climate signals
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2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stéphanie Jenouvrier ◽  
Matthew C. Long ◽  
Christophe F. D. Coste ◽  
Marika Holland ◽  
Marlène Gamelon ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chenhua Zhang ◽  
Jiachuan Wang ◽  
Shuheng Li ◽  
Li Hou

Abstract Examination of the periodic differences in temperature in the Qinling Mountains at different time scales is highly important in research on the long-term evolution of the regional climate system and ecological environment. Based on February-April temperature data from 1835 to 2013 obtained at 27 weather stations in the Qinling Mountains reconstructed through tree rings, the multiscale characteristics of the early spring temperature time series on the southern and northern slopes of the Qinling Mountains and the response to climate signals were analyzed. The results indicate that the early spring temperature in the Qinling Mountains exhibits significant periodic characteristics on multiple time scales. Reconstruction at the different time scales reveals that the interannual scale change in the temperature variation on the northern slope of the Qinling Mountains plays a decisive role. The temperature on the northern slope exhibits a higher amplitude at the interannual and interdecadal scales than does that on the southern slope, and temporal differences occur at the quasi-century scale. The temperature achieves the strongest correlation with the original Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) sequence during the entire study period. In addition, the different time scales reveal that there exists a significant response relationship between the temperature at the interannual scale and the May sea temperature in the NINO3.4 area, which lags by one year. At the different time scales and various time ranges, the Qinling early spring temperature responds differently to the climate signals, which is an important factor leading to a lower correlation during the entire study period.


Author(s):  
Ke Shi ◽  
Yoshiya Touge ◽  
So Kazama

Abstract Droughts are widespread disasters worldwide and are concurrently influenced by multiple large-scale climate signals. This is particularly true over Japan, where drought has strong heterogeneity due to multiple factors such as monsoon, topography, and ocean circulations. Regional heterogeneity poses challenges for drought prediction and management. To overcome this difficulty, this study provides a comprehensive analysis of teleconnection between climate signals and homogeneous drought zones over Japan. First, droughts are characterized by simulated soil moisture from land surface model during 1958-2012. The Mclust toolkit, distinct empirical orthogonal function, and wavelet coherence analysis are used, respectively, to investigate the homogeneous drought zone, principal component of each homogeneous zone, and teleconnection between climate signals and drought. Results indicate that nine homogeneous drought zones with different characteristics are defined and quantified. Among these nine zones, zone-1 is dominated by extreme drought events. Zone-2 and zone-6 are typical representatives of spring droughts, while zone-7 is wet for most of the period. The Hokkaido region is divided into wetter zone-4 and drier zone-9. Zone-3, zone-5 and zone-8 are distinguished by the topography. The analyses also reveal almost nine zones have a high level of homogeneity, with more than 60% explained variance. Also, these nine zones are dominated by different large-scale climate signals: the Arctic Oscillation has the strongest impact on zone-1, zone-7, and zone-8; the influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on zone-3, zone-4, and zone-6 is significant; zone-2 and zone-9 are both dominated by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation; El Niño-Southern Oscillation dominates zone-5. The results will be valuable for drought management and drought prevention.


2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (5) ◽  
pp. 2055-2071
Author(s):  
Paul D. Zander ◽  
Maurycy Żarczyński ◽  
Wojciech Tylmann ◽  
Shauna-kay Rainford ◽  
Martin Grosjean

Abstract. Varved lake sediments are exceptional archives of paleoclimatic information due to their precise chronological control and annual resolution. However, quantitative paleoclimate reconstructions based on the biogeochemical composition of biochemical varves are extremely rare, mainly because the climate–proxy relationships are complex and obtaining biogeochemical proxy data at very high (annual) resolution is difficult. Recent developments in high-resolution hyperspectral imaging (HSI) of sedimentary pigment biomarkers combined with micro X-ray fluorescence (µXRF) elemental mapping make it possible to measure the structure and composition of varves at unprecedented resolution. This provides opportunities to explore seasonal climate signals preserved in biochemical varves and, thus, assess the potential for annual-resolution climate reconstruction from biochemical varves. Here, we present a geochemical dataset including HSI-inferred sedimentary pigments and µXRF-inferred elements at very high spatial resolution (60 µm, i.e. > 100 data points per varve year) in varved sediments of Lake Żabińskie, Poland, over the period 1966–2019 CE. We compare these data with local meteorological observations to explore and quantify how changing seasonal meteorological conditions influenced sediment composition and varve formation processes. Based on the dissimilarity of within-varve multivariate geochemical time series, we classified varves into four types. Multivariate analysis of variance shows that these four varve types were formed in years with significantly different seasonal meteorological conditions. Generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to infer seasonal climate conditions based on sedimentary variables. Spring and summer (MAMJJA) temperatures were predicted using Ti and total C (Radj2=0.55; cross-validated root mean square error (CV-RMSE) = 0.7 ∘C, 14.4 %). Windy days from March to December (mean daily wind speed > 7 m s−1) were predicted using mass accumulation rate (MAR) and Si (Radj2=0.48; CV-RMSE = 19.0 %). This study demonstrates that high-resolution scanning techniques are promising tools to improve our understanding of varve formation processes and climate–proxy relationships in biochemical varves. This knowledge is the basis for quantitative high-resolution paleoclimate reconstructions, and here we provide examples of calibration and validation of annual-resolution seasonal weather inference from varve biogeochemical data.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Roberto Coscarelli ◽  
Giulio Nils Caroletti ◽  
Magnus Joelsson ◽  
Erik Engström ◽  
Tommaso Caloiero

AbstractIn order to correctly detect climate signals and discard possible instrumentation errors, establishing coherent data records has become increasingly relevant. However, since real measurements can be inhomogeneous, their use for assessing homogenization techniques is not directly possible, and the study of their performance must be done on homogeneous datasets subjected to controlled, artificial inhomogeneities. In this paper, considering two European temperature networks over the 1950–2005 period, up to 7 artificial breaks and an average of 107 missing data per station were introduced, in order to determine that mean square error, absolute bias and factor of exceedance can be meaningfully used to validate the best-performing homogenization technique. Three techniques were used, ACMANT and two versions of HOMER: the standard, automated setup mode and a manual setup. Results showed that the HOMER techniques performed better regarding the factor of exceedance, while ACMANT was best with regard to absolute error and root mean square error. Regardless of the technique used, it was also established that homogenization quality anti-correlated meaningfully to the number of breaks. On the other hand, as missing data are almost always replaced in the two HOMER techniques, only ACMANT performance is significantly, negatively affected by the amount of missing data.


2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Johannes Stehr ◽  
Peter Knieling ◽  
Friedhelm Olschewski ◽  
Klaus Mantel ◽  
Martin Kaufmann ◽  
...  

Abstract The NDMC (Network for the Detection of Mesospheric Change) is a global network of measurement sites dedicated to the surveillance of the mesopause region. One main objective of the network is the early identification of climate signals. A key parameter is the mesopause temperature which can be derived from the emission spectrum of a layer of vibrationally excited hydroxyl (OH) at an altitude of approximately 87 km 87\hspace{0.1667em}\text{km} . Foremost, emission lines in the SWIR regime between 1520 nm 1520\hspace{0.1667em}\text{nm} and 1550 nm 1550\hspace{0.1667em}\text{nm} are of interest for remote temperature sensing. This report deals with the development of a new generation of GRIPS instruments, which are commonly employed for the observation of mesopause temperatures. The new prototype demonstrates how the application of so called Spatial Heterodyne Interferometers (SHI) can overcome the limitations of currently used grating spectrometers, in terms of spectral resolution and optical throughput. The presented prototype proposes improvements in optical throughput and spectral resolution of about one order of magnitude, significantly reducing the uncertainties of the measured mesopause temperatures. Furthermore, an SHI can be built in monolithic configurations which are aligned and characterized once during assembly without the need of realignment at the measurement site. This makes SHI based instruments ideal for mobile applications.


2021 ◽  
pp. 126729
Author(s):  
Ying Hao ◽  
Zengchao Hao ◽  
Siang Feng ◽  
Xinying Wu ◽  
Xuan Zhang ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul D. Zander ◽  
Maurycy Żarczyński ◽  
Wojciech Tylmann ◽  
Shauna-kay Rainford ◽  
Martin Grosjean

Abstract. Varved lake sediments are exceptional archives of paleoclimatic information due to their precise chronological control and annual resolution. However, quantitative paleoclimate reconstructions based on the biogeochemical composition of biochemical varves are extremely rare mainly because the climate-proxy relationships are complex, and obtaining biogeochemical proxy data at very high (annual) resolution is difficult. Recent developments in high-resolution hyperspectral imaging (HSI) of sedimentary pigment biomarkers combined with micro X-ray fluorescence (μXRF) elemental mapping make it possible to measure the structure and composition of varves at unprecedented resolution. This provides opportunities to explore (seasonal) climate signals preserved in biochemical varves and, thus, assess the potential for annual resolution climate reconstruction from biochemical varves. Here, we present a geochemical dataset including HSI-inferred sedimentary pigments and uXRF-inferred elements at very high spatial resolution (60 μm, i.e. > 100 data points per varve year) in varved sediments of Lake Żabińskie, Poland over the period 1966–2019 CE. We compare this data with local meteorological observations to explore and quantify how changing seasonal meteorological conditions influenced sediment composition and varve formation processes. Based on the dissimilarity of within-varve multivariate geochemical time series, we classified varves into four types. Multivariate analysis of variance shows that these four varve types were formed in years with significantly different seasonal meteorological conditions. Generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to infer seasonal climate conditions based on sedimentary variables. Spring and summer (MAMJJA) temperature were predicted using Ti and total C (R2adj = 0.55; cross-validated root mean square error (CV-RMSE) = 0.7 °C, 14.4%). Windy days from March to December (mean daily wind speed > 7 m/s) were predicted using mass accumulation rate (MAR) and Si (R2adj = 0.48; CV-RMSE = 19.0%). This study demonstrates that high-resolution scanning techniques are promising tools to improve our understanding of varve formation processes and climate-proxy relationships in biochemical varves. This knowledge is the basis for quantitative high-resolution paleoclimate reconstructions, and here we provide examples of calibration and validation of annual resolution seasonal weather inference from varve biogeochemical data.


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