a rajid species to population declines in the eastern North Pacific.


Fishes ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 60
Author(s):  
Sergio G. Castillo-Vargasmachuca ◽  
Eugenio Alberto Aragón-Noriega ◽  
Guillermo Rodríguez-Domínguez ◽  
Leonardo Martínez-Cárdenas ◽  
Eulalio Arámbul-Muñoz ◽  
...  

In the present study, size-at-age data (length and weight) of marine cage-reared spotted rose snapper Lutjanus guttatus were analyzed under four different variance assumptions (observed, constant, depensatory, and compensatory variances) to analyze the robustness of selecting the right standard deviation structure to parametrize the von Bertalanffy, Logistic, and Gompertz models. The selection of the best model and variance criteria was obtained based on the Bayesian information criterion (BIC). According to the BIC results, the observed variance in the present study was the best way to parametrize the three abovementioned growth models, and the Gompertz model best represented the length and weight growth curves. Based on these results, using the observed error structure to calculate the growth parameters in multi-model inference analyses is recommended.


2021 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
pp. 229-236
Author(s):  
Ayşe Van ◽  
Aysun Gümüş ◽  
Melek Özpiçak ◽  
Serdar Süer

By the study's coverage, 522 individuals of tentacled blenny (Parablennius tentacularis (Brünnich, 1768)), were caught with the bottom trawl operations (commercial fisheries and scientific field surveys) between May 2010 and March 2012 from the southeastern Black Sea. The size distribution range of the sample varied between 4.8-10.8 cm. The difference between sex length (K-S test, Z=3.729, P=0.000) and weight frequency distributions (K-S test, Z=3.605, P=0.000) was found to be statistically significant. The length-weight relationship models were defined as isometric with W = 0.009L3.034 in male individuals and positive allometric with W = 0.006L3.226 in female individuals. Otolith and vertebra samples were compared for the selection of the most accurate hard structure that can be used to determine the age. Otolith was chosen as the most suitable hard structure. The current data set was used to predict the best growth model. For this purpose, the growth parameters were estimated with the widely used von Bertalanffy, Gompertz and Logistic growth functions. Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC), Lmak./L∞ ratio, and R2 criteria were used to select the most accurate growth models established through these functions. Model averaged parameters were calculated with multi-model inference (MMI): L'∞ = 15.091 cm, S.E. (L'∞) = 3.966, K'= 0.232 year-1, S.E. (K') = 0.122.


2017 ◽  
Vol 42 (2) ◽  
pp. 66
Author(s):  
A. Anang ◽  
H. Indrijani ◽  
E. Sujana

A research was conducted at Quail Breeding Centre of Padjadjaran University.  A hundred quails of female black and brown color of each line was observed from hatch to age of six weeks. Four growth models were compared: Gompertz, Logistic, Richards, and MMF. The best fit was measured with Coefficient of determination (R2) and standard error of prediction (se). The results showed that all observed models have high accuracy with R2 ranging from 0.9950 to 0.9988 for black color, and 0.9984 to 0.9992 for brown color respectively. Standard errors of prediction (SE) ranged from 1.99 g to 4.01 g for black, and from 1.92 g to 2.52 g for brown, respectively. Gompertz model was more favorable with R2 and SE of 0.9988 and 1.99 g for black, and 0.9991 and 1.92 g for brown, respectively. Age at inflection, maximum average daily gains and weights at inflection were 4.18 week, 27.87 g and 100.23 g for black line and 3.38 week, 25.05 g and 75.34 g for brown line, respectively.


2011 ◽  
Vol 71 (3) ◽  
pp. 755-761 ◽  
Author(s):  
JE. Kotas ◽  
V. Mastrochirico ◽  
M. Petrere Junior

Age and growth studies for the scalloped hammerhead shark, Sphyrna lewini (Griffith and Smith, 1834) caught along the southern Brazilian coast, were based on ring measurements of vertebrae sections of 115 males, 116 females and 14 unknown sexed sharks between 48 and 344 cm total length (TL). The von Bertalanffy growth models were best fit using back-calculated data. The growth parameters obtained for males, were L∞ = 266 cm; K = 0.05/year; L0 = 47 cm. For females, L∞ = 300 cm; K = 0.05/year; L0 = 51 cm. An adult female reached 217 cm TL and was 31.5 years old. On the other hand, an adult male was 29.5 years old and measured 234 cm TL. Longevity estimate for males and females was 55 years. Therefore, S. lewini is a long-lived fish. Ageing precision, based on the IAPE index, was 5.6%. Marginal Increment analysis based on MIR index from hammerheads smaller than 105 cm, compared with the percentual of opaque and hyaline bands found per month ageing whole vertebrae, showed an annual ring formation, i.e., in winter.


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