technology foresight
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Author(s):  
A. Kupchyn ◽  
V. Komarov ◽  
I. Borokhvostov ◽  
A. Kuprinenko ◽  
V. Sotnyk ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 65-81
Author(s):  
Eoin O’Sullivan ◽  
◽  
Rob Phaal ◽  
Charles Featherston ◽  
◽  
...  

Technology roadmapping has become an important foresight tool for science, technology, and innovation (STI) policy and technology strategy development. There are, however, challenges in translating evidence from foresight into the strategies of STI agencies and the planning of research & technology development (RTD) organizations. While the foresight evaluation literature identifies methodological issues related to evidence granularity, scope, and stakeholder confidence, there is limited guidance on how to ensure roadmapping outputs are strategically relevant, appropriately detailed, and credible. This paper highlights the potential of using structured visual roadmapping frameworks to anticipate potential strategic foresight evidence failures and using the adaptive and iterative nature of roadmapping processes to address them. In this paper, we distinguish between: the roadmapping framework ‘canvas’; the foresight evidence captured on the canvas; the process of generating the evidence; and any final strategic plan developed using that evidence (with goals, milestones, actions, etc). We investigate efforts to use the roadmapping canvas as a research tool and diagnostic to explore emerging technology trajectories and innovation ‘pathways’. We demonstrate that key patterns of evidence distribution on the roadmapping canvas have the potential to reveal where further evidence may need to be gathered, or where further triangulation of stakeholder perspectives may be required. We argue that by adaptively addressing these patterns at key stages within the roadmapping process (and appropriately re-scoping, re-prioritizing, and re-focusing foresight effort and resources), the granularity, coverage, and consensus of the roadmapping evidence can be greatly enhanced. We conclude the paper by summarizing a set of novel principles for adaptive agile roadmapping, reflecting on the implications for foresight more generally, and outlining a future research agenda to test and refine this approach to agile foresight.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fang-Yu Lin ◽  
Tien-Fu Chu ◽  
Chang-I Peng ◽  
Gou-Jen Wang

Abstract A non-enzymatic glucose detection electrode that can operate in a neutral environment is a key technology for continuous glucose sensing. In this study, semiconductor micro-electromechanical manufacturing processes, precision micro-molding, hot embossing, and electrochemical deposition are integrated to fabricate Pt/Au nano-alloy electrodes for the enzyme-free detection of glucose in a neutral environment. The sensitivity of the proposed neutral enzyme-free glucose sensing scheme is measured to be 2.82 µA mM− 1 cm− 2 with a linear range of 1.39–13.9 mM and a detection limit of 0.482 mM. Further investigations in human serum confirmed the feasibility of the proposed Pt/Au nano alloy electrode in clinical application. This novel glucose biosensor possesses the advantages of technology foresight, good detection performance, and high feasibility of mass production.


foresight ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mukaddes Burhan ◽  
Serhat Cakir

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to provide information about the long-term ex-post impacts of Vision 2023 technology foresight (TF) on the defense sector and to identify critical success factors (CSFs) of impactful foresight. Design/methodology/approach In the present research, a theory-based evaluation approach was adopted with the logic-model of defense TF to identify the intended outcomes, impacts and leading mechanisms. The impact assessment framework developed by Johnston, R. (2012) was adopted to identify (un)intended impacts and possible measures. Findings TF had some effects on technological developments, foresight capacity and capability and skills on the sector. The overall impact was assessed at the “some contribution” level with 2.9 out of 5.0 points. It contributed to the development of science technology and innovation (STI) policies and research and development programs, awareness-raising in STI, increase in cooperation between government-university-industry and the development of foresight culture. However, the impacts were more visible in the early years of TF. Additionally, country/sector-specific CSFs were identified. In consequence, it was proposed to measure the maturity of strategic technologies with technology readiness level as a tangible indicator. Originality/value According to the authors, this is the first study to assess the long-term ex-post impact of TF in defense. An instrument was developed to assess TF’s contribution to impact measures. The constructs and weights of the instrument differentiated from the adopted framework/schema reflecting the national/sectoral context of TF. Additionally, the study revealed country/sector-specific CSFs and new tangible impact measures.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Diana Freire ◽  
Christiane Marques ◽  
Lívia Faria ◽  
Camila Magalhães ◽  
Ana Andrade ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mirhan Ayman ◽  
Asmaa Ahmed ◽  
Ekram Essawi ◽  
Abdel Nasser H. Zaied

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