Are Engineered Geothermal Energy Systems a Viable Solution for Arctic Off-Grid Communities? A Techno-Economic Study

Deep geothermal energy sources harvested by circulating fluids in engineered geothermal energy systems can be a solution for diesel-based northern Canadian communities. However, poor knowledge of relevant geology and thermo-hydro-mechanical data introduces significant uncertainty in numerical simulations. Here, a first-order assessment was undertaken following a “what-if” approach to help design an engineered geothermal energy system for each of the uncertain scenarios. Each possibility meets the thermal energy needs of the community, keeping the water losses, the reservoir flow impedance and the thermal drawdown within predefined targets. Additionally, the levelized cost of energy was evaluated using the Monte Carlo method to deal with the uncertainty of the inputs and assess their influence on the output response. Hydraulically stimulated geothermal reservoirs of potential commercial interest were simulated in this work. In fact, the probability of providing heating energy at a lower cost than the business-as-usual scenario with oil furnaces ranges between 8 and 92%. Although the results of this work are speculative and subject to uncertainty, geothermal energy seems a potentially viable alternative solution to help in the energy transition of remote northern communities.

A Survey of Stakeholders’ Views and Practices

Along with policy proposers and individual voters, key stakeholders play a crucial role in shaping the socio-political acceptance of energy policy. Understanding a broad landscape of energy stakeholders’ views and practices thus should be a central theme in energy transition research. The Energy Strategy 2050 (ES2050), a sweeping energy transition policy package in Switzerland, was adopted in 2017. Concrete policy goals implied by ES2050 are yet to be implemented. Although there is a large body of social acceptance studies focusing on individual voters, we have a relatively scant empirical understanding of how stakeholders in this domain perceive the policy goals and how perceptions are linked to their organizational characteristics. To elucidate Swiss energy stakeholders’ perceptions on key action targets implied by recent energy policies in Switzerland, we analyzed data from our original survey with 364 organizations. We examined their views on concrete policy goals related to electric mobility, deep geothermal energy, wind energy, hydropower, and planned phase-outs of renewable energy subsidies. When asked to rate how realistic these goals appear to them, the majority of the stakeholders responded negatively. Furthermore, our findings indicate that, despite the considerable diversity and the overall pessimism in their feasibility perceptions, those that consider goals to be realistic are more likely to be active in the media. This is a concerning finding as the public might receive a biased impression via the media about the level of consensus among the stakeholders, who could, at times, be seen by the public as experts on the topic.

3D deep geothermal reservoir imaging with wireline distributed acoustic sensing in two boreholes

Geothermal exploration will help moving towards a low-carbon economy and provide a basis for green and sustainable growth. The development of new practical, reliable methods for geophysical characterisation of a reservoir has the potential to facilitate a broader application of deep geothermal energy. At the Groß Schönebeck in-situ laboratory, a unique vertical seismic profiling (VSP) dataset was recorded in two 4.3 km deep geothermal boreholes using fibre optic cables in early 2017. The experiment set-up consisted of 61 vibrator points organised in a spiral pattern around the well site to ensure a proper azimuth distribution in the target reservoir section. Data were processed using a standard workflow for VSP. As a result, a detailed 3-dimensional 0.75 × 1 × 4.5 km size image around the existing boreholes was created using the Kirchhoff migration algorithm with restricted aperture. The imaging resolved small-scale features in the reservoir essential for the future exploration of the geothermal research site. Borehole data with vertical resolution up to 16 m revealed the existing depth variations of the Elbe basis sandstone horizon at 4.08–4.10 km depth and indications of an unconformity in the area where we expect volcanic rocks. In addition, in the borehole data a complex interlaying with numerous pinch outs in the Upper Rotliegend reservoir section (3.8 to 4 km depth) was discovered. Thereby, we demonstrate that wireline fibre optic data can significantly contribute to exploration by providing an efficient and reliable method for deep geothermal reservoir imaging.

Hydro-Thermal Modeling for Geothermal Energy Extraction from Soultz-sous-Forêts, France

The deep geothermal energy project at Soultz-sous-Forêts is located in the Upper Rhine Graben, France. As part of the Multidisciplinary and multi-contact demonstration of EGS exploration and Exploitation Techniques and potentials (MEET) project, this study aimed to evaluate the possibility of extracting higher amounts of energy from the existing industrial infrastructure. To achieve this objective, the effect of reinjecting fluid at lower temperature than the current fluid injection temperature of 70 °C was modeled and the drop in the production wellhead temperature for 100 years of operation was quantified. Two injection-production rate scenarios were considered and compared for their effect on overall production wellhead temperature. For each scenario, reinjection temperatures of 40, 50, and 60 °C were chosen and compared with the 70 °C injection case. For the lower production rate scenario, the results show that the production wellhead temperature is approximately 1–1.5 °C higher than for the higher production rate scenario after 100 years of operation. In conclusion, no significant thermal breakthrough was observed with the applied flow rates and lowered injection temperatures even after 100 years of operation.

In Situ Stress State of the Ruhr Region (Germany) and Its Implications for Permeability Anisotropy

In this study, we carried out reactivation potential analysis of discontinuities revealed from four exploration boreholes penetrating heavily faulted and folded Upper Carboniferous rock strata of the Ruhr region. We performed this study based on the notion that slip is controlled by the ratio of shear to effective normal stresses acting on a pre-existing plane of weakness in the prevailing stress field configuration. The results of this analysis were supported by indicators of localized fluid flow, both on micro- and macro-scales, which confirm relationship between secondary permeability and in situ stress state in the Ruhr region. Findings from this study, in conjunction with results of destructive laboratory testing, indicate that the steep NW–SE- and NNE–SSW-striking planar discontinuities are likely to be either close to the critical state or critically stressed in the in situ stress configuration in the Ruhr region. These planar structures, as evidenced by indicators of localized permeability, are the main fluid pathways in the studied region. The NE–SW-striking discontinuities, on the other hand, are most likely to be closed and hydraulically inactive in the prevailing stress state. Based on results gained from this study, implications for utilization of deep geothermal energy in the region were discussed.