Using an Eigenvector Spatial Filtering-Based Spatially Varying Coefficient Model to Analyze the Spatial Heterogeneity of COVID-19 and Its Influencing Factors in Mainland China

The COVID-19 pandemic has led to many deaths and economic disruptions across the world. Several studies have examined the effect of corresponding health risk factors in different places, but the problem of spatial heterogeneity has not been adequately addressed. The purpose of this paper was to explore how selected health risk factors are related to the pandemic infection rate within different study extents and to reveal the spatial varying characteristics of certain health risk factors. An eigenvector spatial filtering-based spatially varying coefficient model (ESF-SVC) was developed to find out how the influence of selected health risk factors varies across space and time. The ESF-SVC was able to take good control of over-fitting problems compared with ordinary least square (OLS), eigenvector spatial filtering (ESF) and geographically weighted regression (GWR) models, with a higher adjusted R2 and lower cross validation RMSE. The impact of health risk factors varied as the study extent changed: In Hubei province, only population density and wind speed showed significant spatially constant impact; while in mainland China, other factors including migration score, building density, temperature and altitude showed significant spatially varying impact. The influence of migration score was less contributive and less significant in cities around Wuhan than cities further away, while altitude showed a stronger contribution to the decrease of infection rates in high altitude cities. The temperature showed mixed correlation as time passed, with positive and negative coefficients at 2.42 °C and 8.17 °C, respectively. This study could provide a feasible path to improve the model fit by considering the problem of spatial autocorrelation and heterogeneity that exists in COVID-19 modeling. The yielding ESF-SVC coefficients could also provide an intuitive method for discovering the different impacts of influencing factors across space in large study areas. It is hoped that these findings improve public and governmental awareness of potential health risks and therefore influence epidemic control strategies.

Asymmetries around the visual field: From retina to cortex to behavior

Visual performance varies around the visual field. It is best near the fovea compared to the periphery, and at iso-eccentric locations it is best on the horizontal, intermediate on the lower, and poorest on the upper meridian. The fovea-to-periphery performance decline is linked to the decreases in cone density, retinal ganglion cell (RGC) density, and V1 cortical magnification factor (CMF) as eccentricity increases. The origins of polar angle asymmetries are not well understood. Optical quality and cone density vary across the retina, but recent computational modeling has shown that these factors can only account for a small percentage of behavior. Here, we investigate how visual processing beyond the cone photon absorptions contributes to polar angle asymmetries in performance. First, we quantify the extent of asymmetries in cone density, midget RGC density, and V1 CMF. We find that both polar angle asymmetries and eccentricity gradients increase from cones to mRGCs, and from mRGCs to cortex. Second, we extend our previously published computational observer model to quantify the contribution of phototransduction by the cones and spatial filtering by mRGCs to behavioral asymmetries. Starting with photons emitted by a visual display, the model simulates the effect of human optics, cone isomerizations, phototransduction, and mRGC spatial filtering. The model performs a forced choice orientation discrimination task on mRGC responses using a linear support vector machine classifier. The model shows that asymmetries in a decision maker’s performance across polar angle are greater when assessing the photocurrents than when assessing isomerizations and are greater still when assessing mRGC signals. Nonetheless, the polar angle asymmetries of the mRGC outputs are still considerably smaller than those observed from human performance. We conclude that cone isomerizations, phototransduction, and the spatial filtering properties of mRGCs contribute to polar angle performance differences, but that a full account of these differences will entail additional contribution from cortical representations.

Analysis of Factors Influencing the Lake Area on the Tibetan Plateau Using an Eigenvector Spatial Filtering Based Spatially Varying Coefficient Model

Lakes on the Tibet Plateau (TP) have a significant impact on the water cycle and water balance, and it is important to monitor changes in lake area and identify the influencing factors. Existing research has failed to quantitatively identify the changes and influencing factors of lakes in different regions of the TP. Thus, an eigenvector spatial filtering based spatially varying coefficient (ESF-SVC) model was used to analyze the relationship between lake area and climatic and terrain factors in the inner watershed of the TP from 2000 to 2015. A comparison with ordinary regression and spatial models showed that the ESF-SVC model eliminates spatial autocorrelation and has the best model fit and complexity. The experiments demonstrated that precipitation, snow melt, and permafrost moisture release, as well as the area of vegetation and elevation difference in the watershed, can significantly promote the expansion of lakes, while evapotranspiration and days of mean daily temperature above zero have an inhibitory effect on lake area expansion. The degree of influence of each factor also differs significantly over time and across regions. Spatially quantitative modeling of lake area in the TP using the ESF-SVC method is a new attempt to provide novel ideas for lake research.

Research on spatial filtering velocity measurement method of interdigital electrostatic sensor

Particle velocity is an important parameter to describe the flow characteristics of gas-solid two-phase flow, and it is also a tricky problem for the parameter measurement of gas-solid flow. Aiming at the problem that the spatial filtering effect of electrostatic sensor suffering from the effect of spatial distribution of solid particles, a new type of interdigital electrostatic sensor is proposed to resolve it. Firstly, the spatial filtering characteristics of the interdigital electrostatic sensor are analyzed through finite element simulation, obtained that the spatial position and size of the solid particles have no effect on the peak frequency of the sensor output signal power spectrum, and the quantitative relationship between the velocity and peak frequency is derived. Then the experimental verification is carried out on an experimental platform of gravity conveying particle flow. Simulation and experimental results show that the interdigital electrostatic sensor eliminates the influence of particle spatial position and particle size on the velocity measurement results. In the velocity range of 2.97m/~4.95m/s, the relative error of the measurement system is better than 5%, and the relative standard deviation of repeated measurements is within 3%.