Background:
High-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) assays quantify cTn in patients at very low concentrations. Myocyte injury due to ischemia or other pathologies cause blood levels to increase, which is prognostic. A noninvasive, rapid, broadly available, home-based test to detect hs-cTn increases would facilitate risk-stratification. Since myocyte injury is associated with ECG changes, we hypothesized an artificial intelligence ECG (AI-ECG) could non-invasively predict current or impending hs-cTnT elevations.
Objective:
To develop an AI-ECG convolutional neural network (CNN) to detect an abnormal hs-cTnT (5
th
Gen cTnT, Roche Diagnostics) concentration using a 12-lead ECG, and a single lead ECG (lead I), which would enable smartphone, home-based detection.
Methods:
We developed single lead and 12-lead ECG CNNs to detect a) hs-cTnT concentrations that were at or above the 6ng/L limit that can be reported b) above the 99
th
percentile upper limits of >15ng/L for men and >10ng/L for women. All ECGs were recorded within one hour of the hs-cTnT measurements. We used 73,012 ECG and hs-cTnT pairs from 47,542 unique patients to train the network, 9031 ECGs from 5,811 patients for internal validation to optimize hyperparameters, and 18,276 ECG and hs-cTnT pairs from 11,904 different patients as a holdout test set to determine the area under the receiver-operator curve (AUC).
Results:
The mean age was 63.9±17.5 years, and 30,348 of the 59,446 patients (51%) were male. Of the 91,288 hs-cTnT pairs 73,271 (80.2%) were above 6ng/L and 50,799 (55.6%) are above the 99
th
percentile. In the test set, the AUC for the detection of a hs-cTnT level higher than 6ng/L was 0.88 using the 12 lead ECG and 0.834 with the single lead. For the detection of hs-cTnT level above of 99
th
percentile, the 12 lead ECG AUC was 0.853 and the single lead was 0.806.
Conclusion:
The AI-ECG permits detection of levels of hs-cTnT consistent with myocardial injury. This may allow a home-based, non-invasive test that would be massively scalable and could further enhance rapid-risk stratification and patient triage with potentially significant cost reductions and enable novel triage strategies at sites without hs-cTn assays.