scholarly journals Nomograms predict survival outcome of Klatskin tumors patients

PeerJ ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. e8570
Author(s):  
Feng Qi ◽  
Bin Zhou ◽  
Jinglin Xia

Objective Klatskin tumors are rare, malignant tumors of the biliary system with a poor prognosis for patient survival. The current understanding of these tumors is limited to a small number of case reports or case series; therefore, we examined prognostic factors of this disease. Methods A population cohort study was conducted in patients selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database with a Klatskin tumor that was histologically diagnosed between 2004 to 2014. Propensity-matching (PSM) analysis was performed to determine the overall survival (OS) among those with a Klatskin tumor (KCC), intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICCA), or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The nomogram was based on 317 eligible Klatskin tumor patients and its predictive accuracy and discriminatory ability were determined using the concordance index (C-index). Results Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients with Klatskin tumors had significantly worse overall survival rates (1-year OS = 26.2%, 2-year OS = 10.7%, 3-year OS = 3.4%) than those with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (1-year OS = 62.2%, 2-year OS = 36.4%, 3-year OS = 19.1%, p < 0.001) or hepatocellular carcinoma (1-year OS = 72.4% , 2-year OS = 48.5%, 3-year OS = 36.2%, p < 0.001). A poor prognosis was also significantly associated with older age, higher grade, SEER historic stage, and lymph node metastasis. Local destruction of the tumor (HR = 0.635, 95% CI [0.421–0.956], p = 0.03) and surgery (HR = 0.434, 95% [CI 0.328–0.574], p < 0.001) were independent protective factors. Multivariate Cox analysis showed that older age, SEER historic stage, and lymph node metastases (HR = 1.468, 95% CI [1.008–2.139], p = 0.046) were independent prognostic factors of poor survival rates in Klatskin tumor patients, while cancer-directed surgery was an independent protective factor (HR = 0.555, 95% CI [0.316–0.977], p = 0.041). The prognostic and protective factors were included in the nomogram (C-index for survival = 0.651; 95% CI [0.607–0.695]). Conclusions The Klatskin tumor group had poorer rates of OS and cancer-specific survival than the ICCA and HCC groups. Early detection and diagnosis were associated with a higher rate of OS in Klatskin tumor patients.


2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 129-129
Author(s):  
Kotaro Sugawara ◽  
Koichi Yagi ◽  
Masato Nishida ◽  
Hiroharu Yamashita ◽  
Yasuyuki Seto

Abstract Background The outcome of definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT) for patients with cT4b esophageal carcinoma (EC) remains poor. Also, few studies focused on the prognostic factors in cT4b EC patients undergoing dCRT. Methods 80 patients undergoing dCRT for cT4b EC between 2006 and 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. All were in ECOG-PS 0–1. For evaluation of the pretreatment status, we employed demographic data, BMI, inflammatory marker (CRP), nutritional marker (Alb, prognostic nutritional index (PNI)) and tumor factors (clinical staging, pretreatment stenosis, tumor marker). Results There were 62 men with a mean age of 65 years (range, 41–83 years). 77 patients were squamous cell carcinoma, while 3 were adenocarcinoma. There were 12 (15%) patients with cM1 (lym) status. 36 (45.0%) patients had esophageal stenosis. 70 patients had cN + before dCRT, while 22 had cN + after dCRT. 30 patients (37.5%) had a CRP > 10 mg/l before dCRT, while 15 patients (18.8%) were in poor-nutritional status (PNI < 40). Of 80 patients, 1 patient gave up the treatment developing cerebral infarction. We analyzed survival in the 79 patients completing dCRT. Esophageal perforations were occurred in 5 (6.3%) patients. The 1- and 3-year overall survival rates were 59.8% and 38.3%, respectively. Salvage surgery was performed in 29 (36.3%) patients. R0 resection was achieved in 20 (69.0%) patients. Surgery-related death was developed in 3 patients. Pathological complete response was found in 10 (34.5%) patients. The 1- and 3-year overall survival rates of these 29 patients were 64.3% and 40.5%, respectively. Lastly, we evaluated prognostic factors in 79 patients. In univariable analysis, PNI < 40 (HR 2.43, 95% CI 1.19–4.63, P = 0.02), CRP ≥ 10 mg/l (HR 2.21, 95% CI 1.23–3.95, P = 0.01), pretreatment stenosis (HR 1.68, 95% CI 0.94–3.00, P = 0.08), cN + status after dCRT (HR 1.84, 95% CI 0.98–3.33, P = 0.06) were associated with poor prognosis. Subsequent multivariable Cox proportional hazards model revealed that CRP ≥ 10 mg/l (HR 2.00, 95% CI 1.03–3.81, P = 0.04) and cN + status after dCRT (HR 2.02, 95% CI 1.05–3.73, P = 0.03) were both independent risk factors for poor prognosis. Conclusion The outcome of dCRT for cT4b EC is acceptable. Pretreatment inflammatory status significantly influences the prognosis of patients undergoing dCRT. Disclosure All authors have declared no conflicts of interest.



2021 ◽  
pp. 1-5
Author(s):  
Luís Vale ◽  
Bernardo Fernandes ◽  
Vasco Rodrigues ◽  
Paulo Dinis ◽  
Carlos Silva ◽  
...  

Introduction: Penile cancer (PC) is a rare neoplasm, mostly in developed countries. Herewith, we evaluate the main prognostic factors of patients with PC undergoing surgery. Methods: This is a retrospective analysis of prognostic factors of overall survival in 65 patients with PC treated at a tertiary referral center over the last 15 years (2004–2018). Results: Almost half (48%) of the patients were diagnosed at an advanced local stage pT3/4. Thirty-eight (58%) patients underwent inguinal lymphadenectomy, and 25 (66%) were negative for lymph node (LN) invasion. Overall survival was 80% at a median follow-up of 31 months. In the multivariate analysis, the main factors of poor prognosis were nodal staging (pN) (p = 0.008) and perineural invasion (p = 0.023). The presence of LN metastasis and perineural invasion in the primary tumor increased the risk of death by 29 (hazard ratio 29.0, 95% confidence interval 2.4–354.2) and 13 (hazard ratio 12.7, 95% confidence interval 1.4–112.0) times, respectively. Discussion/Conclusion: Late diagnosis of PC has a negative impact on overall survival, as nodal invasion correlates with survival. Despite the high number of negative inguinal lymphadenectomy, we continue to advocate aggressive surgical treatment of this disease due to the poor prognosis associated with LN metastasis.



2012 ◽  
Vol 78 (4) ◽  
pp. 419-425 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eiji Tsujita ◽  
Yo-Ichi Yamashita ◽  
Kazuki Takeishi ◽  
Ayumi Matsuyama ◽  
Shin-Ichi Tsutsui ◽  
...  

The purpose of this study was to determine the poor prognostic factors after repeat hepatectomy (Hx) in patients with recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Overall survival rates and clinicopathological variables in 112 patients with repeat Hx from 1992 to 2010 were compared with those in 531 patients who underwent a primary Hx. To clarify the poor prognosis factors after repeat Hx, survival data among 112 patients were univariately and multivariately analyzed. Overall survival after repeat Hx was similar for that of the patients who underwent a primary Hx. The mean age of repeat Hx group was significantly higher, and a well-preserved liver function was recognized than the primary Hx group. Multivariate analysis revealed that: 1) indocyanine green retention rate at 15 minutes; 2) disease-free interval; 3) tumor size; 4) portal vein invasion at primary Hx; 5) gender; and 6) estimated blood loss to be an independent and significant poor prognostic factors. The overall 3-year postrecurrence overall survival rates were 100, 91.3, 59.6, and 0 per cent at risk number (R) R0, R1/2, R3, R4, respectively ( P < 0.05). Repeat Hx provided a good compatible prognosis with primary Hx. In our findings, five risk factors to predict poor outcomes after repeat Hx were useful. Patients with recurrent HCC do not have universally poor outcomes, and our simple scoring system using five poor prognostic factors could serve to advise the prognosis and the potential benefit for patient selection about repeat Hx.



2021 ◽  
Vol 84 (4) ◽  
pp. 607-617
Author(s):  
A.K. Kayapinar ◽  
D Solakoglu ◽  
K Bas ◽  
E Oymaci ◽  
B Isbilen ◽  
...  

Background and study aims: The prognostic value of H. pylori, which infects more than half of the human population living in the world and plays a role in gastric cancer pathogenesis, is controversial. Our aim is to investigate the relationship between H. pylori and prognostic factors in gastric cancer. Patients and methods: The data of 110 patients (38 females and 72 males) that underwent surgeries due to gastric cancer between 2014 and 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. The relationships between survival (disease-free and overall) and factors such as p53, HER2/neu, Ki-67, neutrophil and platelet lymphocyte ratio (NLR / PLR), histopathological and demographic characteristics were examined. In addition, the results of H. pylori positive and negative groups were compared. Results: Sixty-one (55%) patients were H. pylori negative and 49 (45%) were positive. In multivariate analysis, TNM stage, lymph node capsule invasion and NLR were determined as independent prognostic factors in both disease-free and overall survival. Age>62 and PLR>14.3 were determined as independent predictive factors of poor prognosis in overall survival. In univariate analysis, tumor diameter of >4.3 cm, lymphovascular and perineural invasion, and diffuse p53 expression were determined as predictive factors of poor prognosis in disease-free and overall survival. The effectiveness of these markers in prognosis was not different between H. pylori negative and positive groups. Conclusion: While age, tumor diameter, TNM stage, lymph node capsule invasion, perineural and lymphovascular invasion, diffuse p53, PLR, and NLR were determined as prognostic factors in gastric cancer, these factors were not affected by the presence of H. pylori.



2020 ◽  
pp. 194589242096405
Author(s):  
Wanpeng Li ◽  
Hanyu Lu ◽  
Huan Wang ◽  
Huankang Zhang ◽  
Xicai Sun ◽  
...  

Background This study aimed to investigate the demographics, treatment outcomes, and prognostic factors of salvage endoscopic nasopharyngectomy in recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Methods We conducted a retrospective analysis of 189 patients who underwent treatment for recurrent NPC from January 2006 to June 2018. The Kaplan–Meier method and log-rank test were used to assess survival rates. A Cox regression model was used for multivariate survival analyses. Results We included 132 men and 57 women in the study, with a median age of 51 (range, 25–85) years. The overall 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates were 82.2%, 59.5%, and 43.6%, respectively, during a median follow-up of 24 (range, 2–111) months. In subjects over 50 years of age, diabetes, low body mass index (BMI < 20 kg/m2), low hemoglobin (<120 g/l) levels, increased neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR; ≥ 6), advanced T stage (rT3 and rT4), lymph node metastasis, and positive surgical margins were associated with a poor prognosis in terms of overall survival. Cox multivariate regression analyses showed significant differences in age, BMI, NLR, diabetes, T stage, N stage, and tumor necrosis. Conclusions In subjects over 50 years of age, diabetes, low BMI, increased NLR, advanced T stage, lymph node metastasis, and tumor necrosis were independent prognostic factors for overall survival.



2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu-Chao Wang ◽  
Jin-Chiao Lee ◽  
Tsung-Han Wu ◽  
Chih-Hsien Cheng ◽  
Chen-Fang Lee ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The outcomes and management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have undergone several evolutionary changes. This study aimed to analyze the outcomes of patients who had undergone liver resection for HCC with portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT) in terms of the evolving era of treatment. Materials and methods A retrospective analysis of 157 patients who had undergone liver resection for HCC associated with PVTT was performed. The outcomes and prognostic factors related to different eras were further examined. Results Overall, 129 (82.1%) patients encountered HCC recurrence after liver resection, and the median time of recurrence was 4.1 months. Maximum tumor size ≥ 5 cm and PVTT in the main portal trunk were identified as the major prognostic factors influencing HCC recurrence after liver resection. Although the recurrence-free survival had no statistical difference between the two eras, the overall survival of patients in the second era was significantly better than that of the patients in the first era (p = 0.004). The 1-, 2-, and 3-year overall survival rates of patients in the second era were 60.0%, 45.7%, and 35.8%, respectively, with a median survival time of 19.6 months. Conclusion The outcomes of HCC associated with PVTT remain unsatisfactory because of a high incidence of tumor recurrence even after curative resection. Although the management and outcomes of patients with HCC and PVTT have greatly improved over the years, surgical resection remains an option to achieve a potential cure of HCC in well-selected patients.



Author(s):  
David Fortin ◽  
David. R. Macdonald ◽  
J. Gregory Cairncross ◽  
Larry Stitt

Background:We report survival and pretreatment prognostic factors for survival and chemosensitivity in 53 oligodendrogliomas treated with PCV (procarbazine, lomustine and vincristine) chemotherapy.Methods:A total of 53 patients with histologically proven oligodendroglioma, anaplastic oligodendroglioma or oligo-astrocytoma and treated with PCVwere extracted from the London Regional Cancer Center database. A retrospective review was conducted to evaluate overall survival and pretreatment prognostic factors for survival and chemosensitivity.Results:The median survival time from diagnosis was 123.6 months. The overall five- and ten-year survival rates were 72.7% and 52.7% respectively. Age <40, seizure as an initial symptom, absence of cognitive deficit and presence of a homogeneous hypodense lesion without contrast enhancement on the initial pretreatment CT scan were all factors independently associated with favorable outcome. The presence of increased cellularity, pleomorphism, mitosis, vascular proliferation and grading as an anaplastic lesion using these surrogates on pathological assessment, were all associated with an unfavorable outcome in univariable analysis. In multivariable analysis, only the anaplastic grading and presence of increased cellularity were significant determinants of unfavorable survival. The only factor adversely associated with chemosensitivity was the presence of a focal symptom at presentation.Conclusion:Overall survival is significantly longer in oligodendroglial lesions than in fibrillary astrocytic tumors. A two tier grading system using standard morphological features seems accurate in predicting outcome in these patients. The presence of a neoplastic astrocytic component does not seem to impact the outcome. No clinical, radiological or pathological factor could be identified to reliably predict chemotherapy response.



2018 ◽  
Vol 403 (7) ◽  
pp. 851-861 ◽  
Author(s):  
Georg Lurje ◽  
Jan Bednarsch ◽  
Zoltan Czigany ◽  
Iakovos Amygdalos ◽  
Franziska Meister ◽  
...  


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 426-432 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhen-Wei Peng ◽  
Yao-Jun Zhang ◽  
Min-Shan Chen ◽  
Li Xu ◽  
Hui-Hong Liang ◽  
...  

Purpose To compare radiofrequency ablation (RFA) with or without transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) in the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Patients and Methods A randomized controlled trial was conducted on 189 patients with HCC less than 7 cm at a single tertiary referral center between October 2006 and June 2009. Patients were randomly asssigned to receive TACE combined with RFA (TACE-RFA; n = 94) or RFA alone (n = 95). The primary end point was overall survival. The secondary end point was recurrence-free survival, and the tertiary end point was adverse effects. Results At a follow-up of 7 to 62 months, 34 patients in the TACE-RFA group and 48 patients in the RFA group had died. Thirty-three patients and 52 patients had developed recurrence in the TACE-RFA group and RFA group, respectively. The 1-, 3-, and 4-year overall survivals for the TACE-RFA group and the RFA group were 92.6%, 66.6%, and 61.8% and 85.3%, 59%, and 45.0%, respectively. The corresponding recurrence-free survivals were 79.4%, 60.6%, and 54.8% and 66.7%, 44.2%, and 38.9%, respectively. Patients in the TACE-RFA group had better overall survival and recurrence-free survival than patients in the RFA group (hazard ratio, 0.525; 95% CI, 0.335 to 0.822; P = .002; hazard ratio, 0.575; 95% CI, 0.374 to 0.897; P = .009, respectively). There were no treatment-related deaths. On logistic regression analyses, treatment allocation, tumor size, and tumor number were significant prognostic factors for overall survival, whereas treatment allocation and tumor number were significant prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival. Conclusion TACE-RFA was superior to RFA alone in improving survival for patients with HCC less than 7 cm.



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