All-cause excess mortality in the State of Gujarat, India, during the COVID-19 pandemic (March 2020-April 2021)

Official COVID-19 mortality statistics are strongly influenced by the local diagnostic capacity, strength of the healthcare system, and the recording and reporting capacities on causes of death. This can result in significant undercounting of COVID-19 attributable deaths, making it challenging to understand the total mortality burden of the pandemic. Excess mortality, which is defined as the increase in observed death counts compared to a baseline expectation, provides an alternate measure of the mortality shock of the COVID-19 pandemic. Here, we use data from civil death registers for 54 municipalities across the state of Gujarat, India, to estimate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality. Using a model fit to monthly data from January 2019 to February 2020, we estimate excess mortality over the course of the pandemic from March 2020 to April 2021. We estimated 16,000 [95% CI: 14,000, 18,000] excess deaths across these municipalities since March 2020. The sharpest increase in deaths was observed in April 2021, with an estimated 480% [95% CI: 390%, 580%] increase in mortality from expected counts for the same period. Females and the 40 to 60 age groups experienced a greater increase from baseline mortality compared to other demographic groups. Our excess mortality estimate for these 54 municipalities, representing approximately 5% of the state population, exceeds the official COVID-19 death count for the entire state of Gujarat.

ON THE INEXTRICABLE LINK BETWEEN THE PERSONALITY OF THE PARTICIPANT AND THE SOCIETY ON THE EXAMPLE OF LAW ENFORCEMENT PRACTICE ON BRINGING THE DEBTOR'S CONTROLLING PERSONS TO SUBSIDIARY LIABILITY

The purpose of the research. Bankruptcy proceedings increasingly involve not only controlling persons but also members of their families. The reason for this is the conflict of interests of the family and creditors. The development of bankruptcy legislation leads to a reduction in the possibilities of preserving the property of family members from collection under the obligations of the controlling person of the debtor. Until recently, one of these methods was the alienation of property in favor of a minor, which undoubtedly led to a violation of creditors' interests. The need to protect creditors' interests gave rise to new specific forms of lawmaking by the higher courts, in particular, bringing the children of the controlling debtor to responsibility. This decision seems to be controversial. This is the exhaustion of the theory of independent legal personality of a legal entity and the lack of a theoretical justification for the implementation of entrepreneurial activities of citizens in the form of participation (membership) in a legal entity. The article aims to identify sources of legal uncertainty in bringing the children of the controlling debtor to respond within bankruptcy procedures. The article analyzes the judicial practice in cases of bringing family members of a controlling debtor, including children, as controlling beneficiaries, to subsidiary liability for society's obligations through the prism of the conscientiousness of the exercise of parental rights and the conscientiousness of a minor. Results. It is proposed to introduce into legislation two presumptions: a refutable presumption of the conscientiousness of a parent and an irrefutable presumption of a child's good faith as a tool to save a minor from civil death through the fault of the parents.

Celebrity Suicide of a Pre-World War I Spy

Background: Alfred Redl, a colonel in the Imperial and Royal General Staff and Deputy Director of Military Intelligence for the Austro-Hungarian Empire, was a leading figure of pre-World War I spying. The "spy of the century," as he has been called, died by suicide in Vienna on May 25, 1913. It was a big news story based on espionage, sex, and betrayal. Aim: We aimed to test whether this celebrity suicide elicited an increase in suicides – a phenomenon consistent with the "Werther effect." Method: Given daily suicide numbers were not available, we conducted archival research. Civil death registers for the city of Vienna were used to identify suicides before and after Redl's suicide. Results: The analysis indicated that more people died by suicide in the immediate aftermath and that the quantity of news reporting on Colonel Redl predicted the number of suicides per day – a pattern that is consistent with the Werther effect. Limitations: Causal interpretations are limited. Conclusion: Given the fact that the "Redl affair" is relevant for many scientific disciplines, we discuss multiple contributions to suicide research, history, media research, and research on intelligence and counter-intelligence.

Excess mortality during the first ten months of COVID-19 epidemic at Jakarta, Indonesia

Excess mortality during the COVID-19 epidemic is an important measure of health impacts. We examined mortality records from January 2015 to October 2020 from government sources at Jakarta, Indonesia: 1) burials in public cemeteries; 2) civil death registration; and 3) health authority death registration. During 2015-2019, an average of 26,342 burials occurred each year from January to October. During the same period of 2020, there were 42,460 burials, an excess of 61%. Burial activities began surging in early January 2020, two months before the first official laboratory confirmation of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Indonesia in March 2020. Analysis of civil death registrations or health authority death registration showed insensitive trends during 2020. Burial records indicated substantially increased mortality associated with the onset of and ongoing COVID-19 epidemic in Jakarta and suggest that SARS-CoV-2 transmission may have been initiated and progressing at least two months prior to official detection.Article summary lineAnalysis of civil records of burials in Jakarta, Indonesia showed a 61% increase during 2020 compared to the previous five years, a trend that began two months prior to first official confirmation of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the city.

Unveiling the Necrocapitalist Dimensions of the Shadow Carceral State: On Pay-to-Stay to Recoup the Cost of Incarceration

The expansion of monetary sanctions constitutes what Beckett and Murakawa describe as the “shadow carceral state,” where covert penal power is expanded through institutional annexation by blending civil, administrative, and criminal legal authority. A growing body of work on monetary sanctions has begun to dissect covert penal power by tracing increased civil and administrative pipelines to incarceration, civil financial alternatives to criminal sanctions, and innovations to generate criminal justice revenue. However, institutional annexation and innovation in the form of contemporary pay-to-stay practices remain understudied and undertheorized. In this article, I first examine statutes and practices to theorize pay-to-stay as exemplary of the shadow carceral state—an outcome of legal hybridity and institutional annexation legitimated using the legal construction of “not punishment,” which frames monetary sanctions as non-punitive. Second, I expand Beckett and Murakawa’s framework to argue pay-to-stay practices reveal how the shadow carceral state compounds or initiates the civil death of those charged. I broaden our notion of civil death to include financial indebtedness to the shadow carceral state. I suggest covert penal power expands through the accumulation of resources extracted from people marked for civil death through criminal justice contact. Finally, I conclude that monetary sanctions such as pay-to-stay reveal how the shadow carceral state expands covert penal power through necrocapitalism, meaning institutional accumulation occurs through dispossession and the subjugation of life to the power of death.

“The State was Patiently Waiting for Me to Die”: Life without the Possibility of Parole as Punishment

Despite its growing use over past decades, there has been relatively little public or scholarly discussion of life sentences that deny the possibility of parole. This essay outlines the labyrinthine legal and political developments that have rendered life imprisonment difficult to address—including the intertwined histories of the death penalty and civil death—and draws upon the life writing of those serving life to theorize a more distinct understanding of this punishment. Witnesses reveal how the possibility of life despite the impossibility of parole punishes by subverting the goals of human growth and development. The potentiality of what can be done in the present grinds up against the futility of what could have been done and what could be done were release an option. Considered alongside the laws and court opinions and claims that characterize its convoluted development, these testimonies reveal this punishment’s role in the American imagination. Life without the possibility of parole reinforces and relies upon a vision that not simply some people are unable to change, but that anyone in a democracy—no matter their position—is some steps away from irretrievable exclusion. Permanent confinement denies a restorative vision of democracy: any effort to abolish or amend it must include the voices of those imprisoned.